MLB August-September-October

PirateAlew said:
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️San Diego-117
⭐️Atlanta-125
⭐️Brewers-1-103
⭐️Oakland+110
⭐️Pirates-0.5-115 (F5)
⭐️Boston-138
⭐️Mets+118
⭐️Houston-104
⭐️Baltimore+105
⭐️Detroit-135
⭐️Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
⭐️Royals+133
⭐️Pirates/Cubs Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Edwin Moscoso-13-11 Over/9runs/63% K/~10runs--20-'24)
⭐️Tampa/Seattle Over 7-105
⭐️Colorado-122
Texas-152 (Game 2)
Pirates-1-108
Yankees-1.5-113
Tampa Team Total Over 3
Clev/KC Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Hudson-9.5 Runs/13-7 Over)
Arizona/NYM Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Sean Barber-9 runs/11-9 Over, 2.5 SO/BB, 64% K)
Texas/Chicago Over 8.5-120 (GAME 2)
Boston/Toronto Over 9-115
Oakland-110 (F5)
Yankees Team Total Over 5
Marlins/Rockies Over 10.5-115
Tampa+1.5-140
Asstros/Phils Over 9.5-115
Giants/Brewers Over 7.5-112
Baltimore-108 (F5)
Atlanta/Minnesota Over 7.5-105
STL/San Dog UNDER 8.5-115 (Umpire UNDER-Valentine-13-10UNDER/8Runs/high 2.9 SO/BB)

⭐️Texas-135-(Suspended game from Tues)
⭐️Texas/Chicago Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Chad Witson-14-9 over on 9.5 runs, and 65% K-Suspended game)
Texas Team Total Over 4.5-115 (Suspended Game 1)

Let's keep it rolling.....Dealt with a minor health emergency in the family, glad that is passed
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Let's have a day PA 💰
 
bender23 said:
Aren't your Texas/Chicago lines from yesterday?
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Yes, those where it says Suspended game. I also have some for the later Game 2. You cant bet Game 1 now if you dont have a bet down already at most books. Mine have these as pending from yesterday still.....glad that is of utmost concern today to you. ha!

⭐️Texas-135-(Suspended game from Tues)
⭐️Texas/Chicago Over 8-130 (Umpire Over-Chad Witson-14-9 over on 9.5 runs, and 65% K-Suspended game)
Texas Team Total Over 4.5-115 (Suspended Game 1)
 
I didn't realize that sportsbooks kept the same lines and totals for suspended games with different pitchers the next day. Normally they cancel bets for games not completed on the day of the bets. Sorry for the huge understanding. Which book kept your bets the same?
 
bender23 said:
I didn't realize that sportsbooks kept the same lines and totals for suspended games with different pitchers the next day. Normally they cancel bets for games not completed on the day of the bets. Sorry for the huge understanding. Which book kept your bets the same?
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Mgm and betrivers . It’s a suspended game. As long as game is completed within 48 hours it’s open. It’s a well known Sportsbook rule at most books in the US. Thanks for trying.

If a game has been suspended after the game has started, due to a weather delay or other deferral, and resumes within 36 hours after the original start time, all wagers will stand.
DraftKings has same rule as well---Bets on games suspended after they have started will have action as long as the game is resumed within 36 hours of the original start time. If a suspended game is scheduled to be resumed more than 36 hours after the original start time, all bets will be void, unless the wager has been unequivocally determined prior to the game’s suspension. https://help.draftkings.com/hc/en-u...s-suspended-and-postponed-What-happens-now-US
 
***4th Umpire Over is ⭐️Atlanta/Minnesota Over 7.5 with Mark Wegner, and it is now a top play as he is 13-6 Over, on almost 11 runs, and a low 2.2 SO/BB ratio on 64% strikes. this game goes over like the last 2 of this series, and the over is 5-3 in sale's last 8 road starts.
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Mets+110
⭐️Brewers-129
⭐️Padres-105
⭐️Tigers-1-107
⭐️Texas/Chicago Over 8.5-115
⭐️Reds-125
⭐️Braves+136
⭐️Baltimore/LAD Over 8.5-125
⭐️Toronto+133
⭐️Rockies-119
⭐️Pads/Cards Over 7.5-112
⭐️Royals+1-110
⭐️Dodgers-1-105
Texas-1.5-135
Mets/Dbags Over 8-125
Braves/Phils Over 8-120
Texas Team Total Over 5
Royals/Astros Over 7.5-120
Toronto/Boston Over 8-130
Mets Team Total Over 4
Padres-110 (F5)
Brewers Team Total Over 4
Tigers-0.5-110 (F5)
Mets+105 (F5)
Royals+0.5-105 (F5)
Cincy/Oakland Over 9.5-120


