Early lean

[tuck321]

Small and tiny bets.
Small bet on the under in the Clipper game and a tiny bet on the Lakers.
Essentially all the Clippers want in this game is a W and rest for the revenge game. The problem with the under is how hard the Lakers push because the Clippers flat have to have the win as they are off 3 losses and can very easily lose at Utah

 

[tuck321]

Curious fact. The Pelicans are 1-6 under in b-b this year. Their b-b games were
At Portland
At Dallas
At Atlanta
At OKC
At Utah
At Chicago
They are playing at home today
8-2 over last 10
Lean over
Do not like today so far for betting.
Too many games, too many crazy teams
May not bet
Refs in Dallas for 0-4.5 home favorites
2-3
1-6
1-4

 

[tuck321]

First thought on LA at Memphis
LA small and the under.
Memphis has not covered vs the Lakers in their last 6 meetings
LA plays the Hornets tomorrow a team they do care about and who they have covered against 5 of the last 7 times they have faced them.
Memphis at home last 10 as an 8.5 fav 3-6-1 last 10
in those games there has been 1 over
I realize this does not fit with the 2-5 over history at that park that is the recent history but this game will be the Lakers 4th in 5 of 7 games and that seems right.

 

[tuck321]

No immediate opinion in the Kings game. This would be much easier to cap if the Kings did not play tomorrow at GS who has beaten them 10 in a row.
Kings are currently 7-22 ATS playing after a ATS win.

 

[tuck321]

Some surprise. Calgary is only 40 cents today. Win 10 in a row at home and get very little respect.
Kings this year are 0-5 ATS after an upset win and going back last 3 years are 9-25 in that role.
Leaning Denver

 

[tuck321]

Refs in Boston are
17-5 for the home team
16-5 for the home team
16-7 for the home team
Definite lean to home favorite.
NY on the road on Sunday is 2-8 and 3-7 ATS all from other years
Boston by the way stinks at home on Sunday
But as a home favorite in this range is 5-2 ATS last 7

 

[tuck321]

First pick is Philadelphia plus 10;5
Carl Landry is back, Ish Smith is here and D'Antoni is now coaching with the team

 

[tuck321]

Pacers minus 2
Stuckey is listed as probable. Will wait a while but Refs are
12-6
17-7
16-6
Pacers are playing at home after losing their last home game and are playing with triple revenge

 

[tuck321]

I am likely to add Brooklyn
Miami as a 8.5 fav is 1-3 this season and Miami is playing off 2 ATS covers and has not covered 3 in a row this season. Indiana over is also interesting.

 

[tuck321]

Suns under 200. it started at 201.5 and is going down. Why? Cleveland plays at Denver in a clear revenge game altitude tomorrow in a 5 in 7. They should be trying to slow this down. Suns minus Bledsoe will be forced into a slower approach. Expect more of Tyson and Lem. Last 10 between them under is 8-1-1

 

[tuck321]

Nothing yet. Tomorrow when the Suns play at the Spurs I start with a real lean to the under

 

[tuck321]

Killersports
SBB’S ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
T
he Rockets are 11-0 ATS (9.18 ppg) since Dec 03, 2014 at
home with rest off a road game in which they had at least
30% of their points from threes
Vegas Eperts

Atlanta: 20-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5
Houston: 2-12 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5
General trend
Houston is 1-8 ATS this season off an Upset loss as a favorite.

Houston is looking at a visit from GS after this game
Then they play at the Spurs
They are 13-19
If Atlanta loses they go under 500
They have lost the last 3 meetings with Atlanta
Most of the team is playing very well
Harden has been playing fairly crazy in their losses
Houston has not played a game at home on Tuesday this season
They are 15-5 last 20 on Tuesday and 9-1 last 10 at home on Tuesday and 8-2 ATS
On 2 days rest they are 1-1 this season but are 20-8 ATS last 3 years in the spot.
Most of this team is playing very well
Atlanta has played 3 b-b games on the road this year and lost all 3 no cover.
Refs 14-5 for home favorites in this range
Only 1 is a real homer and one is 9-9 for home teams
The bulk of the evidence seems to point to Houston.
On a small sample size they seem to like Atlanta a little better
Average minus bet on Houston

 

[C-MAN]

nice job yesterday tuck - appreciate the insight

 

[tuck321]

Thank you.

 

[tuck321]

Small add. In OKC 2 of the refs are over. Vs 205 or higher 5-3 over and 3-1 over. The 3rd a dead under OKC has been a monster under but last 2 games their defense has been MIA. Milwaukee off a 10 point loss is 9-4 over. I made a play on the game over 206 today.

