Hulu's CFL 2019

Bringing previously posted week 12 plays onto the new page...

1.5* EDM/CAL under 49 -110
1* Toronto +11.5 -107
 
.75*/.75* Saskatchewan -5 / ML -110 / -225

Spent a lot of time on this game after getting burned fading Winnipeg last week but I really think this one is solid and don't see how they pull off an upset 2 weeks in a row and now without Harris and Matthews. There's a whole lot more to my handicap than that but I really think Sask at the least gets the win at home and quite possibly blows out the Bombers.
 
Results after Week 12

Sides 14-16-1 -6.947*
Totals 14-11 +1.430*
Parlay/Tease 0-1 -0.500*
2H bets 7-4 +1.650*
Live 4-1 +1.700*

Overall 39-33-1 -2.667*

Advantage over close
Sides: +22 pts or 0.71ppb
Totals: +24 pts or 0.96ppb

4-1 +3.425* this week. Need to keep this momentum going.
 
Fab14 said:
Good job i hade calgary & under today:tiphat::shake:
Click to expand...

I think Calgary is a good bet to win it all right now. Getting healthy at the right time and they saved enough cap space by having Bo on the 6 game to sign 2 veterans if they have a shot at any NFL cuts.
 
Lines are up and everything is very close to my numbers. Gonna be tough to eek out a profit this week. More thinking required.
 
I hate double-dipping on back to back games but the fundamentals of this matchup suggest another under-paced game. Only 1 unit this week.

1* CAL / EDM under 48.5 -110
 
Money coming in on Edmonton and it’s hit 3 at Pinny. I have to say that either team getting 3 in this matchup has value. Strong lean on Calgary at +3.
 
Both these lines have moved from the openers (which were correct IMO) and created value. At least one of these 2 gets the win tomorrow.

1* Saskatchewan ML +124
1* Calgary ML +130
 
Gotta take a shot with the Argos again this week. They are so close to putting it all together and I think they have a solid chance to at least compete, if not win vs the RedBlacks. I hesitate because they are on a 5 day week and the RBs off a bye but Ottawa is still tinkering with their roster due to injuries and poor play while the Argos come in to this one making only a few minor changes. I made the line 3.5

1* Toronto +5.5 -107
 
Results after Week 13

Sides 16-17-1 -5.647*
Totals 14-12 +0.330*
Parlay/Tease 0-1 -0.500*
2H bets 8-4 +2.150*
Live 4-1 +1.700*

Overall 42-35-1 -1.967*

Advantage over close
Sides: +22 pts or 0.65ppb
Totals: +24 pts or 0.92ppb

3-2 and +0.7*. So close to being back on the plus side, I can taste it. Next week.
 
Starting to feel my groove again...lets hope that feeling sticks around.

1.5* Montreal +7 -111

if you like this, get on it now because there's no way that 7 sticks around long.

eta...the more I think about it, the more I like this bet. Raising to 1.5*. May add some moneyline at some point
 
Last edited:
One more bet I like this week but waiting on depth charts to come out tomorrow before I hit it.
 
1* HAM / CAL under 51.5 -110

Ticats getting some defensive help back with the big frenchman Ted Laurent anchoring the middle but will be without Tasker again. Not to mention their RB situation is a mess. Converted SAM LB Jackson Bennett will get the start and he is not an every down back, making their offense rather one dimensional.

Stamps getting Casher and Law back on the DL, making their defense 100% healthy. But they still miss Ambles and Sindani at receiver.

Both teams have more offensive injuries than defensive injuries which is a good starting point for an under.

Additionally, Dane Evans has looked good since he took over for Masoli but he hasn't done a whole lot on the road, and against this defense, the cats will be hard pressed to score 20 IMO. My number for this game was 48.5.
 
TW66 said:
Did you have any thoughts on the Lions game ?
Click to expand...

I was driving all day today so didn’t really get to look into it enough. I liked the lions to win but didn’t like the line. Now I’m kicking myself for not playing it. Cest la vie.
 
Books are taking their sweet time putting up a 2H number in Calgary. NCAA must be taking up all their attention
 
0.5* Calgary 2H -5 -110

In Dave & Bo I trust. They will make the adjustments, especially on defence, necessary to get back in this game. They may not win it but it'll be close.
 
They only dropped that line for about 2 minutes before the 2H. Pinny never released one at all.
 
Sad that my pussies lost but happy to pick up a buck and a half. On to the next game.

Vive les Alouettes!
 
Results after Week 14

Sides 17-17-1 -4.147*
Totals 15-12 +1.330*
Parlay/Tease 0-1 -0.500*
2H bets 9-4 +2.650*
Live 4-1 +1.700*

Overall 45-35-1 +1.033*

Advantage over close
Sides: +22.5 pts or 0.64ppb
Totals: +24.5 pts or 0.91ppb

Zing! 3-0 for +3*. Finally dug myself out of the hole. That plus sign is a beautiful thing.

Alright, celebration time is over. Time to get to work on next week.
 
When you have time... Talk to me about my Hamilton future I played months ago. Obviously I know the standings but defer to your thoughts first and foremost.
 
B.A.R. said:
When you have time... Talk to me about my Hamilton future I played months ago. Obviously I know the standings but defer to your thoughts first and foremost.
Click to expand...

In short I still love it. I’ll put some more detail down after nfl work is done today.
 
0.5*/0.5* Montreal +1.5/ML -110/+105
Wrong team favoured IMO but it should be a close game.

1* BC / OTT under 48.5 -110
Made this 46 and my totals model spits out anything from 44.5 to 46. Until Ottawa can find a functional QB and receiving corps, I'll keep betting them under.

