Tennis - Week 42 Discussion Thread

[P-Unit]

like both dogs in womens tennis coming up. Will be on Mitu +160 and thinking about Gasparyan +165.

 

[ksimpsc]

like both dogs in womens tennis coming up. Will be on Mitu +160 and thinking about Gasparyan +165.

yea I was considering fading Friedsam

 

[ksimpsc]

8 straight breaks in the match

9 straight breaks fml

 

[ksimpsc]

gotta go clean up have a meeting soon will maybe post one of those plays before leaving. konta is fucked, glad i at least played something on her. Can you believe Brengle busted up 60 fucking units?

 

[ksimpsc]

Womens tennis your never out of it... Good call on kunic was the better player n nice +160

yea I am really glad I came back with 5 units on the sets with Krunic, she played well

 

[ksimpsc]

Noles you are right its never over match point 40-0 and its Ad konta

 

[ksimpsc]

these ladies cant serve for shit today

 

[ksimpsc]

Konta broke to make 5-5 down 40-0 match :rofl:

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

10 straight lol

 

[ksimpsc]

10 straight lol

can you believe this shit? I am seriously considering never betting those sets to hold again in WTA ROFL

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

WTA is tought but there are some good numbers. You just got to stalk the games.

 

[ksimpsc]

13-4 on the straight bets still up about 16.64u on the day, would have been closer to 70 with Kunta not holding serve the entire second set but playing well enough to break her every game of the second set haha. Off to a lunch appointment will be back later tot update

 

[ksimpsc]

Mitu +1.5 2u
Mitu +166 1u

 

[Play2win]

Mitu +1.5 2u
Mitu +166 1u

Tailed on ml, GL

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP
Kyrgios +1.5 2u
Kyrgios +200 1u
Live Nishikori -290 2u
Isner -130 3u
Thiem -118 1.5u
Gasquet -260 3u
Simon -215 2u
Nadal -210 2u
Raonic -195 3u

WTA
Krunic +1.5 5u
Vinci -225 2u
Mladenovic -370 2u
Stosur -365 2u
Babos -115 1.5u
Pliskova -240 4u
Konta -185 2.5u
Y H Lee +1.5 +155 .5u

Parlays
1u Thiem, Simon, Raonic, Warinka, Mladenovic, Stosur, A Radwanska -1.5 to win 9.232
1u Isner, Gasquet, Murray, Simon, Nadal, Raonic, Pliskova, Stosur, Krunic+1.5, Konta to win 41.494
.5u Isner, Gasquet, Simon, Raonic, Babos, Pliskova, Stosur, Konta to win 13.66u
1u for 1.1u Gasquet, Raonic
1u for .96u Stosur, Konta
1u for 3u Gasquet, Raonic, Stosur, Konta
Live Brengle to win 9.8u

15-9 with parlays 14-4 just straight bets. +16.64u with Mitu rolling

 

[ksimpsc]

sorry for the freak out earlier boys. I was more mad in the moment I missed my hedge but thinking rationally I would have probably played only 10u hedge to win 15u so only really missed 5u on that mistake. More just laughable that I even said before I went to bed if I may have to hedge Konta and she plays the worst match ever haha. 10 straight breaks in the 2nd is laughable even by WTA measures. She broke 40-0 to match and could not come back to hold her serve in the next game haha unreal. I got a beer though and ready to do it for tonight

 

[P-Unit]

at least you were in a position to profit regardless... Always good to have the option after getting that far into it.

 

[ksimpsc]

yea good point P. Good call on Gasparayan. Mitu looking bad

 

[Noles4life]

liking nadal........ think isner can keep it close vs murray like him +3.5 games. and over 23.5..... same thing with KA think his serve keeps em in it and ill take the +3.5 games again...... joker is just a machine -5.5 looks decent as well....... gascan/tomic gascan blew him out in usopen but tomic clearly gassed after 5 setter vs hewitt hes playin good tennis... tomic could be worth a look..... birdshit/simon dont trust birdshit form not that good and simon i believe does well against him judging by line i think im right without botherin to look..... thoughts welcome lets continue to crush it

 

[P-Unit]

Kichenok +150 is a play to get things started tonight.

 

[ksimpsc]

had a friend drop by just getting to the rig, I had big units on her plus the sets still rolling from last night and Duan to win for small, similar situation as the vinci bet. took duan then looked into it further and slammed Kich with the sets

 

[P-Unit]

Other plays

Kovinic -140 1.5u
Allertova +105 .5u


also lean Van Uytvanck @ -110 and Krunic @ +120

Mens side lean Wawa and Gasquet. Gilles Simon gives Berdych fits so may look there also.

 

[ksimpsc]

Don't think I like Nadal. he is on the down slope and barely got through last night even though i had him for 2u. I like milos with the sets and probably on the match for the price. Milos beat him this year in Indian Wells Masters

 

[Noles4life]

Milos was lucky toget by batista agutn looked tohurt his back again.. Nadal just played a big server n played good... think nadal continues his winning ways vs milos

 

[ksimpsc]

yea I like gasquet for sure but price is high, dont know if I want to bet the set line

 

[Noles4life]

Gascan must have a good H2H vs himcuz line is sky high

 

[ksimpsc]

simon is nice and has been playing well probably look at something there

 

[P-Unit]

Other plays

Kovinic -140 1.5u
Allertova +105 .5u


also lean Van Uytvanck @ -110 and Krunic @ +120

Mens side lean Wawa and Gasquet. Gilles Simon gives Berdych fits so may look there also.

