ESPN Handicapper Picks--Week 14

T

TahoeLegend

Pretty much a regular
Stanford Steve— Week 14 (0-0) Season (37-27) Best Bet (5-2) 2020 Season (32-27)
Cincinnati/Houston o 53
Iowa +11
USC +4
Louisiana +3

Scott Van Pelt— Week 14 (0-0) Season (53-37) 2020 Season (42-39)
Baylor +5x
Utah St +6
Cincinnati -10x
Alabama +6x
Iowa +11
UTSA +3x

Greg McElroy— Week 14 (0-0) Season (20-16)
Georgia/Bama u
Georgia 1st half -3
ULL +3

Phil Steele-- Week 14 (0-0) Season (49-46) 2020 Season (27-40)
USC +4x
Alabama +6x
E Tennessee +3

Colin Cowherd Blazing Five— Week 13 (0-0) Season (29-37) 2020 Season (35-37)
LA Chargers (+3) 27-26
Phil (-6.5) 33-23
Pitt (+4) 23-21
Denver (+9) 23-26
Buffalo (-2.5) 27-20

My Picks— Week 14 (0-0) Season (58-29) 2020 Season (48-31)
Georgia -4
Georgia ML (180)
Oklahoma St -5
Oklahoma St ML (200)
Utah -3
ULL +3
SD State -3
Worried Ok State may not be able to come down from last week, but that’s mitigated by Baylor QB probably being out. Strong lean SD State, lean Pitt, ULL. I’m sticking with same thing I’ve done all season, bet the best D and the toughest team.

Gameday Super Dog Picks, Season Record
Lee—9-3-1
Desmond—9-4
Kirk—8-4-1
Reece—8-5
David—7-6

ML Dog Pickers:
Bill Trocci— Week 14 (0-0)Season (17-22)

Zac Al-Khateeb— Week 14 (0-0) Season (18-21)

Bill Bender-- Week 14 (0-0) Season (10-29)

Some ML Dog, Some Not:
Pamela Maldonado— Week 14 (0-0) Season (17-23)

ESPN D-League Pickers:
Tyler Fulghum—Season 16-13
Oklahoma State -5.5
Michigan -11
Pitt -3

Bill Connelly—Season 34-30
WKY/UTSA u 72.5
San Diego State -6
Pitt -3

Joe Fortenbaugh—Season 25-26
Oregon +3
San Diego State -6
SDS/Utah St u 50
Georgia -6.5
Georgia/Bama u 50
Houston +10.5
Iowa +10.5

David M. Hale—Season 18-21
WKY -2.5
Pitt -3
USC +4

Doug Kezirian—Season 22-26
Kent State -3
Kent State tt o 38.5

The Bear— Week 14 (0-0) Season (30-44) 2020 Season (25-21)
Iowa tt u 16.5
Alabama +6.5
Utah State +6
UTSA +3
Cincinnati -10x
Louisiana +3
Triple Option Picks
Michigan -10x
Utah State +5x
Cincinnati -10x
Bank Picks— Week 14 (0-0) (18-21)
 
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TahoeLegend said:
Phil Steele had the best week at 5-2 and is almost in the black for the year, a huge improvement over last season. Stanford Steve and SVP finished in the black with almost identical win percentages. SVP beat him by one percentage point

The GameDay crew all finished in the black for the year. Corso had an impressive 75% mark, Dez right behind him at 69%. If a bettor did no handicapping at all, just bet on their picks he would finish at 41-22, an amazing 65%%

The D-League pickers showed why they are in the D-League. Fulghum did the best job and Connelly finished barely in the black. The rest lost money for the year with Bear losing the most although he finished .500 for the week, his best score in weeks

Stanford Steve— Week 13 (1-2) Season (37-27) Best Bet (5-2) 2020 Season (32-27)
Notre Dame -19.5 Win
Virginia -7 Lose
Rutgers +1.5 Lose

