Sammy Meatballs
Sammy Meatballs? Never Heard of Her
IT's TIME!
BC on the way down as news of the Esks injuries makes the rounds. Still some 4s available out there. If you like it, get on it now.
Food for thought... While Toronto has had an extra week of prep and film from the cats 1st game, what do the cats have to prepare with?
The argonauts have a brand new offense installed by Chapdelaine and they only had Franklin and MBT execute it in the first preseason game. That was the 11am weekday game, untelevised. Im sure there was a camera or two running but the film won’t be great. The second PS game they started scrubs and ran pure vanilla.
Argos definitely have a prep advantage here
What a fucking disaster this week 2 was for me. I never lose in week 2 and here I go 1-3. Just complete misreads all over the place. This is a tough year with so many teams rebuilding substantial parts of their rosters. I should have entered the season with more caution. Sorry guys.
Results after Week 2
Sides 3-4-1 -2.647*
Totals 3-3 -1.28*
2H bets 1-0 +0.50*
Live 1-0 +0.50*
Overall 8-7-1 -2.927*
Advantage over close
Sides: +4 pts
Totals: +10 pts
I'm going to start keeping track of my advantage over closing lines throughout the season. Pretty straightforward although given the importance of the 3, I'll count moves on, off or across the 3 as double. (ex 2.5 to 3 is 1 point. 3.5 to 2.5 is 2 points).
Had a ticket to the game yesterday but I didn't even get to go. One of our cats had disappeared for 2 days and came back, barely alive just as I was about to leave. Had to rush him to the emergency vet. 24 hours later he looks like he'll pull through but my credit card is now on life support.
Co signI hope your cat and you guys are doing good!
Has every CFL game so far gone over?
I like overreactions, my site already has the Ham under at 58* -05.
Any other unders you like my man?
Breaking: Mike Reilly has shaved his beard. Time to get serious.
good stuff in this thread. do you have a mini write up for the montreal under by chance? looks like some market agreement. wouldn't get too down over the slow start.
good stuff in this thread. do you have a mini write up for the montreal under by chance? looks like some market agreement. wouldn't get too down over the slow start.
good stuff in this thread. do you have a mini write up for the montreal under by chance? looks like some market agreement. wouldn't get too down over the slow start.
Interesting but not surprising. Offences are definitely ahead of defences which is flipped from the usual. Defences will come together and improve throughout the year and we’ll be left with some really high totals to go under.
Leans on 3 additional plays. I really feel like there’s value on both Montreal and Toronto getting 14 and 13.5 respectively but I can’t do it after the debacle last week.
Also feel like the over 52.5 in Calgary looks good. BCs offensive line sputtered last week but Calgary doesn’t have the defensive line depth to do what Edmonton did to them. But can Jurious Jackson smarten up and call some runs or any sort of short passing game to take advantage? After last week I have no confidence in their ability to adjust their offense to their opponent. No play for now.
Thanks for the thoughts Sammy, I appreciate it...
:cheers3:
Sammy, if you were to bet one of the 3 double-digit dogs this week, who would it be?
Toronto looked completely out of shape and I don't know if they ccan fix that in a week. Plus they lost Micah Awe and Jermaine Gabriel from their defence. Sask isn't great but they should be able to run the ball all over Toronto. I think the Argos offence will play better but I don't know if they can keep this close.
Montreal looks better to me but they have a glaring weakness in that they have no pass rush vs the best offensive line in the league. Hamilton should be able to control the ball and tire out the rest of the defense and I don't see VA having enough success to keep the cats off the field for long. Maybe they keep this within 2 TDs. Maybe.
BC looks the best of the bunch to me. No way they're as bad as they looked last week and Calgary is beatable with their thin defensive line. They are without Ormialade, Turner and Muarbre. They signed Jabar Westermann this week in an emergency but he isn't that great, just a warm body. We knew going into the year that BC would take some time to get things together and would be a work in progress this year. To that end, they are shuffling their secondary and offensive line and theres rumors of a players-only meeting. I think there is a shot that they bounce back and keep this one close. The big question for me is, are they going to start running the ball? Because that's how you can beat Calgary with their DL troubles. I would think in all the shit going on around that team, Claybrooks must have had a talk with Jackson about the playcalling. I mean theres memes about it at this point. They're being mocked in the press about their lack of balance. Surely they must know its an issue.
Read a report out of BCs practice that said they spent a lot of the day working on bubble screens and the short passing game.
Maybe they’re wising up and figuring out how to counter the blitz.