redbearde
Pretty much a regular
mrs.redbearde is asleep... 
I see a lot of you think the Hawks are live tonight. I don't. In any case, I think you need a hell of a lot more than a bit less than 2:1 to give it a try. I've seriously considered laying this chalk.
I see 183, 190, 185, 180, 190.....ick.
Clippers @ Magic. care to roll the dice? +1500 at thegreek...15:1 is probably worthwhile, but it's extremely likely to lose.
76ers @ Detroit. Read BAR. But I think Philly's going to crash down to earth when playing the top teams that don't turn it over. I think this one will go about like the Celtics game did for philly. I see 320, 290, 300, 325...I think this should yield more.
Seattle @ Boston. Seattle still doesn't play defense. Only way they win is if Boston misses wide open shots at home...like they did in Phoenix. I think this is perhaps 1% to 3% likely. So if you can get +4000 at pinny, then GFY. But it's still overwhelmingly likely to lose. I see 2500 (bm), 2600 (thegreek), and 3200 at MB.
Knicks @ Heat - here again are two dogshit teams, but Miami has the value. It really was a tossup, and had miami hit that last shot (damn near did), the Clips would have lost Miami's last home games. the Heat can shoot, and the Clips turned the ball over more, so don't think the Heat were really outplayed back then. As for this game, rod_steel has some great thoughts, but see if you can get +150 later today. I'm planning on it...though I may well just ride with the Cavs.
Cavs @ Nets. I have a chalk ticket. This 170 or 165 business is dog shit. It could win, but it should be more like 2:1 or even more. If you play this, then you you're getting shorted, imo.
Utah @ Milwaukee. I really like this one. Utah hates winning on the road. I don't know why. Milwaukee only likes to win at home. I don't know why. I see 325, 310, 300, and even 280, so this demonstrates why having multiple outlets is good. Not sure I'll play it.'
Spurs @ Hornets. No value. I don't bother with this shit unless I'd play it as chalk, and I would not.
Bobcats @ Mavs - see Clippers. Mavs are fighting for their playoff lives, and they can't afford to lose this one. Really don't think 6:1 is worth it.
Memphis @ Denver - the Grizz are an absolute joke. Brewer's bro JR and the boys are going to put on a SHOW tonight...I don't care how high this one is. No way am I playing memphis on a B2B from phoenix where they gave up 140 to denver where they'll likely do it again.
Toronto @ GSW...I can see this one. But the Warriors are real tough at home....when they have Stephen Jackson. Wouldn't shock me to see the Raptors keep it within the number, but an outright win is a lot to expect. 5:1 might seem valuable to you. Not so much to me.
gun to my head...
I'd take
Cavs chalk - already did
Miami at better than 1.5:1
Milwaukee at better than 3:1
Toronto on the off chance Stejax gets hurt
thoughts, anyone?
I see a lot of you think the Hawks are live tonight. I don't. In any case, I think you need a hell of a lot more than a bit less than 2:1 to give it a try. I've seriously considered laying this chalk.
I see 183, 190, 185, 180, 190.....ick.
Clippers @ Magic. care to roll the dice? +1500 at thegreek...15:1 is probably worthwhile, but it's extremely likely to lose.
76ers @ Detroit. Read BAR. But I think Philly's going to crash down to earth when playing the top teams that don't turn it over. I think this one will go about like the Celtics game did for philly. I see 320, 290, 300, 325...I think this should yield more.
Seattle @ Boston. Seattle still doesn't play defense. Only way they win is if Boston misses wide open shots at home...like they did in Phoenix. I think this is perhaps 1% to 3% likely. So if you can get +4000 at pinny, then GFY. But it's still overwhelmingly likely to lose. I see 2500 (bm), 2600 (thegreek), and 3200 at MB.
Knicks @ Heat - here again are two dogshit teams, but Miami has the value. It really was a tossup, and had miami hit that last shot (damn near did), the Clips would have lost Miami's last home games. the Heat can shoot, and the Clips turned the ball over more, so don't think the Heat were really outplayed back then. As for this game, rod_steel has some great thoughts, but see if you can get +150 later today. I'm planning on it...though I may well just ride with the Cavs.
Cavs @ Nets. I have a chalk ticket. This 170 or 165 business is dog shit. It could win, but it should be more like 2:1 or even more. If you play this, then you you're getting shorted, imo.
Utah @ Milwaukee. I really like this one. Utah hates winning on the road. I don't know why. Milwaukee only likes to win at home. I don't know why. I see 325, 310, 300, and even 280, so this demonstrates why having multiple outlets is good. Not sure I'll play it.'
Spurs @ Hornets. No value. I don't bother with this shit unless I'd play it as chalk, and I would not.
Bobcats @ Mavs - see Clippers. Mavs are fighting for their playoff lives, and they can't afford to lose this one. Really don't think 6:1 is worth it.
Memphis @ Denver - the Grizz are an absolute joke. Brewer's bro JR and the boys are going to put on a SHOW tonight...I don't care how high this one is. No way am I playing memphis on a B2B from phoenix where they gave up 140 to denver where they'll likely do it again.
Toronto @ GSW...I can see this one. But the Warriors are real tough at home....when they have Stephen Jackson. Wouldn't shock me to see the Raptors keep it within the number, but an outright win is a lot to expect. 5:1 might seem valuable to you. Not so much to me.
gun to my head...
I'd take
Cavs chalk - already did
Miami at better than 1.5:1
Milwaukee at better than 3:1
Toronto on the off chance Stejax gets hurt
thoughts, anyone?