Let's keep it rolling! Great August, finish strong. Sadly, MLB played switcharoo last night with the twins/braves ump, changed last minute to a pitcher friendly ump. Sorry all, def would have been more runs with Wegner vs Rehak as Rehak walks few, and has a big strike zone for pitchers.
 
added:
Toronto Team Total Over 3.5
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-105

***1st Umpire Over is⭐️Baltimore/LAD Over 8.5 (Played above) with Mike Muchlinski who is avg a whopping 10.3 runs this year and is + on the over at 12-11. Tonights matchup pts to an over as Povich has a 9.67 ERA his last 5 starts, gave up 5 in his last start against HOU, and away from home is where he is terrible, with a 12.27 ERA in 3 starts. Both offenses are in top 10 in many categories including BA, and runs scored with orioles at 3rd at 5 runs and Dodgers 4th w/4.9 runs, while at home the Dodgers are 3rd in SLG with a .446. and their run total rises to 5.1. The over is 11-5 last 16 Dodgers home games and 6-3 when Miller starts and 6-4 when Povich pitches. I also like the Dodgers team total over as well
 
PirateAlew said:
added:
Toronto Team Total Over 3.5
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-105

***1st Umpire Over is⭐️Baltimore/LAD Over 8.5 (Played above) with Mike Muchlinski who is avg a whopping 10.3 runs this year and is + on the over at 12-11. Tonights matchup pts to an over as Povich has a 9.67 ERA his last 5 starts, gave up 5 in his last start against HOU, and away from home is where he is terrible, with a 12.27 ERA in 3 starts. Both offenses are in top 10 in many categories including BA, and runs scored with orioles at 3rd at 5 runs and Dodgers 4th w/4.9 runs, while at home the Dodgers are 3rd in SLG with a .446. and their run total rises to 5.1. The over is 11-5 last 16 Dodgers home games and 6-3 when Miller starts and 6-4 when Povich pitches. I also like the Dodgers team total over as well
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Nice hits Bud!
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Atlanta+124
⭐️Cubs-150
⭐️Houston-1-107
⭐️Baltimore-140
⭐️Yankees/Cards Over 8-120
⭐️Twins-145
⭐️Brewers-119 (Game 1)
⭐️Tampa/San Diego Over 7.5-105
⭐️Texas-140
⭐️Boston-120
⭐️Cleveland-145
⭐️San Diego+114
⭐️Seattle-1-145
⭐️Mets-1.5-126
⭐️Dbacks+116
⭐️Brewers/Reds Over 9-130 (Game 1-Umpire Over-Drekman-18-4 Over, 12 runs, low 2.4 SO/BB)
Giants-1.5-109
Cardinals+1.5-125
Royals/Astros Over 7.5-110
Brewers/Reds Over 9.5-115 (Game 2)
San Diego Team Total Over 3.5-105
Brewers-118 (F5/Game 1)
Cleveland-135 (F5)
Detroit/Boston Over 8-120
Cubs-0.5-110 (F5)
Rockies/Orioles Over 11-115
Twins Team Total Over 3.5-130
Royals Team Total Over 3
Oakland/Texas Over 8-128
Giants/Marlins Over 7-115

***1st umpire over is Brewers/Reds Over 9 (Game 1) with Bruce Drekman (Andy Fletcher JR). He's a whopping 18-4 over on almost 12 runs., with a low 2.4 SO/BB. The over is 7-3 for Reds last 10 and 6-2 for Brewers when Rea Starts. Brewers are hitting .260 in road games, and reds are hitting .242 in August, with both teams scoring runs. The over is a good spot with the situation and Umpire.