Caveat: I am falling behind on news and lacking sleep so tail with caution.
 
B.A.R. said:
When you have time... Talk to me about my Hamilton future I played months ago. Obviously I know the standings but defer to your thoughts first and foremost.
Click to expand...

So as I said, I still love this bet. The major factor behind this handicap is that Hamilton came into the season as the overwhelming favourite to win the east and really had no competition. With home field advantage they should slide into the CG game with little resistance and I'll take +500 or above in a one game showdown against anyone, especially in the CFL where the Grey Cup is often competitive even when the teams are not so evenly matched.

Then Jeremiah Masoli went down with a knee injury and I thought it might be all over but after watching Dane Evans for a few games, I'm wondering if Masoli will even be back next year. Evans has kept this offence running like a top. They still have the best OL in the league who have stayed almost completely healthy to this point. Brandon Banks and Bralon Addison are the offensive keys to this team and as long as they stay healthy, this team can score. The running back situation is a mess but I've been really impressed with how HC Orlondo Steinauer and OC Tommy Condell have papered over that with some impressive scheming. Erlington and Maleek Irons both have a solid chance to return this season which will shore up the running game.

The defensive line took a hit when they lost DE Adrian Tracy to a torn bicep but they are still formidable with JaGared Davis, Ted Laurent and Dylan Wynn as well as a host of quality depth guys. The linebacking group is good although if there is a weak point on this defence, its Justin Tuggle at MLB. Simoni Lawrence is a top 3 WLB and Rico Murray is a stud at SAM. The secondary is good and deep and even without Delvin Breaux the past few games, haven't missed a beat.

In short, this team is still loaded and has incredible depth at every position. They have great ratio flexibility with tons of NAT depth too.

The only stumbling block en route to the cup would be Montreal but with 6 games left, the cats are 3 games up on them and its unlikely anyone catches them at this point. A crossover team from the west (likely Edmonton) could also be a problem but crossover teams rarely do anything. I would take Hamilton at home against anyone in the league except maybe Calgary. And if they win the east, they are one home game (with a bye to boot) away from the big game

So assuming they get to the cup rather easily (and I'd take -150 that they do), the obvious obstacle would be Calgary or Winnipeg. We still don't know if or when Matt Nichols will come back so peg is a big question mark. Calgary is the most likely west representative as they are getting healthy at the right time and have a very good shot at HFA which puts them one game away. And now the kicker...the GC game is in Calgary this year so the stamps would have an obvious huge HFA if they get there. But like I said, +500 or better in a one game showdown is a good deal from where I sit so I'm very happy with Hamilton as a value play.
 
1* Calgary -6 -110

Toronto has played a lot better of late, at least offensively speaking, and yeah they are off a bye and yeah they are at home but I still don't think they're ready to go toe to toe with a fully torqued Stamps team on a mission.

Now having said that, I wanted to wait it out a bit to see how Calgary's depth chart shaped up, especially at receiver but it already moved from 5 to 6 so I have to hit it now before I lose it. I'll likely be able to buy off if I decide I don't like it later.

eta...I made it 8 and I see 7's popping now.
 
Wow money coming in on Winnipeg...Montreal up to 2.5 now. I missed the boat there. I want to add but I don't know if theres news behind these moves or not so I have to catch up.
 
Harris is back from suspension....explains the line move.....on the Stamps at 6 also.. waiting to pull the trigger on the Lions if I can get a lower juice 2.5..


Bol
 
Hulu said:
1* Calgary -6 -110

Toronto has played a lot better of late, at least offensively speaking, and yeah they are off a bye and yeah they are at home but I still don't think they're ready to go toe to toe with a fully torqued Stamps team on a mission.

Now having said that, I wanted to wait it out a bit to see how Calgary's depth chart shaped up, especially at receiver but it already moved from 5 to 6 so I have to hit it now before I lose it. I'll likely be able to buy off if I decide I don't like it later.

eta...I made it 8 and I see 7's popping now.
Click to expand...

Buying off the Stamps who have lost yet another receiver. That leaves them with Eric Rogers and a bunch of scrubs. I’m happy to eat the juice and still have a shot at some money if it lands on 6 or 7.

1* Toronto +7 -110
 
TW66 said:
Harris is back from suspension....explains the line move.....on the Stamps at 6 also.. waiting to pull the trigger on the Lions if I can get a lower juice 2.5..


Bol
Click to expand...

I had to buy off the Stamps after hearing about their further injury troubles.

Andrew Harris makes me nervous. He seems pissed off and on a mission this week. He still maintains he didn’t take anything illegal and is spending his own money to have all his supplements independently tested. A pissed off Harris is a scary thing.

As for the other game, I actually lean toward Ottawa at +3. They are getting a lot of help back this week...Brown, Sinopoli, Nembot and a couple others. But Jennings is so awful I can’t bet it.

I still haven’t seen a line in Edmonton and we won’t until Trevor Harris status is confirmed. I am heading he likely plays but nothing official.
 
1* Hamilton -1.5 -105

Trevor Harris out. I’ll gladly pay to see Logan Kilgore beat a talented defense.

I like the under too but JFC 44 is a low number for a CFL game.
 
Really glad I bought off Calgary. Toronto +7 actually looks like a decent bet at this point.

The OL shuffle is concerning. This is the same as when these two played in Calgary. The line was shuffled and they had to simplify the snap counts so Toronto was getting better pressure than they had all year. Calgary only won by 10 at home and that was after 7 Toronto turnovers as I recall.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1174699682829938695
 
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