Tennis - Week 45 Discussion Thread

.5u Murray +1.5
.25u Murray +305
.5u Set Score Djokavic 2-1 +249
.25u Set Score Murray 2-0 +703
.25u Set Score Murray 2-1 +547
.5u Djokavic/ Murray O22

1u Pliskova +1.5
.5u Pliskova +140
.5u Set Score Venus 2-1 +295
.5u Set Score Pliskova 2-0 +304
.5u Set Score Pliskova 2-1 +441
1u Venus/Pliskova O22

3u Pospisil/Sock -140

1-12
 
-6.8u

looking back with a clear head I would have played that Pliskova line every time even with my venus hesitations. 7-5 7-6 she was right there. I seriously considered taking big money on the over as I thought the match was very possible to go multi tie breaker with how these ladies have been serving. something to remember but definitely would have been on that play either way.

Murray match stings because I leaned Djokavic for a day and a half and then I looked up the match history and just could not resist. Murray played like a punk. First time he has lost to Djokavic in straight sets in a tournament finals in like 5 years and over 8 appearances (can't remember exact numbers currently) should not go against my gut, that usually makes me lose money.

Sock/Pospisil was one I was leaning and Gator pointed that one out and it pushed me over the edge. not really mad at the play on any level but definitely interesting to me on something I was looking at earlier in the season in players that are more singles players being in the doubles draw vs players that mainly play in the doubles draw. In the past I looked at that and thought there is value in the traditional doubles team even if they may be facing what are better tennis players. No doubt to me Sock and Pospisil are better players but after rolling 6-2 in the first they kind of puttered off.
 
Week 45 Record: 17-25-3 -9.231u
Season: 348-282-14 (including parlays) +27.197u

not feeling too bad about it as I would be looking like an even weekend or close had any one of the plays from yesterday hit. oh well on to the next
 
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<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; border: none;">[TR="class: oddRow props"]
[/TR]
[TR="class: banner"]
[TD="bgcolor: #EFEFEF, colspan: 5"] BARCLAYS ATP WORLD TOURS FINALS WINNER[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]NOVAK DJOKOVIC[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]ODDS<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">-190</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]5K USD NO BUY
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]ANDY MURRAY[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+1251</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]ROGER FEDERER[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+385</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]STAN WAWRINKA[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+1614</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]RAFAEL NADAL[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+2526</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]TOMAS BERDYCH[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+4000</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: evenRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]DAVID FERRER[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+8000</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"]
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: oddRow props"]
[TD="class: teamCell, align: left"]KEI NISHIKORI[/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"] [/TD]
[TD="class: selectCell, align: left"]<label style="margin: 0px; padding: 0.75em; position: relative; font-size: 14px; text-align: center; display: block; cursor: pointer; border: 1px solid rgb(213, 213, 213); border-radius: 0.3em;">+4000</label>[/TD]
[TD="class: tabCell"][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
2u Kumkhum -225
1u Hibino -140
2u Svitolina -315
1u Kovinic -165

parlay .5u to win 3.2u Liu, Kumkhum, Hibino, Svitolina, Garcia, Gasparyan
 
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