MLB August-September

[nolan#1]

thanks buddy. been a great season especially the last month. Hope you've been crushing it!

And yes Nolan, I posted across the street at 8am which most know. it was 7 with some juice most of the AM. But thanks again lines guy.

Yes pirates was 7 but they change the pitcher is not Javier assad ...

Good luck

 

[PirateAlew]

Yes pirates was 7 but they change the pitcher is not Javier assad ...

Good luck

Yes it’s been Wicks since around midnight

 

[PirateAlew]

***2nd Umpire over is ️Arizona/Houston Over 7.5(Played earlier)-with Mark Ripperger who is avg 10 runs per game, on a low 2.4 SO/BB and a 19-9 over record this year. The over has hit 8-0 for zona last 8 Pfadt starts and is 29-8 for the dbacks. It is now a top play

 

[PirateAlew]

️Cleveland/LAD Over 8-130

 

[PirateAlew]

Padres-0.5-130 (F5)

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Red Sox-1-133
️Padres-143
️Mets-145
️Pittsburgh-112 (Game 1)
️Orioles/Rays Over 7.5-115 (Ump Over-Dreckman-20-4 Over/11.6 Runs/3-0 Ov Efflin)
️Braves-148
️Detroit+101
️Yanks-135
️Royals+125
️Phillies-1.5-125
️Pirates-130 (Game 2)
️Seattle-118
️Arizona+144
️Det/Oak Over 7.5-125 (Ump Ov-Guccione-10.21 Runs/9-5 Ov/62%K/2.2 SO/BB/+Merics)
️Angels+130
️Brewers-1.5-123
Guardians+140
Tampa Rays+1.5-130
Pitt/Nats Over 8-120 (Ump Ov-Hudson-15-7 Over/10 Runs/Hitter friendly Rated ump/9-4 OV Pitt)
Boston/Chicago Over 8.5-115 (Ump Over-Muchlinski-10 Runs L2Y/30-25 OV L2Y)
Baltimore Team Total Over 4
Phillies-1-120 (F5)
Mets Team Total Over 4
Pirates-115 F5 (Game 1)
Yanks/Cubs over 7-125
Royals/Twins Over 7.5-125
Arizona/Houston Over 8-115
Angels+125 (F5)
Murderdelphia Phillies/Marlins Over 8-120
Clev/LA Over 8.5-120
Boston-145 (F5)
Angels Team Total Over 3.5-128
Padres/Giants Over 7-105
Mets/Reds Over 8-130

Hit the POD now 9 days straight, lets make it 10 and keep going. GL all.

 

[sunshine11]

️Cleveland/LAD Over 8-130

Score. My internet is out.

 

[PirateAlew]

Score. My internet is out.

if your internet is out, how are you posting?

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Yankees-148
️Royals-118
️Orioles-1-131
️Bos/Chicago Over 8.5-125 (Umpire Over-Fletcher-12.5 Runs/23-5 Over/2.0 SO/BB++Metrics)
️Arizona+132
️Padres-1-128
️Mariners-119
️Orioles/Rays Over 7.5-105 (Umpire Over-Wegner-10.86 Runs/15-6 Over/2.3 SO/BB/++Metrics)
️Pirates-149
️Dodgers/Clev Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Bellino-10 Runs/15-12 Over/2.4 SO/BB/+Metrics)
️Mets-1-128
️Phils/Marlins Over 8-115
️Dodgers-0.5-110 (F5)
️Boston-1.5-125
Phils-130
Tigers+105
Arizona/Houston Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Barrett-17-11 Over/9+Runs/63% K)
Braves-1.5-114
Brewers-2+115
Padres-0.5-125 (F5)
Brewers/Rocks Over 7.5-115
Royals-128 (F5)
Dodgers-146
Angels+150
Mets-0.5-115 (F5)
Padres/Giants over 7.5-125
Arizona+0.5-110 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 4
Boston Team Total Over 5
Mets/Reds Over 7.5-120
Toronto/ATL UNDER 8-115

Hit the #1 play POD again Saturday, 10 days straight....lets go for 11....Here's the early plays, busy day tomorrow.