Scott Van Pelt— Week 13 (4-3) Season (53-37) 2020 Season (42-39)
Miss St (-2) Lose
Nebraska (-1) Lose
Washington (+1) Lose
Michigan (+8) Win
USC (+7) Win
Florida (-2) Win
LSU (+6.5) Win

Greg McElroy— Week 13 (0-0) Season (20-16)

Phil Steele-- Week 13 (5-2-1) Season (49-46) 2020 Season (27-40)
S Miss -10x Win
N Texas +10x Win
Auburn +20 Win
Duke/Mi Fla o 68 Lose
Fla State +3 Tie
ULM +22 Win
Pitt -13 Win
E Michigan +9 Lose

Colin Cowherd Blazing Five— Week 12 (1-4) Season (29-37) 2020 Season (35-37)
Dallas (-7.5) Lose
Pittsburgh (+4.5) 26-24 Lose
Houston (-2.5) 30-23 Lose
Indianapolis (+3) Lose
Denver (+2.5) 28-24 Win

My Picks— Week 13 (5-3) Season (58-29) 2020 Season (48-31)
Oklahoma St -3 Win
Oklahoma St ML Win
N Dame -19 Win
Fresno St -7 Win
Miss State ML Lose
S D State +3 Win
Penn St ML (125) Lose
Baylor -14 Lose

Gameday Super Dog Picks, Season Record
Lee—LSU Win 9-3-1
Desmond—Michigan Win 9-4
Kirk— Tulsa Win 8-4-1
Reece—Kansas +15x Win 8-5
David—Army Win 7-6

ML Dog Pickers:
Bill Trocci— Week 13 (1-2) Season (17-22)
Army Win
N Carolina Lose
Florida State Lose

Zac Al-Khateeb— Week 13 (2-1) Season (18-21)
Ole Miss Win
Oklahoma Lose
Kentucky Win

Bill Bender-- Week 13 (0-3) Season (10-29)
N Carolina Lose
Florida St Lose
S Carolina Lose

Some ML Dog, Some Not:
Pamela Maldonado— Week 13 (1-3) Season (17-23)
Maryland (-120) ML Best Bet Win
Oregon State (+7) +225 ML Lose
Penn St (-125) ML Lose
California (+7) +220 ML Lose

ESPN D-League Pickers:

Tyler Fulghum—Season 16-13

Bill Connelly—Season 34-30
Ohio St/Michigan u 64.5 Lose
Louisiana Tech -3.5 Lose
Illinois -6.5 Win
Texas A&M -6.5 Lose
Notre Dame -19 Win

Joe Fortenbaugh—Season 25-26
Utah/Colorado u 53Win
Michigan +8.5 Win
Bama/Auburn o 55.5 Lose
Okla/Okla St u 50.5 Lose

David M. Hale—Season 18-21
Nebraska +1.5 Lose
Ohio State -8.5 Lose
Syracuse +13 Lose

Doug Kezirian—Season 22-26
Florida -3 Tie
Oregon State +7 Lose

The Bear— Week 13 (5-5) Season (30-44) 2020 Season (25-21)
LSU +6.5 Win
East Carolina +14 Lose
Minnesota +7 Win
BYU -7 Lose
Florida State +2.5 Lose
Tulsa +6.5 Win
Miami -21.5 Win
Iowa State -14.5 Win
NC State -6 Lose
Nebraska +1 Lose
Bank Picks— Week 13 (3-1) (18-21)
Miami Fla -21 Win
Tulsa +6x Win
Penn State -4 Lose
LSU +6x Win
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Thanks for doing this all season, much appreciated.
 
