United States Open Week....

B.A.R.

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
I'm going to get this started concurrently with St Jude this week... Feel free to start discussing...
 
geauxgolfer said:
My only play thus far is Jimmy Walker +15000* I snagged this line 2 months ago.
Click to expand...

as usual I am chancing my Euro "cats & dogs" next week @ Shinnecock Hills mostly because it is a "links" golf course

Jon Rahm @ 22-1 WIN Open de Espana [-20] WIN La Quinta [-22] playoff 4th Masters [-11] WON the Irish Open [-24] last season on a links course. "Rahmbo" is my "favorite of the favorites" and still 22-1 @ William-Hill which is actually UP from his opening 16-1

Tommy Fleetwood @ 35-1 T-7th Players [-12] 4th Honda [-6] WIN Abu Dhabi HSBC [-22] T-17th Masters [-4] was solo 4th last year US Open [-11] @ Erin Hills

Alex Noren @ 60-1 T-3rd BMW PGA [-12] 3rd Honda [-7] 2nd Torrey Pines [-10] playoff CUT Masters.

Francesco Molinari @ 125-1 WIN BMW PGA. 2nd Italian Open [-21] 20th Masters [-2] with his recent play I think "The Mole" is the best bet of the 100-1 or higher "dog bets" I got a week ago. current 75-1

Rafael Cabrera-Bello @ 125-1 4th Italian Open [-18] T-8th BMW PGA [-10] T-3rd WGC-Mexico [-15] T-38th Masters [+3] WON the Scottish Open [-13] last season on a links course

Tyrrell Hatton @ 150-1 T-3rd WGC-Mexico [-15] 3rd DDC [-20] T-44th Masters [+4] WON the Alfred Dunhill Links last season [-24]

Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 250-1 T-5th BMW PGA [-13] T-5th WGC-Mexico [-13] WIN Super 6 Perth match play T-44th Masters [+4]

Haotong Li @ 250-1 WIN DDC [-21] T-32nd Masters [+1]

Shubhankar Sharma @ 250-1 WIN Joberg Open [-23] WIN Maybank [-21] 3rd round lead WGC-Mexico and Indian Open CUT Masters

Alex Levy @ 300-1 WIN Trophee Hassan [-8]

Matt Wallace @ 300-1 WIN Indian Open [-11] playoff T-3rd China Open [-16]

Andy "Beef" Johnston @ 300-1 2nd Indian Open [-11] playoff

Thorbjorn Olesen @ 300-1 WIN Italian Open [-22]

REALLY Like the Jimmy Walker play. he is current 125-1 @ South Point :shake:
 
don't know IF recent WINS makes these guys "the hots" for the US Open BUT here they are

PGA tour (one NOT qualified as noted) current odds
Dustin Johnson WIN FedEx-St Jude [-16] @ 12-1
Bryson DeChambeau WIN Memorial [-15] @ 40-1
Justin Rose WIN Colonial [-20] @ 15-1
Aaron Wise WIN Byron Nelson [-23] @ 100-1
Webb Simpson WIN The Players [-18] @ 75-1
Jason Day WIN Wells Fargo [-12] @ 16-1
Andrew Landry WIN Valero [-17] (NO qual)
Satoshi Kodaira WIN RBC [-12] @ 250-1
Patrick Reed WIN Masters [-15] @ 35-1
Ian Poulter WIN Houston [-19] @ 100-1

Euro Tour (some NOT qualified as noted)
Mikko Korhonen WIN Austria [-16] (NO qual)
Thorbjorn Olesen WIN Italian Open [-22] @ 300-1
Francesco Molinari WIN BMW PGA [-17] (2nd Italian Open) @ 75-1
Joakim Lagergren WIN Sicilian Open [-16] (NO qual)
Alex Bjork WIN China Open [-18] (NO qual)
Alex Levy WIN Trophee Hassan [-8] @ 400-1
Jon Rahm WIN Open de Espana [-20] @ 25-1
Matt Wallace WIN Indian Open [-11] (T-3rd China Open) @ 300-1

my biggest "to win" play is Jon Rahm $100 to return $1950 at odds of 16-1, 20-1 & 25-1 (current @ William-Hill) "Rahmbo" a proven winner with a recent Tied 5th Colonial [-10] his last, WON Open de Espana [-20] and solo 4th Masters [-11]. my 2nd favorite is Francesco Molinari $18 to return $1768 at odds 125-1 & 75-1 (current @ William-Hill). "The Mole" HOT his last two with the BMW PGA WIN and 2nd Italian Open. also a LOAD of my usual high odds "cats & dogs" because as they say in New York, "HEY, Ya NEVER KNOW!!!" :)
 
