Early lean

Have bet Chicago under 204 should be very reasonable play. The only other total play that has appeal is under in Kings. The Philadelphia game is supposed to be an over but has strong under refs which is a problem.
I would like to bet Philadelphia but Hawks on a 2 game slide are really dangerous to bet against.
Bulls at home on Thursday have faced this year
Clippers 163 points scored on a total of 203.5
OKC 202 point scored 211.5 total
Celtic lose scoring with Bradley and are very capable of elite defense
Clearly best bet to me.
 
tuck, just curious as to your reasoning

last night you said that you bet 1.5 unit on Houston, then today you bet Utah, is that just buying out of the bet because you don't like it?
 
It was a combination of many things. First i saw very poor refs. Then I started to see information about possible Houston players out. Then information about Gobart possibly playing. With Lawson now out and Howard a ? I decided to run.
 
Today is a very good day of the week for the Pelicans
n Gentry still had a lot on his mind after the team's embarrassing loss to the Dallas Mavericks the night before. It saddened him, like the rest of us, that New Orleans continues to have problems with giving basic effort night in and night out, 34 games into the season. According to the head coach, changes are going to be made. "Yeah, we've got to do something differently. I mean obviously what we're doing is not working. Maybe we expand our rotations. Maybe we change our starters. I don't know, but we've got to do something. We have another day to sleep on it and think about it, but there are going to be some changes made because what we're doing right now isn't working."


Since Gentry failed to divulge specifics, let's attempt to figure out what the coaching staff may be talking about from behind closed doors, and what we should hope to see Friday night against the Indiana Pacers.
Addressing the starting lineup

A lineup of Tyreke Evans, Eric Gordon, Alonzo Gee, Anthony Davis and Omer Asik has ranked as one of the worst starting lineups in the NBA with a Net Rating of -4.8. For much of the season, that statistic has been demonstrably worse, hovering in negative double figures.
In 100 minutes played or more, nine teams in the NBA have had starting lineups with a Net Rating worse than -4.8. Seven of those nine have gone on and made changes.


  1. Los Angeles Lakers. Byron Scott removed Julius Randle and D'Angelo Russell in favor of Lou Williams and Larry Nance Jr., but it hasn't helped matters. Regardless, the beleaguered coach should get some credit for attempting to make a change, even if unpopular because it resulted in the benching of two important members of the Lakers future.
  2. Memphis Grizzlies. Both Zach Randolph and Tony Allen are now reserves because alongside Mike Conley, Jeff Green and Marc Gasol, the unit features an abysmal -14.5 Net Rating.
  3. Washington Wizards. Kris Humphries was removed from the Wizards lineup following a 111-78 trouncing to the Boston Celtics. Good deal because a Wall-Beal-Porter-Humphries-Gortat lineup has a Net Rating of -9.3.
  4. Orlando Magic. Victor Oladipo was sent to the bench after Scott Skiles decided to insert Channing Frye into the starting lineup to help spread the floor and for the team to field a more traditional 5-man group at the outset of games.
  5. Denver Nuggets. J.J. Hickson was not only removed from the starting lineup but has disappeared from the rotation altogether. The Nuggets have committed to their youth movement without any regard for J.J.'s trade value.
  6. Minnesota Timberwolves. Kevin Martin started 12 games before the Wolves decided to make him a healthy scratch. It's another scenario where development has taken precedence.
  7. Indiana Pacers. This team is borderline because C.J. Miles was consistently the starter, with Paul George occupying the power forward position, until Frank Vogel decided to play matchups (Miles sits against teams featuring traditional fours). Considering how poorly Miles has functioned in the starting lineup, the Pacers should consider making it permanent.