Lets keep it rolling. Good to See Drekman umping the 1st game. Runs to be expected...
 
got the unlucky push after the start. had a 2 run homer snagged by Reds CF early....was on the fence on this next over but with Lance behind the plate, and Pablo pitching, i have more confidence

***2nd Umpire Over is Minnesota/Toronto Over 7.5-115 with Lance Barksdale who is avg 9.5 runs and a great 18-10 Over, on a low 2.11 SO/BB ratio and 62.4 K. Was on fence on this before Lance was announced as I have this now getting to 9 or higher. The over is 10-2 when Gasman Guasman starts and 6-1 for Lopez and twins, indicating these guys get run support. Guasman also carries a near 7 ERA against Minn in 12 starts indicating the twins see him well, they should easily get past their average runs, while Lopez is better against Toronto not by much with a 5.6 ERA in 2 starts. Run scoring chances should be plenty tonight.
 
***3rd Umpire Over is KC/Astros Over 7.5 (played above) with Dan Bellino who is 14-11 Over on a higher than avg 10.15 runs with a low 63% K and 2.5 SO/BB ratio. The over has cashed 7-3 for the royals last 10 and 3-1 when Lugo starts, while the over has cashed in 4 of the last 5 for astros when they play KC and 7 of their last 9 home games against KC.

***4th Umpire Over is Brewers/Reds Over 9.5 (Played above) with Mark Wegner, also like Drekman on same crew an Overs and runs king at 13-6 Over, on a low 2.2 SO/BB producing almost 11 runs per game. Like the last game, the ball is flying out in Cincy.
 
Andy Fletcher Retribution tour tonight....

***5th Umpire Over is ⭐️Sea/LAA Over 8-120 with ANDY FLETCHER who is league high 22-4 OVER, on almost 13 runs, with a LOW 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K. He missed it last time but the streak had to end. It starts again tonight. The over is 5-1 last 6 Kirby starts for seattle and with Angels going bullpen game who carry a bad 4.2 ERA, in the bottom 10 of MLB, I have more faith in the over. orig. had this pegged right on the total but with Andy working, I give this 1.5-2 more.
 
PirateAlew said:
Andy Fletcher Retribution tour tonight....

***5th Umpire Over is ⭐️Sea/LAA Over 8-120 with ANDY FLETCHER who is league high 22-4 OVER, on almost 13 runs, with a LOW 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K. He missed it last time but the streak had to end. It starts again tonight. The over is 5-1 last 6 Kirby starts for seattle and with Angels going bullpen game who carry a bad 4.2 ERA, in the bottom 10 of MLB, I have more faith in the over. orig. had this pegged right on the total but with Andy working, I give this 1.5-2 more.
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easy. cashed in the 4th. thank you Fletch, lining my pockets this year.
 
PirateAlew said:
Andy Fletcher Retribution tour tonight....

***5th Umpire Over is ⭐️Sea/LAA Over 8-120 with ANDY FLETCHER who is league high 22-4 OVER, on almost 13 runs, with a LOW 2.04 SO/BB and 62%K. He missed it last time but the streak had to end. It starts again tonight. The over is 5-1 last 6 Kirby starts for seattle and with Angels going bullpen game who carry a bad 4.2 ERA, in the bottom 10 of MLB, I have more faith in the over. orig. had this pegged right on the total but with Andy working, I give this 1.5-2 more.
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Luv it when it goes over in the 4th inning!
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cubs-106
⭐️LA Doyers-120
⭐️Padres+115
⭐️Tigers-132
⭐️Houston-125
⭐️Cleveland-152
⭐️Dodgers/Dbags Over 9-112 (Ump over-Johnson 16-8 Over/10.6 Runs/LOW 2.1 SO/BB/63% K)
⭐️Tigers/Red Sux Over 7.5-115 (Umpire Over-Jordan Baker-17-8 Over/9.5 Runs)
⭐️Seattle-0.5-115 (F5)
⭐️Brewers-114
⭐️Yankees/Cards Over 9-125
⭐️Phillies-138
⭐️Rangers-1-102
⭐️Toronto/Minnesota Over 8.5-115(Umpire Over-Derek Thomas-9.7 Runs/13-9 Over/LOW 2.1 SO/BB)
⭐️Baltimore-1-136
Giants-135
Seattle-151
Mets-1.5-115
Toronto+133
Tigers-0.5-105 (F5)
Milwaukee/Cincy Over 9-105 (Umpire Over-Vondrak-10.2 Runs/16-10 OVER/2.5 SO/BB)
Pitts/Clev Over 7.5-130 (Umpire Over-Ryan Wills-+10 Runs/LOW 2.2 SO/BB/63%K/Great metrics)
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-115
Yankees Team Total Over 5
Washington/Chicago Over 8.5-125
Yankees-1-109
Giants/Marlins Over 7.5-110
Tigers Team Total Over 4
Brewers-115 (F5)
Padres+110 (F5)
Braves/Phils Over 7.5-115
White Sox/Mutts UNDER 9.5-128

