Saturday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

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Mar 30 Sat 2024

 
another day another crappy cardinals starter turn to get smacked around by the dodgers, step on down lance lynn! we didn't want you in your prime when you could actually get guys out but now that you good and washed up you fit right in! betts, ohtani, freeman over h/r/rbi, doyers ff tt and full game total over please! if this wasn't so easy to make money it would be sad, how the hell they gave cards the highest win total in the central is beyond me, there is no freaking way this a .500 team!
 
why do i get the feeling Hicks will be awesome as a starter since cards never gave him a chance! should be the next former cardinal to become a all star! guy was striking out everyone in spring ball, that doesn't always translate but call it a hunch this dude bout to become a star! lol. i never fully trust Cease and a guy going to pads typically has the opposite effect as leaving the cards, i like the plus money on san fran but we see where Hicks props are at also.
 
soroka ov 4.5 k's ev. no way was i passing this up with no juice! maybe it a bit a flyer but i've heard lots of promising things about him this spring, at one point he was thought to be a big time prospect. well worth a shot against a tigers team who still appears to have plenty of swing and miss.

nola ov 15.5 outs -130., anyone surprised im on this? i will say getting +105 on wheeler yesterday was way more value than this but that was just nuts!! nola has a great history of pitching well vs these guys, this feels like another slam dunk to me.

nats/reds over 10...love the reds to hit corbin, i'll have a few hitter props in this one as well, we could have just played the cincy total but here the thing. i like greene but the nats are a very disciplined team who does not strike out a lot, when greens doesn't get guys to chase greene struggles to avoid walks and then he gets into all kinds of trouble as he groves his fastball right over heart the plate!! it doesn't matter how good your stuff is, you gonna struggle vs big leaguers if you walking guys then grooving fastballs, we saw a lot of crooked numbers by him last year and i think we could very well get one or 2 here.
 
ryan ov 5.5 k's ev.. dunno why he is even money on 5.5, thought for sure this be a 6.5 but i guess lopez was 5.5 so maybe they just overrating kc lineup, i don't buy it, ryan owned these guys last year.
 
i'd like to fade the rangers, think they get their ring ceremony tonight which i've always felt a decent fade spot in every sport but don't love the way the scrubbies handed them game 1 after essentially getting the game gift wrapped to them by the ump letting the go ahead run score on what appeared to be a foul tip but was called a passed ball! the other problem is i don't trust Hendricks vs this lineup one bit, maybe scrubbies team total over 4.5 the way to go?
 
another day another crappy cardinals starter turn to get smacked around by the dodgers, step on down lance lynn! we didn't want you in your prime when you could actually get guys out but now that you good and washed up you fit right in! betts, ohtani, freeman over h/r/rbi, doyers ff tt and full game total over please! if this wasn't so easy to make money it would be sad, how the hell they gave cards the highest win total in the central is beyond me, there is no freaking way this a .500 team!

so we have

lad ff tt ov 2.5 -120

betts ov 1.5 h/r/rbi (not sure why they didn't go ahead and make this 2.5? i'd rather had plus money on that than the -165 on this number but there no way i'm not playing him! he been on fire to start the year, anytime he simply walks he gonna freaking score with ohtani and freeman hitting behind him! lance lynn washed up ass ain't gonna be the guy to slow him down!!

freeman ov 1.5 h/r/rbi -150,, wtf going on here? why isn't he 2.5? i rather not pay this juice but i also think the odds of him getting this against cards crappy pitching are better than price suggest. he is only 1-11 vs lynn but i assume most of those 11 came when lynn was a pretty good pitcher who featured several versions of a fastball that was tough to square up, he still getting a decent amount of swings and misses but he has to work out of the zone more to do so. he will still eat innings and probably have some quality starts vs bad lineups, vs teams like the dodgers i suspect it will be ugly!!

Ohtani ov 2.5 h/r/rbi +110.. now we talking, i rather have the plus money on all these guys over 2.5 but we take what we can get! a great degen once told me "the juice only matters if ya lose!", lol. i never totally agreed with that take but in this situation i'll buy it!
 
very bad sign for the muts that Sevi is getting knocked around by milw. if you can't get these guys out who can ya?? had no clue what to do with that game, isn't this kid pitching for milw one the pieces they got in the burnes deal? i had heard his command isn't good enough to start so be interesting to see how he does, for whatever reason the muts havnt proven they can hit so this a good way for him to be eased in i suppose!! took him 20 something pitches to get out the 1st inning and now they doing damage to him in the 2nd inning. i heard they did good in the burnes trade, i dunno if id call this good? lol. i guess they got a highly rated infield prospect also??
 
