Tennis - Week 43 Discussion Thread

[GatorsLeafsBills]

Net Cord goes goes of Sevas and Pliskova gets there for an easy winner chance and she puts it into the net. Its just pathetic.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

0/8 on break chances.

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

She finally breaks but took a double fault to get it lol

 

[ksimpsc]

yea I made a bet live on Gulbis at -179 to mitigate but still losing some money with isner

 

[P-Unit]

Simon -220. Don't like the line movement but feel this is good enough value to take a stab. 1u play.

 

[ksimpsc]

was considering the same move

 

[ksimpsc]

for some reason that line is down on BM even though 30 before the match starts, up on BO

 

[ksimpsc]

for some reason that line is down on BM even though 30 before the match starts, up on BO

now its back up, weird

 

[ksimpsc]

Simon -225 2u

 

[ksimpsc]

damn simon down to -192

 

[ksimpsc]

F it

Mayer +1.5 2u, maybe I hit both

 

[ksimpsc]

lol what was that line movement for? oh well though about betting off live second set but it is pricey

 

[ksimpsc]

10-8-1 straight bets 1-6 parlays -9.53u on the day. That is ok we will keep it moving forward

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

ATP

Ricardas Berankis -147
Marcos Baghdatis +120
Jerzy Janowicz +100
Vesely/Anderson Over 22 Games (-115)

WTA

Kristen Flipkens -235
Daria Kasatkina +178
Svetlana Kuznetsova -5 Games (-120)
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -123

 

[P-Unit]

that Berankis line is fishy as hell and has trended lower since the open. H2H definitely favors him but line movement suggests otherwise.

 

[ksimpsc]

was leaning janowicz myself

any thoughts on istomin?

 

[P-Unit]

Gimeno Traver +150 1u
Ferrer -350 .5u
Stepanek +135 .5u
Vesely +285 .5u
Flipkens -225 2u - huge mismatch IMO
Pavlyuchenkov -125 1u

Lean Larsson +160 as well but no play just yet.

 

[P-Unit]

Cilic is going to mow Istomin down. Lean Jerzy too.

 

[ksimpsc]

yea im confused why strycova is -200 over larsson

 

[P-Unit]

Kasatkina +180 .5u

Fading GLB's wife

 

[ksimpsc]

Why the GIMENO TRAVER play P?

 

[P-Unit]

fading Pouille. He sucks. Traver in better form too.

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP
Janowicz +1.5 2u
Janowicz +105 1u
Ferrer -340 2u
Vesely +1.5 +131 .5u
Vesely/KA O22 games .5u

WTA
Larsson +1.5 1u
Larsson +170 .5u
Kuznetsova -475 3u
Kuznetsova -1.5 2o
Kuznetsova -5 1u
Kasatkina +1.5 1u
Kasatkina +180 .5u
Pavlyuchenkova -125 2u

 

[ksimpsc]

parlay 1.5u to win 12.5u
Cilic, Kohlschreiber, BErdych, Chardy, Ferrer, Tsonga, Flipkens, Kuznetsova, Pavlyuchenkova

parlay 1u to win 3.1u
Flipkens, Kuznetsova, Pavlyuchenkova

 

[P-Unit]

f'n Flipkens. pathetic

 

[P-Unit]

Adding 3u on Pav @ -135

 

[ksimpsc]

yea P thinking the same thing on both haha. Pavly is now -155 on BO and -145 on BM

I bet live on Siegemund for 2u to win 1 after Fli lost the first set but was on the road and couldn't post

 

[ksimpsc]

weird match in the Berankis one. Line was weird last night glad I laid off

 

[ksimpsc]

add another 1.5u on Pavlyuchenkova -145 as well

 

[Noles4life]

Flipkens pretty much gassed out after 1st set

 

[Noles4life]

Nice hit with KA/Vessly O

 

[ksimpsc]

hell yea Pavly with an early set baby

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP
Janowicz +1.5 2u
Janowicz +105 1u
Ferrer -340 2u
Vesely +1.5 +131 .5u
Vesely/KA O22 games .5u

WTA
Larsson +1.5 1u
Larsson +170 .5u
Kuznetsova -475 3u
Kuznetsova -1.5 2u
Kuznetsova -5 1u
Kasatkina +1.5 1u
Kasatkina +180 .5u
LIVE Siegemund -200 2u

parlay 1.5u to win 12.5u
Cilic, Kohlschreiber, BErdych, Chardy, Ferrer, Tsonga, Flipkens, Kuznetsova, Pavlyuchenkova

parlay 1u to win 3.1u
Flipkens, Kuznetsova, Pavlyuchenkova

Pavlyuchenkova -125 3.5u still in play

was heavy on Pavly and Kuznetsova in my BO account as well which I can finally transfer back tomorrow. Off to lunch and a lot of stuff to get done I will be back tonight to update

 

[ksimpsc]

didnt know the rest of the card was going to be fine when flipkens was playing but I would have hedged a lot more on Sieg. sad that she will bust up 15u for me

 

[Noles4life]

Looks like today was one of those days all the favs hit n the ones u thought could lose KA kohl who starts off slow after layoffs had 3setters... Flipkens only disappointment.. Line movements against larsson n berankis were hits... Good when things fall into there respective positions...

 

[ksimpsc]

wish Larsson would have shown up, glad to see line movement meaning something again at least. Is Tsonga really about to lose?

 

[Noles4life]

Just doesnt look interested

 

[Noles4life]

Breaks as i write that hopefully hes more interested now

 

[ksimpsc]

glad I laid off Ivanovic

 

[Noles4life]

Ya looks like her n tsonga will be the big favs to go down

 

[Noles4life]

I had laid off em both but when flipkens lost i threw em in new parlay o welll

 

[Noles4life]

Tsonga bows out n i bet ivanobitch wins

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

4-3 -0.04 Units

 

[ksimpsc]

OMG did Tsonga really lose 6-1 in the third???

 

[ksimpsc]

10-4 straight bets 0-2 parlays with heavy on pavly and kuz in BO account. +9.2u on the day

 

[Noles4life]

Ivanobitch n tsonga cost me 4u parlay n funny thing is i wasnt gonna play em i didnt want to play anything after pavelchenkova was scheduled to go off so id have her as the last leg but after flipkens lost i said screw it n put em in... Onto the next

 

[P-Unit]

big play on Pav saved my ass today.

 

[P-Unit]

and of course I played the only big dogs that didn't win today. ffs

 

[Noles4life]

lotta good matchups tom

 

[Noles4life]

5'11 300lb FB for cal