 

[tuck321]

Locked in Spurs under 197 this morning after checking refs
Suns blog estimates a 18 point Spurs win
Spurs blog estimates a 21 point win
Completely agree the Spurs can win by any number they want
Very unsure what Pops wants. We know he is upset with the Spurs lousy play in the last game. We know he REALLY wants to fry Houston next game and we know he knows the Suns play at OKC tomorrow. He does not want to do OKC any favors.
Back to the total
Spurs are 5-10 under vs under 500 teams this season.
Spurs broke a 4 game under streak by .5 a point last game with lousy D
I expect the D to be better today and the Spurs may cover inadvertently just due to Suns lack of scoring.
Still thinking about the Spurs as a side.
Spurs small bet

 

[tuck321]

Orlando and Kings are in very odd positions today but did not see either losing the game

 

[tuck321]

Denver line up at OKC

[h=1]Denver 112, Oklahoma City 122[/h]

• Boxscore
• Recap

[TABLE="class: box-so-logo"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: box-so, align: center"] Denver at Oklahoma City


DEN 505

Cover by:
+6.5




112
Final
122

	1	2	3	4	T	Odds
DEN	31	30	29	22	<input class="cmg_total_odds" size="5">
OKC	32	21	38	31	<input class="cmg_side_odds" size="5">

<thead>
</thead> <tbody>
[TD="class: cmg_matchup_line_score_total"]112[/TD]

[TD="class: cmg_matchup_line_score_total"]122[/TD]

</tbody>

506 OKC

O/U MARGIN:
O: 27


Boxscore Recap Consensus Line History

[h=3]BET GRAPH[/h]
Covering By 0 - 8
Covering By 9 - 16
Covering By 17+





[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

Start
Q2
Q3
Q4
End​

20
-20
Push​

[TABLE="class: box-so-logo"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: box-so, align: center"] Largest Away Cover: 27.5 Away Cover Pct: 100%
Largest Home Cover: -4.5 Home Cover Pct: 0%

-16.5

16.5
112
122
FinalScore




[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[h=3]Denver Nuggets[/h] [TABLE="class: num"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="colspan: 7"] [/TD]
[TD="class: dataheadc, colspan: 3"]REBOUNDS[/TD]
[TD="colspan: 6"] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datahl2b"]
[TD="width: 20%, align: left"]PLAYER[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]POS[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]MIN[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]FGM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]3GM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]FTM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]+/-[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]OFF[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]DEF[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]TOT[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]A[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]PF[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]STL[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]TO[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]BLK[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]PTS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Jameer Nelson [/TD]
[TD] G[/TD]
[TD] 42:32[/TD]
[TD] 5-11[/TD]
[TD] 3-6[/TD]
[TD] 2-2[/TD]
[TD] -13[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 7[/TD]
[TD] 8[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 15[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Gary Harris [/TD]
[TD] G[/TD]
[TD] 30:47[/TD]
[TD] 6-13[/TD]
[TD] 2-5[/TD]
[TD] 2-4[/TD]
[TD] -14[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 16[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Kenneth Faried [/TD]
[TD] F[/TD]
[TD] 28:48[/TD]
[TD] 12-20[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] -8[/TD]
[TD] 8[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 11[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 25[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Kostas Papanikolaou [/TD]
[TD] F[/TD]
[TD] 13:20[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -7[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Joffrey Lauvergne [/TD]
[TD] C[/TD]
[TD] 30:39[/TD]
[TD] 8-15[/TD]
[TD] 0-1[/TD]
[TD] 2-2[/TD]
[TD] -14[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 18[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Will Barton [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 34:40[/TD]
[TD] 8-16[/TD]
[TD] 1-6[/TD]
[TD] 2-3[/TD]
[TD] -2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 19[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Randy Foye [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 22:41[/TD]
[TD] 2-5[/TD]
[TD] 0-2[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 6[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Darrell Arthur [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 19:12[/TD]
[TD] 1-5[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] 2-2[/TD]
[TD] -2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Nikola Jokic [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 17:21[/TD]
[TD] 3-7[/TD]
[TD] 1-1[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] J.J. Hickson [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 14"]DNP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Mike Miller [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 14"]DNP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Emmanuel Mudiay [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 14"]DNP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Jusuf Nurkic [/TD]
[TD="colspan: 14"]DNP[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datahl2b"]
[TD]TOTAL[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 240[/TD]
[TD] 46-94[/TD]
[TD] 9-25[/TD]
[TD] 11-15[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 17[/TD]
[TD] 20[/TD]
[TD] 37[/TD]
[TD] 24[/TD]
[TD] 18[/TD]
[TD] 6[/TD]
[TD] 10[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 112[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 48.9% [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 36.0% [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 73.3% [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[tuck321]

Will be looking hard at Denver today

 

[tuck321]

Average bet on over in Toronto. Total probably 202

 

[tuck321]

Some interest in Bulls
Simple reality. Last 6 away Indiana is 1-5 ATS and they have a home at home tomorrow. The Bulls seem to have recovered from the Detroit disaster. Jalen Rose off 3 quality starts. Gasol steady as a rock. Butler weak last 2.
Bottom line last 2 trips at Indiana the Bulls have lost by 12 and 14 and payback is in order. Will think more but probably lock this in.