An EPIC Friday, Tough to follow up a performance like Friday, so not holding my breath. Hope for another big day. Ride it til the heater's oil burns out...
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Cleveland-140
⭐️Twins-1-128
⭐️Dodgers/Dbags Over 9-110
⭐️Yankees-1-139
⭐️Houston-148
⭐️Oakland+120
⭐️Slam Diego/Tampa Over 7+102
⭐️Brewers-114
⭐️Mariners-1-129
⭐️Baltimore-0.5-120 (F5)
⭐️Giants-1.5-119
⭐️Mets-1-119
⭐️Nationals+110
⭐️San Diego-114
⭐️Dodgers+105
⭐️Braves+130
Pitt/Clev Over 7.5-125 (Ump Over-Torres-^9Runs L2 YRS/2.4 SO/BB/63%K/18-13Ov L3Y)
Braves/Phils Over 8-115 (Ump Over-Moscoso-~10Runs/14-11 Ov/low62.9K/Low 2.5SO/BB)
Twins-0.5-115 (F5)
Mets Team Total Over 4.5-105
Yankees/Cards Over 8.5-125
Tigers+102
San Diego Team Total Over 3.5-105
Orioles-1.5-125
Twins/Jays Over 8-120
Mets-135 (F5)
Cleveland Team Total Over 4
Brewers/Reds Over 9-120
Dodgers Team Total Over 4
Tigers/Red Sox Over 8.5-125
Baltimore/Colorado Over 10.5-120
Mariners Team Total Over 4.5-125
KC/Houston Over 8-130
Texas/Oakland UNDER 9.5-120 (Umpire UNDER-19-8 UNDER/LOW 7.04RUNS/HIGH 3.13 SO/BB)

ANOTHER GREAT Mlb day, good streak of 4 days.
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Dodgers-126
⭐️Royals-107
⭐️Padres-1-128
⭐️Dodgers/Arizona Over 8.5-120
⭐️Cubs-135
⭐️Brewers-1-109
⭐️Minnesota-103
⭐️Houston-148
⭐️Reds/Astros Over 9-120
⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8-115
⭐️Oakland+128
⭐️Baltimore-1.5-115 (F5)
⭐️Yankees-1-140
⭐️Boston+110
Cubs Team Total Over 3.5-125
Oakland+0.5-115 (F5)
Dodgers Team Total Over 4.5-115
Cleveland/KC Over 7.5-125
Boston/NYM Over 7.5-115
Royals-110 (F5)
Cubs/Pirates Over 7-125
Brewers-0.5-115 (F5)
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Dodgers-130 (F5)
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5-115
Yankees-0.5-120 (F5)
Rays/Twins UNDER 8.5-115

Let's keep it rolling...
 
***1st Umpire Over is ⭐️White Sox/Baltimore Over 8 with Marvin Hudson who is 14-7 Over on 9.6 runs. This is another good spot for an O's over as they are 13-5 over last 18 and Burnes is carrying a 10.5 ERA his last 3 starts so i expect the white sox to be able to plate a few today.

***2nd Umpire Over is Cleveland/KC Over 7.5 with Will Little who has averaged over 9 runs last 2 years and nearly 10 runs last year with a low 2.5 SO/BB and 63% strikes, with 22-19 Over in that span. Both teams are scoring well lately with the Guards scoring 4.5 runs last 7 and Royals 4.2 last 8 games. Both teams pitching has struggled since ASB as KC is 15th with a 4.25 ERA and Clev 13th with a 4.11. When Wacha starts over 4-0 last four.
 
***1st Ump UNDER is Detroit/SD UNDER 8-115 with Alex Tosi who is a big pitchers fave as he is acg only 7.56 runs per ame as a high 3.04 SO/BB ratio and 64% strikes. Pitching here points to an under as Det gave up only one run in last 2 games and have a solid pitching staff with arespectable 3.8 Bullpen ERA. On other side, Musgrove only gave up 2 runs in 4 starts before last start where he gave up 3. Tigers offense isn't great as they rank 20th in runs scored, and have scored just 6 last 2.
 