 

[PirateAlew]

**Arizona/Houston Over 8 is a top play

added:
Seattle/St Louis Over 7.5-110

Also, yes I know Boston is in flux with pitching, that was factored in after 2am as Sox announced a call- up. Action for that game with the expected changes. Also why Boston isnt a bigger play, with the rookie making a debut. Line hasnt changed much since it was official but total has with the news and the action on it. With ole boy Andy Fletcher working, expect some runs and more runs and then more runs. HA! MLB Daily Lineups

 

[phantom888]

White Sox keeps on giving
Congrats on that #4 over
I stayed away, good to be lucky!

 

[PirateAlew]

thanks bud, Yanks couldnt get it done, had their chances, but the white sox came thru with the runs to get that over. Good to finish with an easy bang on Dbacks over and Dbacks, figured arizona would pound gas can Verlander. He needs to retire back here to Central VA.

Monday's plays...Good luck all

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Dodgers-1-125
️Toronto+102
️Twins-1-126
️Pirates-1.5-120
️Boston-112
️Dodgers/Cubs Over 9-120
️Yankees-1-115
️Phils-0.5-120 (F5)
️Cleveland-1.5-135
️Reds+1.5-128
️Mets/Blow Jays Over 8-130
Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5-115
Pirates-0.5-140 (F5)
Phils-1-130
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Boston/Baltimore Over 9-125
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Dodgers-0.5-125 (F5)
Blue Jays Team Total Over 4
Phils/Rays Over 7.5-120
Pirates Team Total Over 4
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115
Clev/Chicago UNDER 9-120

 

[phantom888]

if your internet is out, how are you posting?

I couldn’t sign the check since I’ve sealed the envelope already? Lol

 

[phantom888]

thanks bud, Yanks couldnt get it done, had their chances, but the white sox came thru with the runs to get that over. Good to finish with an easy bang on Dbacks over and Dbacks, figured arizona would pound gas can Verlander. He needs to retire back here to Central VA.

Monday's plays...Good luck all

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Dodgers-1-125
️Toronto+102
️Twins-1-126
️Pirates-1.5-120
️Boston-112
️Dodgers/Cubs Over 9-120
️Yankees-1-115
️Phils-0.5-120 (F5)
️Cleveland-1 (Waiting on updated line-Lively Scratched)
️Reds+1.5-128
️Mets/Blow Jays Over 8-130
Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5-115
Pirates-0.5-140 (F5)
Phils-1-130
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Boston/Baltimore Over 9-125
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Dodgers-0.5-125 (F5)
Blue Jays Team Total Over 4
Phils/Rays Over 7.5-120
Pirates Team Total Over 4
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115
Clev/Chicago UNDER 9-120

Houston was on fire and you went against them lol
Awesome picking the Dbacks and over
Great wins there

 

[PirateAlew]

***1st Umpire Over is ️Pirates/Marlins Over 7.5 with Lance Barksdale who is 18-11 Over, on 9.3 runs, and a low 2.1 SO/BB Ratio. The total has hit in 3 of the previous 4 for the Pirates as welll as 12 of their past 13 games at home, and all 4 games between these 2 earlier in 2024 hit the over. Both teams ranks in bottom half of pitching in most categories, with the marlins giving up 2nd most runs in MLB. This is now a top play

 

[PirateAlew]

added:
Yanks/Royals Over 8-120

 

[PirateAlew]

Slight change with Mets and Jays pitching. Over still stands, price changed a bit on toronto, still on them in the same order

️Toronto+118

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
️Arizona-135
️Baltimore+120
️Mets-120
️Phils-1-103
️Braves-127
️Brewers-113
️Detroit-1-115
️Balty/Bos over 9-115 (Ump Over-Ryan Wills, ~10 Runs, 63%K, 2.2 SO/BB/+Metrics)
️Royals+127
️Cubs+144
️Twins-1.5-105
️Reds+120
️Oakland+1.5-128
️Padres+107
️Miami/Pitt Over 8.5-130 (Ump Over-D.Thomas-9.72 Runs, 14-10over/LOW 2.2 SO/BB)
️Cleveland-1.5-130
Oak/Houston Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Clint Vondrak-18-10 Over, on 10.39 Runs, and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio)
Arizona/Texas Over 7.5-115
Yanks/Royals Over 8.5-115
Mets-115 (F5)
Brewers/Giants Over 7-130
Reds/Cards Over 7.5-115
Detroit/Colorado Over 8-125
Miami+136
Detroit-0.5-115 (F5)
Padres/Mariners Over 7-110
Brewers-115 (F5)
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Braves-118 (F5)
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-115
Cubs+0.5-105 (F5)
Twins/Angels Over 7.5-130 (Ump Over-Marvin Hudson-15-8 Over, on 9.5 runs)
Cleveland/Chicago Over 7.5-128
Twins Team Total Over 4.5-115
Mets/Jays UNDER 8.5-120
Braves/Nats UNDER 8.5-130