The Dallas Mavericks and the Milwaukee Bucks are the remaining teams with starting lineups currently posting worse Net Ratings than the Pelicans. The Bucks have been one of the biggest disappointments of the season, but their organization is correctly committed to further evaluating the young core of Michael Carter-Williams, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jabari Parker and Greg Monroe. On the other hand, Rick Carlisle will likely stay course with Deron Williams, Wesley Matthews, Chandler Parsons, Dirk Nowitzki and Zaza Pachulia. Both Matthews and Parsons entered the season coming off major surgery so it should be expected their leashes remain longer, and unlike New Orleans, Dallas is sitting inside the playoff picture.
Tyreke Evans didn't return from injury until December, but it's probably not necessary to give the Pelicans current starting lineup too many more games together. The combination of Alonzo Gee and Omer Asik has been too much of a burden on the team's offense. The duo combine for 9.8 field goal attempts per 36 minute statistics. That's unacceptable as attested by their 95.1 offensive rating in 280 minutes on the floor together.


Which player should be replaced by a more offensively-minded option?
For the month of December, Asik had one of the best plus/minus statistics on the team; conversely, Gee one of the worst. I don't think it's any question that the coaching staff should look at making a change at small forward.
The prevailing thought was the Pelicans current starting lineup arrangement was going to be temporary until Quincy Pondexter returned. Well, with his status going from questionable to doubtful in the span of a few days, it's unlikely QPon will be back in the immediate future, let alone ready to start in the next few games.
Instead, Gentry has one of three options: move Tyreke Evans to small forward (and re-insert Jrue Holiday rightfully back into the starting lineup), start Dante Cunningham or bring Luke Babbitt back to life. The statistics beg for the Pelicans head coach to employ a 3-guard lineup. Holiday-Gordon-Evans-Davis-Ask have posted an incredible 152.0 ORtg and an equally impressive 80.6 DRtg. Before anyone points out the bad news that the group has seen only 13 minutes together, remember they did spend 171 minutes on the floor last season and posted an appetizing +11.3 Net Rating.
It's a no brainer, guys. Jrue Holiday is an instant upgrade on offense without the loss of much defense if any. Barring opponent's like Kevin Durant or Kawhi Leonard, this 5-man group should be able to handle most challenges. If a traditional coach like Monty Williams found a way to give Holiday-Gordon-Evans 342 minutes, Gentry's uptempo offense should be drooling at the thought.
<center>
</center> Rotation Changes

The hope obviously is that Gentry makes one of his proposed changes in the starting lineup as mentioned above, but if he doesn't, that would only leave several adjustments available with the rotation. It's hard to imagine some combination of Kendrick Perkins, Luke Babbitt and Toney Douglas of adding much to a reserve core of Holiday-Cole-Anderson. Babbitt and Anderson are too much alike with their individual strengths and weaknesses, a Holiday-Cole-Douglas trio sounds scary bad and Perkins is best-suited nowadays as an assistant coach.
No Holiday needs to start and that would allow Alexis Ajinca, Toney Douglas and Dante Cunningham to find time off the bench with Norris Cole and Ryan Anderson. Naturally, it would be preferable if Gentry finds some combination that would work in conjunction with a starter or two, but the idea is this group could hold the fort down until Pondexter is ready.
Interestingly, following the loss to the Magic a week and a half ago, Gentry claimed the Pelicans probably couldn't stand pat, but the team did exactly that. This time around, he needs to follow through with his threat of action



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In today's Suns game the Refs are not fond of home dogs.
Miami should win. I would like the game much more if Dragic had kept his mouth shut.
He was paid a lot of money by the Suns who never wanted to lose him. When he asked for a trade, they looked around and found him a fine team and traded him as he requested. Then he started complaining. This week more of same?
Suns win vs Hornets was based on unreal 3 point shooting. Not happening today I think. But the Suns line up which was young and determined--that was a step in the right direction. Do they have a chance? I doubt they have a chance to win the game. This is a bad day of week for Miami
MIAMI IS 7-13 SU AND 8-12 ATS IN THESE GAMES.

