Week 4 Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
7:20 PM
101Denver Broncos-3
+100		-150O 40
-105
102New York Jets+2 Markets+3
-120		+130U 40
-115
Sunday, October 4, 2020

12:00 PM
251Indianapolis Colts-2½
-115		-145O 45
-110
252Chicago Bears+2 Markets+2½
-105		+125U 45
-110
12:00 PM
253New Orleans Saints-4
-110		-215O 54½
-105
254Detroit Lions+2 Markets+4
-110		+185U 54½
-115
12:00 PM
255Arizona Cardinals-3½
-105		-180O 52
-110
256Carolina Panthers+2 Markets+3½
-115		+160U 52
-110
12:00 PM
257Jacksonville Jaguars+3
+100		+150O 48
-115
258Cincinnati Bengals+2 Markets-3
-120		-170U 48
-105
12:00 PM
259Cleveland Browns+4½
-110		+190O 55
-110
260Dallas Cowboys+2 Markets-4½
-110		-220U 55
-110
12:00 PM
261Minnesota Vikings+3½
-112		+160O 54½
-115
262Houston Texans+2 Markets-3½
-108		-180U 54½
-105
12:00 PM
263Seattle Seahawks-6½
-110		-290O 54
-115
264Miami Dolphins+2 Markets+6½
-110		+245U 54
-105
12:00 PM
265Los Angeles Chargers+7½
-110		+290O 45
-110
266Tampa Bay Buccaneers+2 Markets-7½
-110		-360U 45
-110
12:00 PM
267Pittsburgh Steelers-1
-120		-125O 47
-110
268Tennessee Titans+2 Markets+1
+100		+105U 47
-110
3:05 PM
271New York Giants+13
-115		+500O 47
-113
272Los Angeles Rams+2 Markets-13
-105		-650U 47
-107
3:25 PM
275Buffalo Bills-2½
-121		-155O 52½
-105
276Las Vegas Raiders+2 Markets+2½
+101		+135U 52½
-115
7:20 PM
277Philadelphia Eagles+6
-105		+230O 45
-110
278San Francisco 49ers+2 Markets-6
-115		-275U 45
-110
Monday, October 5, 2020

7:15 PM
279Atlanta Falcons+7½
-115		+280O 57½
-110
280Green Bay Packers+2 Markets-7½
-105		-350U 57½
-110
 
Ravens & Rams in a 6.5 pt teaser are the only way I'd play them at the current -13. Perhaps a non Pats fan could throw KC into that mix also. Pretty square but no way Pats win this game. They will get torched through the air. 7 is a big number against a BB team though, especially coming off the big MNF win OTR.

Not sure I can back ATL after how they invent ways to lose but they have been in every game & should have easily won two. A TD plus the hook is temping against a team coming off a big road win & upset.
 
JohnnyGambler said:
Seattle in about as bad of a spot as you can get. B2b wild home wins and now flying as far as you possibly can to play a bad team at 10AM that has had more rest and 10 days prep.

The problem is the number just isn't there at all. Seattle was -5 at home last week vs DAL. Now just -6.5 in Miami?
Click to expand...

On Fins big here......

Personally think Miami is underrated via public perception. Bad spot for Seattle....Fins relatively healthy and Seattle with injuries EVERYWHERE.....home team with the better D getting 6.5 here..........yes, DangerRuss is in a class only wiht Mahomes, but this is a big number for them to get over
 
Passer rating and completion percentage allowed of Jaguars' top three corners through three games

CJ Henderson: 102.9 (14 completions on 21 targets)

Tre Herndon: 123.2 (nine completions on 13 targets)

D.J. Hayden: 131.1 (11 completions on 12 targets)


Yikes.
 
brewers888 said:
I think the Jets are the best bet of the week. Denver is coming across the country on a short week with Brett Rypien starting. This is just a very good spot for the home team even if its the Jets.
Click to expand...

You are a glutton for punishment, lol

Good luck Brewer, dont hate yourself in the morning :)

I'm very much against. But you know your team so I will study it more.
 
Do not know if you guys saw these stats yesterday on the Daily Wager, but per my memory these were essentially them:

% ATS:
Home 50% / Away 50%
Home Favorites 50%/ Away Dogs 50%
Home Dogs 50% / Away Favorites 50%

OVERS were hitting about 60% clip - they said this week's lines have been adjusted accordingly

Illegal procedure penalties on the offense were waaaaaaay down, extremely. No home crowd noise.


FYI - I have not watched a game, but these stats were important imo
 
Frank Costanza said:
METAIRIE, La. -- Receiver Michael Thomas won't return from his ankle injury this week. He was one of six New Orleans Saints starters ruled out for Sunday's game at Detroit.