LIKE your "cats & dogs" picks, geauxgolfer. as I posted my two favorites this week are "Rahmbo" and "The Mole" BUT played these long shots also. some like Koepka, DeChambaeu and "The Poulter-geist" I obviously got early because their lines have "dumped"

Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Xander Schauffele 100-1
Brooks Koepka 50-1
Alex Noren 60-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Bryson DeChambeau 100-1
Xander Schauffele 100-1
Aaron Wise 100-1
Tyrrell Hatton 125-1
Webb Simpson 125-1
Byeong-Hun An 125-1
Rafael Cabrera-Bello 125-1
Jimmy Walker 125-1
Jason Dufner 125-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 150-1
Satoshi Kodaira 150-1
Si Woo Kim 150-1
Haotong Li 150-1
Luke List 175-1
Alex Levy 250-1
Jhonattan Vegas 250-1
Dylan Frittelli 250-1
Shubhankar Sharma 250-1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 250-1
Peter Uihlein 250-1
Trey Mullinax 300-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 300-1
Andrew "Beef" Johnston 300-1
Matt Wallace 300-1
Richie Ramsay 500-1
Matthew Southgate 500-1
Ryan Fox 500-1
Richy Werenski 500-1

as usual I know I "over did it" BUT it's the US Open and I got no more hockey action for this season. besides MOST are $2 to $5 bets :shake:
 
Matchups:

JT -115 vs Rory
Rahm -110 vs Spieth
Leishman -115 vs Molinari
Oosthuizen +120 vs Casey
Leishman EV vs Cantlay
Oosthuizen EV vs Noren
Scott -110 vs Finau
Walker -105 vs Grillo
Fitzpatrick +115 vs An
Henley -110 vs Woodland
 
Top 20 - Chesson Hadley +500*

1st Rnd Leader - Hideki Matsuyama +3300*
1st Rnd Leader - Henrik Stenson +3300*
1st Rnd Leader - Patrick Cantlay +5000*
1st Rnd Leader - Tony Finau +6600*
1st Rnd Leader - Aaron Wise +10000*
 
more "Rahmbo" US Open props
Jon Rham Top 10? YES +200
Jon Rham Top 20? YES -105
Jon Rham to make the cut? NO +300 (halfazzed hedge in case he blows up)

just two "group" bets @ Westgate so far
Group B
Jason Day +240
Jordan Spieth +275
Rickie Fowler +250
Jon Rahm +275

Group F
Francesco Molinare +240
Marc Leishman +260
Matt Kuchar +275
Webb Simpson +260

ALL the "Rahmbo" and "Mole" head to head match plays I have seen so far are wicked minus money "pricey" so have NOT bet any as of yet :confused:
 
geauxgolfer said:
Top 20 - Chesson Hadley +500*

1st Rnd Leader - Hideki Matsuyama +3300*
1st Rnd Leader - Henrik Stenson +3300*
1st Rnd Leader - Patrick Cantlay +5000*
1st Rnd Leader - Tony Finau +6600*
1st Rnd Leader - Aaron Wise +10000*
Click to expand...

I like that Hadley top 20 Geaux. My other "sleeper" is Schauffele
 
I'm thinking about hitting Grillo and Wise for T20s as well. Are you playing Schauffele as a T20?

I'm very likely adding Rickie and Walker to my FRL lineup. Leaning hard towards a Rickie outright as well. Not in love with the number right now though.
 
my biggest "to win" play is Jon Rahm $100 to return $1950 at odds of 16-1, 20-1 & 25-1 (current @ William-Hill)

well I guess some people went "WTF ???" with that Jon Rahm 25-1 @ William-Hill. NOW back down to 16-1 Tuesday afternoon :popcorn:
 
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geauxgolfer said:
I'm thinking about hitting Grillo and Wise for T20s as well. Are you playing Schauffele as a T20?

I'm very likely adding Rickie and Walker to my FRL lineup. Leaning hard towards a Rickie outright as well. Not in love with the number right now though.
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Yes. My futures:

Top 20 Schauffele +400 Hadley +500 Grace +175

Hagestad +1200 top am.

