BAW Nation NBA Playoffs...

[B.A.R.]

Why didn't you take Jamal, LeChina?

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[guaranteeed]

Clippers moving 3 points in the last 3 hours.

Claw playing?

He was at shootaround I'm seeing?

 

[Loves2kickass]

He was at shootaround I'm seeing?

He's always at the shoot around. Question is did he participate in a contact practice. Classic over reaction by bettors

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782603492659790233

 

[B.A.R.]

He's always at the shoot around. Question is did he participate in a contact practice. Classic over reaction by bettors

Well, crossing over zero isn't as significant with a line move.

The timing indicates someone knows something (the books, not the bettors).

 

[B.A.R.]

Oh Nurse, c'mon bro.

Tape doesn't lie.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782603492659790233

 

[B.A.R.]

Hehe

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782641765453074496

 

[Loves2kickass]

Well, crossing over zero isn't as significant with a line move.

The timing indicates someone knows something (the books, not the bettors).

I agree but the line moving 5 points is significant.

 

[B.A.R.]

To put numbers to my unders statement earlier....

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782630646382281015

 

[laopadak]

All good stuff, Reno. Appreciate the insight, reads and plays

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782645686246490497

 

[B.A.R.]

Twolves +1.5 games at -270 currently. Juicy, but can we really see Phoenix winning 4 out of the next 5 games to win that series 4-2? I’m certainly not seeing it.

Did you play this?

I think that's pretty good value.

 

[emg2525]

Did you play this?

I think that's pretty good value.

Yeah, played Nugs -1.5 before their series and grabbed TWolves +1.5 after game 1 of their series. Only 2 futures currently (other than preseason Nugs Western Conference and NBA Champs). Still don’t see the Suns winning their series, and if they do, certainly don’t see it happening in less than 7. Worth every penny of the juice to me.

 

[B.A.R.]

Yeah, played Nugs -1.5 before their series and grabbed TWolves +1.5 after game 1 of their series. Only 2 futures currently (other than preseason Nugs Western Conference and NBA Champs). Still don’t see the Suns winning their series, and if they do, certainly don’t see it happening in less than 7. Worth every penny of the juice to me.

Agree.

 

[B.A.R.]

Prop bet--

Dame o3.5 threes MADE -137

1.5 units

 

[Loves2kickass]

To put numbers to my unders statement earlier....

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782630646382281015

Based on risk/win $100 per bet. I had this exact stat in my google docs. I’ve been tracking and betting most of them last couple seasons. I have a few different post season trends that i track and bet.

14-2-1, +$1180
13-4-1, +$860
27-6-2, +$2,040

Lakers - Pelicans
115.5 (110) U
224.5 (216) U

Warriors - Kings
109 (104) U
221 (212) U

Heat - 76ers
107 (90) U
208.5 (209) O

Hawks - Bulls
113.5 (140) O
222.5 (247) O

Bulls - Heat
100.5 (84) U
207 (203) U

Kings - Pelicans
108.5 (99) U
211.5 (203) U

Magic - Cavaliers
105 (94) U
206.5 (180) U

Suns - Timberwolves
109.5 (112) O
213.5 (215) O

76ers - Knicks
107 (104) U
208 (215) O

Lakers - Nuggets
117 (117) P
227 (217) U

Heat - Celtics
107.5 (105) U
210 (210) P

Mavericks - Clippers
113.5 (86) U
221 (206) U

Pacers - Bucks
112.2 (111) U
230 (203) U

Pelicans - Thunder
105 (86) U
216.5 (186) U

Magic - Cavaliers
105 (102) U
205.5 (182) U

76ers - Knicks
105 (102) U
206.5 (205) U

Lakers - Nuggets
110 (103) U
223.5 (200) U

 

[B.A.R.]

Nice work

 

[Loves2kickass]

Nice work

I've went against a few also and lost lol. Dumb move on my part

 

[Loves2kickass]

Nice work

I use closing lines for all the tracking. I also buy off the half point and that's saved me a couple losses. Nice mention BAR

 

[Loves2kickass]

@B.A.R. I wonder what the series price would be for a Den/Bos final. Do you have any connections on that with any book? I haven't seen any look ahead series prices but I really haven't looked too much yet.

 

[Hulu]

Pace was there Game 1

Shot making was not sans Lillard 1h

Discounted now.

Milwaukee o223 -110

3 units

The more I think about it, I have to agree here. I was on the over in gm1 and it you're right, the pace was there, just not the shooting.

 

[B.A.R.]

@B.A.R. I wonder what the series price would be for a Den/Bos final. Do you have any connections on that with any book? I haven't seen any look ahead series prices but I really haven't looked too much yet.