The Saints will also be without both of their starting cornerbacks, Marshon Lattimore (hamstring) and Janoris Jenkins (shoulder), tight end Jared Cook (groin), guard Andrus Peat (ankle) and defensive end Marcus Davenport (elbow/toe).
Click to expand...

no Thomas. No cook. Who is Drew gonna trust other than Kamara? I almost think you line Kamara up in the slot and their backup rb as the back lol
 
VirginiaCavs said:
Passer rating and completion percentage allowed of Jaguars' top three corners through three games

CJ Henderson: 102.9 (14 completions on 21 targets)

Tre Herndon: 123.2 (nine completions on 13 targets)

D.J. Hayden: 131.1 (11 completions on 12 targets)


Yikes.
Click to expand...

Looks like a game where AJ Green goes off and the Bengals still lose su
 
Bills thoughts- They have defensive line issues to go with 2nd corner issues. Henderson was shredding them, I don't expect Jacobs to do any less. Star opting out was a bigger hit to the interior than most thought it would be. Oliver so far has been non existent. Carr is good at checking down, and no pass rush means he could pick apart the zone coverage Buffalo likes to play. I could see something stupid like Agholor going off.

Offensively the Bills have been a juggernaut. I won't bet an under with this team. Total looks sky high but nobody has stopped the offense to date, mind you without Singletary rolling yet.
 
I doubt the game happens tomorrow. Guess we’ll see the ‘game postponed until Monday or Tuesday’ bit and then they’ll hope for all negative tests.

But Saints have already flown to DET so now I’m assuming quite a few players will have to quarantine
 
reNew Orleans said:
I doubt the game happens tomorrow. Guess we’ll see the ‘game postponed until Monday or Tuesday’ bit and then they’ll hope for all negative tests
Click to expand...

This whole Monday or Tuesday shit delusional thinking. Said same thing bout titans at 1st now who freaking knows when they be able to play? I know it took baseball cardinals like 18 days after positives started rolling in. And when titans do play they gonna be at such a big disadvantage. This whole thing could turn into a shit show fast if we have 2-3 or more teams that have breakouts.
 
ISU74 said:
I’ve been liking the production from the Carolina offense. AZ/Car hova.
Click to expand...

I’m worried bout the zona wr Corp. dunno bout Hopkins and dont think Kirk playing either. Could be a big drake Game and Murray using his feet, might still work out but it pretty high number and think could be fast moving clock. I like zona d also.
 
Saints FB Michael Burton tested positive...flew on team flight. He's being re-tested to confirm. All those in contact with him being tested. I imagine it's chaos right now there, game supposed to be play just 7-8 hours from now.

My question is...why were the results not available before they departed? It seems almost like the results came just a few hours late for some reason.
 
The Dolphins are in a good situational spot, but I think they still get destroyed. Seeing a ton of Fins love today, much like the Jets I think they are trash. More offensive talent but still trash.

The Seahawks are not Jax. Allen threw for 400+. 7 passes went for over 25 yards vs Miami. Wilson has one of the best 1/2 punches for downfield passing, and the Fins will be down a cb. X. Howard is talented and that's about it. Carson returning should keep Miami's D off balance. If you like the Fins, then IMO the over is a much better wager. Could easily see the Hawks scoring 21 1sth points, and the injuries in the defensive backfield could lead to some Fins plays downfield.
 
Bills are the play @LV. KC will destroy Buffalo but Carr won't be able to do enough. Waller should be catching doubles all game, just have to slow Jacobs. I'm going to be looking for a Singletary prop, either yards or anytime TD. Sooner or later the ground game will get going, still a McDermott coached team.
 
Grabbed Chargers+275 & pts. Brady is still a statue and without Godwin/Fournette they could struggle. Congrats to beating the Donks and Panthers, but this number is too high. Entire right side ol is out for the Chargers & rookie road game so maybe it gets ugly, but I could see Bosa harassing Brady all game. TB tt u24.5 looks enticing to me.
 
Lexington 125 said:
Grabbed Chargers+275 & pts. Brady is still a statue and without Godwin/Fournette they could struggle. Congrats to beating the Donks and Panthers, but this number is too high. Entire right side ol is out for the Chargers & rookie road game so maybe it gets ugly, but I could see Bosa harassing Brady all game. TB tt u24.5 looks enticing to me.
Click to expand...

tt under def makes sense, I’m not to worried bout chargers defense even tho Brady has carved up their scheme plenty And Ingram is out, I’m far more worried bout chargers offense against the Tampa d which is really good. Just not sure how many points they gonna put up after watching them struggle to reach 20 pretty much every game, a few against poor defenses including last week.
 
way too small/short of sample size to even consider those numbers IMO.

Indy#1 lost to jags, wins against Minny and Jets....
a total of 1-8 teams
 
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