Tuesday Discussion Thread

Man, senga my guy and all, pretty sure he started his mlb career vs fish last year and I cashed a few k props against them as he just had that ghost splitter disappearing on marlins hitters! But he hasn’t pitched in 11-12 days, control is always the issue for him, not sure I’m trusting the control while he hasn’t pitched in so long! Guess we see where they put his walks and k’s but that price on alcontera is tempting, just 1st thoughts I gotta go back and see how Sandy pitches looked in his 1st start.
 
Corbin Burnes makes his long awaited snakes debut, not sure if he got big time ace money but to me he not a big time ace, he a solid 1, fantastic 2 imo. How will the torpedo bats work against the cutter? Could be a pretty cheap price for what I assume a pretty big starting pitcher mismatch.
 
Looks like the Liberatore experiment is back for cards. You know what his spring was like @VirginiaCavs? Not that it means much but is sure feel better knowing he can actually pitch! Lol. My 1st reaction is there no chance I’d lay -140ish on this kid.
 
Steele has been pretty awful to start the year. I’ll have to dig a little deeper but for me it Oakland or nothing I think.
 
That all I got far as 1st thoughts, no day games so not gonna worry bout deep diving til morning with a cup of coffee!!
 
Isn’t @BenchCoach our resident reds fan? Think it him, I’d love a scouting report on Spiers!!
I’m not really a fan of any team…I grew up 20 minutes from Chavez in East LA with Scully and his classic play by play…I work pretty long hours and I live in CST now, so I do like to sit on the back porch or in the office and watch the boys in blue late night, kinda brings me back…haven’t lived in LA since the late 90’s
 
Looks like the Liberatore experiment is back for cards. You know what his spring was like @VirginiaCavs? Not that it means much but is sure feel better knowing he can actually pitch! Lol. My 1st reaction is there no chance I’d lay -140ish on this kid.
He was solid but pretty much just pitched against the Marlins lol. Cards seem dead-set on making him into a starter despite how much better he's been as a reliever. Looks like he's working to develop his cutter, which he added last year, to enhance his arsenal. Liberatore as starter seems like a work in progress overall, implied by manager saying that he'll get a "long runway" to figure out how to be a starter
 
They gonna few Redlegs fans in here

Yes but there was one specific person that used to come into the discussion threads last few years and usually had good incite on reds, I thought for sure it was @BenchCoach, if it wasn’t him I feel like a real asshole cause I should know his name! I’m gonna go ahead and use the wife is dying excuse on this one cause I really should know who the fuck I’m talking bout and feel bad I can’t think of who it is! If he doesn’t chime in or does I’m sorry as shit I can’t think of who it is! But I’m going thru a lot lately! (Lol)., on that note I still need that reds pitcher scouting report!
 
Man I ate one them 15 milli indica gummies, slept like a baby but I was sure it was morning and it only fucking 1:15!! I’m still pretty high so that makes sense but I can’t believe that was less than 3 hours sleep!! Lol
 
We'll see what we have with Casey Mize this year ..

After the offensive explosion last night, I'll be looking for an under at some point? Feels like a live stalk for myself.
 
Man I ate one them 15 milli indica gummies, slept like a baby but I was sure it was morning and it only fucking 1:15!! I’m still pretty high so that makes sense but I can’t believe that was less than 3 hours sleep!! Lol
Basically you missed out on the last 4-5 hours of sleep you were expecting!
 
I really hope whomever it was chimes in cause I seriously don’t wanna have to go back and read last year discussion threads to find out who the hell it was but I should know this person we have had more than enough discussions I feel like a real prick I can’t think of who it is! Plus I really would like that scouting report! Lol
 
Basically you missed out on the last 4-5 hours of sleep you were expecting!

I’m usually thrilled if 1 of 2 things happen, I get 3 straight or more, or actually sleep deep enough to dream, pretty sure I was dreaming which annoys me even more I woke up cause it wasn’t one my night terrors I don’t really count whatever it was seemed pleasant!
 
We'll see what we have with Casey Mize this year ..

After the offensive explosion last night, I'll be looking for an under at some point? Feels like a live stalk for myself.

Well he gets at least a 25% boost I think is about right to give pitchers pitching at Seattle against that lineup, that was a offensive explosion for Seattle also so they prob score 2-3 runs the next few days! I think lefties prob should get more like a 36-40% boost against a Seattle lineup that all basically switch or right handed, shit crazy they can’t hit lhp!
 
