Early lean

[tuck321]

The really interesting thing about the NBA is there are trends to support almost every side. It is for the person betting to decide what posters are serious and trying to find value.
Lets kook at Orlando at Bucks
Wild card factor
Coach is back at home first game.
Team improved defensively on a trip but lost last 2 and in the last game by more than 10
This game is a revenge game as Orlando beat the Buck in their last match by 24 at home and before that beat the Bucks at the Bucks by 7
General trends scream over here
Their appears to be reasons to like the Bucks as a side as last 10 at home they are 7-3 SU and 6-3-1 ATS
but the people are screaming no the Bucks are wrong it is actually right to play Orlando. Reasoning???
Then you have to decide what to do or just pass the game.

 

[tuck321]

FYI in the Clippers at Indiana game I like Clippers and the under and am very unlikely to play. Justin one of the refs is 7-0 over with Indiana
Last night I made a very small bet on Portland minus 2.5 despite the overtime team b-b angle since Portland is 6-1 ATS on 2 days rest, its been a terrible spot for the Kings and i saw they might be off their point guard.
Sin according to the NBA rule makers
I have leans but no bets in the Philadelphia game

 

[emkee]

There are trends for everybody.

Team trends are always dangerous.

Much prefer situational trends.

Yeah, OKC has been poor on the road of late and worse off a loss as a fave,

but they just got their clock cleaned by a shitty Nets team and now have a chance to redeem themselves in front of a celebrity crowd at the MSG,

against a team that beat them earlier in the season in Oklahoma.

Hard to look inside the head of an NBA athlete but the Thunder won't lose tonight because of a lack of motivation, imo.

Melo playing helps.

Situation says play the Thunder.

Hard to flip a coin and have it land on heads 7 straight times.

Either way, health Tuck.

 

[tuck321]

May the best bet win. Always picking myself to win you see.
By the way OKC this year is 1-5 revenging a home loss.
You see win or lose you really did make a silly bet. Thats not a good idea

 

[emkee]

Again using team trends.

Here's one, Knicks are 0-6 ATS last 6 as a home dog vs the Western Conference (0-4 ATS this season, 5-16-1 ATS the last 3 seasons).

I have made a silly bet on a few occasions but tonight is not one of them, win or lose.

 

[tuck321]

What is the best argument for the Lakers
They are 3-1 on 2 days rest and 14-7 in that spot last 3 years
The last time they played at home on 2 day rest I played them against the Kings when the Kings had a giant look ahead to Atlanta. Final score 93-112
Dallas straight or teased today.
SBB’S ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
T
he Mavericks are 10-0-1 ATS (8.27 ppg) since Dec 27, 2012
on the road when they are off two losses as dog

 

[tuck321]

I do not simply play trends. I do not simply play favorites or dogs. I play things that make sense and OKC does not make sense and you thinking you have to play a favorite a day is your business.
Off course NY cannot stand up to the West. See how they laid down to OKC and the Spurs. In any case I need to think so GL tomorrow.

 

[emkee]

Easy now Tuck, no need for saltiness.

I trust my system and if it spits out more favorites than dogs so be it, I only started running said system last season btw.

When you rely on things like ELO and advanced stats, that's what you're gonna get.

You've been around these forums long enough to know my approach, come on now.

GL tomorrow.

 

[Paulie The Vig]

There are trends for everybody.

Team trends are always dangerous.

Much prefer situational trends.

Yeah, OKC has been poor on the road of late and worse off a loss as a fave,

but they just got their clock cleaned by a shitty Nets team and now have a chance to redeem themselves in front of a celebrity crowd at the MSG,

against a team that beat them earlier in the season in Oklahoma.

Hard to look inside the head of an NBA athlete but the Thunder won't lose tonight because of a lack of motivation, imo.

Melo playing helps.

Situation says play the Thunder.

Hard to flip a coin and have it land on heads 7 straight times.

Either way, health Tuck.

Melo Out Lance Thomas gets the start

 

[Paulie The Vig]

PG
Russell Westbrook

SG
Dion Waiters

SF
Kevin Durant

PF
Serge Ibaka

C
Steven Adams


PG
Jose Calderon

SG
Arron Afflalo

SF
Lance Thomas

PF
Kristaps Porzingis

C
Robin Lopez



Injuries
Josh Huestis
INACTIVE

Andre Roberson
OUT


Injuries
Carmelo Anthony
OUT

Cleanthony Early
OUT

 

[tuck321]

BOL to the universe. Going to a movie

 

[tuck321]

Nice day yesterday. Loaded up on Minn last night at plus 8. Nice place this America. In hockey interest in Capitals puck line and under in Kings. Time to study

 

[tuck321]

Suns appear a play. Cleveland is looking at 2 revenge games coming up. Tyson just played 19.10 minutes and the Suns have plenty of shooters now. Suns had 2 days off before yesterday.
One key is this
Cleveland ATS against losing teams 5-14. I actually am starting to trust the new Suns in some ways. They finally started targeting Lem. Sonny actually started scoring yesterday and teams that have nothing left to lose can be a problem.
Pretty strong under trend in this game.
Cleveland after a non conference team is 1-14 under.