***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 wtih Bruce Drekman who is one of my faves and near auto overs, i had this at 8 runs before but with Bruce I add 2. He is a an ASTOUNDING 19-4 Over on a crazy high 11.61 runs. Leiter carries a terrible 12.83 ERA, Yanks are capable of getting the over themselves and Rizzo is back. Rangers should tag cole for a few as he has been hittable this year.
 
PirateAlew said:
***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 wtih Bruce Drekman who is one of my faves and near auto overs, i had this at 8 runs before but with Bruce I add 2. He is a an ASTOUNDING 19-4 Over on a crazy high 11.61 runs. Leiter carries a terrible 12.83 ERA, Yanks are capable of getting the over themselves and Rizzo is back. Rangers should tag cole for a few as he has been hittable this year.
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Love it when they cash easy and early. Big day
 
PirateAlew said:
***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Rangers/Yankees Over 8.5-115 wtih Bruce Drekman who is one of my faves and near auto overs, i had this at 8 runs before but with Bruce I add 2. He is a an ASTOUNDING 19-4 Over on a crazy high 11.61 runs. Leiter carries a terrible 12.83 ERA, Yanks are capable of getting the over themselves and Rizzo is back. Rangers should tag cole for a few as he has been hittable this year.
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Yanks over ands Dodgers over are automatic
Please stop putting them in the #4 slot haha
Congrats!
 
phantom888 said:
Yanks over ands Dodgers over are automatic
Please stop putting them in the #4 slot haha
Congrats!
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ha! i changed it up for you a bit today. This time no total, just the Yanks ML ...Going with a 65% winner, not 75% or higher today just for you.

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
⭐️Mets-126
⭐️Pirates-115 (Skenes vs Hendricks/Not Steele)
⭐️Arizona-115
⭐️Yanks-127
⭐️Brewers-135
⭐️Yanks/Rangers Over 8.5-125 (Umpire Over-Wegner-14-6 Ov/11 Runs, Low 2.3 SO/BB)
⭐️Twins+101
⭐️Dodgers-1-137
⭐️Phillies+105
⭐️Royals+110
⭐️Orioles/White Sox Over 8.5-115
⭐️Braves-1-140 (F5)
⭐️Orioles-1.5-135
⭐️Mariners-140
⭐️Dodgers/Angels Over 9-105
Pirates/Cubs Over 7-110
Washington+105
Stl/Milwaukee Over 8-115 (Umpire Over-Barrett-16-11 Ov/9 Runs Last 2 years)
Pirates-125 (F5)
Dbags/Giants Over 7.5-105
Yankees-125 (F5)
Braves Team Total Over 4.5-125
Marlins/Nats Over 8--115
Pirates Team Total Over 3.5-120
Phillies+105 (F5)
Mets/Red Sox Over 7.5-120
Phils/Jays Over 8.5-120
Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5-125
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Mets Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Royals/Guardians UNDER 8.5-120

Great day yesterday again...let's keep it rolling...
 
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Was asked why mets
while both teams are in similar spots standings wise for the playoffs, the mets have the pitching advantage tonight. Peterson is 1-0 with only 5 earned runs over his last 21.1 innings pitched (3 starts), posting a 2-0 record with a 2.2 ERA, while Crawford is 0-1 with a near 4 ERA in his last 3 and red sox are 2-6 in his last 8 starts indicating his pitching struggles of late and lack of run support. Pederson also a very solid lefty, and sox have struggled against lefties at times this year. When it comes to the battle of the pens, Mets have the edge there too with a 4.00 ERA while red sox post a 4.5 ERA. Mets are averaging near 5 runs a game and I see no reason they dont get their average tonight and hold the sox bats at bay.
 
***3rd Umpire Over is Dbags/Giants Over 7.5 with Chris Guccione who is avg 9.85 runs, is + on the over with an 8-5 Ov, on a low 2.11 SO/BB and 62% strikes. I had this game at 8 before but think we could see more as Dbacks have the 2nd best batting avg and are hitting .252 on the road but a much higher .288 against SF, while the giants hit .250 at home so they should plate some runs, to go with their 4.3 runs per game average (dbags avg 5.4). The over is 27-7 for the dbags, 7 of the last 8, and 8-3 in the last 11 Nelson starts.
 
phantom888 said:
Sorry for jinxing #4, but I did play Pirates as you posted. Thanks!
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Ha! no worries, at least 1-3 all hit so it was a big day and all the umpire overs hit, with some magic at the end for the yanks over. lose one, win another on that swing. Gotta love baseball. Hope we keep crushing it. GL brother
 
