Tennis - Week 41 Discussion Thread

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Sorry boys. This is the most stressful week of my life right now. Lets get this started. No more of the Daily Schedule from me though. To much extra work.

ATP 500 - Beijing, China

http://www.protennislive.com/posting/2015/747/mds.pdf

ATP 500 - Tokyo, Japan

http://www.protennislive.com/posting/2015/329/mds.pdf

WTA - Beijing, China

http://www.wtatennis.com/SEWTATour-Archive/posting/2015/1020/MDS.pdf

 

[Noles4life]

Por que

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

ATP

Tsonga/Haider-Maurer Over 19.5 Games (-125)
Jack Sock -215

WTA

Samantha Stosur -280
Madison Keys -240

 

[P-Unit]

Bedene -135 4u play for me.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Haider Maurer takes Set 1 7-6. Need Tsonga to get 1 game lol

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Stosur winner.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Horse face Madison Keys is a winner.

3-0

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

4-0 baby

 

[ksimpsc]

damn missed the action last night, good hits guys

 

[P-Unit]

Bedene -135 4u play for me.

:hang:

 

[ksimpsc]

Oh didnt see that sorry P, no worries though brother we will make it happen today got a big card out there

 

[ksimpsc]

Columbia has been pretty much shut down with the flooding and all that so I get a day off today I guess haha. Gonna cap these lines later today for the Tenny tonight

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

THats brutal P. When he was up 6-1 figured it was over. He then was 1-0 and had like 4 break point chances and that would have been it. Crazy

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Milos & Tsonga lose both after winning a tournament 2 weeks ago

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

ATP

Jeremy Chardy -235

WTA

Qian Wang +1.5 Sets (+260)
Sara Errani +100
Andrea Petkovic +115

 

[P-Unit]

Chardy, Krajicek, Steve Johnson for me so far.

 

[ksimpsc]

geez missed getting steve and chardy in right as I was placing them, too bad

ATP
Krajeicek -115 1.5u
Anderson -163 2.5u
Mannarino -115 1.5u
Lopez -189 1.5u
Cilic -235 2.5u
Millman +1.5 2u
Millman +132 1u
Isner -218 4u
Garcia Lopez +1.5 2u
Garcia Lopez +135 1u
Berdych -1.5 1.5u

 

[ksimpsc]

Doubles

Babos/Mladenovic -325 3u
Kurd/Pavly -150 1.5u
Bolelli/Fognini +120 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

WTA

Mattek Sands -351 2u
Wang +1.5 +260 1.5u
Benecic -420 2u
Muguruza -325 2u
DUque Marino +1.5 1.5u
Petkovic +1.5 2.5u
Petkovic +110 1u
Errani +1.5 2.5u
Errani EV 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

GL tonight boys fade me if you think I am wrong, had the lady in my ear and we know what happened the last time lol

 

[P-Unit]

Youzhny +200

 

[ksimpsc]

thats a good lookwith Youzhny P, I was considering him. Seemed like that was a steep price for Simon

 

[ksimpsc]

Bautista-Agut +1.5 1.5u
Bautista-Agut +158 .5u
Paire +1.5 2.5u
Paire +180 1u

 

[cxbbum]

Wang just gave away the 1st set

 

[nbafan88]

What a comeback for Kraj. Hopefully he can finish it off

 

[ksimpsc]

yea nba fan I did not watch the match last night for that one but saw the scoring, looked like a tight match. Did however see Wang give away the first and then get stomped. Not a bad day though with some dogs barking

14-5-2 +8.433u

That's what I needed to whipe away the last few weeks losses despite a good record.

 

[ksimpsc]

Got a few plays I locked last night that are still rolling

ATP
Garcia Lopez +1.5 2u
Garcia Lopez +135 1u
Berdych -1.5 1.5u
Lopez -189 1.5u
Cilic -235 2.5u


WTA
Muguruza -325 2u

 

[P-Unit]

Muller -140

 

[ksimpsc]

Doubles

Hingis/Mizra -400 4u
Bopanna/Isner -280 3u
Bryan/Bryan -525 4u

and parlay all 1.5u to win 1.529u

 

[P-Unit]

Falconi +1.5 sets should be a play if you can get it. She will be in this match IMO.

 

[ksimpsc]

I'll cover myself

falconi +1.5 EV 2.5u

Also on Troicki -135 2u

 

[ksimpsc]

Petkovic -125 2u
Petkovic O21.5 -110 2u
Radwankska -160 2u
Kerber -160 1.5u
Suarez Navarro +1.5 2u
Suarez Navarro -105 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

I'll join my man bum since we seem to be on a few things tonight. Thought to myself that was a high price for querrey as a dog and it got bet down from over +500 to +445.

Querrey .5u +1.5 +166
Querrey .5u +445

 

[P-Unit]

Falconi +1.5 sets should be a play if you can get it. She will be in this match IMO.

my bad. couldn't have been more wrong. Falconi got rolled.

 

[cxbbum]

couldn't have agreed with ya more P....shit happens brah

 

[ksimpsc]

yea man no worries brother, I made PLENTY of mistakes yesterday. Something like -8u so gave it all back from the other day haha.

 

[ksimpsc]

gonna check these lines a little earlier today and line up some winners

 

[ksimpsc]

Almost missed the early one

Sousa -345 3u

 

[ksimpsc]

Like Bautista agut a lot. He beat Gasquet in the last match. Gasquet beat kyrgios twice last year

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP

Paire -130 2u
Bautista-Agut -135 2u
Cilic -290 2u
Isner -485 3.5u
Simon -175 1.5u


WTA

Vinci -320 3u
Pavlyuchenkova +1.5 2.5u
Penetta -145 1.5u
Muguruza -400 3u
Ivanovic -325 3u
Radwanska +1.5 2u
Radwanska +135 1u

Doubles
Hingis/Mizra -550 10u
Herbert/Mahut -500 5u
Johnson/Querrey +120 1u
Babos/Mladenovic -400 3u


parlay
hingis, herbert, babos 1.5u for 1.16u
bautista-agut, isner, vinci, muguruza, ivanovic 1u for 3.539u

a lot of singles guys got knocked out and are playing the doubles now so wasn't sure how to cap that. I laid off most of those and will see what happens.

 

[nbafan88]

I'm on RBA as well

 

[P-Unit]

I actually lean Lucic-Baroni at this price. Playing +300 small. Lean Woz and Baghdatis as well

 

[nbafan88]

Paire looks like bait to me.

 

[ksimpsc]

rba got straight setted so thats nice

 

[ksimpsc]

I typically like betting Bhagdad but just felt like paire has been playing good lately but I could have gotten lucky in a trap

 

[ksimpsc]

herbert/mahut lost me some units there. -6.9u on the day and 5 of those are mahut loss. I will update my whole week later today

 

[P-Unit]

Simon -200 2u

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP
Simon -195 2u
Paire +1.5 2u
Cilic +1.5 2u
Sock +1.5 2u
Sock +180 1u
Fognini -185 2u

WTA
Radwanska +1.5 2u
Radwanska +140 1u
Errani +1.5 2u
Errani +102 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

Lu +1.5 2u
Lu +325 1u

Errani/bacsinszky O22 2u

johnson/querrey -120 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

was double checking my bets before I went to bed and thought I had Cilic +250 but I did not I guess.

Cilic +215, BOL everyone