Full card today again, Quite a few dogs with good positions to win today and some good pitching. Some situations of wrong team favored possibly again too (O's, Reds, royals, Padres come to mind as should be favored or closer to a pick)

 

[PirateAlew]

also played some UEFA nations league/CONMEBOL-if anyone is interested. did well yesterday and all through Euros and copa. The international events are a lot of fun and sometimes easier to predict than the club games.

Argentina ML, Netherlands/Germany BTTS/Over 2.5, Greece ML and DC (double chance), Iraq ML, N macedonia ML, Hungary ML, Latvia, Nethlands ML and win either half, Czech/Ukraine Over 2.5, England-1, England/Finland Over 2.5, Georgia DC, Ecuador..the juicier sides i divide up into 2-3 team parlays like iraq and hungary for example.

Having spent better part of 2 years in South America based in Lima Peru, I'm especially interested in CONMEBOL (and Copa)..In addition to La Albiceleste (Argentina), La Tri (Ecuador), La Roja (Chile) First HalfML, Chile/La Verde (Boliva) Over 2.5.
Canarinho (Brazil)-1+165, Corazon De Sudamerica (Paraguay)/Brazilains Over 2.5
La Vinotinto(Venezuela)/La Celeste(Uruguay) Draw+200/Over 2.5

 

[PirateAlew]

forgot the other umpire over.

***3rd Umpire Over is Twins/Angels Over 7.5 with Marvin Hudson who is 15-8 Over, on 9.5 runs. In their previous 5 and 6 of their last 7 between these two teams the total reached 8 or higher. With the angels having one of the worst pens, I see this game going over 8 runs again.

 

[PirateAlew]

WAS notified a pitcher change in OAK and SF/Mil. No real change on my end again, just a change in Milwaukee prices.

Not much change in quality, sears not quite as good as Bido. I'm still on Oak RL, same price, didnt change. But I do love the over more in this spot and with the umpire news, it is a play. Regarding change in SF/Brewers-SF starting a rookie in his debut over another rookie gas can Birdsong. Same order for the plays just a different price with Brewers, brewers and Oak RL still top plays. Brewers-113 (full-game) and brewers-115 (F5)

***4th Umpire over is Oak/Houston Over 8-130 with Clint Vondrak who is 18-10 Over, on 10.39 Runs, and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio.

 

[PirateAlew]

looks like my analysis was spot on today.... "Quite a few dogs with good positions to win today and some good pitching. Some situations of wrong team favored possibly again too (O's, Reds, royals, Padres come to mind as should be favored or closer to a pick)" all the dogs won, with padres us big....

Monster day.

 

[PirateAlew]

Cubs come back to win! Go cubs go! Monster day, only Mets and baltimore over were the 2 blemishes on top plays....what a day

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Phillies-1-125
️Yankees-135
️Baltimore+130
️Braves-1-130
️Mia/Pitt Over 8-130 (Ump Over-Jean-11.5 Runs/2.2 SO/BB/62%K/New up++Metrics)
️Giants-134
️Cards-128
️Detroit-1-115
️Dodgers/Cubs Over 8.5-120
️Houston-1.5-107
️Mets-120
️Texas+133
️Dodgers-1-115
️Mariners-102
️Rockies/Tigers Over 8-115 (Ump Over-Ripperger-20-9 Over/10 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)
️Angels/Twins Over 8.5-115
️Cleveland-1.5-125
️Angels+1.5-115
️Marlins Team Total Over 3.5-125
Texas/Arizona Over 8-120
Miami+1.5-135
Braves-0.5-115 (F5)
Giants Team Total Over 3.5-115
Cleveland-0.5-125 (F5)
Cards/Reds Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Segal-Avg 9-10 Runs Last 5 year/67-42 Over last 4 yrs)
Mets/Blue Jays Over 7.5-120
Texas Team Total Over 3.5-120
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Guardians Team Total Over 4.5-129
Tigers-0.5-120 (F5)
Phils/Rays Over 7-120
Mets-120 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 4
Astros-0.5-135 (F5)
Braves Team Total Over 4
Clev/Chicago Over 7.5-120
Giants/Brewers Over 7-112
Yankees/Royals UNDER 8.5-125
Oakland/Houston UNDER 8.5-115

Unreal great night last night, hopefully another +day.....

