C-MAN NHL 2025-26

I too lost about .2 units on the day. If only cbus coulda held on in regulation and/or isles coulda hung onto the lead. You cant give a home team 2 PP chances in the 3p and not expect someyhing to happen.

Lak also might be without danault and byfield who are listed day to day. Bobbo needed a rest. Dont know it will make much difference here.

Fla will prob be on my card. Nash is already locked in last night at +155. Vegas should make it as a regulation play.

Im about finished with work till next year. Glad there is a short card today.
 
I didn’t get to see any of the Islanders game, but I saw the highlights and box score. Agree those two penalties in the third period were a killer.
 
Speaking of penalties, the refs were awful in the Pens game last night. 9 penalties overall, including 8 in the first two periods. I’ve never seen guys getting thrown out of the face off circle so many times. You could see both 97 and 87 getting frustrated and having multiple conversations with them - separately and together a couple times. I think they finally got the message by the third period. Just bad overall. Like watching an NFL game.
 
Frustrating when that happens. Exciting game overall, with all the scoring, but uber frustrating when the other side has more.

Itll be interestimg to see how they play next time out. I believe skinner will be an upgrade. Some other folks need to step up while malkin is out. And the d needs to step up.
 
Yeah, I don’t think they were one sided. Just too many questionable calls against both teams. Let ‘em play!
 
Love it when work throws a curveball when you are about yo be on vaca the rest of the year. Fuckers.

At least its not tomorrow with a big card. Missed the early stuff except the nashville bet. Had been eyeing vegas...and im going to add that one for the regulation win. I dont think it will be close enough to matter...although i thought that about columbus yesterday...lol.

Vegas reg win -103
Nash ml +155.

As i typed this carolina scored. Carolina is outpacing them early in shots (16 to 4 with 5 to go). Hopefully they tire out, or this could get ugly. Soros earning his keep today.
 
Looking to yomorrow, just goimg over the vard. Im initially interested in

Bos ml
WIld ml
Cbus/wild un
Pit/ott ov
buff ml
Rangers
Kraken
Sharks.

Pending alot of review.
 
Nice. Love big card Thursday’s. I have to start looking. Have my bourbon group Xmas party tomorrow night so want to get my plays in early before I start drunk betting.

Can’t believe Det could not score 1 more goal to get me a push. I would have triple bet that over if you told me Utah would have 4 themselves.

Yeah, work sucks. I’m working all through December so I feel ya.
 
Not going to overthink things too much today.

Bos ml 116
Wild ml -120
Pit o6 -125
Nyr ml -138
Sj ml +179

I still feel calgary is way overvalued here, but im going to pass. Just cant get a great read on seattle enough to wager. Those calgary penalty minutes are alarming.

I think the side is the way to go, for me in wild game. I could see minny getting a few by greaves. Buffalo is a steep tarriff. If price continues to increase might look to add philly.

looks like wr might get silvoa with pitt....that and getting a flat 6 was good enough for me. Ill take the prospect of a push at 6 for a 125 price better than an even money 6.5 loser.

Kings look yo be starting a callup...so personal reasons (read ive lost everyone ive gone against it seems) keep me out of there. The lightening steuggled a bit lately, albeit with the home loss to florida after a road trip. Did have a couple days off. Kings were competitive yesterday.

Washington looks to be the right side. I made them a bigger fav. Likely a discount after their recent efforts @min and winn. Get right game perhaps? Was regulation win is +102. Leafs in the first of a 3 game toad trip while wash is home for 2 (tor/det) after 6 of the last 8 on the road. Few injuries for tor which could help.
 
slim5150 said:
Not going to overthink things too much today.

Bos ml 116
Wild ml -120
Pit o6 -125
Nyr ml -138
Sj ml +179

I still feel calgary is way overvalued here, but im going to pass. Just cant get a great read on seattle enough to wager. Those calgary penalty minutes are alarming.

I think the side is the way to go, for me in wild game. I could see minny getting a few by greaves. Buffalo is a steep tarriff. If price continues to increase might look to add philly.

looks like wr might get silvoa with pitt....that and getting a flat 6 was good enough for me. Ill take the prospect of a push at 6 for a 125 price better than an even money 6.5 loser.

Kings look yo be starting a callup...so personal reasons (read ive lost everyone ive gone against it seems) keep me out of there. The lightening steuggled a bit lately, albeit with the home loss to florida after a road trip. Did have a couple days off. Kings were competitive yesterday.

Washington looks to be the right side. I made them a bigger fav. Likely a discount after their recent efforts @min and winn. Get right game perhaps? Was regulation win is +102. Leafs in the first of a 3 game toad trip while wash is home for 2 (tor/det) after 6 of the last 8 on the road. Few injuries for tor which could help.
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Idk if this matters (too shy to post my picks today) but Toronto is 0-6 in road games that directly follow a home game
 
Never be shy bro. It only serves to help you see where you may have given too much weight to one thing and maybe overlooked another. Plus...groupthink is always a bonus.

