Help - Houston Series Prices Projections

lvmike32

Beware the Stat Monkeys
Im hoping some of the expert cappers can give me an estimate of the series prices on the following

Houston vs Denver in western semi

Houston vs Okc in western finals

I have $15k future on Houston to win West and may hedge some if they beat gs tomorrow. Of course all depends on the odds. Just hoping okc wouldn't be -500 or something like that. Thanks
 
Houston vs Denver? what? They can't play each other in the west semi

Do you mean Houston vs Minny in the first one?

I think Houston vs Minnesota will be something like....Minnesota -115, pretty close to even but slightly favoring Minnesota, could be slightly the other way too though.

OKC vs Houston depends on how each 2nd round series goes I think, but unless Houston dominates MN and OKC gets tested quite a bit by Denver, then I think OKC -475 to -525 is probably pretty accurate. It could even be in the -600 range that they are against Denver right now, too.
 
Houston vs Denver? what? They can't play each other in the west semi

Do you mean Houston vs Minny in the first one?

I think Houston vs Minnesota will be something like....Minnesota -115, pretty close to even but slightly favoring Minnesota, could be slightly the other way too though.

OKC vs Houston depends on how each 2nd round series goes I think, but unless Houston dominates MN and OKC gets tested quite a bit by Denver, then I think OKC -475 to -525 is probably pretty accurate. It could even be in the -600 range that they are against Denver right now, too.
If it went something like

Houston wins series 4-1 vs Minnesota
OKC wins series 4-3 vs Denver

Then maybe it'd be around OKC -375 or -400. Still not a massive difference but that would be taken into account for sure. Those outcomes combined are gonna happen well under 10% of the time though. So I'd just count on the OKC series being -500 to -600, depending on how things look at end of 2nd round.

All that being said....I think Minnesota wins next round. They're very good. They might beat OKC, too.
 
Most of this is covered above but will be Minnesota vs Houston next round...

Houston with HCA

Minnesota not a true #6 seed though. Basically you could have flipped their seeding with LAL.

Minnesota slight favorite IMO. Maybe -120.
 
Sorry yes Minnesota vs Houston obviously if they win today. Thanks. Probably a little too pricey to try any hedging strategy with okc so heavy in any potential match-up. But we'll watch. Thanks again
 
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