Help - Houston Series Prices Projections

[lvmike32]

Im hoping some of the expert cappers can give me an estimate of the series prices on the following

Houston vs Denver in western semi

Houston vs Okc in western finals

I have $15k future on Houston to win West and may hedge some if they beat gs tomorrow. Of course all depends on the odds. Just hoping okc wouldn't be -500 or something like that. Thanks

 

[bmifsud]

Houston vs Denver? what? They can't play each other in the west semi

Do you mean Houston vs Minny in the first one?

I think Houston vs Minnesota will be something like....Minnesota -115, pretty close to even but slightly favoring Minnesota, could be slightly the other way too though.

OKC vs Houston depends on how each 2nd round series goes I think, but unless Houston dominates MN and OKC gets tested quite a bit by Denver, then I think OKC -475 to -525 is probably pretty accurate. It could even be in the -600 range that they are against Denver right now, too.

 

[bmifsud]

Houston vs Denver? what? They can't play each other in the west semi

Do you mean Houston vs Minny in the first one?

I think Houston vs Minnesota will be something like....Minnesota -115, pretty close to even but slightly favoring Minnesota, could be slightly the other way too though.

OKC vs Houston depends on how each 2nd round series goes I think, but unless Houston dominates MN and OKC gets tested quite a bit by Denver, then I think OKC -475 to -525 is probably pretty accurate. It could even be in the -600 range that they are against Denver right now, too.

If it went something like

Houston wins series 4-1 vs Minnesota
OKC wins series 4-3 vs Denver

Then maybe it'd be around OKC -375 or -400. Still not a massive difference but that would be taken into account for sure. Those outcomes combined are gonna happen well under 10% of the time though. So I'd just count on the OKC series being -500 to -600, depending on how things look at end of 2nd round.

All that being said....I think Minnesota wins next round. They're very good. They might beat OKC, too.

 

[B.A.R.]

Most of this is covered above but will be Minnesota vs Houston next round...

Houston with HCA

Minnesota not a true #6 seed though. Basically you could have flipped their seeding with LAL.

Minnesota slight favorite IMO. Maybe -120.

 

[lvmike32]

Sorry yes Minnesota vs Houston obviously if they win today. Thanks. Probably a little too pricey to try any hedging strategy with okc so heavy in any potential match-up. But we'll watch. Thanks again