Satyr
Paster of Muppets
Liking several for tonight.
This total is something I've noticed and the more I looked at it, the more I analyzed it, the more I liked it.
The Knicks are this chameleon team this season, despite having some beef in the inside they can run and they've put that on display several times this year (Nuggets (119-112), Cavs (106-110) and Orlando (102-112), the only classical under was the clash with Miami, which proves the chameleon theory.
My guess why this total is relatively low is that Phoenix actually limited their opponents several times (left them in double digits), but I wouldn't assign that to their improved D, but simply the fact that the opponents didn't show enough in those games. It's a small pattern so beware.
The reason why I like this total is that in both possible scenarios (Knicks keep it close or the Suns blow them out) I can see it hit. Randolph is probably out but that doesn't affect the total much I think. Curry in the inside will pose a good matchup for Suns' interior, as I said, I think the Knicks will run tonight, both team reach century mark.
Phoenix-New York over 208.5 (1.92 @ Pinnacle) 7 units
This is a solid situational spot for such a young season. Even though we don't get to exploit a b2b factor at its fullest, this is still a situational play. People seem to think that Memphis will be a gas can team again, but I disagree. They almost beat the Spurs, had a few shooting holes which cost them the game against the Pacers and they played 3 road games, winning in Seattle, dropping the games in Utah and Portland.
The Rockets can finally show they can run as well under Adelman, they're not a defense first team any more, and with good coaching this team can become quite exciting to watch. The Grizzlies are a solid bunch right now and I think they throw everything they have to the Rockets tonight, who barely beat the Bobcats in Charlotte, performing several small miracles in the last couple of minutes to turn the game around. Well Bobcats' defensive mistakes made it a tad bit easier for them as well.
The Grizz play in Milwaukee tomorrow, then in 3 days have b2b clashes with NOH and DAL. See why I think they step up tonight? On the other hand, Houston has a game with the Lakers on deck for tomorrow, in Texas.
I'm not saying Houston will be disinterested, far from it, but I don't think they will blow this team out, and I actually give the Grizzlies a solid chance to cover.
Grizzlies (+6.5) (1.98 @ Pinnacle) 4 units
Over 200.5 (1.92 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
The Spurs absolutely destroyed Milwaukee, but the Lakers are another story. This team has been covering against the Spurs in recent years and I don't see much changing here. The Spurs opened the season well but as far as covering goes, I don't think they'll be that interested to absolutely dominate the Lakers here, nor will that be an easy job. The Lakers have Odom back, Kwame is probable, they have Bynum who averages a double-double, Kobe showed he can spread the rock around as well, Radmanovic is a threat as well, while I think Fisher can contain Parker, at some extent.
Manu could be the X factor here (as many times before), but I think the Lakers keep this one close with a shot to win SU. I still believe Spurs put them away in the end, but I'm taking the points.
Lakers +8 (1.93 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
That's it from me for tonight. GL guys.:cheers:
This total is something I've noticed and the more I looked at it, the more I analyzed it, the more I liked it.
The Knicks are this chameleon team this season, despite having some beef in the inside they can run and they've put that on display several times this year (Nuggets (119-112), Cavs (106-110) and Orlando (102-112), the only classical under was the clash with Miami, which proves the chameleon theory.
My guess why this total is relatively low is that Phoenix actually limited their opponents several times (left them in double digits), but I wouldn't assign that to their improved D, but simply the fact that the opponents didn't show enough in those games. It's a small pattern so beware.
The reason why I like this total is that in both possible scenarios (Knicks keep it close or the Suns blow them out) I can see it hit. Randolph is probably out but that doesn't affect the total much I think. Curry in the inside will pose a good matchup for Suns' interior, as I said, I think the Knicks will run tonight, both team reach century mark.
Phoenix-New York over 208.5 (1.92 @ Pinnacle) 7 units
This is a solid situational spot for such a young season. Even though we don't get to exploit a b2b factor at its fullest, this is still a situational play. People seem to think that Memphis will be a gas can team again, but I disagree. They almost beat the Spurs, had a few shooting holes which cost them the game against the Pacers and they played 3 road games, winning in Seattle, dropping the games in Utah and Portland.
The Rockets can finally show they can run as well under Adelman, they're not a defense first team any more, and with good coaching this team can become quite exciting to watch. The Grizzlies are a solid bunch right now and I think they throw everything they have to the Rockets tonight, who barely beat the Bobcats in Charlotte, performing several small miracles in the last couple of minutes to turn the game around. Well Bobcats' defensive mistakes made it a tad bit easier for them as well.
The Grizz play in Milwaukee tomorrow, then in 3 days have b2b clashes with NOH and DAL. See why I think they step up tonight? On the other hand, Houston has a game with the Lakers on deck for tomorrow, in Texas.
I'm not saying Houston will be disinterested, far from it, but I don't think they will blow this team out, and I actually give the Grizzlies a solid chance to cover.
Grizzlies (+6.5) (1.98 @ Pinnacle) 4 units
Over 200.5 (1.92 @ Pinnacle) 3 units
The Spurs absolutely destroyed Milwaukee, but the Lakers are another story. This team has been covering against the Spurs in recent years and I don't see much changing here. The Spurs opened the season well but as far as covering goes, I don't think they'll be that interested to absolutely dominate the Lakers here, nor will that be an easy job. The Lakers have Odom back, Kwame is probable, they have Bynum who averages a double-double, Kobe showed he can spread the rock around as well, Radmanovic is a threat as well, while I think Fisher can contain Parker, at some extent.
Manu could be the X factor here (as many times before), but I think the Lakers keep this one close with a shot to win SU. I still believe Spurs put them away in the end, but I'm taking the points.
Lakers +8 (1.93 @ Pinnacle) 5 units
That's it from me for tonight. GL guys.:cheers:
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