 

[tuck321]

Starting to think the Boston game could be bloody. Last 10 Boston is 3-7 vs this team. In the 3 wins
Win by 13
Win by 21
Win by 17
Lakers face Philadelphia lnext who beat them recently

 

[tuck321]

Will be adding bets on Philadelphia and Denver after the Portland point guard situation is resolved.
Philadelphia is NOT an auto bet. Here the Kings have no real gripe with Philadelphia and they hate the Suns and OKC who they play next so taking a little liberty. Denver is 6-2 ATS on b-b. Denver is 8-3 ATS away after a loss and used little effort last night while waiting for this game against a team they hate.

 

[Lexington 125]

GL tonight tuck. Agree with you on Denver. Thoughts on Suns? I'm leaning towards the pts

 

[tuck321]

Actually I said above I was laying with Spurs
Suns box scores from last night[TABLE="class: num"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="colspan: 6"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datahl2b"]
[TD="width: 20%, align: left"]PLAYER[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]POS[/TD]
[TD="width: 4%"]MIN[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]FGM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]3GM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]FTM-A[/TD]
[TD="width: 8%"]+/-[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]OFF[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]DEF[/TD]
[TD="width: 6%"]TOT[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]A[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]PF[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]STL[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]TO[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]BLK[/TD]
[TD="width: 5%"]PTS[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Brandon Knight [/TD]
[TD] G[/TD]
[TD] 26:45[/TD]
[TD] 5-13[/TD]
[TD] 1-3[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -14[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Devin Booker [/TD]
[TD] G[/TD]
[TD] 23:55[/TD]
[TD] 4-10[/TD]
[TD] 0-1[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] -9[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] P.J. Tucker [/TD]
[TD] F[/TD]
[TD] 24:34[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] 2-2[/TD]
[TD] -7[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Jon Leuer [/TD]
[TD] F[/TD]
[TD] 15:08[/TD]
[TD] 2-4[/TD]
[TD] 1-1[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -10[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Alex Len [/TD]
[TD] C[/TD]
[TD] 11:40[/TD]
[TD] 0-5[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -11[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Tyson Chandler [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 25:52[/TD]
[TD] 5-6[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 1-3[/TD]
[TD] -18[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 7[/TD]
[TD] 10[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] T.J. Warren [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 22:20[/TD]
[TD] 5-10[/TD]
[TD] 0-1[/TD]
[TD] 1-2[/TD]
[TD] -26[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 11[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Bryce Cotton [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 21:15[/TD]
[TD] 1-6[/TD]
[TD] 0-2[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -19[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Markieff Morris [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 20:08[/TD]
[TD] 2-4[/TD]
[TD] 0-1[/TD]
[TD] 0-2[/TD]
[TD] -16[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 5[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Archie Goodwin [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 16:56[/TD]
[TD] 2-8[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] 4-4[/TD]
[TD] -8[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 8[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Sonny Weems [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 13:35[/TD]
[TD] 0-3[/TD]
[TD] 0-2[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -17[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Mirza Teletovic [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 10:04[/TD]
[TD] 3-6[/TD]
[TD] 2-4[/TD]
[TD] 1-3[/TD]
[TD] -8[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 9[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datarow"]
[TD="align: left"] Cory Jefferson [/TD]
[TD]
[/TD]
[TD] 7:48[/TD]
[TD] 2-4[/TD]
[TD] 0-1[/TD]
[TD] 0-0[/TD]
[TD] -2[/TD]
[TD] 1[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 2[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 0[/TD]
[TD] 4[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: datahl2b"]
[TD]TOTAL[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 240[/TD]
[TD] 32-81[/TD]
[TD] 5-18[/TD]
[TD] 10-18[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] 8[/TD]
[TD] 28[/TD]
[TD] 36[/TD]
[TD] 18[/TD]
[TD] 23[/TD]
[TD] 6[/TD]
[TD] 15[/TD]
[TD] 3[/TD]
[TD] 79[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 39.5% [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 27.8% [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb"] 55.6% [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb, colspan: 3"] Team Rebs: 9[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD="class: datacellb, colspan: 5"] Total TO: 15[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
Very interesting

