Labor Day - Monday, September 3rd Discussion Thread

Been wagering on the Cubs blindly anytime they are -150 or under home or away. Also will continue betting F5 ML on any team +200 home or away vs Yankees.
 
peelpub94 said:
Been wagering on the Cubs blindly anytime they are -150 or under home or away. Also will continue betting F5 ML on any team +200 home or away vs Yankees.
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I think I’ll be on a Cole Hamels over for the 4th straight start. Last one wasn’t close, but still don’t know how the two before that stayed under. Cubs and Brewers offenses both hot, and Davies first start back.
 
Brewers can smack lefties around a bit, and some guys in that line up with nice history with Cole. Over looks decent.
 
Any leans on Flaherty/Scherzer first5 u3.5 (EV).

Last 5 starts:
Flaherty 32 IP, 14 H, 4 ER, 38 K
—> F5: 3 ER
Scherzer 32 IP, 18 H, 6 ER, 39 K
—> F5: 3 ER (all in last game vs Philly)

*Molina getting day off today
***Matt Adams in lineup batting 3rd vs former team
 
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Tampa bay on Monday 10-2
Oakland 10-3
It seems to me Flauhty might win especially if Wietrers is out
5 days rest for Max not so good
Hamels big edge but that is certain to be a major battle
 
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Only got down half my expected bet on Cubs over as local had 9 and always juices totals 20 cents, so had to take it smaller. Also took A’s ML.
 
Not sure how long Davies plays. Davies is not as good in the day and not usually good on 6+ which his team knows
Big negativeswith Junis but Plutko this season on 4 2 samples 9 ERA
 
There is a negative trend there Yanks 6-1 after giving up 10 or more but that was when they were not pathetic
 
Wait on Oakland
CAHILL is 0-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 10.94 and a WHIP of 1.824.
His team's record is 1-4 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.7 units)
Over?
 
951 St. Louis Cardinals +171 Over 7½ +100
952 Washington Nationals -181 Under 7½ -120
Chris Conroy 2018: 14-10, 9-13 o/u (2017: 11-19, 14-13 o/u)
 
979 Boston Red Sox -121 Over 9 -120
980 Atlanta Braves +111 Under 9 +100
Mike Winters 2018: 9-14, 10-12 o/u (2017: 18-14, 17-13 o/u)
 
Loaded on STL all ways. Love Max but his team is dead and his pen is shit. The Whammer aka Big City Matt Adams might do some damage today.
 
Not playing anything til postseason and not sure if it's been brought up but with Sept callups now, starters on teams going to the postseason won't go as deep as arms are saved and bullpens have several more arms now. Probably tough for offenses to get in much of a rhythm, longer games will ensue, more pitching changes, etc...wouldn't put nearly as much into the starters at this time of the year as usual.
 
Paulie probably right Colorado pit bad on 6+ ump might tell us if we can reverse RL
 
Obv Eddings in CLE makes under worth a look as well, possibly CLE tt under also, Donaldson to DL
 
Paulie probably right Colorado pit bad on 6+ ump might tell us if we can reverse RL
 
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