CFL Syndicate 2024

Let me just say this...

If any of you EVER see my wearing a phone on my belt, you have my explicit permission to murder me on the spot. Take my phone, my cash and credit cards while you're at it. Because if I am wearing a phone on my belt, it means I have given up on life. All pride and purpose is 100% gone from my life and I will only be going through the motions at that point. It won't be worth living anymore.

If this offends any of you, I'm sorry. Not sorry that you are offended, sorry that you have given up on life by attaching a phone to your belt.

That is all.
 
Edmonton -1 -108

Toronto off 3 wins and look playoff ready. This should be a game they rest a lot of guys and even if they do play them I expect a half at most. And how motivated are they going to be here? Long flight to EDM to play a dead team in a meaningless game. Elks rested and have a lot of guys looking to solidify rolls for next season. I think they romp here.
 
JohnnyGambler said:
Edmonton -1 -108

Toronto off 3 wins and look playoff ready. This should be a game they rest a lot of guys and even if they do play them I expect a half at most. And how motivated are they going to be here? Long flight to EDM to play a dead team in a meaningless game. Elks rested and have a lot of guys looking to solidify rolls for next season. I think they romp here.
Click to expand...

Agree 100%. Just pisses me off that I didn't clue in when it was +2.5.
 
Alright, I figured out how I want to bring the Elks into my portfolio this week after missing the good number. I'll parlay their ML with Winnipeg because I just can't even conceive of the Bombers losing.

1* Parlay Edmonton ML / Winnipeg ML +134

Yeah I know much of this is square AF and its not something I would do mid-season. But I am pushing hard to get myself back in the black. Like a QB trying to lead a 2 minute drive from behind, you have to push a little harder and accept a little more risk if you want to succeed from this position.
 
And 30 secs later its +160

Can't live bet unless its a commercial break or halftime. The books are just too far ahead of the tv feed
 
Bo Levi Mitchell sets the single season passing yards record for Hamilton. And they were eliminated from the playoffs weeks ago. That's how bad their defence has been.
 
WHAT. A. GAME.

Probably the best meaningless game in history. Final 37-31 Ottawa. They win it with a 3 play goal line stand to end it. Wow.
 
0.5* Live Toronto ML -138

Taken at the half with Toronto up 13-6. This game was supposed to be Ford vs Dukes but after a quarter we have Doege vs Arbuckle.

Arbuckle is ok but Doege sucks ass. Advantage Toronto.
 
You have to be fucking kidding me with this league LOL

A walkoff PUNT for a rouge in OT. Can't wait til the clips of this go viral in the states.
 
Holy shit! Another insane ending! 3 scores inside the final 3 minutes and then Edmonton wins it on a walk-off rouge from a punt! @scarf31 would be so proud!
 
Hulu said:
Holy shit! Another insane ending! 3 scores inside the final 3 minutes and then Edmonton wins it on a walk-off rouge from a punt! @scarf31 would be so proud!
Click to expand...
I have been advocating for the exact play. It makes all the sense in the world and I’m glad to see the Elks pull it off to perfection!
 
Randy Ambrosie's tenure as commissioner of the CFL will end after the Grey Cup, Sportsnet's Arash Madani reported on Saturday.

Best news I heard all season, this guy is/was a detriment to the CFL since his hiring.
 
Wow the game endings just get better and better this week. I had already marked the game as a loss and then that wind came out of nowhere and changed everything. I've never seen an ending like that in my life. Absolutely insane.
 
And now with Sask relegated to second place, most of their "game time decisions" will be sitting you can be sure. To hedge against my MTL +3.5 / Sask ML parlay, I'm grabbing some Calgary plus the points. Secures a nice week and gives me a chance for a middle.

1* Calgary +4 -110
 
Results through Regular Season

Sides 27-17-1 +3.835*
Totals 5-8 -5.38*
Parlay/Tease 4-4 +0.31*
Live/2H 10-7 +1.325*
Props 0-1 -0.55*
Futures 2-0 +0.50*

Overall 48-37-2 +0.04*


5-2 in week 21 for +4.83*

A week ago I didn't think I could get back to the plus side. Now I am primed and ready for the playoffs.
 
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Seems like just yesterday the season was starting and here we are. Playoff time.

I'm sorry but how does Toronto not absolutely smash the living shit out of Ottawa this weekend? They have a date with Montreal in 2 weeks and a fugazi Redblacks team who can't win a game on the road to save their lives ain't going to stop that. Anything under -7.5 is a gift.

1.5* Toronto -5.5 -113
1* Toronto ML -245
1* Parlay Toronto ML / Saskatchewan ML +131
 
adding...

1* Ottawa TT under 23.5 -124

When you look at the redblacks away offence this year it isn't a pretty picture. Here are their offensive outputs on the road this season...