 

[tuck321]

Just thinking. OKC on Thursday at home
5-0 ATS last 4 under last 10 8-2 under
Suns 8-2 ATS last 10 on the road on Thursday
Let me be clear about one thing. The Suns DO NOT LIKE OKC
2 strong under refs in the game 3-6 against large chalk
I think this is not appropriate for an early lean

 

[tuck321]

IN the Milwaukee at Pacer game
J T Orr is a ref

1-3	3-3
0-4	2-3
0-1	0-1

<tbody>
[TH="colspan: 3"]rdog[/TH]

[TH="class: alt"]Spread[/TH]
[TH="class: alt"]Home Fav[/TH]
[TH="class: alt"]Home Dog[/TH]

[TH="class: alt"]0-4.5[/TH]

[TH="class: alt"]5-9.5[/TH]

[TH="class: alt"]10+[/TH]

</tbody>

Nick Buchert is a ref he is 7-3 ATS with The Bucks
John Goble is a ref last 10 the Bucks are 9-1 ATS
We have covered Orr
Indiana is 2-4 ATS on no rest
Indiana is off OT
Indiana plays next at home vs Detroit. Last game vs Detroit at Detroit they lost by 24
In their last game vs Milwaukee they beat Milwaukee by 37 at home
Milwaukee is -3 ATS last 10 on the road on Thursday
Indiana is 3-7 ATS at home on Thursday
Probable action Bucks first half and game

 

[tuck321]

No way to cap Portland at Utah until we find out about Favors and Lillard

 

[tuck321]

in yesterdays game the Clipper reversal was in full bloom. This team got 47 points from their bench. Very hard if not impossible to bet against them right now
From a Clipper Blog
The Clippers have won their last 4 games, and they're closing the road trip against one of the worst teams record-wise in the league: the Pelicans. When these teams last met, the Clippers entered the contest 7-8; since then, they're 13-5, now sitting in 4th place in the Western Conference, three losses out of 3rd. L.A. has built this winning streak on the backs of lesser opponents, defeating three under .500 teams and a Hornets squad depleted by injuries. Next up: @ New Orleans (10-21), Philadelphia (3-31), @ Portland (14-20), Charlotte (17-14) again, New Orleans (10-21) again, Miami (18-13), Sacramento (12-20), and Houston (16-17). After this game in New Orleans, there's only one back-to-back in that stretch, and both games are at home. In other words: a good stretch is coming up for the Clippers to build momentum and rattle off wins while Blake Griffin is out.
The Antagonist:
Despite high expectations for a playoff berth and an MVP-caliber season for Anthony Davis, the Pellies find themselves near the bottom of the Western Conference after a slow start has stretched past 30 games, leaving them at 10-21 after finishing last season 45-37. Anthony Davis has been very good (23.5 ppg, 10.9 rpg, 1.5 apg, 2.7 bpg), but when expectations get so high that people are expecting a 22-year-old to be the best player in basketball, very good can be disappointing. Gee, who saw that coming? The Pelicans are still only 4 losses out of 8th place in a Western Conference with a lot of struggling teams, but they'll need to step up their game in order to pass the 6 teams that stand between them and 8th place.
Subplots:

• Match-ups: The Clippers have played Paul Pierce in place of the injured Blake Griffin, which leaves them small--very small. The last few games, the Clippers have faced teams that play small power forwards, allowing Pierce to get away with being severely undersized. Tonight, they'll have no such luck: Anthony Davis is one of the best PFs in the game, and he's tall and lanky. Paul Pierce clearly isn't the guy to guard the young All-Star, but who is? The Clippers could cross-match, playing Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (Doc's stopper of choice) against Davis, and having Paul Pierce guard Alonzo Gee (a non-threat offensively). They could also opt to go with a bigger lineup, starting Josh Smith.
• Elite PFs: The battle for NBA PF supremacy is pretty squarely between Blake Griffin and Anthony Davis. Davis is the better shooter, Griffin is better around the basket. Davis is the clearly superior help-side defender, Griffin is a far better facilitator. Both are superstars and their matchups are always going to be a lot of fun--but we won't get to see them go head-to head tonight, unfortunately, and Blake Griffin will most likely miss the next matchup between the two teams as well.
• Eric Gordon and Chris Paul: Eric Gordon was the main asset that the Clippers sent to New Orleans in exchange for Chris Paul in 2011. Since then, the other players involved (Al-Farouq Aminu, Chris Kaman) have left New Orleans, and Minnesota's coveted draft pick yielded Austin Rivers, who flared out for the Pelicans and has now had somewhat of a resurgence on the Clippers. Eric Gordon, after batting injuries for the last few years, is having a solid season for the Pelicans, averaging 16 points and connecting on 37% of his shots from deep.
• Pablo Prigioni and Cole Aldrich: When the Clippers started the season, they played a 10-man rotation, with Pablo Prigioni, Cole Aldrich, and Luc Richard Mbah a Moute as the benchwarmers. Now, 30 games in, Mbah a Moute is starting at SF, and Prigioni and Aldrich are emerging as the key players on the bench. The Prigioni-Aldrich pick-and-roll has been exceptional in the few games the two have played together, with Pablo making excellent reads and Aldrich doing a surprisingly good job of finding shooters on the weak side when the defense collapses. In the last 5 games, Prigioni has averaged 15.2 minutes, recording 2.4 points, 2.2 assists, 1.6 rebounds, and .8 steals while shooting 71% from the field and 50% from deep (while shooting very selectively). Aldrich has averaged 6.6 points, 3.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists, 1.2 blocks, and 2 steals in 14.4 minutes during that same span.
• Bench Mob? With Doc's recent decision to play Aldrich over Josh Smith, and Blake Griffin's injury, we've gotten a chance to see a new bench unit in recent games. I know it's a VERY, VERY small sample size, and things could easily turn for the worse, but so far the unit featuring Prigioni-Rivers-Crawford-Johnson-Aldrich has a Net Rating of 34.5. That's totally unsustainable long-term, but it shows how well they've played in the last couple of games. The numbers will come back down to earth, but if that lineup can consistently provide a sustainable level of quality play, they'll be able to do the job that the Clippers need from their bench: hold and extend leads while the starters rest. I'm not taking this stretch as proof that this unit is the answer long-term, but the short-term success has me excited to see what they can do in the coming games.

 

[tuck321]

Yesterday Paul was 4-13, only went 30 minutes 16 seconds. He still had 11 assists and made 11 of 12 on free throws. For him the game was a relaxing walk in the park. The key starters are now getting rest
From 3 the team went 15 of 30

 

[tuck321]

Vegas experts
Milwaukee at Indiana, 6:05 ET
Milwaukee: 12-3 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
Indiana: 12-3 OVER after a close loss by 3 points or less
Minnesota at Detroit, 6:05 ET
Minnesota: 10-1 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent
Detroit: 18-38 ATS at home where where the total is between 200 and 204.5
Golden State at Houston, 7:05 ET
Golden State: 5-1 ATS against Southwest division opponents
Houston: 3-10 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite
Phoenix at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Phoenix: 58-36 ATS after playing a road game
Oklahoma City: 4-12 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as favorite
LA Clippers at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Los Angeles: 1-9 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games
New Orleans: 26-14 ATS off a road loss
Portland at Utah, 9:05 ET
Portland: 1-6 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Utah: 8-2 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
I could easily bet Detroit and the Clippers today.
I would like to play Utah but expecting them to win games off their top 4 players is a little much
If Curry does not play who is NOT playing Houston?

 

[tuck321]

Detroit has lost their last 3 games
When they played at Atlanta it was after the supreme effort Bulls game and the super tight Miami win.
They had won their last 2 games vs Atlanta.
They then lost to Boston. Last 10 5 and 5 with multiple flip flops
Then at NY. Teams are now 5-5 but before that game they had won 4 of last 5
Last 10 vs Minn they are 1-9 with their only win the last game. Their level of involvement is OFF THE CHARTS
Last 20 at home 13-7 14-5-1 ATS
This is not the whole story
Minn earlier had a 9 road game ATS winning streak that I am looking at but I am a big fan of revenge and Minn's current form is not good

 

[tuck321]

In their last 2 games since losing their point guard Utah has scored 95 points at home and 80 away. Refs are clearly over but tend to think at the moment that they have to focus on low scoring games.

 

[tuck321]

Reading indicates most EXPERTS love the Pacers today. Line has dropped to 6. Also Scott L a very reliable poster says

FYI: NBA on NY Eve last 6 Seasons = 12 OVER, 29 UNDER​

 

[tuck321]

Dropping the Pelican game. Clippers are interesting but maybe a bite to popular.
Pelicans are playing with major revenge and at home are 7-3 last 10 6-4 ATS
Clippers on no rest 3-5 ATS and a fairly strong under at 2-6 on no rest
Will end on a small lean to under

 

[tuck321]

Garnett out confirms Detroit wins to me
Curry listed as doubtful is going to force a bet on Houston on me if no change
Asking Timh for a strong candidate for a ML parlay with Detroit. Will see what happens.
Not really sure why the Clipper line keeps going up. Not nice to tease the animals

 

[tuck321]

Maddie Meyer/Getty Images
The Lakers beat the Celtics because of great guard-to-guard play and off-ball movement. This looks like a game plan that can work on offense.