Well he gets at least a 25% boost I think is about right to give pitchers pitching at Seattle against that lineup, that was a offensive explosion for Seattle also so they prob score 2-3 runs the next few days! I think lefties prob should get more like a 36-40% boost against a Seattle lineup that all basically switch or right handed, shit crazy they can’t hit lhp!
Late night totally forgot about the Sea and lefties angle .. durr...
 
Crazy me, I was so shocked to see Liberatore is apparently in cards rotation I didn’t even notice long time cardinals killer Kyle Hendricks now pitches for the halo’s! He couldn’t get anyone out last year and still want to say he had 1-2 dominating performances against the cards. They didn’t exactly crush the left handed version of Hendricks in game 1, now they get the guy who would be in the HOF if he only pitched against cardinals!! Man, I guess it depends what you think of Liberatore how you approach this, I never been a buyer, hated the trade when they made it, the rays don’t typically give up a cost controlled young starting pitcher they believe in and I know rays scouting knows a hell a lot more than cardinals!! At the moment I’d lean halo’s Ff.
 
Ok none this shit during day and I doubt I have props out yet so gonna try and sleep til a normal time like 7ish! We see how that goes, lol.
 
what has been going on w Steele? He has a history of being netter later but not sure I recall him being this bad early in the season, did the Japan trip throw him off? I have no idea but I think his struggles continue vs A’s here. Way to soon to tell but could be lot of runs scored in that minor league park in sac town! Not basing off one game where cubs went off but the atmosphere, everything bout it felt a lot more hitter friendly than the wasteland the coliseum had become!!! Think the A’s owner sucks but they did need a new park and a this small of park the atmosphere gonna be much better. Sevi has good numbers vs most the scrubbies..

I def like A’s Ff tt over and team total if price right,

A’s ml but after last night dunno if I should see if it gets bet higher?
 
Crazy me, I was so shocked to see Liberatore is apparently in cards rotation I didn’t even notice long time cardinals killer Kyle Hendricks now pitches for the halo’s! He couldn’t get anyone out last year and still want to say he had 1-2 dominating performances against the cards. They didn’t exactly crush the left handed version of Hendricks in game 1, now they get the guy who would be in the HOF if he only pitched against cardinals!! Man, I guess it depends what you think of Liberatore how you approach this, I never been a buyer, hated the trade when they made it, the rays don’t typically give up a cost controlled young starting pitcher they believe in and I know rays scouting knows a hell a lot more than cardinals!! At the moment I’d lean halo’s Ff.

7-2 w a 2.26 lifetime for Hendricks at Busch!! Even last year when nobody wanted to believe me cause he was mostly a gas can he pitched 7 scoreless! The only reason I’m not creaming myself to bet laa 1st 5 and maybe look at Hendricks props is historically he ain’t been great early in the season, it been 4-5 years since he had a good start, gotta think cold and age could have something to do with it playing at Wrigley but it supposed to be windy and slightly chilly so does that hurt him? That my only concern here or I’d def be on cards Ff tt under I assume 2.5!

Thoughts? Are the historical early season struggles enough to overlook how he owns this team?! Not sure. Don’t forget I hate Liberatore also so maybe a laa 1st 5 in order but I need to look closer at loberatore instead of assuming he still trash I should prob make sure! lol. @VirginiaCavs have you seen him this spring or heard anything promising?
 
He was solid but pretty much just pitched against the Marlins lol. Cards seem dead-set on making him into a starter despite how much better he's been as a reliever. Looks like he's working to develop his cutter, which he added last year, to enhance his arsenal. Liberatore as starter seems like a work in progress overall, implied by manager saying that he'll get a "long runway" to figure out how to be a starter

Sorry I missed this before I asked again! Lol.

I told you the minute we gave up a bat we needed we got fucked in that trade! Rays don’t deal cost control pitchers they like!! Cards scounting was awful, soon as I heard we gave Aduzerena up for a rays pitchers I knew this kid be shit. You right he was much better in pen but then they look stupid trading an impact bat for a solid reliever! Someone should tell them they already look stupid so who cares!!!
 
If he ever gonna be good you think it be against a mediocre laa lineup. Supposed to get a bit windy around gametime, that prob enough to throw him off his game! Over walks maybe? Have to look and see if Laa taking walks?
 