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Brewers-122
️Yankees-152
️Mariners-130
️Brewers/Giants Over 7.5-10
️Nationals-1-118
️Guardians-135
️Reds+157
️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8-128
️Cleveland/Tampa Over 7.5
Marlins/Nats Over 8.5-120
Yankees Team Total Over 4.5-110
Brewers Team Total Over 3.5
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Rangers Team Over Over 3
Nats team Total Over 4.5-125
Reds/Cards UNDER 8-125

***1st Umpire Over is ️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8 with Charlie mos who is avg 9.77 Runs, 18-12 Over on 2.54 SO/BB ratio and 63%K. With Cortez having his On base avg now rising .270 laely and a Boston team that leads MLB in doubles per game, i see some run scoring opps for Boston and Yankees as both in top 10 in home run rate.

***2nd umpire Over is ️Cleveland/Tampa Over 7.5 with Sean Barber who is 14-9 Over on 9.6 Runs and a 2.5 SO/BB Ratio. I had this game hitting just over 8 as both teams average runs at this rate but think this could go a run or 2 higher. I like this a bit more so it is a top play now

***3rd Umpire Over is Nats/Marlins Over 8.5 with James Hoye who is avg 9.15 runs, on 14-12 Over, and a low 2.5 SO/BB ratio. He has averaged 9-10 runs every year back to 2020. The over has has hit in 4 of the last 6 for Both teams.

brain fart, forgot to hit post here, posted elsewhere and fogot this one. Remaining plays for tonight since i am posting this one late..

 

[nolan#1]

Yankees..are (ML -185)
Washington..(-1 -132)
Cincinnati was (+132)


Where do You get those lines??

 

[T-Squared]

Thanks Pirate.

 

[PirateAlew]

Yankees..are (ML -185)
Washington..(-1 -132)
Cincinnati was (+132)


Where do You get those lines??

as said in original post: "brain fart, forgot to hit post here, posted elsewhere and fogot this one. Remaining plays for tonight since i am posting this one late.."


Can you read the post? I posted across the street HOURS ago at 1030 AM which I know you read and stalk daily even after you were banned by Hache/Wager immediately ( Monday Sept 9-Sept 16 MLB )and on reddit, because you commented in my threads there too. You've also stalked me on reddit as well. As I CLEARLY stated in my post I forgot to hit post so i was only posting the remaining card, all else was the same from when I posted again at 1030AM. Lines change. Here's an idea, why dont you worry about your own posts and games? You only comment in my threads about lines, and everytime Ive proven you wrong. You've also been told by hundreds of others to stop your non-sense. I believe it was @phantom888 and another who told you repeatedly you used to be a decent capper until you started this nonsense on my every single post. Then you went on a bad losing streak. Karma. Also, Bar and the mods have warned you here about trolling in threads.

Go do something else, like worry about your own bets, given that you spend all your time consumed on me (as evidenced by your hundreds of comments about me in a thread across the way daily and your nonsense in my threads on every forum), i wonder how you find time to bet at all.

its sad, really. Everytime I get a notification "nolan1" commented in your thread, I know immediately the reason for your comment.

 

[B.A.R.]

Perfectly explained. Thanks.

No need to detail into this any further.

 

[PirateAlew]

️Rangers/Seattle Over 6.5-125

 

[PirateAlew]

Brewers & Yanks did us right, Mariners didnt late...

