Monday April 22nd-Tuesday April 30th MLB Picks

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PirateAlew

Dean Smith Disciple
15-8 Sun (9-3 Top plays)/15-8 Sat/14-6 Friday/248-193 YTD (131-83 Top plays 2024)

Sunday capped off a 3 day heater with an even bigger day hitting the top 4 largest plays, and ending at 9-3 top plays. Been a great run and definitely didn't expect Sunday to be as good or better. Hopefully Monday we keep it going.

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️NY Mutts+107
⭐️Padres-1.5-115
⭐️Philadelphia-117
⭐️Twins-1-130
⭐️Angels-111
⭐️Tigers-107
⭐️Toronto/KC Over 8.5-115
⭐️Oakland/NYY Over 7.5-130
Toronto-107
Braves-1.5-105
Pirates-123
Yankees-1.5-115
St Louis+100
NY/San Francisco Over 7.5-115
Miami/Atlanta Over 9-115
Reds/Phils Over 8-130

Lean to Rockies/Padres UNDER (burned last night by 1 run with seattle scoring 10)

@TheDodgers i hope you and those following made some good profit this weekend and we can keep it up.
 
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Indeed Pirate. One hell of a month with just about every day being a profitable one. This will be my last week tracking plays. Will be in vacation mode the week after with several trips in May. I will definitely be around though and wish continuing success during the season!

Overall

236 - 178. +48.29 Units
 
One more over that looks really good, rarely double up top plays with 2 on same game but i see this as a 6-4 type game tonight. With humidity in OC around 70%, wind blowing lightly out at 10, this might help a bit as well. Lentz is behind home in this game, more hitter friendly, avg close to 9 runs per game, same K % but higher BB at 8.5 per game (avg of 10 this year) over 221 games umped. just some small factors that may help if the total is close. Obviously Detmers is an Ace but i think he'll get some run support esp with the Orioles pitcher making his 2nd appearance and angels anxious to get home after a bad trip. (lost 5 of last 7).

⭐️Orioles/Angels OVER 8-120

Going to give another Under a shot here. This is a good spot for one in the White sox game, even though there arent any aces on the mound for either side. The twins and white sox offenses have struggled mightily this year with the twins averaging 3 runs per game and white sox 2. Both teams batting collectively in the high .100s and from what i have seen struggling to even make contact and get hits, and obviously not many home runs and XBH which twins relied upon last year. Mike Estabrook is the ump tonight, a pitcher friendly ump, with a higher K% than avg (21.5%), lower BB (8per game) but even lower at 5 per this year, and avg runs per game below avg at 8.5 (6 this year so far) over 418 games he has umped. Hopefully his strike zone is as big as Hunter Wendlestatd's today in Oak/NYY game. Now my luck with unders both SP's will give up 6 runs in the first and blow it as the offenses finally get hot. we''ll see .

White Sox/Twins UNDER 9-130
 
Early games were great, Angels and Mutts let us down late, had chances in 9th with trout stranding bases loaded, and both missing the over narrowly. Lets see what a full slate of MLB will bring us again.

Trying to get up to DC this week as Dodgers are in town to play Nats and my old teammate from pee-wee at age 5 in Chapel Hill NC through University (ECU) Clayton McCullough is in town with his Dodgers (First base coach, future MLB manager soon). Just missed him last year due to some rain and other crap but may be able to tomorrow hopefully, but being so close to his old home in NC his allottment of tix gets used fast by his family and former teammates-so tomorrow or thurs may be my only chances this trip (and their only time in DC this year).

⭐️Orioles-138
⭐️Padres-1-125
⭐️Royals+110
⭐️Guardians+104
⭐️Phillies-115
⭐️Twins-1.5-120
⭐️Giants-129
⭐️Dodgers/Nats over 9.5-115
⭐️Marlins/Braves over 8-130
Braves-1.5-115
Dodgers -0.5-130 (F5)
Tampa-150
Seattle-105
Houston-108
Cardinals-114
Orioles/Angels Over 8-135
Phillies/Red legs Over 8.5-130
Mutts/Giants Over 7-125

Gl to all.
 
Thanks G. Well, sometimes a cat nap can do you good, especially if you've not slept since Sunday. Under a deadline for a business Concsulting engagement for the CFO of a Las vegas strip Casino (Under NDA so no names), on his Finance depart overhaul improving Forecasting, and automating Accounts payable procedures (huge task when payables reach over $50 million some months with 1000s of checks). Most of you know I retired last year when wife had our baby then cancer came back, but for nearly 20 years I did Business consulting and sales of engagements for companies like IBM. This client was my top Vegas client while I was VP of FOPM (Financial Operations and Performance Management). I am doing a few ad-hock engagements to keep my mind sharp and stay active but this one is kicking my ass. I did learn a LOT about the Casiino and sportsbook industry since 2013 when I was engaged by this CFO to work with his VP of Finance on a 2 year engagement---the biggest takeaway most would be surprised about is that Sportsbooks are thrilled if they post a net profit in a quarter. Most lose some $, the profitable parts of the casino are obviously the slots and tables games. CFO'S HATE their sportsbooks. THEY ALL DO and if you read their financial reports esp their 10K's and quarterlies and listen to earnings calls you would know why. Ceasar's sportsbook has posted net losses every quarter since 2015!