Played Stanimal -190 1u

 

[ksimpsc]

yea I like Stan tonight for sure, he has been playing top notch and won their last 4

 

[ksimpsc]

I think I like Anderson with the sets after the way Kei played last night

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

ATP

Murray/Isner Over 23 Games (-140)
Stanislas Wawrinka -215
Richard Gasquet -3.5 Games (-110)
Simon/Berdych Over 23.5 Games (-113)

WTA

Yaroslava Shvedova +135
Williams/Wang Under 19 Games (-110)
Nara/Kerber Under 18 Games (-128)
Johanna Larsson -115
Caroline Wozniacki -400

 

[GatorsLeafsBills]

simon is nice and has been playing well probably look at something there

Line is to low for me. Like Simon but +140 vs a Top player in Berdych is not enough for me. Although Berdych should have lost today

 

[Noles4life]

I like KA to think his serve should keep it close n nishi looked off vs kyrgios

 

[ksimpsc]

Line is to low for me. Like Simon but +140 vs a Top player in Berdych is not enough for me. Although Berdych should have lost today

yea that over isnt a bad look

 

[ksimpsc]

ATP
Gasquet -301 3u
Wawrinka -214 2u
Anderson +1.5 2u
Anderson +210 1u

WTA
Shvedova +1.5 2u
Shvedova +131 1u
Allertova +1.5 2.5u
Allertova +105 1u
Wozniacki -395 4u
Pavlyuchenkova -320 2u
Barthel -160 1u

Parlay
Bryan/Brayn, Bondarenko/Savchuk, Cornet/Shvedova, Isner/Querrey, Herbert/Mahut, Jurak/Melichar .5u to win 2.388
Djokavic -1.5, Gasquet, Wawrinka, A Radwanksa -1.5, V Williams -1.5, Wozniacki .5u to win 3.28

 

[nbafan88]

Went with

Murray -3.5 +115
Murray/Isner under 23 +115
Simon ML +135

 

[ksimpsc]

little set bet parlay
Simon +1.5, Raonic +1.5, Anderson +1.5, V Williams -1.5, Shvedova +1.5, Kerber -1.5, A Radwanska -1.5, Allertova +1.5 .5u to win 10u

 

[ksimpsc]

.5u to win .048 Gasquet, Wawrinka
.5u to win .323 Pavlyuchenkova, Wozniacki
.5u to win 1.112 Gasquet, Wawrinka, Pavlyuchenkova, Wozniacki

 

[Noles4life]

Looking goood.... isner covers.. KA wins..... Hit overs on both.. N nadal lookin solid... Just need WaWa for the sweep....

 

[Noles4life]

Forgot bout joker but he was easy peezy -5.5 against lopez.. Tough to get infront of the joker train right now as he is just pasting everyone n can name his score before he getz to court hes coverin handicap in a set basically

 

[ksimpsc]

Live on berdych 2 set to cover my set bet parlay

 

[nbafan88]

Simon sucks. I've lost enough. Can't get it right on these smaller tournaments. Bol the rest of the way boys

 

[Noles4life]

Gascan nxt

 

[Noles4life]

Stanimal

 

[ksimpsc]

damn Isner/Querrey busted my doubles parlay

 

[ksimpsc]

live on Tomic to cover myself on some stuff, heading out the house BOL all

 

[ksimpsc]

LOL this is hilarious, so I played KA last night with the sets and the ML. I played 2u on the sets and what I thought was 1u on the ML, Actually I accidentally played 2.5u on the ML at +210 so I actually came out with 5.25u on the ML on the KA play. Good when mistakes happen in my favor, sucks when they don't

 

[ksimpsc]

Kichenok +1.5 3u
Duan -180 1.5u
Mitu +1.5 2u
Mitu +166 1u


ATP
Gasquet -301 3u
Wawrinka -214 2u
Anderson +1.5 2u
Anderson +210 2.5u

WTA
Shvedova +1.5 2u
Shvedova +131 1u
Wozniacki -395 4u
Pavlyuchenkova -320 2u
Barthel -160 1u

Parlay
Bryan/Brayn, Bondarenko/Savchuk, Cornet/Shvedova, Isner/Querrey, Herbert/Mahut, Jurak/Melichar .5u to win 2.388
Djokavic -1.5, Gasquet, Wawrinka, A Radwanksa -1.5, V Williams -1.5, Wozniacki .5u to win 3.28
Simon +1.5, Raonic +1.5, Anderson +1.5, V Williams -1.5, Shvedova +1.5, Kerber -1.5, A Radwanska -1.5, Allertova +1.5 .5u to win 10u
.5u to win .048 Gasquet, Wawrinka
.5u to win .323 Pavlyuchenkova, Wozniacki
.5u to win 1.112 Gasquet, Wawrinka, Pavlyuchenkova, Wozniacki

Live Berdych Set 2
Live Tomic to win the match
Flip to win match live +225
Flip to win set 1 live
Flip to win set 2 live

Still +4.03u despite some big losers. Live bets saved me on that one and honestly the mis bet in the KA match,

Still have one play going
Allertova +1.5 2.5u
Allertova +105 1u

 

[Canes1]

Ugh. Caro. Just saw the result. Anyone watch? How bad she look?

 

[ksimpsc]

She looked like absolute shit in the first set and then battled back some at the end of the set. She was down 2 breaks in the first. Had to leave so assuming she didn't look much better losing by a break in the second.