 

[tuck321]

A little puzzled by GS. It starts out looking like a easy play but after a 20 plus win they are 1-3 ATS. They still should be targeting at least a 16 point win especially with 2 days off after this game. Will have them some way.

 

[tuck321]

Philadelphia oddly appears very live. Detroit is looking at Cleveland and then Toronto next They are 3 and 7 last 10 vs Toronto. Trouble is very good day of week for Detroit and they have been very good as a 8+ favorite.
Refs poor for them. Game looks like an over.
Got a lousy number. 205.5. Apparently others were awake

 

[tuck321]

Pinnacle has it at 206
Saw this

MVP Lock Club

Lock: OKC Thunder -7 (NBA)
If these guys have stock consider shorting.

Adding Philadelphia. Situational considerations plus favorable refs
​

 

[tuck321]

A little uncertain in hockey
One of the major trends is Kings under at home vs unrested team.
Colorado after giving up 4 or more goals 5-11 under
Washington has been off a long time but on 3+ 4-1
However when I look Philadelphia has not lost by 2 goals at the site in their last 9 at site.
Calgary might be nice. Preds 0-6 in B-B. Will think more
Over in Tampa looks reasonable. Team just lost at 5-2 at Florida and are using a substandard goalie today
Tampa opponent is 1-10 in b-b this year and has some under trends
Tampa is awesome on 3 or more days off
Lean over
This gets more difficult. Toronto goalie hard to define. Has not played in some time but can be lights out
Also Colorado goalie may be going b-b

 

[tuck321]

OKC likes to go under b-b. OKC has also gone over in their last 6 of their last 7 road games and Minn hates their guts. This could go over very easily.
Houston is over city. Will Spurs be able to control their scoring?
Denver? need to look more.
Looking at the big under ref in Minn. Minn with this guy is 8-2 over. Will probably hit this. Like limited action??

 

[tuck321]

Was testifying in traffic court for a friend when the Boston total that was on my list exploded. Colorado is playing the same goalie consecutive games.

 

[BetCrimes1984]

Since Nov. 15th, Boston is 8-2-1 to Over vs. the West, 15-11 to Under vs. the East.

 

[tuck321]

Another relevant fact was that Colorado was playing on Wednesday on the road after a home loss which strongly argues play them and the over since Boston is into warp speed now.

 

[tuck321]

These are not not immediately obvious game. Most like Indiana. The 3 refs give home teams zip. 14-9 in this range for the road team

LA plays at Clippers tomorrow. Last few years that has pointed to lose and under. Refs in the game are
Strong under
Strong under
Trival under
Chicago is 6-3 over off an upset loss
I am very likely to play Colorado today
Just parlaying Toronto and Chicago ML might have value.
Refs in Toronto favor the road team
Refs in the Laker game are not obvious
Sill thinking
Hold off on Toronto till point guard situation is clear

 

[tuck321]

Indiana at home on Thursday

<tbody>
[TD="width: 100%"]INDIANA IS 5-5 SU AND 2-8 ATS IN THESE GAMES.[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/31/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]116[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]120[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]10/29/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MEM[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]112[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]191[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/12/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]109[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]188[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/29/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]82[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]187½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/27/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-15½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]196½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/30/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-11½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/16/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]117[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]89[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-9½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]184[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/28/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-1½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]192½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/10/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]81[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]76[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]184[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/24/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]93[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]180½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

</tbody>

Let me be clear. I am not trying to fade others in this forum. I would like to see Indiana break its losing streak. I just have to see clear reasons to make a bet

 

[tuck321]

The Kings have been a road disaster but not recently.
6-4 away last 10
They are on the road playing with major revenge.
NO
[TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 36%"][/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 3%"][/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 10%"]

Current​

[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 10%"]

Season​

[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 10%"]

Current​

[/TD]
[TD="class: datahl2, width: 10%"]

Season​

[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell"] Tyreke Evans [/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"]SG[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] Ques Thurs - Knee - 1/27/16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] notes [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 0-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 6-9[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 0-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 7-8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell"] Anthony Davis [/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"]PF[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] Doub Thurs - Concussion - 1/27/16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] notes [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 0-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 2-2[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 0-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 1-3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell"] Eric Gordon [/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"]SG[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] Early March - Finger - 1/20/16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] notes [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 2-1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 2-1[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 3-0[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 3-0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: datacell"] Quincy Pondexter [/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"]SF[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] out for season - Knee - 1/11/16[/TD]
[TD="class: datacell"] notes [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 19-25[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 19-25[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 20-24[/TD]
[TD="class: datacellc"] 20-24[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Expect I will be playing the Kings but not clear if I lay the points or eliminate them

 

[tuck321]

I may have to look at that more. Rondo out is a big negative.