Im more of an action guy, so i probably play more fringe games than i should. I will do so more on dogs than favs. I prefer yield over w/l. Id rather go 5-5 and be plus money than 1 and 0. I never have been able to determine my top play.

Doesnt work for everyone, but its how i like to go about it.
 
slim5150 said:
Never be shy bro. It only serves to help you see where you may have given too much weight to one thing and maybe overlooked another. Plus...groupthink is always a bonus.

Im more of an action guy, so i probably play more fringe games than i should. I will do so more on dogs than favs. I prefer yield over w/l. Id rather go 5-5 and be plus money than 1 and 0. I never have been able to determine my top play.

Doesnt work for everyone, but its how i like to go about it.
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This has always been my mentality in baseball as well. I think it‘s the best way simply given the possibility of losing or winning a given game — being a favorite doesn‘t make a team any more certain to win, certainly not certain to any extent that justifies wagering more on favorites
 
But speaking of faves, I‘m surprised at the lack of interest in Montreal? Chicago seems like a dud atm especially without Bedard. They had even been a really bad road team (some huge losses) with him on the ice
 
In looking over this card a bit more today there is not a whole lot jumping out at me. I’m thinking that SJ/Dallas game should be high scoring. SJ loves to play a fast pace game and I think Dallas will be happy to oblige. This game could be fun if SJ can score a few. I’m also thinking the Seattle/Calgary game should be low scoring. We know about Seattle’s good defense and scoring woes, and Calgary’s Coach was not happy with the fast paced game they played vs SJ. They will definitely want to get back to playing their style of hockey.

In terms of sides, big picture view is I think this could be a day where you can play 2-4-6 of the bigger underdogs and come out in the plus. In terms of the sizable underdogs like Chicago, Toronto, Seattle, Pittsburgh, and the Kings, all of these teams are desperate for wins, and all of the teams they are playing have been susceptible to losses. SJ can beat anyone on any given night, although I will probably stay away from them because I don’t have any interest in fading Dallas right now. You also have Home dogs in St. Louis and Boston, who could win. I’ll probably play my top two or four along with the two totals above. It is definitely an interesting night in the NHL.
 
VirginiaCavs said:
But speaking of faves, I‘m surprised at the lack of interest in Montreal? Chicago seems like a dud atm especially without Bedard. They had even been a really bad road team (some huge losses) with him on the ice
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No doubt, but they aren’t going to lose every game without Bedard and Montreal is no peach with their sub .500 home record and questionable goaltending situation. Chicago played much better last game vs Toronto and they have the goaltending advantage.
 
In some cases, i try and trust my numbers, although they are certainly not infallable. I have the habs as a much shorter favorite today, and the matket has some agreement that when this opened as mon -218 (per dk) it has been bet down to -185 currently. It does show some value on chi as the dog.

i would reserve such a high favotite price to a select few teams (vegas,catolina, col and a couple others). In those cases, such as mon today, i would only look to back chicago here. I do think they have the better goalie tonight in knight. The bedard injury hampers their offensive production, but they have scored without him. Not as much of course.

at that price, i would have to hit about 66% of bets or so to make some cheddar. I dont like those numbers.
 
Isles, utah, anf anaheim will be considered tomoorw.

Pens coulda added a little offensive help. Ottawa did its job. I did add wash reg while fam was in a rest area (traveling). Efficiency of movement.
 
Friday

NYI -135
Utah -135
Dal/Ana o6.5 -103

Season 50-41-1 +10.34

Bit of a sloppy night last night. The bourbon didn’t help! Never should’ve added the long-shot parlay but glad I didn’t play them separately. I said previously I had no interest in fading Dallas and I went ahead and did it anyways just so I could have action on the late game. And then I forgot to play the over, which is what I said I originally liked in the late game. Oh well.

On a side note, I had an amazing night of trading in the NFL game. Started with a pregame bet of Seattle pick. Added Rams o20.5, Sea o16.5, Rams +1.5 and Sea +3.5 live betting throughout the game and swept the plays! Crazy because it never works out when I do that.
 
Saturday

Min -125
SJ -115
Cal +105

Well, after reaching my high watermark of the season I’ve pissed away some profits the past few days. Huge card today to help get back on track. I like Wild’s chances facing an Oilers team at the end of a 5-game trip. Sj off a loss where they played pretty well and now they host a struggling Sea team who have lost 10 of their L11, 7 of those by 2+ goals. I like SJ’s chances to score more than Seattle here. Cal has been a play-on team for nearly a month and Vegas will without Eichel and Theodore. Cal is 6-1-1 L8 home games and they already lost to Vegas twice so should be ready here.

Season 51-43-1 +8.64
 
Fla and Car could be good fades after a tough game last night. Thought about playing Ducks but Columbus could get a boost from the trade. Was hoping NYI would win yesterday so I could play Buffalo today but now the line is way too high. May add a couple later.
 