Scott Van Pelt— Week 13 (4-3) Season (53-37) 2020 Season (42-39)
Miss St (-2) Lose
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I watched Bad Beats last night and he was saying Miss State was +1 1st H, then showed all the dropped TDs (3) and then the missed FG which he said something like "a push isn't what we wanted, but at this point we'll take it". A FG would've made the score 10-9 for Ole Miss, instead it went to HT 10-6. But Miss State was favored in the game and were favored in the 1st H. I don't see them as a dog anywhere. Would it be possible they made them +1 1st H just to fit their narrative because even as a -.5 to -1 point favorite, a 10-9 score obviously would not be a push as they said.
 
s--k said:
I watched Bad Beats last night and he was saying Miss State was +1 1st H, then showed all the dropped TDs (3) and then the missed FG which he said something like "a push isn't what we wanted, but at this point we'll take it". A FG would've made the score 10-9 for Ole Miss, instead it went to HT 10-6. But Miss State was favored in the game and were favored in the 1st H. I don't see them as a dog anywhere. Would it be possible they made them +1 1st H just to fit their narrative because even as a -.5 to -1 point favorite, a 10-9 score obviously would not be a push as they said.
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Miss State was favored by 1x most of the week and I think it closed at Miss State -2x although I didn't check it later in the week. I also didn't check the first half line, but I believe it was Miss State -1

I recall the sequence he showed very well. I didn't bet first half, but bet Miss State ML. That sequence was the worst any team I have bet on in my lifetime ever had for a four-play sequence. Start first and goal inside the Ole Miss 10, dropped pass for a sure TD, dropped pass for a sure TD, dropped pass for a sure TD, missed FG. That took the life out of Miss State and they never posed a threat again

I think they were just showing what a bad beat it was for those who had Miss State first half, but the main point was what a disaster it was for anyone who bet Miss State in that game
 
Betting nugget from Daily Wager today--since the inception of the CFP system teams in conference title games and playoff games favored by four points or more are 27-1 straight up.

They didn't expand on it, just gave that statement
 
TahoeLegend said:
since the inception of the CFP system teams in conference title games and playoff games favored by four points or more are 27-1 straight up.
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1 upset in 28 games.

That is conference title games only, the key is knowing ahead of time who the CFP teams are if they win.

Nobody knew that Ohio State was in position for a spot before they crushed Wisconsin in 2014 as 4.5 point dog. OSU was ranked #5 before that game (#3 and #4 TCU and Baylor didn't lose, they just didn't play). That must be the 1 they are counting because they were an upset in the B1G title game and made the playoff.

But, they don't count Utah as 6.5pt fav in 2019, they were ranked #5, but they lost and Oregon was not in CFP consideration that year. If Utah had won and say, OU lost, then Utah would've been in. So they were right there, and lost.

Would they count 2021 #5 Oklahoma State if they lost as a 5.5/6 pt favorite if Baylor wins? Baylor likely isn't going to make the playoff. But if Ok St wins and Alabama loses, Ok St could be in. Again, Ok State is right there, but if they lose then the record keepers wouldn't count them.

Still 27-1 is 27-1. 1 upset in 28 games, yeah that ain't me. I think 11 of those 28 conference title games involve Alabama and Clemson.
 
Added Stanford Steve's picks.
Cincinnati/Houston o 53
Iowa +11
USC +4
Louisiana +3

I like all of them but USC. Hard to figure that game. It means nothing to either team and probably both teams wish it had been cancelled instead of rescheduled and they'll be luck to draw 10,000 people at Berkeley on a Saturday night.

Steve says USC will think it's more important and play harder but I'm not so sure. I can't see why he's betting a team that is 4-7 SU and ATS on the season, only 1-5 in the last six and has given up 39 ppg during that stretch. Cal is 4-7 and no great shakes either so maybe he just thinks they can't cover 4, but at least Cal is 6-5 ATS. I'm passing on it, I don't see any profit in trying to figure out which bad team is worse than the other bad team
 
TahoeLegend said:
Added Stanford Steve's picks.
Cincinnati/Houston o 53
Iowa +11
USC +4
Louisiana +3

I like all of them but USC. Hard to figure that game. It means nothing to either team and probably both teams wish it had been cancelled instead of rescheduled and they'll be luck to draw 10,000 people at Berkeley on a Saturday night.