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Cubs-135
️Batlimore-145
️Oakland-121
️Guardians-1-116
️San Diego+101
️Washington-130
️Atlanta+100
️Yankees-141
️Milwakee/Arizona Over 8-125
️Cardinals+120
️Twins-0.5-130 (F5)
️Pirates-125
️Dodgers/Braves Over 8-128
️Mets+0.5-110 (F5)
️Seattle/Texas Over 6.5-125
️Seattle+115
️Padres/Giants Over 6.5-125
Milwaukee+100
Houston-1.5-115
Twins-1.5-102
Yankees/Red Sox Over 8-120
Orioles-145 (F5)
Cubs-135 (F5)
Mets+1.5-143
Washington/Miami Over 7.5-125
Baltimore/Detroit over 7.5-115
Cards/Blow Jays Over 7.5-115
Cubs/Rockies over 10.5-115
Brewers Team Total Over 4
Cleveland-0.5-115 (F5)
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Washington Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Chicago UNDER 8.5-120

GL all

 

[PirateAlew]

***1st Umpire Over is Mets/Phils Over 8-125 with Lance Barrett who is 18-11 over on his games, on 9.31 runs. The over has cashed in 4 of Philly's last 6 games, and tonight i have them getting to at least 9.

 

[inZane]

good luck Pirate...

 

[PirateAlew]

thanks buddy, you too!

***2nd Umpire Over is Cubs/Rockies over 10.5 (played above) with Nate Tomlinson who is 39-20 last 2 years, with a low 2.2-2.4 SO/BB and avg 10 runs the last 2, with 11.2 last year and just under 9 this year but + on the over. Aiding the over is the obvious altitude equation where balls just fly and with Cubs smashing the ball lately-14 of their last 20 have gone over anf in their last 3 games with LA they put up 24 runs or 8 runs per game. I see no reason why cubs cant get to at least that tonight, while Rocks should get a few to contribute as they have scored 4 runs in 3 of the last 4.

 

[PirateAlew]

One of our fave run producing umps...

***3rd Ump Over is ️Padres/Giants Over 6.5 with Mark Wegner who is 15-7 Over on 10.5 runs and a low 2.4 SO/BB Ratio. The situation also points to an over as neither pitcher had a good outing last time, Cease gave up 4 to these giants and Webb 3 to the padres. These two have hit the over in six of their last ten meetings.

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Padres-145
️Toronto-124
️Guardians-130
️Yanks/Red Sox Over 8-120 (Ump Over-Hurdson-16-8 OVER/9.7 Runs)
️Mets-103
️Dodgers+116
️Arizona-134
️Cubs-135
️Yankees-1-118
️Orioles-0.5-115 (F5)
️Royals+100
️Oakland-148
️Arizona/Milwaukee Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Tripp Gibson/9.5 Runs/15-12 Over
️Reds+135
️Mariners-138
️Padres/Giants Over 7.5-105 (Ump Over-Vondrak-10.28 Runs/18-11 Over/2.4 SO/BB)
️Marlins+0.5-110 (F5)
️Angels Team Total Over 3.5-102

Toronto/STL Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Bellino/~10 runs L2 YRS/56-38 Over L3 YRS)
Baltimore-1-129
Balt/Detroit Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Barksdale-18-12 Over/9.1 Runs L2 Yrs/ LOW 2.1 SO/BB)
Angels+1.5-102
Royals/Pirates Over 7.5-115
Oakland Team Total Over 4.5-115
Marlins Team Total Over 3.5-130
Yankees-0.5-115 (F5)
Mets/Phils Over 8.5-115
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-110
San Fran Giants Team Total Over 3
Marlins+135
Yankees Team Total Over 4
Reds+0.5-112 (F5)
Cubs-140 (F5)
Texas/Seattle Over 6-125
Houston/LAA Over 8-125
Oak/Chicago Over 8-130
Tampa/Cleveland UNDER 8.5-110

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Arizona-147
️Yankees-1-115
️San Diego-111
️Toronto-113
️Royals-103
️Tigers/Os Over 8-125 (Ump Over-D. Thomas-15-10 Over/9.7 Runs, LOW 2.3 SO/BB)
️Oakland-1-138
️Houston-0.5-125 (F5)
️Reds+145
️Nats-1-115
️Cubs-123
️Oak/Chicago Over 7.5-126 (Umpire Over-Ripperger-21-9 OVER/10 Runs/2.5 SO/BB)
️Tigers+103
️Tampa+125
️NY Mutts+135
️Braves/Dodgers Over 8.5-125
️Az/Milwaukee Over 8-115
️Texas+143
Braves+100
KC/Pitt Over 7.5-115 (Ump Over-Ryan Willis-9.73 Runs/63% K/LOW 2.31 SO/BB+Metrics)
Yanks/Boston Over 8-125
Padres/Giants Over 8-115
Mariners/Rangers Over 7-105
Houston-1.5-115
Toronto-120 (F5)
Reds Team Total Over 3.5-120
Mets Team Total Over 3.5-112
STL/Toronto Over 8-115
Mets/Phils Over 7.5-125
Reds+0.5+102 (F5)
Texas Team Total Over 3
Nats Team Total Over 4
Oakland-0.5-115 (F5)
Padres-110 (F5)
Reds/Twinks Over 8.5-115
Nats-0.5-125 (F5)
Cubs/Rocks Over 11-115
Houston/LAA UNDER 9.5-128