 

[emkee]

Indiana at home on Thursday

INDIANA IS 5-5 SU AND 2-8 ATS IN THESE GAMES.

<tbody>
</tbody>

DATE

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/31/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]116[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]120[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]10/29/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MEM[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]112[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]191[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/12/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]109[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-7[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]188[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/29/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]103[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]82[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-8[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]187½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/27/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]MIL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]96[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-15½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]196½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/30/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHO[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]102[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-11½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]201[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/16/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]117[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]89[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-9½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]184[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/28/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]99[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-1½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]192½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/10/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]81[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]76[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-5½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]184[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]05/24/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]IND[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]93[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]MIA[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]180½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

</tbody>

Let me be clear. I am not trying to fade others in this forum. I would like to see Indiana break its losing streak. I just have to see clear reasons to make a bet

Hawks 1-19 SU as a Thursday road dog and 8-12 ATS.

 

[Montanas]

Wait rondo is out?

 

[tuck321]

No, Yag is out.. . Sorry Jokic and Nelson are now likely and I have grabbed Denver plus 8 fairly large.

 

[tuck321]

I personally have no interest in a side in Atlanta. I could easily post arguments for either side. I am thinking about the over. BOL

 

[tuck321]

2 bets on the same game. Denver 7-3 over b-b over 211

 

[tuck321]

General observation the importance of the ref in totals is--not very much if they are under refs now. Useful but not essential. Do those refs in the OKC game mean much? Not clear to me. Houston just goes over. Suns play minor defense.. Last 5 away 113 was the least they gave up. 203 total When Knicks at home have gone over 8 of their last 10 home games?

 

[tuck321]

So far my best over is Boston. Took Houston plus 8.5
I am seeing some disagreement including 1 trend to this play.
Boston at home on Friday is 7-2 over. They are playing warp speed. They are 1-3 last 4 vs this Orlando team who has gone over in their last 3 road games. The refs are OK. Just providing info.

 

[tuck321]

Just read this
SBB’S ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
T
he Nets are 14-0 ATS (7.61 ppg) on the road with more than
one day of rest off a loss.
This season on 2 days rest they are 4-2 ATS and they are 1-0 ATS away off 0-4 losses. Will play it with fairly favorable refs for 1 unit with a big edge in rest in the game

 

[tuck321]

Locked in GS over 217.5 for 1.5 units. Considering an upgrade if nothing weird happens.
Reasoning
Last 8 away they are 6-2 over this number
Both teams on 2 days rest
GS on 2 6-2 over
Philadelphia on 2 4-1 over
Philadelphia is off a 10 plus loss which is strong for the over
GS is off 2 execution games and should have some fun here
Philadelphia after this game has 3 days off
GS has a game with NY tomorrow andd then another 2 days off and they also had the 23rd and 24th off
It looks very good.

 

[tuck321]

Toronto over is a very real possibility. Still looking.
Lot of possible games over

 

[Metallica]

GL today Tuck
:cheers3:

 

[tuck321]

Thanks. Locked in Toronto over 203.5 for 1 unit.
Should have done it immediately.
1 negative
On 1 days rest Toronto is 10-1 under
That is something but tiny compared to the rest
I think the tiny total reflects the 4 game under streak.
Not very smart.
Toronto is 14-5 over vs winning teams
The last 10 games between these teams went 8-2 over
In that 4 game under streak they went under vs
Knicks under 500 team
Washington under 500 team
Went under by .5 a point against the last line vs Clippers who I had over 205 which won
And under vs Miami who could not stand up in major fatigue
Detroit has gone over this number in 4 of their last 5 road games
Toronto is also 7-3 over in their last 10 Saturday games and really wants to punish Detroit
Also amazingly since I tend to ignore the horde of under refs in this game
in this game their are 2 strong over refs and one moderately over ref
VS this number the refs are
7-4 over
8-4 over
7-6 over
Toronto should win and probably cover but 1 stat is a little scary
Detroit is 7-1 ATS after a divisional game which tells me there is no chance they just fold
That said they also stink on the road on Saturday so i will be doing something with Toronto

 

[tuck321]