“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
⭐️Cubs-1-130
⭐️Philly-117
⭐️Houston-127
⭐️Braves/Rockies Over 8-130 (Ump Over-Andy Fletcher-23-4 Ov/12.61 RUNS/2.0 SO/BB)
⭐️Arizona-126
⭐️Mets+102
⭐️Brewers+102
⭐️Rangers/Yanks Over 8.5-115 (Umpire Over-Vondrak-17-10 Over/10.19 Runs/2.4 SO/BB)
⭐️Cleveland+123
⭐️Dodgers/Angels Over 9.5-115 (Umpire Over-A. Johnson-10.77 Runs/17-8 OVER/2.1 SO/BB)
⭐️Nationals-129
⭐️Orioles/White Sox Over 8-120 (Umpire Over-Ramos-16-12 OV/+10 Runs last 2 yrs/2.5 SO/BB)
⭐️Twins-107
⭐️Padres/Tigers Over 7.5-112 (Umpire Over-Bellino-10 Runs Last 2 YR/37-25 Ov L2 Yrs/2.5 SO/BB)
⭐️Braves-1.5-120
⭐️Yankees-102
Oakland+130
Clev/KC Over 8-125 (Ump Ov-D. Thomas-10 Runs L2 Yrs/14-9 Ov, low 2.21 SO/BB/62.9%K)
Orioles-1.5-140
Cubs-0.5-125 (F5)
Phillies/Blow Jays Over 7.5-115
Arizona/SF Over 7.5-110
Tigers+1.5-120
Nationals/Team Total Over 4
Orioles Team Total Over 5
Marlins/Nats Over 8-115
Dodgers-1.5-120
Yanks Team Total Over 4
Oakland/Seattle Over 7-130
Reds/Asstros Over 8.5-120
Cleveland Team Total Over 3.5-125
Brewers Team Total 3.5-115
Twins/Rays Over 7.5-125
Astros/Team Total Over 4.5-115
Cubs/Pirates Over 7.5-115
Mets/Red Sux UNDER 8.5-120

Great day Tuesday, hope to keep it rolling Wednesday....Happy Andy Fletcher day again as he is the ump in the Braves game, he has made us all a lot on his overs 23-4 Over this year, along with AJ in LA game who is just behind at 17-8 over and Vondrak in Tex/NYY a big overs guy at 17-10 all with double digit+ runs.

Lots of runs and overs to expected today, reminds me a day about 2 weeks ago that set up like this, i think all but 1 or 2 went over, and that was the same time we went on a huge run. With the matchups and umps today, I see something similar, lots of runs across the board, not the greatest pitching today. If your book has the grand salami total runs, that is a solid pick today too based on the matchups and umpires. GL
 
Botanical said:
Francis might be a setup think you're on to something...gut check against a gritty lineup
Click to expand...
yep-Bowden last 4 were against shaky and inconsistent offenses of late-Boston, Angels 2X (Terrible offense), and Cubs....all offenses that get stymied seeing a pitcher 1st time. Against good offenses he's had his worst outings. Houston he gave up 10 Hits, 7 Runs, Yanks 2 Hits but 5 Runs, and Baltimore 5 runs across 10 innings in 2 games. Time for rookie regression to kick in against a veteran stacked lineup. Be patient, wait him out for his good pitches, work the counts and make him stress more should put up 4-5 runs on him.


was asked why Clev:

Basically lively has been dealing especially on the road, he’s held 3 standby opponents under 3 runs. Lugo is hittable esp against this lineup, he allowed 6 in his last start and carries a 4.67 era 2nd half. Royals have been fading lately while and guards have been beating up on royals pitching this year .
 