<tbody>
</tbody>
DATE

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/11/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]83[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-4½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]196½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11/27/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]78[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]187[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]11/06/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]90[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]87[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]195[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]10/30/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]92[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-4½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]200½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/27/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]ATL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]86[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]195½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]03/13/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]TOR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]92[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]204[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/06/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]WAS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]193[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/27/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NOH[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]104[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]2[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]196[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/20/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]87[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]111[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]181½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/06/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]SAN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]85[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]186[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>
They face Utah tomorrow who they owe a lot of pain.
Bottom line they will not let Dragic lose to the Suns especially with these refs but a ML parlay would be safer.
Please note who they were playing in those games. They really are favorites
 
I posted over recently in the Clipper game at Portland. It barely got there. Why? Portland's second best scorer was out because of a clerical error. May be posting over tonight in Portland again. It makes no real sense for GS to go over before playing the Kings tomorrow but their record on 2 days rest is 5-1 over and the refs are clearly for the over.
Still thinking
 
Taking Memphis under 191.5 for 1 unit.
Good refs for this and a lot of secondary trends supporting
 
This Milwaukee game is really getting on my nerves. 3 dead under refs in a game that is really supposed to go way over???
 
Played over 204 in Milwaukee. Rethinking the Suns game and would say stay away or play the Suns. Vegas Experts

Miami: 1-14 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
Phoenix: 18-8 UNDER in home games after playing a game as an underdog
Miami was in the habit of hitting the Suns at very bad times. Not here
One of my favorite angles
When a long streak ends it usually snaps twice applies here
In the past the Suns had no solution for Bosh
Now? Chandler and Len
Dragic really needs to lose to teach him to shut his mouth.
Greene will coming in for revenge.
Good argument but I actually approve of the Suns getting rid of the old farts and playing a lot of young talented players who do not like the idea of just being target practice
 
Does anyone know why Carl Landry only went 6.23 minutes against Atlanta? Guy was playing great and then nothing.
 
My first bet today was a ML parlay of Clippers and LA Kings in hockey. Seems high %
 
I am very puzzled by Miami at Utah
Miami is looking at consecutive games at GS and the Clippers next.
These are not good spots.
4 of the last 6 games between these teams have been over
Favors is not supposed to play and Hood may be hurt
 
Danner at Covers picked the Hornets today.
[TABLE="class: forum"]
<tbody>[TR="class: sp-info"]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: even"]
[TD="class: forumpost"]
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Prospect
Joined: Aug 2013
Posts: 385
Location: [/TD]
[TD="class: forumpost-post"]#6
Posted: 1/9/2016 2:30:18 PM
Hornets are apart of a nice 165-103 ATS trend of Non Conference Road dogs with a total of 186-220 and a spread of +3 or up. It's currently 6-1 this year. This is a marathon, not a sprint.[/TD]
[/TR]
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Hornets on 2 days are 4-1 ATS and 3-2 over. If Batum is out they are Really thin and have a game tomorrow
Clippers are 1-1 this season on 2 and 2-0 over
AT home on Saturday they are 9-1 last 10 and 9-1 over. They play at home vs NO. They have won and covered 6 in a row. The refs do not like this game over.
If Batum plays I may play the over light

Some consideration of Washington ML for a lot of reason. That game based on days rest shoots over but Orlando has been playing liked a paralyzed old man. The refs give the home team nothing here. I am a fan of revenge so I am in a tough spot.
Batum is not playing
 
Adds are
Over in Kings
Washington small
Philadelphia average
Philadelphia is no longer a punching bag and Toronto is playing 5 in 7 with no true motivation
Let me add something in the main thread they are talking about Utah because Miami plays GS next.
Words fail me. Miami is not a beginner. Looking at playing at GS and the Clippers means they are coming after Utah a team they already have unfinished business with. Does not mean I like either side. It means their logic stinks
 
Yesterday Landry went 12 minutes and 36 seconds
five of 6
Game before 6 minutes 23 seconds
3 of 5
They are deliberately shaving
 
Average under bet in Clippers. A little concerned about NO coming off 2 home losses but the team now has the second worst record in the West and may well be in complete tank mode. Still thinking about Clippers as a side
Davis is probably out.
 
Last edited:
some interest in over at Denver especially if Batum plays.
Dallas as a side
Possibly Boston with Bradley back and possibly under. Going to rest for a while.
 