Insane good day yesterday, not often you can hit the top 3 in 2 sports same day, hope sunday carries us more good luck and fortune!

 

[PirateAlew]

was asked why Zona as top play:

"How you do feel about the Arizona game? From a thought perspective"

Love it. Gallen at home, with playoffs near and every game meaning more and more here on out while Brewers have basically locked their position in....Zona, hungrier team, better pitcher today, hottest Offense in MLB since ASB at home. it all points to the dbacks.

Now, when i cap the game, even if this was a game in April or May-its wort noting the vast difference in starters today. Gallen has shut down Brewers, winning 3 of last 4 and compiling a 1.75 ERA and WHIP under 1 in 36 innings. He is 2-1 with a microscopic 0.47 ERA in three starts versus the Brewers at home.Arizona's full pitching staff has been effective against the Brewers recently, showcasing a 2.86 ERA with a 1.09 WHIP in their prior 5 games. While Hall for Brewers had a stellar shutout last outing, he did give up 7 runs his prior 2 starts, across only 7 innings. I think we see some where in the middle.

Dback rate 2nd in slg at .447 so expect the offense to be active today

 

[PirateAlew]

Good to hit the top 4 again, let's do it again today.


“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Pittsburgh-135
️Royals-144
️San Dog Chaplains-112
️Arizona-1-130
️Dodgers-105
️Mets-1-125
️Guardians+100
️Philly+100
️Angels-1-124
️Dodgers/Braves Over 7.5-108
️Oakland+1.5-128
️Mets/Nats Over 7.5-112
Pirates-145 (F5)
Dodgers-115 (F5)
Arizona-0.5-115 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 3.5-125
Mets Team Total Over 4
KC-138 (F5)
Mets-0.5-115 (f5)
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5-120
Philly/Milwaukee Over 8-115
Padres Team Total Over 4
Oakland Team Total Over 3
Royals/Tigers UNDER 8.5-110

 

[PirateAlew]

***1st Umpire Over is ️Mets/Nats Over 7.5 with Andy Fletcher who is 23-6 Over, on 12.3 Runs and a low 2.04 SO/BB Ratio. Andy fletcher games are almost always auto overs but the matchup is right tonight too. Mets are hitting .279 against Nats this yr, are 9th in MLB in scoring and 5th in Homers. Mets hung 6 on Irvin last time they met in July, i see plenty of runs tonight from mets and a few from nats.

***2nd Ump Over is ️Dodgers/Braves Over 7.5 with Jordan Baker who is 17-10 Over on over 9 runs. The over has hit in Dodgers 5 of last 6 and 4 of the last 6 when these 2 play in Atlanta including the last 3.

 

[PirateAlew]

***3rd Umpire Over is Oakland/Chicago Over 7.5-120 with Edwin Moscoso who is averaging over 9 runs on a 14-12 over record, on a low 63%K and 2.6 SO/BB ratio. All things point to an over even with strong pitching. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs' last 6 games and 4 of it's last 6 with Oakland, while 12 of Oakland's last 18 have gone over and 11 of their last 16 on the road. Chicago avg 4.6 runs while Oak 4, i see no issue with both getting to their averages and beyond with the umpire
helping some.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of the day. Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest, this should be a good night for the pull hitters and LH who can hit opposite field.

 

[PirateAlew]

UGH....

Fletch got cold feet, its been switched to Jansen Visconti. Still a good over ump, almost 10 runs, 17-10 Over. My guess is Fletch is at 1st tonight, this crew produces more overs than any crew next to Drekman's. I still like it the same.


