First bet with many more expected
- Thread starter tuck321
- Start date
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Short sample 13 innings Lively 2.08 ERA on 6+
Lyles real bad on 6
Going back 2 years but only 9 innings this year Miley fairly bad on 6+
Bauer 1-4 4.48 this year
4.15 ERA last year 17 innings
Gibson this year 6.75 ERA 21.1 innings
This stuff can change in last games but it is reasonably acurate
Lyles real bad on 6
Going back 2 years but only 9 innings this year Miley fairly bad on 6+
Bauer 1-4 4.48 this year
4.15 ERA last year 17 innings
Gibson this year 6.75 ERA 21.1 innings
This stuff can change in last games but it is reasonably acurate
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tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Tailing the over
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
The sad thing here is I am actually afraid to bet Boston. On the Yankee game looking at the over but may stay off entirely. It seems imposible to bet against as good a home team as the Yanks but all Garcia's splits are seriously terrible.
0-4 on 5 ERA 6.57 ERA terrible history with ump. Baseball ref shows over 12 ERA but I suspect their info is wrong since Covers shows 2 games and they are showing a little over 4 innings. Both pitchers actually have bad history with the ump but Stroman is just better.
0-4 on 5 ERA 6.57 ERA terrible history with ump. Baseball ref shows over 12 ERA but I suspect their info is wrong since Covers shows 2 games and they are showing a little over 4 innings. Both pitchers actually have bad history with the ump but Stroman is just better.
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tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Brief Padres at SF
Cain is retiring. He has over a 8 ERA in the day. For a long time he has stunk at 6+ He has very good history with the Ref. Days favor Padres.
Chacin has played very well at the site. Chacin this season has been poor at 6+ but last year .90 ERA in the spot he has decent history with the ref.
I suspect Cain in his last start will do well despite this. I do not know it. I made the line Padres minus 25. Just a light bet.
Cain is retiring. He has over a 8 ERA in the day. For a long time he has stunk at 6+ He has very good history with the Ref. Days favor Padres.
Chacin has played very well at the site. Chacin this season has been poor at 6+ but last year .90 ERA in the spot he has decent history with the ref.
I suspect Cain in his last start will do well despite this. I do not know it. I made the line Padres minus 25. Just a light bet.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
under 8.5 even in Yank game.
A great deal of fire power out from Yankee team
Danley a convincing under for at leat the last 2 years
Anderson's splits seem good although his history bad with Yanks. Maybe Toronto if so small but Yanks seem to have little interest here
A great deal of fire power out from Yankee team
Danley a convincing under for at leat the last 2 years
Anderson's splits seem good although his history bad with Yanks. Maybe Toronto if so small but Yanks seem to have little interest here
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Playoffs are here.
Santana has been in great form. They pulled him shutting down tribe again after 5 last start. Believe me, Indians do not want to see him or Berrios. This line is silly to me. I will start with Twins 2 units +215. See how game goes.
Santana has been in great form. They pulled him shutting down tribe again after 5 last start. Believe me, Indians do not want to see him or Berrios. This line is silly to me. I will start with Twins 2 units +215. See how game goes.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
I expected AZ line to be higher, much lower than Yanks game, also 8.5 total seems to beg over money, how could you ever play under? I guess Gray will be dealing.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
SI, shows fairly even number of bets on all 4 teams in elimination but big % on Yanks and Rox. I just like +215 as good jumping off point, I get a lead, I might jump off, haha
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Thanks tuck, was waiting on this
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Me too. Still thinking. Right now I would think Minn first half would be best if you like them but not exactly
obvious since Servino in this game is playing at night and on 5 days rest which both favor him. Has much the best bull pen and Santana is up against a team that has hit 8 home runs and 19 runs against him.
Minn is a much better road team this year than in the recent past so they should have some chance here but Yanks at home, at night and playing off a loss are scary with a very powerful home field edge.
first half bet is all I might bet at the moment trusting what does seem a real ump edge
obvious since Servino in this game is playing at night and on 5 days rest which both favor him. Has much the best bull pen and Santana is up against a team that has hit 8 home runs and 19 runs against him.
Minn is a much better road team this year than in the recent past so they should have some chance here but Yanks at home, at night and playing off a loss are scary with a very powerful home field edge.
first half bet is all I might bet at the moment trusting what does seem a real ump edge
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
may expand bet
Scott L from the RX
Can't be too many results. This Playoff format is relatively new.
According to my own records over many years, in ALL MLB postseason games Favorites of -115 or higher are ONLY 148-150 the last 298 games.
OV vs UN = 153-162 not counting Pushes.
Pretty good poster
Scott L from the RX
Can't be too many results. This Playoff format is relatively new.
According to my own records over many years, in ALL MLB postseason games Favorites of -115 or higher are ONLY 148-150 the last 298 games.
OV vs UN = 153-162 not counting Pushes.
Pretty good poster
Bushleague
sharp as a butter knife
minny ff +225
fg +237
odds are to big here for a 1 gm play off
fg +237
odds are to big here for a 1 gm play off
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Gray is actually very good on 4 days rest. 8-1 2.48 ERA. He has not run into too many chalky refs. That changes tonight. He is running into a very Chalky ref who Greinke does very well with.
Gray did well at Arizona on 4 days rest despite a moderately chalky ref. I suspect that Arizona was going through withdrawal problems
The reality is Colorado is not really a very good team. Arizona---I believe they have cheated for some of their record but They are better.
I am not trying to make Gray a villain. He is a good pitcher. But he is a good pitcher for a team no one wants to see and I think he is walking into a wall.
Putting this simply. ANYTIME you spot a team this kind of umpire disadvante you are simply not well suited for betting sports and you are going to be looking at spreads that make this tiny in the playoffs,
By the way I doubt that in the first 2 games the Refs being Major chalk was an accident.
GL
Gray did well at Arizona on 4 days rest despite a moderately chalky ref. I suspect that Arizona was going through withdrawal problems
The reality is Colorado is not really a very good team. Arizona---I believe they have cheated for some of their record but They are better.
I am not trying to make Gray a villain. He is a good pitcher. But he is a good pitcher for a team no one wants to see and I think he is walking into a wall.
Putting this simply. ANYTIME you spot a team this kind of umpire disadvante you are simply not well suited for betting sports and you are going to be looking at spreads that make this tiny in the playoffs,
By the way I doubt that in the first 2 games the Refs being Major chalk was an accident.
GL