Steve says USC will think it's more important and play harder but I'm not so sure. I can't see why he's betting a team that is 4-7 SU and ATS on the season, only 1-5 in the last six and has given up 39 ppg during that stretch. Cal is 4-7 and no great shakes either so maybe he just thinks they can't cover 4, but at least Cal is 6-5 ATS. I'm passing on it, I don't see any profit in trying to figure out which bad team is worse than the other bad team
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Perhaps b/c Lincoln coming and will be evaluating?

I watched USC last week and they sure fought hard on every play...their QB (name escapes as always) looked pretty good and a competitor.

I did take the +4
 
bones said:
I watched USC last week and they sure fought hard on every play
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I noticed the same thing about them. They kind of remind me of North Carolina the way they get behind every game, but keep fighting and playing hard. That's the only reason I thought about taking them
 
s--k said:
I watched Bad Beats last night and he was saying Miss State was +1 1st H, then showed all the dropped TDs (3) and then the missed FG which he said something like "a push isn't what we wanted, but at this point we'll take it". A FG would've made the score 10-9 for Ole Miss, instead it went to HT 10-6. But Miss State was favored in the game and were favored in the 1st H. I don't see them as a dog anywhere. Would it be possible they made them +1 1st H just to fit their narrative because even as a -.5 to -1 point favorite, a 10-9 score obviously would not be a push as they said.
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I thought he mentioned depending when you got it….I didn’t follow the movement tho
 
Added Bear's picks. He had Michigan -10x as his best pick on Triple Option on Daily Wager, but didn't pick them in his picks he released with Steve. Instead, he took Iowa tt u 16x

The Bear— Week 14 (0-0) Season (30-44) 2020 Season (25-21)
Iowa tt u 16.5
Alabama +6.5
Utah State +6
UTSA +3
Cincinnati -10x
Louisiana +3
Triple Option Picks
Michigan -10x
Utah State +5x
Cincinnati -10x
 
There is some thinking that with Lincoln Riley hired and meeting the team and watching the game this Saturday that USC will have something to play for and represent themselves well (coaches included), rather than maybe just mailing it in.

Last week I wanted BYU, couldn't lay it. Thought BYU really outplayed them in the 1st H, game was an INT before HT away from a really one-sided game if BYU got a TD instead of throwing the INT (could've been 28-10 if they could've scored). USC took that late poss after the INT for a FG and seemed to get some momentum (21-13). I considered taking BYU 2nd H, but the line was higher than the full game line and again couldn't do it, which I was glad because USC played better 2nd H.

One thing with USC that has been so bad all season, from week 1 through last week, red zone TD scoring. It's crazy when a team like them just doesn't improve on that much and it is still biting them this late in the year.

Super disappointed with Cal last week. All I can say is that UCLA was far superior, but that was really bad out of Cal. Their worst game of the year arguably with the other being the Wazzou game, not considering the covid Zona game. Just as bad as it gets out of Cal when they were playing well coming in.
 
so happy i dont like anything bear does outside that iowa team total looks decent!! lol.. like the opposite of a few, give me wku all day.
 
TahoeLegend said:
Added Stanford Steve's picks.
Cincinnati/Houston o 53
Iowa +11
USC +4
Louisiana +3

I like all of them but USC. Hard to figure that game. It means nothing to either team and probably both teams wish it had been cancelled instead of rescheduled and they'll be luck to draw 10,000 people at Berkeley on a Saturday night.