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The Los Angeles Lakers rolled into Boston as a team playing flat on both ends of the floor in the midst of another deflating losing streak. They walked away victorious, though, and mostly because of the play between their guards. Lou Williams, Jordan Clarkson and D'Angelo Russell combined for 59 points and eight assists, piling on buckets to help deliver a sweet victory to Kobe Bryant in his last game at TD Garden.
The Lakers score the second-lowest points per 100 possessions (97.2, per NBA.com) in the league, and we recently went deep into the numbers behind their horrific offense. What stood out, though, is how effective they are on offense when cutting to the basket, and how rarely they actually played accordingly. It was a very different story in Boston, with the Lakers repeatedly sneaking behind the Celtics' defense for points in the paint.


They used pick-and-rolls as their foundation and off-ball cuts to finish the plays, catching Boston off guard. The Lakers aren't getting much out of players rolling to the basket or popping once they set a screen, but they can squeeze points out of cuts.
Picking out players bursting to the rim is something that complements Russell's abilities as a ball-handler. Pick-and-rolls will almost always force a defense to adjust, but it's how an offense follows up that matters. There needs to be purpose in the actions, not just players waiting for something to happen, and there finally was signs of life Sunday night. In this example, D'Angelo takes a screen from Brandon Bass, then drives into the Celtics' defense:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> Russell navigates around Kelly Olynyk and now has open space to operate in. The entire Celtics' defense has shifted their attention to D'Angelo, opening up a lane for Clarkson to dive into. Nick Young spotting up on the weak side provides the Lakers with floor spacing:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> Russell pushes toward the paint and jumps up, forcing the defense to commit to him while he picks out Clarkson in traffic with the kind of pass that makes him such a tantalizing prospect. Jordan now has a decision to make: he can either take on the lone defender challenging him in the paint or kick out to Young in the corner, who's wide-open one pass away.
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> Clarkson not only finishes over James Young, but absorbs contact for the and-one opportunity. Here's the play in motion:


<figure class="e-image"> </figure>
<figure class="e-image"> </figure> Because the Lakers get so little out of the screen-setting big, using their corral of guards to cut behind defenses might be the best way they can open up the floor for points in the paint and effectively play off each other. Here, Lou takes a screen from Hibbert and drives into the Celtics' defensive pocket. Williams draws the attention of all three defenders in the area and finds Clarkson cutting behind the trio of defenders::
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> <figure class="e-image">

</figure> This is also a good example of why Roy Hibbert, despite setting big screens if only because of his giant frame, isn't effective as a roll man. He's not mobile enough to get into the paint in time to make a defense pay, therefore the Lakers need to exploit other areas once they initiate the pick-and-roll.
Clarkson does just that for a two-handed jam:
<figure class="e-image"> </figure><figure class="e-image"> </figure> It didn't take an extraordinary dish to make this work, just a fundamental bounce pass timed with the cutter. A willing passer needs a good cutter to make this work, and D'Angelo's been surprisingly good at finding those openings in a defense throughout the season. He torches the Celtics in these examples:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> <figure class="e-image"> </figure><figure class="e-image"> </figure> Please note just how lost Marcus Smart was in the play above:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> D'Angelo can create with his court vision and passing and picks his opportunities well, Lou is a threat that from mid-range that can draw the big man away from the rim, and Clarkson's speed and athleticism should create opportunities or turn into points in the paint. It's all about forcing the defense into mistakes, and pick-and-rolls shift the playing field. Even if it's not the ball-handler making the play, it can create that split-second opportunity that leads to a basket.
Here, Russell takes a screen from Hibbert and drives along the perimeter, immediately moving the ball back to the top to Randle while Roy fills the lane:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> All it takes is one turn of the head to create an opportunity for Lou to break to the rim. It also doesn't hurt to have Hibbert serving as a moving obstacle course to seal defenders away in the paint:
<figure class="e-image">

</figure> And that sequence in action, featuring an impressive one-handed sling from Randle:
<figure class="e-image"> </figure><figure class="e-image"> </figure> Positive signs from the Lakers' offense have been few and far between, making it nearly impossible not to be critical of their nightly performances. They took a step in the right direction against the Celtics, executing a game plan that worked and deserve credit for it. Each of these plays started with a pick-and-roll and ended with the cutting player scoring, lining up with the points per possession numbers we went into detail on last week. A little off-ball movement went a long way in making the Lakers look fluid on offense. Let's see if they build on what looks like a successful formula.
Here's a look at the sequences from above in a video breakdown over on our Facebook page:

[h=3]More from Silver Screen and Roll[/h]

• Lakers' youngsters deliver 112-104 victory in Kobe's final game in Boston
• Celtics give Kobe a piece of hardwood history from 2010 NBA Finals as retirement gift

 

[tuck321]

Pin For the first time since 2013 and only the second time since the 80s, the Phoenix Suns are completely out of the playoff picture as the new year begins. Yet in January of 2013, the Suns had almost no hope for the future beyond a high draft pick. They had to wait until summer 2013 to completely revamp the roster and bring in some youth.
The year 2015 was bad news in Sunsland: the team that was supposedly on the upswing went 33-50 in 2016.


The year 2016 should start bad, but might end very well.
Getting most of the minutes these days are the teams youngest players, from Brandon Knight to Devin Booker to T.J. Warren to Alex Len. Each of them is inconsistent, leading to ugly losses (Spurs) sandwiched by moral victories (Thunder, Cavaliers).
Brandon Knight, for all his flaws, is accomplishing great things at his age. Only four other players in the entire NBA have exceeded his all-around game this season (points, assists, rebounds, steals) before the age of 25 in the past five years, and all are All-Stars.
T.J. Warren just dropped 29 points and grabbed 9 rebounds and 3 steals against the OKC Thunder last night.


Devin Booker is playing like a 10-year veteran. He just looks the part of a major player on a championship level squad. And Alex Len, while wildly inconsistent, shows flashes of All-Star talent.
All have had 'holy crap this kid is good!' moments this year. All will likely be long-time starters and/or 6th-Man-of-the-Year candidates for the next decade. But none is a sure-fire perennial All-Star.
Luckily, for only the second time in the last 40 years, the Suns have a clear path to a Top 5 draft pick in June. The 2016 Draft isn't going to be the best or deepest draft in NBA history, but it's projected to be better than 2013 (the only other time in 40 years the Suns drafted high) and a Top 5 pick is always good to add to a team.
Even better, unlike 2013 there are fewer awful teams in the league. The Suns path to a pick higher than #5 is fairly clear. They can easily spend the rest of the 2016 season with a regular rotation that boasts mostly 24-and-unders, and organically tank to a really nice pick in June.
Unfortunately, the 2016 Draft isn't full of awesome prospects beyond Ben Simmons. And even he has flaws.

This draft is shaping up to be the weakest since the 2013 draft, per CBSSports, and is also trending to be considerably weaker than the 2017 iteration. The reason for that largely has to do with the lack of players who have truly stepped forward as elite prospects to this point.
​

In that respect, the Suns really need to tank hard to get a good shot at #1 overall. They have serious competition, but at least there's not as much abject tanking throughout the league. Even the Sixers are trying to win games lately.
Really, the Top 5 will be talented, and could have a perennial All-Star or two in there. The Suns can only hope that's the case, as getting the highest pick possible is the best alternative at this time.
Ben Simmons, Skal Labissiere, Brandon Ingram and Dragan Bender all can be very good power forwards in the NBA - the one place the Suns have no prospects for the future. Put one of them in with C Alex Len (22), SF T.J. Warren (22), SG Devin Booker (19) and PGs Brandon Knight (24) and Eric Bledsoe (26) and you've got a nice core for the future. Add in SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (24 next year) for good measure.
Or, you could go point guard again and take a Kris Dunn, who might just upgrade the Suns passing abilities if they can clear the way for him. Though, to be honest, the likelihood of a guy like Dunn being a better NBA player than Knight or Eric Bledsoe is quite small.
Don't be too disappointed with the draft prospects quite yet. Every year, two or three new stars emerge in the second half of the NCAA season/tournament and overseas to solidify the Top 5. A year ago this time, we had no idea about Kristaps Porzingis or DeAngelo Russell and they ended up going in the Top 5. Other freshmen emerged as well.
As the Suns season becomes one of infuriating inconsistency and moral victories, enjoy the potential to add a very, very talented player to the mix this summer to supplement the young core the Suns already boast.