Anyway enough aboout that. Good i didnt miss the 640 games coming up. Just got a text from Clayton McCullough 1st base coach for dodgers, he said the boys are pumped about this series. I had to laugh and said "i hope they are every series." I'll leave it at that but hope pumped doesnt lead a 10-0 shellacking and no-hit.

⭐️Detroit/Tampa Over 7.5-120
Brewers+102
 
PirateAlew said:
Just got a text from Clayton McCullough 1st base coach for dodgers, he said the boys are pumped about this series. I had to laugh and said "i hope they are every series." I'll leave it at that but hope pumped doesnt lead a 10-0 shellacking and no-hit.
Click to expand...
Isn't he involved in a game at the moment? Or did he text to during batting practice.
 
Bol today Pirate and bounce back day. For transparency reasons star plays are graded as 2 units and the others as 1 unit. Overall loss yesterday of 15.35 units.

Overall Record

252 - 201. 29.67 Units
 
thanks, weird day in baseball, first negative for me in while like that. just spent over an hour cleaning up harrassing msgs and DM's on another forum i post on reddit---stupid kids getting upset over a few losses one day with their parents money, even stuff directed at my wife, put me in more sour mood, first time in a long time i didnt have as much motivation to look at games, and i was already ticked about losing some last night. Some people just suck. thankfully everyone is cool over here /endrant.
 
Hump day hopefully is the the day we get over Tuesday's hump in MLB.. Cleared my head remembering what an old ECU football coach used to say to the guys "Hit me in the jaw, I'm a plant my feet, take a BRACE, Look adversity square in the face and say, want some, get some. We Pirates, never quit fighting. With those words from the Captain leading the mates, let's go at it again! Argghhhh!

⭐️Diamondbacks+105
⭐️NY Mutts+114
⭐️Orioles-124
⭐️Brewers+105
⭐️Tampa-112
⭐️Cleveland-133
⭐️Reds-120
⭐️Reds/Phils Over 8-125
⭐️A's/Yanks Over 8-120
Toronto-112
Yankees-1.5-110
Twins-1-130
Cubs-108
Seattle+110
Orioles/Angels Over 9-120
Boston/Cleveland Over 7.5-105
Miami/Atlanta Over 8.5-120
 
stupid me twice this week i changed from a play from my gut or increased a bad bet-- had mutts 1, Orioles 2 and dbacks 3 then saw Snell was scratched so increased dbacks bet up to my top pick and felt like JoMo would shut his old team down which he did for about 6 innings. need to stop doing that and stay with my gut.

⭐️Padres-145
⭐️White Sox/Twinks Over 6-130
Nats/Dodgers UNDER 10-135
 
thank you, 9-2 on top plays, 14-5 overall. huge day. I knew Tuesday was an abberration just had to get back on the saddle again and go to battle.
 
14-6 overall actually, you missed a loss, great day regardless

arizona
cleveland
toronto
seattle
atlanta over 8.5
dodgers under 10
 
Smaller slate again today with mostly day games/get-away day where things sometimes get crazy....14-6 Wed/9-2 Top plays/278-222 YTD (147-97 Top plays)

*All plays are standard bets unless adorned with a star. Those adorned with a star are TOP Plays.*Top plays are listed in order of strength.

⭐️Brewers-117
⭐️Toronto+105 (Voided due to rain)
⭐️Phillies-145
⭐️Padres-140
⭐️Twins-1.5-105
⭐️Boston/Cleveland Over 7-136
⭐️Seattle/Texas Over 8.5-120
Seattle-115
Dodgers-1.5-115
Houston-120
Guardians-140
Yankees-1-5.-120
Toronto/KC Over 7.5-120 (Void due to rain)
White Sux/Twinks Over 7.5-120
 
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Damn Padres blew a 9-4 lead in the 8th, and dodgers blew RL in 8th. gotta love wild baseball.

Caught a break with Toronto game, ML bet was voided, but heard a few other books did this, Bookmaker,and a few others voided the Jays ML so hopefully everyone caught a break on that as well.

Hopefully yankees pull it out for the last game of the night but not holding my breath.
 
PirateAlew said:
Damn Padres blew a 9-4 lead in the 8th, and dodgers blew RL in 8th. gotta love wild baseball.