21, 16, 37, 31, 12, 21, 16, 12, 31

The early season 37 & 31 came against the league's 2 worst defences in Calgary and Edmonton. The last 31 was vs the Argos when they executed 2 onside kicks at game's end to make it respectable. 2 successful onside kicks is about a 0.04% chance of happening.
 
Argos getting healthier this week with Dejon Allen, Jon Edouard, Dylan Giffen and Robbie Smith all available again. Plenty of depth at multiple positions.

One piece of bad news is that their leading receiver Coxie will likely miss the game. That's a blow but they have a lot of receiving talent and I think their running game will be the story on Saturday. They should be able to grind down the rouge et noir DL all day.
 
Hulu said:
FraudDuel stupidly still has Toronto at +650 while every other book has moved into the +350 range so they must be punished for their rank incompetence. I added another bit to it at that price. I wish I could add more but the frauds and fools that run the "sportsbook" there are apparently so afraid that their balls shrink every time I make a bet.

Full bet now as follows...

0.35* Toronto to win Grey Cup +707

As much as I hate the rival from the up the road in the armpit of Canada, its hard to ignore that the Argos getting healthy and hot at just the right time. They have locked up second place and should have a cake walk tune-up in the east semi vs an Ottawa team that has really faded in the back half of the season. Then it will be on to Montreal to face an ALs team that has not looked invincible at all since Fajardo came beck from injury. They are still winning but its been anything but convincing and it looks like their starting LT has been lost for the year after last week's meaningless game. Don't think for a minute that the Argos and Chad Kelly have forgotten what happened last season when it was the reverse situation and Montreal upset them in their own home in the east final. The boatmen have been licking their chops for this matchup since November 2023.

The Argos toughest test will be in the Grey Cup against whomever makes it out of the west. The Cup is in Vancouver this year which can be tough on an eastern team but I think Toronto can beat any one of the west's best in the big game. They just beat Winnipeg in their own building where the Bombers rarely lose. Sask or BC won't pose much of a test.
Click to expand...

With the playoffs starting I guess people are putting money on Montreal and Winnipeg to win the cup and the Argos have crept up to +550 now. So I am adding to make this a half unit as I think there is still tremendous value with them. I've said it before but they are getting healthy and peaking at exactly the right time and they have a massive chip on their shoulders over what the ALs did to them last year. Let's take a look at the path to win...

-Ottawa in the east semi won't prove to be much more than a tune-up game. The rouge et noir were decent to start the season and surprised a lot of us but faded badly down the stretch as defensive injuries took their toll. 2 weeks ago in Toronto they lost 38-31 but that game was really misleading. The Argos lead 38-12 at the 3 minute warning and were on cruise control when Ottawa tried to storm back, executing 2 onside kicks along the way. It made the score more flattering but Toronto was never really in danger and had fully taken their foot off the gas. Ottawa was 2-7 on the road this year and the only 2 wins were early season victories against Calgary and Edmonton, the 2 worst defences in the league. Now they will face arguably the best. Toronto should crush the redblacks.

-The east final vs Montreal will be a test for sure. But Montreal went 2-4-1 down the stretch since Fajardo came back and the only team they were able to beat was Ottawa, twice. Unlike 2023 where they added significant pieces to their defense down the stretch, this year they've quietly lost a number of pieces to injury in the latter half of the season. They are not the defensive juggernaut that began the season. Its just been confirmed that Mustafah Johnson from the DL is gone for the year and they also lost their starting RT in a meaningless game vs BC 2 weeks ago. Montreal is beatable and the Argos have been gunning for revenge for a year now.

-The Grey Cup could feature Sask or WPG as an opponent and both are beatable. Toronto just beat Winnipeg in their home 3 weeks ago and the Bombers rarely lose at home. Sask is every bit as beatable should they make it.

Bottom line is, at the present +550 the Argos offer huge value as a cup winner.

Full combined bet now as follows...

0.5* Toronto to win Grey Cup +660
 
When lines come up for the east final, I'm guessing the Argos will be +2.5 to +3.5 depending on how they look tomorrow. Anything 3 or above will be an absolute hammer spot for me.

One of those "open the vault, take the rubber band off and unload" type of bets. Both ATS and ML.
 
Just bought a ticket to tomorrow's game. I think this will be the first time I have gone to an Argos game when the Ticats weren't involved.

I'd proudly wear my Ticats jersey to the game but I don't want it to come back smelling like Toronto.
 
Adding some props...