Day +135 top Australian

No $ yet on Fowler. But I will.
 
found another to make the cut? play. Sergio Garcia NO +200. CUT 4 of last 5 tourneys and T-70th the other. no wonder he is the DOG in every match play I have seen of his this week :nonofinger:
 
WHAT a WRECK of a 1st round. just FIVE golfers even or better with FOUR, DJ, Henley, Piercy and "The Poulter-geist" tied 1st [-1]. could be more of the same tomorrow with the Friday weather forecast :shitstorm:

http://www.nj.com/sports/index.ssf/2018/06/how_will_weather_affect_us_open_2018_at_shinnecock.html

Friday forecast
In some ways, Friday looks just like Thursday, with sun throughout the day. But when it comes to the wind, the forecast calls for almost the exact opposite scenario, with a stiffer breeze early in the day, with things calming down a bit during the afternoon before picking back up in the evening.

The actual wind speeds, though, should be lower than Thursday. Right now, they're expected to blow in the 8-15 mph range for most of the day, with things slowing to just 4-8 mph around 2 p.m. Gusts in the vicinity of 10-20 mph are expected most of the day

looks like the CUT could come @ [+6]. notable "name" players in danger of a miss:
Rory McIlroy [+10]
Jason Day [+9]
Tiger Woods [+8]
Jordan Spieth [+8]
Jon Rahm [+8] <<< (I am FUKKING FUKKED!!!) :mad:
Phil Mickelson [+7]
Bubba Watson [+7]
 
R2 thoughts....Luke List is top 10 in 2nd round scoring, Tony Finau is 109th. Gonna bet List +110 for R2.

Charles Howell is ranked 11th, Hoffman is 115th or so. Taking CH3 -120 R2.
 
geauxgolfer said:
What a fucking shit show. I guess I cheer for Sam Burns now? I dunno? WTF!
Click to expand...

three interesting adjusted "to win" @ Westgate after 1st round

Sam Burns 100-1 [+1] tied 6th
T-12th Valspar [-4] T-8th Honda [-2] WIN @ Savannah [-21] and T-2nd Bogota [-9] on Web.com Tour

Matthieu Pavon 200-1 [+1] tied 6th
T-11th Maybank [-14] T-5th Mauritius Open [-12] early this season. solo 3rd Scottish Open [-10] solo 6th Nordea Masters [-8] and solo 3rd Open de Portugal [-16] last season

Jason Dufner 35-1 [even] solo 5th. T-5th Players [-13] @ South Point

Henrik Stenson @ 15-1 [+1] with Justin Rose @ 5-1 [+1] and Dustin Johnson @ 3-1 [-1] @ William-Hill. that lucky prick DJ will probably WIN the damn tourney. he along with Woods and Thomas an early tee time Friday :mad:
 
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aplous said:
Fleetwood good start -1 through 4. Luke List has lost the plot today....
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"Cocker Tommy" with the BEST round of the day Friday [-4] for tourney [+1] BUT that puts him FIVE behind DJ with his [-3] for tourney [-4]. I really do NOT see anyone catching DJ this weekend. he is just playing too consistent :confused:
 
B.A.R. said:
https://twitter.com/x/status/1007776901753131008
Click to expand...

I remember that Oakmont Open. I was pulling for Shane Lowry BUT those wicked fast Oakmont greens had him "bamboozled" the final round. Scott Piercy really has NOT done much since that season

obviously DJ's tourney to WIN although BOTH Tommy Fleetwood and Brooks Koepka with solid [-4] for tourney [+1] rounds Friday and I have seen BOTH shoot "wicked low" when they get it going. DJ would have to come "back to the field" though and doubt THAT will happen :confused:
 
DJ -140
Field +120


I’d probabky take a shot with the field if I didn’t already have action....
 
I can NOT BELIEVE what a complete SHIT SHOW this tourney has turned into. FOUR TIED for the LEAD @ [+3] as Dustin Johnson DOES come "back to the field" with a [+7] Saturday. rounds of the day Daniel Berger and Tony Finau both with [-4] and Brooks Koepka the 4th player tied with a [+2] round. Justin Rose solo 5th with a [+3] for tourney [+4] and Henrik Stenson solo 6th with [+4] for [+5]. three more @ for 7th @ [+6] including "Fat Pat" Reed, Jim "The Hawk" Furyk and my Thai "round mound" "A Fat Barn Rat" who shoots a [-2] on the day.

besides DJ the other 2nd round leaders that "blew up" were, the Ian Poulter [+6] for tourney [+7], Charley Hoffamn [+7] for [+7] and Tommy Fleetwood [+8] for [+9]. "get a haircut and get a REAL job" you cocker spaniel looking bugger Fleetwood!!! IF any of the top 10 [+7] or better players can find a way to shoot UNDER par Sunday they probably WIN the damn tourney :shitstorm:
 
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