So i lied, I couldn’t sleep yet I had some game thoughts and plays in head. So far I played these, keep in mind it seems i gotta wait for props, team totals, other shit from offshore but at moment I still don’t have choice as I don’t have the time or ability to be going to Illinios every day, can’t wait til I can and we see how long espn bet snd FD tolerate me till they get sick of me like DK did! Jokes on them once my life back in order I’ll be playing a them live and nobody be the wiser!!!! lol. Anyways for a long time I didn’t play overnights so I dunno if I’m getting good numbers or not but I played these so far, like I said there prob be other plays on same games I just don’t have option for hours!!!

Fish Ff +120
A’s ml +121
Det/sea Ff u4 -120
 
Still awake. Lol. I don’t really feel like doing numbers at moment, I don’t know dick bout either pitcher in the twinks/chisox game but seeing twinks -159 is pretty hilarious after watching them play the last week! Is this just a perception line or do they have a big pitching edge here cause forget the names and past few years Chisox playing better ball than the twinks! Maybe twins lose a bunch early and they forced to fire that meathead manager I can’t stand!! I saw buxton jump for a ball, he be hurt before end of April! And what a shocker Royce Lewis started the year hurt I guess! Same ol twinks. The rain delay flustered Lopez game 1 vs cards. I’m sure the manager has done something stupid I just missed! One of best 2 players out and the other will prob join him in the spa soon enough. And they -160? Not saying i wanna play white Sox but seeing is believing, I know baseball all bout sample size but I prefer to worry about the here and now. God dammit now I guess I gotta look at these pitchers.
 
Don’t love the weather but think there might be a case for an over in the minny/cws game, ff maybe if it 3.5. From what I’ve read bout cws starter he more a middle relief type w 2 dependable pitches one being a heater that has played anywhere from 92-95 then bumped up after TJ but dropped back down before Milw letting him go in rule 5 draft. So a 2 pitch pitcher vs a minny team that has dudes that will def hit better than they started, I Just don’t love guessing when that will be? They made cards pitching better than I assume it will be, it be cold in Chicago they bunch of babies on that team besides meathead coach who prob won’t wear a shirt (lol). Woods-Richardson doesn’t exactly scare me even against cws crappy lineup.
 
I pump up Oakland yesterday. They promptly lose 18-3. Mid-season form for me.

I think you were just a day early my friend. I bet them live thinking I did great getting +900, then I woke up and saw score! Lol. I didn’t wanna back Estes but everything screamed runs in that live number I thought, after I bet them they did score a few and got down to +350, I went to sleep thinking I did good! lol.

Maybe Steele will figure things out but he been god awful and honestly I think his arsonal plays pretty well to A’s strengths. At the very least I think oak scores more tonight, depends what ya think of Sevi on other side but I grabbed a little A’s today.
 
Where was I before @KJ distracted me? Oh yea.

Yesterday the price on reds was egregious, honestly I shoulda bet more than I did. Singer vs some guy? How singer was the dog still baffles me, even more cause I look today and this line makes way more damn sense as it Eovaldi vs some guy. I do feel like they must think pretty highly of the rangers, is it cause the 1st series, lower on reds, what is it? I think rangers prob the side but I’m not sure I want to pay almost -140 when de la Cruz just discovered a submarine bat yesterday!! I’m gonna be super interested how it works with Eovaldi who has a arsonzl of pitches that move every direction. Feel like there more value out there but you could do worse than eovakdi against a 27 year old w meh stuff and not much a career. Texas lineup hasn’t done all that much yet, this could be the day? But again the price feels right, maybe a rangers Ff tt over or rangers ff -.5?
 
My mom says she raised a pussy but I don't know what the fuck I'm doing

I got a fancy thing one year was supposed to make me expresso shots and whatnot. I couldn’t make that thing work for shit but coffee out regular machine it all bout a clean machine and good coffee! Why not just get one those things that makes the individual cups? I have like 3 of them but stopped using when I got with Theresa cause she liked coffee also, Kurig or whatever? You can’t mess those up! Lol
 
Before I do this I knew Bank would randomly be awake right now

Playing just offshore kinda blows for this: few things they won’t let me do (I don’t blame them!) plus it appears props and other things don’t pop til 10:30 or so. I can make my own numbers but I rather not do every game and I can usually look at them and see ones im just gonna skip, suppose I could still look over at the USA books (duh, lol).
 
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