0.5* Prop Damonte Coxie under 4.5 receptions -110
0.5* Prop Damonte Coxie under 59.5 receiving yards -110
0.5* Prop Dru Brown under 307.5 pass yards -110

Coxie is listed as doubtful for this game so these bets may be refunded but if he does play he will be seriously less than 100% and likely a decoy more than anything else. Not to mention, these numbers are well above his season averages of 3.47 receptions and 50.6 yards per game.

Dru Brown has averaged 247 pass yards per game this year and on the road its been even worse as their offense has sputtered. Sure he put up 400 two weeks ago vs Toronto but as I mentioned earlier most of it came in that garbage time comeback attempt.
 
Checking the weather for tomorrow, it looks like a beautiful day in Toronto. Cool but sunny with no wind to speak of.

Same thing in Regina although there may be some significant wind. I doubt it affects the game much though due to the design and positioning of Mosaic stadium.
 
Coxie ruled out so those props will be nullified.

He'll be replaced by former Old Dominion receiver Jake Herslow who has played all of 1 game this year.
 
Hulu said:
Adding some props...

0.5* Prop Damonte Coxie under 4.5 receptions -110
0.5* Prop Damonte Coxie under 59.5 receiving yards -110
0.5* Prop Dru Brown under 307.5 pass yards -110

Coxie is listed as doubtful for this game so these bets may be refunded but if he does play he will be seriously less than 100% and likely a decoy more than anything else. Not to mention, these numbers are well above his season averages of 3.47 receptions and 50.6 yards per game.

Dru Brown has averaged 247 pass yards per game this year and on the road its been even worse as their offense has sputtered. Sure he put up 400 two weeks ago vs Toronto but as I mentioned earlier most of it came in that garbage time comeback attempt.
Click to expand...

Coxie props will be refunded since he's now listed as out for the game. I am upping the Dru Brown prop to a full unit as this number is at least 30 yards too high IMO.

Full bet now as follows...

1* Prop Dru Brown under 307.5 pass yards -110

Also adding another prop on Stanback rush yards. Sask has the best run defense in the league and in 2 games against them this year, Stanback had a combined 20 carries for 49 yards. Thats 2.45 ypc which is well below his season average of 4.9 ypc. Not to mention, I have a feeling BC will be playing from behind a lot of this game so they will be forced to pass.

0.5* Prop William Stanback under 50.5 rush yards -110
 
Ok I'm done for today's games unless something comes up live. Cleaning up the mess of posts, here's today's full card.

1.5* Toronto -5.5 -113
1* Toronto ML -245
1* Parlay Toronto ML / Saskatchewan ML +131
1* Ottawa TT under 23.5 -124
1* Prop Dru Brown under 307.5 pass yards -110
0.5* Prop William Stanback under 50.5 rush yards -110

And the open future...
0.5* Toronto to win Grey Cup +660


By later today I'll either be counting my money or wondering how I fucked up my season so badly.
 
The most shocking part of this game is how easily Dru Brown is been able to pick apart the Argos D. I didn’t see that coming.

Hopefully some second half adjustments from Toronto will tighten things up
 
Results through Semi Finals

Sides 28-17-1 +6.335*
Totals 5-9 -6.62*
Parlay/Tease 5-4 +1.62*
Live/2H 11-7 +2.075*
Props 1-2 -1.15*
Futures 2-1 +0.40*

Overall 52-40-2 +2.66*

4-2 for just over 2.5 units this week. 3 games left to bring it home.
 
1* Saskatchewan +4.5 -110

I think Sask has the ability to keep this one very close. The number is already coming down at some spots and if history is any guide, it will move toward sask as gameday approaches. If this were to get to 2.5 or better, I'd take WPG for the middle because ultimately I lean them to win outright.
 
I see some Montreal money has pushed the Argos back up to 2 or 2.5 at most shops. If I can get a +3 at -120 or better, I'll be adding.
 
Best ML out there I see on Toronto is +112 currently. But if you have an account at FraudDuel you can take these 2 bets and get something better.

Toronto to score first and win +220
Montreal to score first and lose +370

Depending on who scores first you will be left with either Toronto +120 or +270

Limits are $25 for me so not really worth a bet but if anyone out there wants a better ML on the Argos, this is one way to get it.
 
0.5* Prop Damonte Coxie under 4.5 receptions -135

Same reasoning as last week. He has been limited in practice all week and is questionsable to play. If he does, I doubt he becomes a feature of the offence as I suspect the Argos will try to run the ball down Montreal's throat with Mustafah Johnson out. Toronto rushed for 200+ yards in their last win vs MTL and I think they will try to do that again.
 
0.5* Prop Cody Fajardo under 274.5 pass yards -110

In the 5 games since coming back from injury, commander cody has averaged 246 yards per game and eclipsed this number only once against the league's worst defence. I think Montreal wants to keep this one a rock fight because they know they can't outscore Toronto in a track meet.
 
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