Steve says USC will think it's more important and play harder but I'm not so sure. I can't see why he's betting a team that is 4-7 SU and ATS on the season, only 1-5 in the last six and has given up 39 ppg during that stretch. Cal is 4-7 and no great shakes either so maybe he just thinks they can't cover 4, but at least Cal is 6-5 ATS. I'm passing on it, I don't see any profit in trying to figure out which bad team is worse than the other bad team
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i think ya gotta be off your rocker to bet the most meaningless game of the weekend!! seriously it was tough to figure these 2 out when they were technically still playing for something! they should have just thrown this game out after cal lost last week. i get what he saying bout the usc kinds basically auditioning for the new coach but not sure that a strong enough reason to play them?
 
Again adding one of my new favorite people in sports, Wimp Sanderson. Hilarious on the Next Round.

He's an amazing 13-1 ATS entering the weekend.

Wimp is on Georgia (begrudgingly) and Michigan.
 
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survive&advance said:
Zappe over 384.5
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dont see why not, im playing the team total over 37.5, i played wku earlier dunno if i love the -3.5 it at now but do like seeing it get up there!! i dont see why he wouldnt throw for at least 4 bills?

i really like Brown ov 210.5 passing yards for ducks, i thought it be closer to 220 (which i still liked, lol), he went over the 208.5 the 1st meeting and he was really bad, i think he be way better this time, imo he throws for at least 250.
 
im kinda shocked they giving props in the wku/utsa game! i can only remember one other game totaled in 70s they gave us props and i made them pay! lol.. might be a good idea to hit all the over props ya can get in this one!!
 
Not ever touching another prop. I had one of, maybe my only, with Garwo rushing last weekend and he was like, what, 85% there at the half?

And disappeared in the 2H. I know Wake was rolling and BC wasn't really running but that was a bath.

F props.
 
Frank Costanza said:
Not ever touching another prop. I had one of, maybe my only, with Garwo rushing last weekend and he was like, what, 85% there at the half?

And disappeared in the 2H. I know Wake was rolling and BC wasn't running but that was a bath.

F props.
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that was my most painful loss of the year, he got 2 carries when they were backed up on own goalline and wake knew they were handing off in 2nd half, after 6ypc for 60 yards in 1st half, yea it fucking sucked, think you crazy to write them off cause we got fucked by a coach and game script one time!! you have never taken a bad beat on a side? the fact it takes something redic to beat me on these makes me love them even more!! i swear if they wouldnt have called that bs personal foul on the qb for the crack back block on the reverse bc ran after half and they got that td they stay in the game and it cashes easy.. that the 1st time all year my favorite prop of week didnt cash, no way that one time deters me!!
 
2daBank said:
dont see why not, im playing the team total over 37.5, i played wku earlier dunno if i love the -3.5 it at now but do like seeing it get up there!! i dont see why he wouldnt throw for at least 4 bills?

i really like Brown ov 210.5 passing yards for ducks, i thought it be closer to 220 (which i still liked, lol), he went over the 208.5 the 1st meeting and he was really bad, i think he be way better this time, imo he throws for at least 250.
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I played dye under 90.5 in other game
 
2daBank said:
that was my most painful loss of the year, he got 2 carries when they were backed up on own goalline and wake knew they were handing off in 2nd half, after 6ypc for 60 yards in 1st half, yea it fucking sucked, think you crazy to write them off cause we got fucked by a coach and game script one time!! you have never taken a bad beat on a side? the fact it takes something redic to beat me on these makes me love them even more!! i swear if they wouldnt have called that bs personal foul on the qb for the crack back block on the reverse bc ran after half and they got that td they stay in the game and it cashes easy.. that the 1st time all year my favorite prop of week didnt cash, no way that one time deters me!!
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I'm sure you'll keep cashing and I've definitely taken bad beats on sides and about everything else. And that prop sure was lined up nicely. I'm just saying my pretty much one and only prop ended up in a bath so the gambling gods are steering me other ways I think. I'll watch you continue to cash / keep up the good work!
 