MLB Stop playing with my emotions

 

[PirateAlew]

***4th Umpire Over is Angels/White Sox Over 7.5-120 With Adrian Johnson, who is a top 5 ump in terms of runs and overs, he is avg 10.78 runs, due to a miniscule 2.09 SO/BB ratio which resulted in 18-8 Overs. The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels' last 7 games against White Sux. The leading projection system ranks Angel Stadium as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for righty AND Lefty BABIP. Among every team today, the 12th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. The Angels rank 17th in MLB in Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), according to Sports Info Solutions. They are 28th in Outs Above Average (OAA), according to StatCast. Among the more traditional stats, the Angels are 19th in fielding percentage. I expect lots of bad defense and lots of runs after AJ walks a few to get things started.

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
️Phillies-123
️Orioles+106
️Padres-109
️Dodgers/Marlins Over 9-120
️Royals-145
️Cards-130
️Mets-1-105
️Boston-115
️Guardians-119
️Reds+111
️Tejas Lone Rangers-126
️Seattle+107
️Dodgers-1-149
️Arizona-144
️Royals/Tigers Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-Tomlinson-40-20 Over Last 2 years/10 Runs last 2 yrs/2.3 SO/BB)
️Angels/White Sux Over 7.5-128
Mets/Nats Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-C. Ramos-18-12 Over/9.6 Runs/2.5 SO/BB ratio)
Angels-143
Oakland+145
Mets-0.5-115 (F5)
Guardians-120 (F5)
Reds+0.5-130 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 3.5-125
Mets team Total Over 4
Dodgers Team Total Over 5
Oakland Team Total Over 3.5-110
Cards-130 (F5)
Texas/Toronto Ober 7.5-110
Phillies-140 (F5)
Oakland+0.5-105 (F5)
Mariners/Yanks Over 7-105
Dbags/Rockies Over 11-108
Boston/Tampa Over 7.5-112
Cards/Pirates UNDER 8.5-125

 

[inZane]

Thanks for the post, and bol today Pirate...

 

[PirateAlew]

***1st Umpire UNDER is Houston/San Dog UNDER 7.5-115 with Brennan Miller who avg 7.07 Runs and has a 20-9 UNDER Record, due to a very high 3.16 SO/BB and 64.5% K. Both pitchers have been effective at limiting damage as Brown has a 3.5 ERA whie King a 3.06, Astros are an under team this year with 57.6% of their games going under. The under has hit 4 of Houston's last 5 road games as their offense stalls on the road. Last night it was a 3-1 game and i could see someting similar with tonights matchup and the marine layer knocking fly balls down.

 

[PirateAlew]

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

️Baltimore-149
️Detroit-125
️Cardinals-1-136
️LA/Miami Over 8-130
️Brewers-112
️Yankees-110
️Toronto+106
️Padres-101
️Mets-1-102
️Cubs-142
️Boston+105
️Angels/White Sox Over 8.5-120
️Guardians-111
️Dodgers-1-125
️Angels-139
️Yankees Team Total Over 3.5-125
️Brewers/Phils Over 7.5-110
Arizona-145
Reds+1.5-123
Nats/Mets Over 7-115 (Ump Over-Muchlinski-+10Runs L2YRS/31-25 Over last 2 yrs/2.6ish SO/BB)
Bal/SF Over 7.5-130 (2nd most Humid in MLB today/Birdsong not good on road-5.7 ERA/HR fest?)
Baltimore-0.5-115 (F5)
Detroit/KC Over 7.5-120
Angels Team Total Over 4.5-110
Cardinals Team Total Over 4
Yankees-120 (F5)
Toronto Team Total Over 3.5-115
Dbacks-0.5-110 (F5)
Cardinals-0.5-125 (F5)
Cubs/A's Over 7.5-110
Boston Team Total Over 3.5-115
Minnesota/Clev Over 7-115
Brewers-115 (F5)
Toronto+105 (F5)
Reds/Braves UNDER 9-130

 

[PirateAlew]

***2nd Umpire Over is ️Brewers/Phils Over 7.5 with Chris Guccione who is 10-6 over but averages almost 10 runs on a low 2.2 SO/BB and 63%K.

 

[PirateAlew]

Nats/Mets Over above is also a top play...

added:
Yankees/Mariners Over 7.5-105

somehow i missed drekman last night in seattle. MLB changed crews last minute. NO WONDER THERE WAS A RUN FEST. Fletcher JR (Drekman) was umping last night, at least i had the over but would have played it bigger with drekman. tonights ump isn't that good for runs (Jim wolf)