Cleveland has a huge look ahead to Dallas today

<tbody>
[TD="width: 100%"]CLEVELAND IS 2-8 SU AND 3-7 ATS IN THESE GAMES.[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/10/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]127[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/04/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]90[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]109[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]7½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]207½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/03/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]124[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-9[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]205[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/20/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]97[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]1[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]206[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/15/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]86[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-8½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]203[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11/17/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]199½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/04/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]88[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]191½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/07/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-14[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]206½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/02/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]104[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]189½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/20/2009[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CLE[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]95[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]188[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

</tbody>
 
Honestly no idea why Utah is favored but very unsure the Lakers want to win games with all the tanking going on
 
Some temptation to make a half unit bet on Houston if Howard plays just because all 3 refs like home teams and low favorite spreads
 
Under 192.5 in Lakers. 1 unit. Reasoning is Utah on worst 5 in 7 and Lakers 8-15 under on 1 days rest off 2 very high scoring games. Missed the number here as it started at 194
 
#6 Inspekdah
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Friend of CTG <dl class="userinfo_extra"><dt>Join Date</dt><dd>Jul 2006</dd><dt>Location</dt><dd>Not in NY</dd><dt>Posts</dt><dd>15,505</dd></dl>

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Spurs start these mini road trips off with a bang. Look at their performances on the road first game after being home... Think last 5 average win is almost 30. Nets worst organization in sports.. Not much talent there.​


And they are playing off a very embarrassing ATS loss which translates into Pop being furious
 
Slow going today because of business
Spurs playing with a major look ahead today
Memphis has won and covered 6 in a row at home
Poor spot for Indiana
Small lean to under in Knick game because of a tendency for Boston to go under in first game of a b-b and other things but this conflicts with other trends. Will be back later
Cleveland at Dallas looks like an over glancing at Cleveland and an under looking at Dallas playing at OKC tomorrow and 5-15 under on 1 days rest
 
Be very careful in Minn game. The OKC 1-7 ATS trend after a SU loss as a fav is in play while Minn is simply almost impossible to bet
 
Agree. Spurs are 6-0 SU and ATS on a B-B but this would be a great spot for that trend to break
 
FYI Price is not playing back up point guard fo the Suns which hurts them and Len is out for the trip which hurts defense and rebounds. The only really good argument for the Suns here is the in and out spot for Indiana which is usually pretty bad for the home team.
 
This is a small day for me. I may add Memphis if I ever find out about Conley but I have small bets on Detroit plus 7 and Minn plus 11. I parlayed Cleveland ML with the Pacers. I would be all over the Buck total except they play much better second game of a b-b. These injuries all over make it very hard to bet but in the case of Minn and Detroit I know there is great spot value and somehow I do not see Cleveland losing to Dallas just before going into the Spurs. Just passing on totals today
Laker games is ???. 2 tanking teams who actually wants to win???
 
Did you know the last time GS played Denver Green had[TABLE="class: num"]
<tbody>[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD][/TD]
[TD] 43:50[/TD]
[TD] 10-16[/TD]
[TD] 5-9[/TD]
[TD] 4-6[/TD]
[TD] 18[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 13[/TD]
[TD] 17[/TD]
[TD] 14[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 29[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Not bad really but he is not playing today and their defense was not too good vs Miami
Small bet on Denver who is getting back players
Lean to over that i am reluctantly passing on
Over in Houston 206. poor play based on refs
Reasoning is
Minn hates them with good reason
8 of last 9 between these teams went over
Minn on no rest 5-1 over Houston 6-3 over
Looking at Clippers in some ML parlay
Looking at Portland will decide how when Utah line up is clearer
Bottom line here is Utah stinks on Wednesday
Some homer umps
On 2 days rest 3-4 ATS to Portland 4-1
Utah plays at home tomorrow vs Sacramento which is usually a bad spot for them
Maybe over in Bucks
 
Looking at Washington. Played the game over 205. Lean to Minn. Slow today. Just read that after GS Denver is 2-13? Not exactly clear how Miami wins if Wade is out too. Not really clear how Suns covered today although the refs stink. Portland total has moved but the game should go over still thinking about it
 
Reluctant to post. I like strong plays. Do not see them. Played Portland minus 6. Spent time looking at GS logs. I think they are still tired. Played the game under 215.5 but do not consider it a strong play. Still looking at Memphis under.
 