Botanical said:
Glad to see we are on the same page with the twinkies...good luck..card is looking good bud
Click to expand...
thank you! it was another solid day outside of twins not getting it done. Twins should rebound today against Bradley


“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.
⭐️Twins-129
⭐️Astros-145
⭐️Seattle-139
⭐️Tampa/Minnesota Over 7-120 (Umpire Over-Moscoso-avg ~10 runs last 5 yrs/36-22 Over L2Y)
⭐️Arizona+134
⭐️Rangers-1-102
⭐️Padres/Tigers Over 8-115
⭐️Nationals+108
⭐️Diamondbacks/Giants Over 7-115
⭐️Padres-146
⭐️Marlins/Phils Over 7.5-115
⭐️Braves-1.5-119
Nationals/Pitt Over 8-120
Astros-139 (F5)
Marlins+2.5-115
Twins-135 (F5)
Astros Team Total Over 5
Seattle-138 (F5)
Marlins Team Total Over 2.5-130
Nationals Team Total Over 3.5-130
Rocks/Braves Over 7.5-120 (Umpire Over-Visconti,+9 Runs L2Y/17-9 Over in 2024)
Padres Team Total Over 4
Mariners Team Total Over 4
Angels/Rangers UNDER 8.5-115

Let's keep it rolling...
 
Last edited:
***3rd Umpire Over is ⭐️Marlins/Phils Over 7.5 with Nate Tomlinson who avg over 11 runs last year and just under 9 this year but + on over at 14-11, and 24-9 last year for 38-20 last 2 years. He has solid metrics that have leaned hitter his last 2 years.The over has cashed in last 3 Suarez starts for Phils and is 6-4 last 10 phils road games. Phils are hitting well of late with Phils at 5th in league hits per game and 6th in runs at 4.8 while marlins are 3rd in K rate. Marlins hit better at home as more than half of their homers and XBH come at home, Marlins also just posted their strongest hitting month of the year in August.
 
***1st Umpire UNDER is Angels/Rangers UNDER 8.5 with Jim Wolf who is 12-7 UNDER on a meager 7.4 runs on a high 65%K and near 3 SO/BB. This guy favors pitchers and squeezes hitters and the matchup calls for an under with both pitchers shutting down offenses lately-Kochanowic has a 2.4 ERA in his last 4 and Bradford a 3.15 his last 3 and under is 4-0 for rangers last 4 Bradford starts. These are also 2 of the weakest offenses in MLB with angels 27th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game and rangers 20th with 4.2. I have these teams just below their averages tonight.
 
PirateAlew said:
***1st Umpire UNDER is Angels/Rangers UNDER 8.5 with Jim Wolf who is 12-7 UNDER on a meager 7.4 runs on a high 65%K and near 3 SO/BB. This guy favors pitchers and squeezes hitters and the matchup calls for an under with both pitchers shutting down offenses lately-Kochanowic has a 2.4 ERA in his last 4 and Bradford a 3.15 his last 3 and under is 4-0 for rangers last 4 Bradford starts. These are also 2 of the weakest offenses in MLB with angels 27th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game and rangers 20th with 4.2. I have these teams just below their averages tonight.
Click to expand...
Nice pick!
 
forgot to hit submit earlier. thought i had posted.

“All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays. *Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Baltimore-130
⭐️Detroit-1-138
⭐️Pittsburgh-122
⭐️Royals-140
⭐️Dodgers-140
⭐️Orioles/Rays Over 7.5-125
⭐️Cardinals-108
⭐️Yankees-135
⭐️Mets-1-112
⭐️Arizona+141
⭐️Rangers-1-112
⭐️Toronto+155
⭐️Brewers-1-145
⭐️Phillies-0.5-130 (F5)
⭐️Padres-1-148
⭐️Twins/Royals Over 7.5-115

Arizona/Houston Over 7.5-120
Yanks/Cubs Over 7-112 (Umpire Over-Jordan Baker)
Tigers-0.5-120 (F5)
Red Sox-1.5-120
Mets-0.5-105 (F5)
Padres Team Total Over 4.5-105
Toronto+0.5-115 (F5)
Brewers-0.5-130 (F5)
Mets/Reds Over 7.5-110
Brewers/Rockies Over 7-130
Cardinals Team Total Over 3.5-110
Texas-0.5-110 (F5)
Phillies-1.5-125
Boston/Chicago Over 8-125
Yankees-130 (F5)
Phillies Team Total Over 4
Pirates/Nats UNDER 8.5-115

***1st Umpire Over is Yanks/Cubs Over 7 (Played above)-with Jordan Baker who is avg 9.2 runs this year/almost 11 last year, 36-17 Over going back last 2 years. He has a low 2.27 SO/BB ratio and tends to walk more hitters at crucial times for runs. Since Aug 1, the cubs have hit the over 19 times out of their 30 games and in last 2.5 weeks they've gone 12-5-1 over, while the Yanks are on a 6-0 Over stretch. All things poinnt to an over.
 
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