Going to throw a couple props in with UConn ML today Bank, see how that works out

i'd do that also but i'm getting so sick of ncaa sides ducking up monster days for me! lost a ton on houston last night, lost a ton on unc the night before, lost a ton on baylor over weekend, lost a ton on florida last friday, lost a ton on nevada thursday. jfc, i lost a monster play every fucking day of the tourney!! i didn't even realize that till just now, lol. i gotta laugh to keep from crying. the crazy part and only reason im actually up money is i prob have hit at least 80% the props i've played!! just thinking of all the ones i parlayed into one those sides tho and how much more money i could have!! if anyone safe jt probably is ucon but not sure they even worth the add with that -450ish attached to them! i been so impressed by illinios they actually the one team left i think could beat them, maybe vols but i still dont trust barnes! not only does -450 not really get me excited i'd have to do all that at the casino since can't bet illinios schools on the apps., i've had bout enough of ncaa teams fuckinb up my wet dreams anyways!! lol
 
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and now i can't even do props on the illini/ucon game cause no app betting and no props at all on illinios schools. dumb ass shit, i'm not even looking at todays hoops, fuck them! clemson the 1st team bama has faced that doesn't match up in a way props be easy to pick off so im boycotting the elite 8!! lol
 
well fuck, it looks like Soroko spring was a mirage, that why i don't typically care bout spring numbers. not the way i wanted to start the day, fuck
 
well fuck, it looks like Soroko spring was a mirage, that why i don't typically care bout spring numbers. not the way i wanted to start the day, fuck
At least he's only 21 pitches in and ChiSox battling back, still have time there

First time I can ever remember I'm going to be on Purdue tomorrow. Them and UConn only teams I feel good with, already on under in UConn/Illini, both showed levels of brilliance this season on defense and all that's talked about is #1 v #2 offense. Doubt I bet on Clemson/Bama or Duke/NCSt, not even sure I watch those
 
At least he's only 21 pitches in and ChiSox battling back, still have time there

First time I can ever remember I'm going to be on Purdue tomorrow. Them and UConn only teams I feel good with, already on under in UConn/Illini, both showed levels of brilliance this season on defense and all that's talked about is #1 v #2 offense. Doubt I bet on Clemson/Bama or Duke/NCSt, not even sure I watch those

this mfer had Beaz of all ppl in a 0-2 hole and couldn't punch him out! i could punch out Beaz with a 0-2 count!
 
his pitch count ain't bad but dunno how deep they would let him go considering thr injury history. prob not more than 5 innings no matter how he looks next 3. i trued ti move this over to in-game so @VirginiaCavs don't yell at me!
 
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I was gonna play Greene Ks (you know I luv me some HG) but I trust your analysis. Piggybacking you here, good luck to us.

he certainly capable of posting a big k number on anyone. nats were just surprisingly good about not striking out last year, i almost never played k props against them cause they were so good making contact. we see if greene has matured but previously id say if he not punching guys out then he has issues. i dont read much into spring but id think a guy who struggled with walks woulda been working on not walking ppl yet he had a few walks in every outing., ii hope i didnt talk you out a winner but fairly confident we get the cash with those reds hitters vs corbin in that band box
 
his pitch count ain't bad but dunno how deep they would let him go considering thr injury history. prob not more than 5 innings no matter how he looks next 3. i trued ti move this over to in-game so @VirginiaCavs don't yell at me!
Too much going on today to worry about bouncing around different threads and forums. I miss the all sport ingame.
 
white sox could at least get the W and make up some for soroka, i missed bad on this mfer, not sure i ever played a k prop and not got a single punch out? maybe if dude got ran from game in 1st inning but this mfer seriously has recorded 9 outs and no punch outs! that hard to do these days. he pitching a lot better than medea, lol
 
his stuff appears good enough, the fastball has life, he just not locating or mixing pitches real well
 
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