Frank Costanza said:
I'm sure you'll keep cashing and I've definitely taken bad beats on sides and about everything else. And that prop sure was lined up nicely. I'm just saying my pretty much one and only prop ended up in a bath so the gambling gods are steering me other ways I think. I'll watch you continue to cash / keep up the good work!
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lol, fair enough, think you making way more of it than ya should but maybe best to avoid bad mojo if that what ya think it is.
 
2daBank said:
i love me some pitt this week
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I agree. Everything says Pitt in this game, but I was waiting for you to check in on it. Pitt (9-3) is even better ATS than Wake (6-6). The only thing going for Wake is they keep fighting and fighting, no matter what the score is, and that's a damn good attribute for any team.

What are you thinking about the total in that game?
 
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TahoeLegend said:
I agree. Everything says Pitt in this game, but I was waiting for you to check in on it. Pitt (9-3) is even better ats than Wake (6-6). The only thing going for Wake is they keep fighting and fighting, no matter what the score is, and that's a damn good attribute for any team.

What are you thinking about the total in that game?
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i like pitt team total over 36.5, just in case wake gets them into another wacky shootout and somehow pulls it out still think that cashes. like that better than the full game over cause im not convinced wake offense gonna score at will, i think they will hit some big plays as pretty much every decent or better offense does to pitt but i also think pitt can cause them a lot of problems getting pressure right at the mesh point of that rpo shit wake runs virtually every play. not convinced wake will be able to drive field when they not hitting shot plays cause think pitt will be disruptive enough something bad will happen on longer drives.
 
2daBank said:
im kinda shocked they giving props in the wku/utsa game! i can only remember one other game totaled in 70s they gave us props and i made them pay! lol.. might be a good idea to hit all the over props ya can get in this one!!
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What about the side and total in that game? Any thoughts on either. That seems like a high total for a rematch, but then they went over 90 in the first meeting. Getting points with the best D plus the home team--not to mention that UTSA beat them at their place and hung 50 on them--always appeals to me, but I haven't bet on either team all year. Haven't even seen a single play by either team

What do you think?

2daBank? Anyone?
 
TahoeLegend said:
What about the side and total in that game? Any thoughts on either. That seems like a high total for a rematch, but then they went over 90 in the first meeting. Getting points with the best D plus the home team--not to mention that UTSA beat them at their place and hung 50 on them--always appeals to me, but I haven't bet on either team all year. Haven't even seen a single play by either team

What do you think?

2daBank? Anyone?
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you been missing out, wku fun to watch and have made me bunch of money, early on with overs then later betting on them.. utsa a good team also who made lot of ppl round here money all year, i just wasnt as locked on to them as i was wku. there no way i could play the under as both teams could easily hit 40 again, i think wku defense has improved since the 1st meeting but it has been against a bunch of scrub offenses so cant really say how much.. i like wku team total over but it full game over or nothing on the total imo. i think wku wins this time but laying -3.5 where it at now is tough, im kinda surprised it has went up to and past -3, i would have thought utsa would be getting some love also? they are a good team but not sure they didnt peak a tad early while i think wku has gotten better all year.
 
pressitup said:
I'm on UTSA +3.5

www.kens5.com

'Pack the dome on 12/3' | Free football tickets for UTSA students can be claimed Monday

A tweet by UTSA Athletics said, "Tickets for the C-USA Championship will be FREE for UTSA students... Student guest tickets will be $10."
www.kens5.com www.kens5.com
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im on wku-1.5 so hopefully it lands wku by 3! crazy it went up this much, i didnt see that coming honestly, just dumb luck i bet it early cause i knew i had a busy week and wasnt sure how often i would be getting to casino so took them monday but that was only reason why, certainly wasnt because i saw that move coming, lol..im not worried bout the road crowd, if you can blow out We Are at their house im not tripping on them getting to play on a fast indoor track cause possibly a little noise.
 
Pitt & Wake.....tell me about team speed if you know. To my eye Wake looks faster and more agile - better athletes top to bottom.

I am sure I am wrong.