Just penned that to Benson on Twitter. I'll ask Mason too in a bit.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Just penned that to Benson on Twitter. I'll ask Mason too in a bit.

Thank you. Benson is at William Hill i think?

 

[B.A.R.]

Thank you. Benson is at William Hill i think?

Circa

 

[guaranteeed]

Prop bet--

Dame o3.5 threes MADE -137

1.5 units

Love that, hes getting huge usage

 

[B.A.R.]

1st Half Total

Milwaukee Indiana o108.5 -110

3 units

 

[OCD$]

Circa

Hey, boss do you have any opinion on Minnesota and Phoenix for a side tonight? Thanks.

 

[B.A.R.]

Hey, boss do you have any opinion on Minnesota and Phoenix for a side tonight? Thanks.

That's a live game for me.

Slight lean 1h under.

But nothing pregame.

Minnesota boards such an advantage.

Gun to head, Wolves.

 

[Lexington 125]

1st Half Total

Milwaukee Indiana o108.5 -110

3 units

Alright I’ll hop on.

Gl today BAR

 

[Loves2kickass]

1st Half Total

Milwaukee Indiana o108.5 -110

3 units

See if this trend holds this playoff year. First half under 109 or lower is 10-0 to the under (Knock on wood) Best of luck BAR.

 

[B.A.R.]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782899670341062962

 

[B.A.R.]

See if this trend holds this playoff year. First half under 109 or lower is 10-0 to the under (Knock on wood) Best of luck BAR.

Yup.

This game should have pace again.

Just need average shooting and we'll be good.

 

[Loves2kickass]

See if this trend holds this playoff year. First half under 109 or lower is 10-0 to the under (Knock on wood) Best of luck BAR.

Sorry @B.A.R. misread. Thought you were on under. My bad. GL tonight

 

[Loves2kickass]

Just for that I'm going to buck the trend and ride with ya! I'm on it.

 

[B.A.R.]

Win or lose, expecting similar pace and better Pacers shooting.

We are at a discounted price.

We also are not chasing an over here. I won't do that in the playoffs.

Lastly, the 1H play is something I've done a lot since the ASG. Probably hit north of 58% of those bets.

 

[B.A.R.]

@B.A.R. I wonder what the series price would be for a Den/Bos final. Do you have any connections on that with any book? I haven't seen any look ahead series prices but I really haven't looked too much yet.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782914814437941329

 

[guaranteeed]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782914814437941329

Do you think it stays?

I remember you mentioned something about game lines being late to favoring denver over them a few weeks ago

 

[B.A.R.]

Do you think it stays?

I remember you mentioned something about game lines being late to favoring denver over them a few weeks ago

Yeah, with HCA I can see that.

I'm all for it!

#Nugs

 

[B.A.R.]

I'm also all for OKC blossoming the next 2 months with that 80-1, ya know?

 

[Loves2kickass]

I'm also all for OKC blossoming the next 2 months with that 80-1, ya know?

Dayum that would be a nice one

 

[Loves2kickass]

Minny & Suns both look like shit

 

[B.A.R.]

Dayum that would be a nice one

Just a half unit bet preseason.

Like the core a lot and a lot of the West is "mid" as the kids say.

I was expecting like a 5-7 seed though. They've exceeded expectations.

 

[guaranteeed]

I'm also all for OKC blossoming the next 2 months with that 80-1, ya know?

They seemed kind of at the level where they dont realize what they domt realize yet, if you know what I mean

playing with no pressure

Makes em dangerous....

 

[B.A.R.]

Tough scene for the Sixers. Kinda hope he has a dud in G3 too while Sixers roll so we can hop on for g4 prop at under 30.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1782600625705885842

 

[B.A.R.]

They seemed kind of at the level where they dont realize what they domt realize yet, if you know what I mean

playing with no pressure

Makes em dangerous....

Yes.

 

[B.A.R.]

They seemed kind of at the level where they dont realize what they domt realize yet, if you know what I mean

playing with no pressure

Makes em dangerous....

OT:

Great time of year for @~Utah to get out those Rudy and Spida jerseys!!

Fan of the GAME!

 

[B.A.R.]

Live -

Phoenix ML +115

2 units

 

[B.A.R.]

Live -

Phoenix ML +115

2 units

Possibly trading this later.

 

[B.A.R.]

Suns rebounds 27-15 with 3 left in second.

Incredible effort!

To flip this around is impressive.

 

[Loves2kickass]

Suns rebounds 27-15 with 3 left in second.

Incredible effort!

To flip this around is impressive.

I'd love to see them knock off Minny. Make it a little easier for the Nuggs