 

[tuck321]

Games tonight are colored RED for blood and GRAY for GRIM

 

[tuck321]

Tomorrow Philadelphia plays at the Clippers

<tbody>
[TD="width: 100%"]PHILADELPHIA IS 2-8 SU AND 2-8 ATS IN THESE GAMES.[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 10%"]DATE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]HOME[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]AWAY[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]PTS[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]SU RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]H LINE[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]ATS RESULT[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U[/TD]
[TD="width: 10%"]O/U RESULT[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/27/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]98[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]119[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]12½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]202[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]01/03/2015[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]127[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]91[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]-19½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]205[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/09/2014[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]123[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]78[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-16[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]219½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]12/09/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]83[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]94[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]9½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]208½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]03/20/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]101[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]72[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-11[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]194½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]02/11/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]90[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]107[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]5[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]185[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData2, width: 10%"]O[/TD]

[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]02/10/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]PHI[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]77[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]LAC[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]78[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]-3½[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]187[/TD]
[TD="class: AlternatingData1, width: 10%"]U[/TD]

</tbody>

 

[tuck321]

In the Laker game the refs are
13-7 for the home team
20-6 for the home team
19-5 for the home team
In this range the home teams are a collective 18-8 ATS

 

[tuck321]

In the Miami game the refs are
15-6 for the home team
14-10
14-6
The second refs is 2-5 ATS in this range
Miami is playing off 2 losses SU and ATS.
They have lost ATS 3 or longer in a row twice this year.
After this game they play at Washington where they have lost 4 in a row and have lost at home the last 2 meetings

 

[tuck321]

One Strong homer in Washington 17-5 but the refs seem good for road dogs ATS

 

[tuck321]

Orlando has lost 10 straight to Washington
12 straight to Cleveland 3 straight to Detroit, 5 straight to Indiana including an 8 game losing streak at Indiana and a 1-9 record last 10. This season they lost by 35 at home to Cleveland.
This time they will be playing at Cleveland worst 3 in 4 and 4 in 6

 

[tuck321]

In the Toronto game the refs are
11-10 for the home team
17-7 for the home team
19-7 for the home team
They are under average for home teams in this spread level
Toronto owes the Hornets a long and passionate swift kick in the ass and are playing off 2 ATS losses and have hit 3 only 1 time this season.
Hornets injuries
[TABLE="class: statistics_table"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: statistics_table_header, colspan: 10"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH="class: statistics_cellrightborder statistics_cellbottomborder"]Date[/TH]
[TH="class: statistics_cellrightborder statistics_cellbottomborder, align: center"]Pos[/TH]
[TH="class: statistics_cellrightborder statistics_cellbottomborder"]Player[/TH]
[TH="class: statistics_cellrightborder statistics_cellbottomborder"]Injury[/TH]
[TH="class: statistics_cellrightborder statistics_cellbottomborder"]Status[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]12/31/15[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]PG[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Jeremy Lin[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Ankle[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]"?" Friday vs. Toronto[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]12/31/15[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Spencer Hawes[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Back[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]"?" Friday vs. Toronto[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]12/30/15[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]C[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Al Jefferson[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Knee[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]out indefinitely[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]11/05/15[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Michael Kidd-Gilchrist[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]Shoulder[/TD]
[TD="class: statistics_table_row statistics_cellrightborder"]out for season[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]01/01/16[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder, align: center"]F[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Nicolas Batum[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]Toe[/TD]
[TD="class: otherStatistics_table_alternateRow statistics_cellrightborder"]probable Friday vs. Toronto[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: statistics_table_bodernone, colspan: 10"] [/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
No one out for Toronto
Hornets play at home tomorrow vs OKC
They have lost 9 straight to OKC
Very strong under refs in this game which I am considering
1 Ref very tough ATS vs Toronto Boland other 2 fair and very good

 

[tuck321]

I finally played the under SMALL.
Hornets have been off defensively recently. I could easily stay away here.
Toronto is going to win this game. Data bank showed the last 5 times they won in this series the game went under. The last 5 times Toronto played at home on Friday under was 5 in a row
That said despite a 14-6 SU record and 12-8 ATS record on Friday they are 5-15 ATS facing this team last 20 and the ATS spot here is difficult

 

[tuck321]

Orlando ML half a unit. Orlando plus 2.5 half a unit.
Tough game but Orlando is coming off an ATS loss which is good
On 1 days rest they are 14-7 to Washington 4-9 and in their last 7 games they away they are 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS

 

[tuck321]

Will have Miami ml straight or in some parlay. This should not require explanation but for slow learners does 8-0 ring a bell. Refs do not agree but might slip in a very small under bet here

 

[tuck321]

Adding one play which could be wrong but feels right. Under 207 in the Laker game. One big over ref. The rest average. Kobe is resting for the Next game where they blast at the Suns who will be playing 4 in 5 and who have tortured the Lakers for a long time. Meanwhile Philadelphia plays tomorrow at the Clippers.
Lakers have gone over 3 in a row against respectable GOOD teams. Now they play one with a worst record who they have dominated and who the under is 4-1 last 5 against. Just a guess

 

[dudleysdad]

tuck not sure what philly having the clips tomorrow means.