Just want to make something clear. I am not sure if I make any more posts today but I lean over in almost every game today and I lean Denver

 

[tuck321]

This is a case of live and learn. I did not bite on GS because of an lack of motivation but I did not expect a scoring collapse. In non motivational spots will be looking for first half bets

 

[tuck321]

Regarding the morning game. Not really sure where I stand but will be on the Clippers in some way. In the man thread they like Bulls and under.
Bulls getting 6 or less

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/22/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]BOS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]110[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]208½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/20/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]GS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]125[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]6[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]216[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/18/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]DET[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]111[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]201½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/09/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]ATL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]120[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]208½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]01/03/2016[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]TOR[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]113[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]115[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-4[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]195½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/26/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]DAL[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]118[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]111[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]200½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/19/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]NY[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-2½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]194½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/10/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]83[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]80[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]1½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]203½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12/09/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]BOS[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]105[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]100[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]200½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]11/30/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]CHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]92[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]SAN[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]89[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]4½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]189[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>

The Bulls are 8-2 over last 10 on the road
8-2 over last 10 as a dog
Refs fairly neutral on the total and I hate day games
regarding sides they are not neutral
They favor the home team a lot
22-16
21-13
28-6
laying 5-9.5
6-4 for the fav
5-3
6-1
Clippers are playing off an ATS loss
Thinking some minus 5.5 and some ML parlay
There may be some help for the under in a day game so just watching that

 

[Metallica]

GL on your plays today :cheers3:

 

[tuck321]

Spread dropped to 4.5 so since no one is out for Clippers I increased the bet by 40%
BOL Metallia

 

[tuck321]

Last night I looked at the over nights and asked myself what the best bet was I could make then. Dallas was getting 7 and the Spurs were laying 16. I teased the Spurs to 10 and Dallas to 13.
This morning I looked at the total in the Memphis at Pelicans game. Mostly under refs. The total 201.5. I blinked looking at it and will bet it over after I post this
Pelicans are currently 17-6 over at home and have gone over in their last 7 home games.
Memphis is 9-1 over last 10. 3-0 over last 3 road games 8-12 over last 20 away and the 2 teams really do not like each other at all. Last 20 at the site the over is 14-6. There are also injury considerations which I am ignoring.

 

[Tito]

and if you take away the first two games from this year when the Grizz couldn't score, they have gone Over 4 out of 5 times this year when they are a small dog (2 or less)


gl

 

[tuck321]

Starting to think I am going to play a lot of games over today. Orlando at Spurs looks like one. Orlando is not that tired and neither are the Spurs. Orlando hates the Spurs and is 7-1 over playing b-b. Spurs d without Duncan last 3 games has given up 336 points. Are they actually going to hold Orlando under 90 points today. Orlando has gone over 5 in a row. 109 vs Hornets in regulation. A 100 in regulation vs Memphis
Spurs last game lost by 14. Betting this over. Not seeing any new injuries for Orlando.

 

[tuck321]

Played Dallas over and Utah over light. Still looking at Denver over.

 

[tuck321]

Refs in that Nets game really like home dogs

 

[tuck321]

Hit over 224.5 in Washington. Looking at the first half but they have it at 117 which might hit easily but seems high. 2 facts. The play is predicated on over trends of Washington as much as GS on 2 days. Refs are poor but usually unimportant. Regarding the side---?? Betting that GS does not cover ATS on the last game of a road game is usually silly and this is the same GS that beat Chicago on the road by 29 and Cleveland by 32. They could easily do the same to Washington
BUT Washington is a under 500 nobody that just got beat by 16 by OKC and that they last beat by 31 and they are operating with a major look ahead to OKC who beat them by 17 last time at home. Their best winning margin here is 5-9 for that game so essentially if you play the side you may have to play Washington. GS loves to step on strong teams. Their ATS results vs nobodies is
GOLDEN STATE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

 

[tuck321]

Mild problem in Philadelphia Atlanta. When I played Philadelphia at Detroit with 5 minutes to go they were down by 3. They made a couple of baskets, missed 4 free throws and lost by 13 with me getting 12.5. That was the third time I saw something suspect with the team. Refs favor the over and Philadelphia is 4-2 over with 2 days rest and they are playing in a fairly good spot with Atlanta looking at Indiana who beat them by 19 last time while Philadelphia lost to them at home last time by 28 and in the game the refs do like home dogs. Do I play the over? Probably. Do I play Philadelphia?? I am not sure.
I should mention that revenging a home loss they are 6-11 under this season and last 3 years 24-47 under so I have to at least think about it

 

[tuck321]

This season playing after a home loss the Pacers are 5-2 ATS. None of the wins have been close and they are tending to the over definitely on the road.