I’ll take the positive night but could have been much better. Kraken with 2 flukey goals and decided not to add TB and StL and they both won…ouch. Like Ott today but price is a bit steep. Like under in NJ and Nash but need to see goalies. Pit and Wash both on my radar.
 
Vancouver looks to be in play, but i feel like a sucker by taking it. First game back off a 4 game roadie which was not beneficial to their record. Ill take a stab at the team playing much better at plus money.

Also, going to go against the grain a bit and take over 5.5 with kings and jackets. I know kings have notoriously been light on scoring, but, bluejackets are one of the worst defensive teams out there.

i see the lightening and anaheim games going over also...anaheim over almost made it. But ill just go with my two favorites and save anything else for the bigger card tommow.

Had a couple plays over the weekend, but tried yo just enjoy the mountains and less on sports. Need to get a feel for where some of these teams are at. Been kinda middling around lately
 
Yeah, yesterday was a huge miss for me slim. If you look at my early leans I would have been 4-1 but actual plays 0-2. Need to have my head examined.

Like Van and possibly StL tonight. Van has an big advantage if game gets to OT.
 
I think that is the way it goes sometimes man.

Only opinion i have on the blues is over. Considered tb ov 3.5, but i dont like how they have been playing, albeit againt tougher foes than they see tonight. Blues have been up and down lately. If binnington werent going, i could probaly see a payh there...but honestly, iy would still be a stretch imo. Vasil hasnt been steller since his return.
 
Big card for me today. I hope i didny overthink myself. The two totals are over 6. Minn is for a regulation win. Lets see how this goes tonight.
 

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Get it slim! Was tied up with work today so I didn’t get to play much.

Tuesday

Sea +1.5 -130

I’m not a big fan of Seattle, but couldn’t resist this one.

Season 53-46-1 +6.99
 
I dont disagree with your logic at all here. In fact...i leaned seattle...mostly based on the absurd price on the kings...but i already had a stupid card.

Maybe if i can get a few winners in ill join.
 
Nice hit on seattle. I rode the pine in that one as things didnt swing my way in a few. Thats the risk sometimes wiyh a big card.

Fee days off for the holidays. Back wiyh a nice card saturday. Happy holidays man!
 
Thanks slim. I chickened out on the ml, but happy to get a W. Enjoy the holidays and let’s crush them on Sat.
 
Rollimg with a 5pack after the break. Im on each of these for a biy smaller than my normal wagers to see how some of these teams respond after the break.

Anaheim +122
Sharks +123
Toronto +113
Minn gm un 5.5 +109
CAlgary +117
 
Saturday

NYR -105
Ott -125
Wash/NJ o5.5 -120

My favorite play is the total. I like the way Rags and Sens hit the break and think they can carry some momentum into the 2H. Lots of games today with bowls and NFL and I’m in NYC for the weekend so this will probably be it for the day.

Season 54-46-1 +7.99
 
slim5150 said:
Rollimg with a 5pack after the break. Im on each of these for a biy smaller than my normal wagers to see how some of these teams respond after the break.

Anaheim +122
Sharks +123
Toronto +113
Minn gm un 5.5 +109
CAlgary +117
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GL slim. I looked hard at Calgary and the over. There were 26 penalties in the last meeting just before the break!
 
Just one for me today. Considered columbus and montreal....but didnt love either. Pit way overvalued here, likely due to the first game back for them and chicago off a ot victory is dallas. Ill take a stab at the over 6 -103 with silvos in net.
 
slim5150 said:
Just one for me today. Considered columbus and montreal....but didnt love either. Pit way overvalued here, likely due to the first game back for them and chicago off a ot victory is dallas. Ill take a stab at the over 6 -103 with silvos in net.
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Great call slim
 
I like the overs where they score 4 in the first period, lets me breath a little.

I think we both have backed pitt recently and they have had some lackluster efforts. Missing injured pieces didnt help, but other folks have to step up. After being blanked by ottawa and montreal, they responded with a nice win @habs a week ago from yesterday. That was 1 of 2 wins in their last 10 (prior to yesterday).

In their last 11, pens games have gone over 6 goals 7 times and pushed once. The unders were against dallas and the two where they were blanked. Plus, silvos was in net...so that means the opposition was going to get a couple. Then you had chicago coming back home after that big win in dallas. The recipe jist looked tasty to me. It paid off.

Ive gotta whittle some stuff down. I have too many opinions on todays card. My intetests are.

Wash
Car reg
JEts
Blues
Col un 6.5
Boston ov 6
Sea
Minn
Sj and over

jets, blues, sea, minn, and sj& ov are top of my list. That price on sj is just silly to me. The over looks almost too obvious there. Edmonton is putting pickard out there and vancouver is putting lankenian in net.
 
Nice 2-1 night yourself. Good call on seattle. I liked philly some, based on my numbers, but wasnt strong enough to play. Seeing you on sea helped put those thoughts to rest.
 
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