I have watched little of either team, just what my eye tells me
 
bones said:
Pitt & Wake.....tell me about team speed if you know. To my eye Wake looks faster and more agile - better athletes top to bottom.

I am sure I am wrong.

I have watched little of either team, just what my eye tells me
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maybe you just watched wake vs a slow team? or the speed they run their offense made it look that way? lol.. i really dont know man, i think saying wake has better athletes than pitt a tough argument to win. especially on the defensive side id think pitt more athletic. offensively i dunno, maybe?
 
bones said:
Stat I heard today on Bet The Board pod:

Teams getting to Bama’s 40 average a score of 4 pts

Teams getting to Bama red zone score TD 60% of time
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Don't know about your first stat, but it is true that Alabama is no. 70 in opponent red zone TD percentage at 60%.

Georgia, Clemson, and Penn State are 1, 2, and 3 at 27%, 31%, and 36% respectively.
 
lb49ers said:
Cowherd's Blase 5

LA Chargers (+3) 27-26
Phil (-6.5) 33-23
Pitt (+4) 23-21
Denver (+9) 23-26
Buffalo (-2.5) 27-20
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im a little confused why he seemed to think snow would be such a big advantage to bills? they dont run the freaking ball! i guess maybe mac n cheese arm in snow storm compared to allen? i guess there some validity to that but i rather have the team with the good rushing attack if the weather really a issue.

i almost always take the points when i can get a fg or more in the steelers/ravens game, pretty much a no brainer no matter how bad either has looked recently.

i just cant back chargers when im confident mixon is gonna gash them on the ground, dont wanna lay it with cincy either, prob be a mixon prop game for me, it a really tough nfl card to find 5 good plays imo.. i do like donks getting more than a td quite a bit, dunno why kc should be laying that kind of number again? they wernt covering those at their best!! that prob the best one imo..
 
M.W. said:
Don't know about your first stat, but it is true that Alabama is no. 70 in opponent red zone TD percentage at 60%.

Georgia, Clemson, and Penn State are 1, 2, and 3 at 27%, 31%, and 36% respectively.
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Alabama is a disaster stopping the forward pass in the red zone. Alabama allows 4.6 yards per pass in the red zone which is the same as U Mass, including 11 TDs (0 Int) in 34 throws (compared to U Mass allowing 15 TDs in 44 throws). For further comparison, UGA allows 1.6 yards per pass in the red zone, Clemson allows 2.0, and Vandy allows 3.0.

Georgia has been very good throwing the ball in the red zone at 5.3 yards per throw for 15 Tds and 1 Int on 43 throws.
 
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M.W. said:
Alabama is a disaster stopping the forward pass in the red zone. Alabama allows 4.6 yards per pass in the red zone which is the same as U Mass, including 11 TDs (0 Int) in 34 throws (compared to U Mass allowing 15 TDs in 44 throws). For further comparison, UGA allows 1.6 yards per pass in the red zone, Clemson allows 2.0, and Vandy allows 3.0.

Georgia has been very good throwing the ball in the red zone at 5.3 yards per throw for 15 Tds and 1 Int on 43 throws.
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i think their oline a bigger problem than i ever recall, that qb been under a ton of pressure all year, not gonna be any better here.
 
TahoeLegend said:
Betting nugget from Daily Wager today--since the inception of the CFP system teams in conference title games and playoff games favored by four points or more are 27-1 straight up.

They didn't expand on it, just gave that statement
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I think that's just conference championships. Alabama alone has lost three playoff games when favored by 6+ (vs. Ohio State in '14 and vs. Clemson in '16 and '18).
 
I played dye under 90.5 in other game
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2daBank said:
prefer brown over but they basically go hand in hand, if dye running for over a 100 brown might not get there, lol..utes selling out to stop the run worked last time, dont see why they would change?
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Oregon spreading carries to Cardwell at RB the last 3 games.
 
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