Wednesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Jun 15 Wed 2022

03:40 PM
903Cincinnati RedsL. Castillo -R+1½
-175		+120O 8
+105
904Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Gallen -R-1½
+155		-130U 8
-125
04:10 PM
917Minnesota TwinsS. Gray -R-1½
+125		-130O 7½
-110
918Seattle MarinersM. Gonzales -L+1½
-145		+120U 7½
-110
07:05 PM
905Atlanta BravesS. Strider -R-1½
-115		-172O 9
-115
906Washington NationalsE. Fedde -R+1½
-105		+158U 9
-105
07:05 PM
919Tampa Bay RaysS. McClanahan -L+1½
-175		+126O 7½
+100
920New York YankeesN. Cortes -L-1½
+155		-136U 7½
-120
07:07 PM
921Baltimore OriolesB. Zimmermann -L+1½
+115		+216O 9½
-110
922Toronto Blue JaysJ. Berrios -R-1½
-135		-240U 9½
-110
07:10 PM
907Milwaukee BrewersC. Burnes -R-1½
+145		-115O 7½
+100
908New York MetsD. Peterson -L+1½
-165		+105U 7½
-120
07:45 PM
909Pittsburgh PiratesR. Contreras -R+1½
-145		+146O 8½
-105
910St. Louis CardinalsJ. Flaherty -R-1½
+125		-158U 8½
-115
08:40 PM
927Cleveland GuardiansK. Pilkington -L+1½
-175		-102O 11½
-115
928Colorado RockiesA. Gomber -L-1½
+155		-108U 11½
-105
10:10 PM
929Los Angeles AngelsR. Detmers -L+1½
-130		+162O 9
+100
930Los Angeles DodgersT. Anderson -L-1½
+110		-176U 9
-120
 
Snakes didn’t see Castillo in cincy so think I’ll be on his k prop here. Hopefully we looking at a 5.5.
 
Mets as dogs vs slumping brewers seems like a solid play. Burnes the better pitcher but milw makes lessor guys look like all stars all the time.
 
im assuming fish scratched my guy Lopez for some reason? i dont even see who starting for them but no way fish getting +130ish with him starting.
 
what up with all these TBD going on? hard to cap these games when i dunno who the fuck pitching!! not like they night games either, 1st damn pitches in few hours!!
 
2daBank said:
im assuming fish scratched my guy Lopez for some reason? i dont even see who starting for them but no way fish getting +130ish with him starting.
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Yeah - I went to check the line and saw almost +140 and about lost it and knew something had to be up
 
Ryno14 said:
Yeah - I went to check the line and saw almost +140 and about lost it and knew something had to be up
Click to expand...

i know i often hear he has some kinda shoulder thing he deals with but for most part he has seemed fine, hell one his last couple starts i recall fish letting him go deeper than i expected, you wouldnt think that happen if he got shoulder issue, that prob why he scratched now! lol
 
man, tigers baby Faedo way to much. he gets pulled from most his starts before he even sniffs 90 pitches even tho he generally pitching decent. i wonder if it a thing where they trying to avoid lineups seeing him a 3rd time or they pussies like half the other teams in league? He has only faced 25 batters for a 3rd time in game in his 7 starts but his ops allowed is a stellar .560, so why the hell not let the kid pitch? his ops after the 75 pitch mark very good also.. id love to play his out total over 15.5 here, he should be pretty good vs a awful rhp hitting lineup but i know i he will be thru 5 on 80 pitches or so and ill be staring at phone preying they let him come out for 6th! also makes the downside/likelihood much less cause if he takes a lot of pitches in a inning or 2 ya know he wont get a chance.. i dunno, he good enough and the spot solid, if i was manager this be a 75% type play as long as he doesnt get blown up im sending him back out there!! unfortunately it aint up to me!!
 
2daBank said:
man, tigers baby Faedo way to much. he gets pulled from most his starts before he even sniffs 90 pitches even tho he generally pitching decent. i wonder if it a thing where they trying to avoid lineups seeing him a 3rd time or they pussies like half the other teams in league? He has only faced 25 batters for a 3rd time in game in his 7 starts but his ops allowed is a stellar .560, so why the hell not let the kid pitch? his ops after the 75 pitch mark very good also.. id love to play his out total over 15.5 here, he should be pretty good vs a awful rhp hitting lineup but i know i he will be thru 5 on 80 pitches or so and ill be staring at phone preying they let him come out for 6th! also makes the downside/likelihood much less cause if he takes a lot of pitches in a inning or 2 ya know he wont get a chance.. i dunno, he good enough and the spot solid, if i was manager this be a 75% type play as long as he doesnt get blown up im sending him back out there!! unfortunately it aint up to me!!
Click to expand...
I took Tigers ML
 