Caught a break with Toronto game, ML bet was voided, but heard a few other books did this, Bookmaker,and a few others voided the Jays ML so hopefully everyone caught a break on that as well.

Hopefully yankees pull it out for the last game of the night but not holding my breath.
Click to expand...
So if someone bet the Royals was that bet voided also? What that means is its voided if the game isn't resumed.
 
Looks like it was voided both ways, the money was just returned. Bookmaker did it for mine and in our telegram group a few others, one guy had KC and had imoney returned. i think a few books graded it complete.

Had a 3 leg parlay with them, they just took out the Toronto Leg and left other 2 going as well. I was a bit surprised but i'll take it. Maybe bc they called it in the 6th i dont know. Not a huge deal but i won't complain.

On to friday to finish out a decent few days.
 

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285-227 YTD/151-99 (Top plays)

⭐️Mets-125
⭐️Phillies-105
⭐️Cubs-104
⭐Giants-140
⭐Tigers-112
⭐Baltimore-1.5-128
⭐Diamondbacks-121
⭐Brewers+114
⭐Cleveland/Atlanta Over 8-130
⭐Minnesota/LAA Over 8-120
Toronto+110
Twins-109
Tampa-1.5-130
Marlins-125
Oakland/Baltimore Over 7.5-105
Pirates/Giants Over 8-120
Cubs/Red Sux Over 7.5-120

Busy AM/Friday, wife's having complications from treatments again had to go in to DR early, hopefully no hospital visits this weekend.
 
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Good luck today Pirate. For transparency reasons with star plays graded as 2 units and the others as one, slight loss of - 4.79 units yesterday.

Overall

286 - 221. +41.18 Units
 
Top plays helped me avoid a loss last night, let's see what today brings.

Saturday:

⭐Cardinals-122
⭐Dodgers-144
⭐Texas-124
⭐Phillies+103
⭐Orioles-1-115
⭐Tigers-111
⭐Giants-139
⭐Yanks/Brewers Over 8-120
⭐Cleveland/Atlanta Over 8.5-115
⭐Arizona/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Yankees-125
Tampa-1.5.-133
Twins+111
Cubs-116
Nationals+122
Braves-1.5+118
Oakland/Baltimore Over 7.5-125
Philly/San Diego Over 7-120
Houston Colorado UNDER 17-120
Tampa/Chicago Over 8.5-120
 
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PirateAlew said:
Top plays helped me avoid a loss last night, let's see what today brings.

Saturday:

⭐Cardinals-122
⭐Dodgers-144
⭐Texas-124
⭐Phillies+103
⭐Orioles-1-115
⭐Tigers-111
⭐Giants-139
⭐Yanks/Brewers Over 8-120
⭐Cleveland/Atlanta Over 8.5-115
⭐Arizona/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Yankees-125
Tampa-1.5.-133
Twins+111
Cubs-116
Nationals+122
Braves-1.5+118
Oakland/Baltimore Over 7.5-125
Philly/San Diego Over 7-120
Houston Colorado UNDER 17-120
Click to expand...
That is good, however, I think next week after my final post for transparency reasons you should post the value in units for eack play. Reason being is the value I have based on 2 or 1 units had a loss yesterday. I checked jusy about all the other posters in this mlb forum and units and record is posted in accordance with forum guidelines for mlb posting. This is really necessary because of obvious reasons.
 
PirateAlew said:
Top plays helped me avoid a loss last night, let's see what today brings.

Saturday:

⭐Cardinals-122
⭐Dodgers-144
⭐Texas-124
⭐Phillies+103
⭐Orioles-1-115
⭐Tigers-111
⭐Giants-139
⭐Yanks/Brewers Over 8-120
⭐Cleveland/Atlanta Over 8.5-115
⭐Arizona/Seattle Over 7.5-115
Yankees-125
Tampa-1.5.-133
Twins+111
Cubs-116
Nationals+122
Braves-1.5+118
Oakland/Baltimore Over 7.5-125
Philly/San Diego Over 7-120
Houston Colorado UNDER 17-120
Click to expand...
Plus also I am pretty sure Top plays were 5 - 4 with the top play losing, unless I am missing something....
 
As EVERY other poster has said that follows me here and everywhere else they dont care i post units, only a few unit police. Ive stated this 100x times why I dont and most dont care, they can make their own decisions going forward. I'm not here to be one's financial advisor, I've covered that part too and how i lost a good friend to suicide after he followed a tout and doubled up units after losses, I am not going to be responsible for anyone who follows based on units. As you can see by one slip above, I don't play 1-2 units, I play a lot more and I dont want others who dont have a similar BR to fall into any holes after a day or chase as I've seen many do.