Half unit on the under. Its reasonable but I simply do not have a good enough read right now.
On 2 days rest Knicks are 3-1 under. Pretty good under refs.
Memphis on this day of the week is 16-4 and the under is 8-0 last 8. 11-1 last 12. Half a unit
Sorry forget it. Total has dropped 4 points
My God. I did not check the refs in Philadelphia
Homer central
 
Last edited:
Suns stats
Brandon Knight has led Phoenix in Eric Bledsoe's absence, averaging 21.6 points and 5.8 assists in 2016 with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 2.2. His 3-point shooting has been in the toilet, though, at just 30.8 percent since the calendar flipped. Reserve forward Mirza Teletovic has been an unexpected source of offense alongside Knight, averaging 17 points in his last 6 games while shooting 45.7 percent (21 of 46) from 3. P.J. Tucker, meanwhile, has led the team in rebounding during January with 7.2 per game.

The Suns remain the NBA's worst team at defending against opponent's field goals, allowing 47.5 percent. That is almost a full percent higher than what the 29th-place team, the Washington Wizards, allow and is the highest percentage allowed by Phoenix since 1994-95. The Suns also allow opponents to shoot 38.1 percent from 3 (second worst). Those defensive numbers jump to 49 percent and 40.7 percent respectively for the month of January. Just about the only stat Phoenix has to hang its hat on is 3-point shooting, where they still rank third in the NBA at 37.6 percent, but even that is down to 35.8 percent in 2016.

The Suns live in the garbage now, but it's not that bad. Someone comes around on trash day and bangs on the side of the dumpster to let ‘em know the truck's comin' ‘round.
 
OKC at home on Sunday
They have failed to cover 5 in a row
Refs
In the 5-9.5 range
4-9
3-6
0-7
Have to wait on Wade but looking at Miami
OKC after larger wins is even money to cover
On 1 days rest they are 10-17 ATS
 
Spurs Dallas
Line seems high but Dallas has a game at home vs Boston tomorrow while Spurs have 3 days off and then a extremely tough game at Suns. Real positional edge but not conclusive.
 
Houston? Honestly no idea. They play tomorrow at Clippers. That game will be a real test of the Monday Clipper trend.
Lakers are 6-4 ATS last 10 but are very hard to figure out.
In yesterdays game no starter went over 28 minutes and they shot 34.4%
Best guess for the moment if Kobe sits out maybe they play. If he plays with heart they will???
 
Over 200 in Denver. 2 under refs and 1 over. What else is new. Why am I betting over?
Denver has beaten Indiana home and away recently. Indiana ia playing off a home loss.
Indiana on the road on Sunday 3-0 over this season. 8-2 over at that site last 10. Over at the site is 8-2 last 10.
Denver is playing off a home loss and is 7-3 over last 10 at home.
Essentially I am betting it because I think Indiana will come in hard with a very understandable chip on their shoulder and it will go over.
 
Killer sports has a trend supporting this play and another that points to an under at Spurs. Under works in that game with the refs and various trends with Dallas support it. Spurs have 3 days off though so I may leave this bet alone.
 
Clippers did not seem themselves yesterday. I now see why. Tomorrow is Houston who knocked them out of the playoffs when they were up 3-1 by beating them 3 in a row. A lot of implications here
 
I think I am chickening out. The spread has gone up to 10.5 with Wade playing. OKC owes Miami some pain from the years when LeBron kept taking them down. I will just watch. Sorry
 
Still looking around but Dallas foolishly not resting vs Spurs is now playing worst 5 in 7 as is Houston and both will be on a short list for oblivion
Dallas has beaten Boston 6 in a row
Houston is running into the Clippers who are operating on Major playoff revenge.
 
Last edited:
Added Memphis under 194. Wanted to go under in Hornets but the game is just too complicated and the line has dropped
 
tuck321 said:
Still looking around but Dallas foolishly not resting vs Spurs is now playing worst 5 in 7 as is Houston and both will be on a short list for oblivion
Dallas has beaten Boston 6 in a row
Houston is running into the Clippers who are operating on Major playoff revenge.
Click to expand...

Surprisingly teams playing a 5 in 7 this season are 20-4 ATS (17-7 SU).

9-3 ATS as a dog and 11-1 ATS as a favorite.
 
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