Ryno14 said:
I took Tigers ML
Click to expand...

i lean that way,. kinda thinking 1st 5 under 4.5, i like faedo to be solid for 5 innings (think he could go 6 if they let him!),, ive never liked this velasquez fuck but it mostly cause his walks, he has actually been better bout them this year, not great but better, and tigers not walking at all! think i saw they have walked a grand total of 17x all month, easily the fewest in the league. That a bad combo when you also cant hit! i could see this only being 2-1 or something after 5 just based off the offenses.
 
actually i think i like cws ff team total under 2.5 the best. that way i dont even have to worry bout that gas can who hasnt pitched in awhile!
 
kinda want to play tigers ff tt under also, lol... wish i could get a solid 5 for both instead of 4.5.
 
torn between lius garcia k prop and out prop.. 5.5 high for him but just cause rangers didnt strike out as much yesterday doesnt mean they done with that! garcia swinging strike percentage is way better than his k's per 9 would lead ya to believe.
 
Ryno14 said:
Daniel Castano LHP for Fish. Don’t know anything about him though
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think he a reliever so gonna be a opener for them, almost rather he wasnt since phils hit lhp so well. def like over in philly again, just dunno if i rather it just be phi team total or both teams? gibson dont scare me that much and fish have knocked him around, perfectly happy with both pens involved..
 
Still at casino so short and sweet.

Gallon ov 17.5 outs
Castillo ov 5.5 k’s
Garcia ov 5.5 k’s
Cws Ff tt un 2.5
Fish/phi ov 9
Twins Ff -.5

Think that was it for day games.
 
Decided there was no point in Faedo outs. If cws scores 3 or more he won’t be pitching past 5th anyways. He could hold them to 1-2 runs and it still be a toss up whether TRL drunk ass sends him back out!!
 
2daBank said:
Decided there was no point in Faedo outs. If cws scores 3 or more he won’t be pitching past 5th anyways. He could hold them to 1-2 runs and it still be a toss up whether TRL drunk ass sends him back out!!
Click to expand...
I think you may be as drunk as TRL if you think he gets to decide if Faedo goes back out
 
Ryno14 said:
Phils just keep taking $. Every time I look they are 10 cents more expensive.
Click to expand...

It be really tough to talk myself into playing fish. I don’t love Gibson or anything but phi is still plenty hot and fish w the opener. Even if I liked fish I would prob go with their team total over instead of playing them to win, think they for sure gonna have to score a bunch to win.
 
Another great pitching matchup in Bronx tonight. Rays really pissed me off yesterday, Kluber deserved better. The defense handed yanks their runs and the lineup was useless. They could have easily plated a run or 2 had they played a little small ball when they had gotten the 1st 2 on in B2b innings (4th and 5th I think, somewhere round then). I know most these teams can’t fathom the idea of “giving away” a out but it was pretty damn obvious runs were gonna be really tough to come by, put your stupid beliefs aside for a minute and do what it takes to give yourselves a chance! I’m not a big fan of bunting either but there is a reason teams used it for I dunno 100+ stinking years!!!! There musta been some good that came out of it!! But no, let’s play for the big inning cause there sooooo many runs being scored now days!! Lol
 
i think there a pretty decent case for the rox tonight, they the better lhp hitting team and their guy (gomber) generally pretty solid at home and even when he not he still knows how to pitch at coors and navigates innings for them. Dont know much bout kid starting for tribe but i know he doesnt have that kinda coors experience and rox usually hit lefties hard at home.. if ya dont like rox i think Gomber over 16.5 outs a great bet, as mentioned even when he gives up runs they let him stay out there and eat innings as they know how it is in their park, think it would take a crazy game for him not to go past 5 innings and honestly i expect he will pitch well against a tribe team that doesnt hit lefties nearly as well as rhp.. this out total is flat out wrong, there a case they could have made this 18.5 which even tho ya might not think 2 outs is a big deal it is massive!!
 
Hitters.

I will say the CHC SP does have a nice groundball rate, so he's hoping to keep that going*, but routine fly balls can easily be HR's.

SDP's SP's GB rate is meh, and the swinging strike rate isn't great... so you'd think CHC should at least get their end of it.
 
For tonight

Gomber over 16.5 outs
Berrios ov 5.5 k’s
Mets ml

Braves/jays ml parlay (so square and lame but seems like free money so it prob lose as that rarely works for me).
 
Pissed I didn’t do a parlay w just the pitcher props, sides/totals Fucking up my parlays. Need stinking muts to cash a 4 teamer.
 
Juan Soto has been out of the lineup for the Nats the last couple of games, and without him the Nats offense really struggles. Something to keep an eye on as the Phillies come to town.
 
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