O/U erred to the low side last week. Of the 10 games with an O/U of 43 or less, 7 went over. Only 6 such games this week, so with 10 games higher than 43 the under may have a good day.
ATL/BUF - tough to lay 14.5 with Bills off a huge win, but I wouldn't touch the Falcons either. Competent QBs leans to over the 44.5.
NYG/CHI - not interested, neither team has motivation
KC/CIN - Chiefs offense is starting to roll, Bengals a little more hit or miss, hit big last week. Both teams super hungry. Total is not yet to 50, which seems incredible. Over or nothing here.
MIA/TEN - Dolphins winning with defense, as are the Tits, who haven't scored more than 20 in weeks. Dolphins on a 7 games win streak but have crossed 20 only 4 out of 7. Under 41.5 looks good.
LV/IND - Raiders offense hasn't crossed 17 since Thanksgiving. Hard not to see the Colts forcing their will upon Vegas and running it down their throats. Line has shrunk to 5.5 so watch out for COVID news. BREAKING - WENTZ ON THE COVID LIST
JAX/NE - Bill has been known to take out his frustrations in games like this, so its Pats or nothing. Can't trust Jax to contribute to the total either. Probably pass.
TAM/NYJ - As noted, Jets D is tissue paper at this point and Tommy loves to take it to them for old times sake. Over a mid 40s total looks inviting.
PHI/WAS - rematch from two weeks ago when Philly covered late against a game Garrett Gilbert led team. WFT were thoroughly embarrassed on SNF so they'll be keyed up in this one. Dog should be barking in this one.
LAR/BALT - Rams won kinda ugly last week now go up against a fading Ravens team that was knocked around last week. I just don't trust Stafford in these spots. Want to see who's under center for Baltimore but if it stays at +3.5 I think you have to look their way.
DEN/LAC - Tough game, both teams off two game losing streaks have screwed their playoff chances, basically making this an elimination game. Chargers are an over machine, while Denver has been playing D and cashing unders. The QB talent says take the Chargers but laying more than 4 seems dicey. Pass.
HOU/SF - Texans on a two game winning streak while Trey Lance might be the QB for SF. -12.5 is a pretty big hurdle for a rookie making his second start, but how motivated are the Texans? Pass.
ARI/DAL - Cowboys are rolling and Cards are reeling. Almost makes it a must play on Arizona, doesn't it?
CAR/NO - Yuk, no interest.
DET/SEA - Seattle -7, wasn't that the line last week vs the Bears? Line seems a little light, Detroit is scrappy.....SOMETIMES. I'll lay the 7.
MIN/GB - Since 2012 these two teams have played a pair of over games twice. In that time they've also played to a tie twice. Do you think they'll tie this year? Me neither. I like a January Lambeau under here and probably Green Bay -6.5 too.
CLE/PIT - Not being said officially but this is probably Big Ben's last home game. Steelers will be fired up for this one, and they've been OK at home. Browns coming off a Mayfield shitshow, think they might run it a few times. Incredibly the Browns are favored. Once more to the Tomlin dog kennel.