Otherwise, I could just stop posting here, it's no skin off my back, but as @Smallmouth_bass and MANY others have stated (actually the majority), they think it's ridiculous, esp as I've covered this many times. MOST have enjoyed my plays and how I lay them out, and follow accordingly (with their own units and bankroll), I know this from the MANY posts here saying so, and the private messages. Units also was a suggestion and encouragement, not a policy.

Good luck to you and hope your vacation from tracking me and my plays is a good one. This is just getting very old having a police follow me around every day but hey, good luck to you with that. I can tell you like being a board police of others, go outside and do other things and worry about your own plays. Many others have chimed in and said same thing earlier. As the saying goes, "you do you, I'll do me." Too many nosey folks out there anyway and this is a glaring example.

In my life, I've never once had the inkling, energy nor care to follow anyone like this, let alone track other's/police others and tell them what they can/should be doing, I have too much other stuff going on in life and trying to make money on my plays. Nor do I care what other's posts, I only go and wish other's good luck on their plays, as all can see. I focus on my plays, and winning, post my plays and move on. It was one thing when I thought you were playing all the plays i posted as you inferred but then finding out you weren't even playing along, just tracking me around like a lost puppy and posting my record based on your tracking, it became a little sick and deranged (an idiot troll did same last year on another board til they banned the stalker because most realized it wasn't for good purposes). I worry you dont have enough excitement in your own personal life?

adding:
Tampa/Chicago Over 8.5-120
 
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PirateAlew said:
As EVERY other poster has said that follows me here and everywhere else they dont care i post units, only a few unit police. Ive stated this 100x times why I dont and most dont care, they can make their own decisions going forward. I'm not here to be one's financial advisor, I've covered that part too and how i lost a good friend to suicide after he followed a tout and doubled up units after losses, I am not going to be responsible for anyone who follows based on units. As you can see by one slip above, I don't play 1-2 units, I play a lot more and I dont want others who dont have a similar BR to fall into any holes after a day or chase as I've seen many do.

Otherwise, I could just stop posting here, it's no skin off my back, but as @Smallmouth_bass and MANY others have stated (actually the majority), they think it's ridiculous, esp as I've covered this many times. MOST have enjoyed my plays and how I lay them out, and follow accordingly (with their own units and bankroll), I know this from the MANY posts here saying so, and the private messages. Units also was a suggestion and encouragement, not a policy.

Good luck to you and hope your vacation from tracking me and my plays is a good one. This is just getting very old having a police follow me around every day but hey, good luck to you with that. I can tell you like being a board police of others, go outside and do other things and worry about your own plays. Many others have chimed in and said same thing earlier. As the saying goes, "you do you, I'll do me." Too many nosey folks out there anyway and this is a glaring example.

In my life, I've never once had the inkling, energy nor care to follow anyone like this, let alone track other's/police others and tell them what they can/should be doing, I have too much other stuff going on in life and trying to make money on my plays. Nor do I care what other's posts, I only go and wish other's good luck on their plays, as all can see. I focus on my plays, and winning, post my plays and move on. It was one thing when I thought you were playing all the plays i posted as you inferred but then finding out you weren't even playing along, just tracking me around like a lost puppy and posting my record based on your tracking, it became a little sick and deranged (an idiot troll did same last year on another board til they banned the stalker because most realized it wasn't for good purposes). I worry you dont have enough excitement in your own personal life?

adding:
Tampa/Chicago Over 8.5-120
Click to expand...
I am surprised you have become so defensive with the multiple paragraph post. Pretty sure most care about units and overall record. Not the unit police at all orherwise I would continue this during summer and vacations. Unlike some I have no problem stepping away from the boards to enjoy vacations, family time and other important events. Unlike others that post personal issue and take away from virtually every aspect in life to take part in forumville. Been there many, many years ago. I was a paid moderate at two forums some time ago that virtually took over my life and was time for a reality check. Another story entirely.. Bol enjoy the day!
 
Good luck Pirate. Can't believe you pacified him this long. I would have told him to bounce weeks ago. I appreciate the daily posting and all the work you put in. For the last time, units do not validate or prove anything to me or many others. Does anyone listen to podcasts like Play Me/Fade Me, The Professor, or Greg Peterson? They get paid to do podcasts and they also do not do units or yearly records. It's about gathering information from many sources and then deciding what plays to pull the trigger on. If someone is just blindly following someone based on record, unit, or streaks, then people get what they deserve.

I do enjoy the ranking system. It shows your strongest leans/picks. Hopefully everyone can just chill, move on and finally let it go...
 
Good luck Pirate. Screw this guy. He is obviously jealous of how good you are. He doesn't do this to anyone else. I appreciate you posting and tail a lot of your plays. I'm happy
 
I was thinking earlier about that guy and was gonna say something but I dont really post so kept quiet but he should stay out of your thread cause i havent seen where anyone asked for his help. I also came here from the RX with the help of G-Man so keep up the good work.
 
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