BAW Nation 2024-2025 Season...

[B.A.R.]

We'll keep the one thread this season.

The plays will be sporadic overall.

Props early on while they are soft.

Occasional live totals will be posted if I can get them up WA.

We have a few super situations as noted in the other thread.

General thoughts as well.

I think my hometown boys will be much more competitive this year. No, I am not calling for playoffs or anything like that. But, I think they will win some games they shouldn't. This coach will keep them accountable. They will try on defense a lot more.

They finished 4th in preseason defensive rating -- so the effort is there

Cade extension means he needs to fully blossom. The stats have been there -- now the time is here to elevate the team as a whole.

Langdon and company signed plenty of shooters. They should be much improved in this area -- they have to be

Ausur starts the season inactive -- fwiw -- blood clots

I expect that this team doubles their wins and could crack the 30 barrier.

Detroit RSW O25.5 -110 2.5 units

Elsewhere, I played some futures right after the NBA Finals that were posted in the off-season threads. To recap...

Indiana to win Championship 50-1

Memphis to win Championship 40-1 (at @HUNT urging)

I added this one tonight...

New Orleans to win Championship 45-1

Now, I went into the futures process hoping for at least 10-1 on the Knicks and that never happened. Same goes for OKC -- but the value we had on them last year (33 and 85) is simply gone. I'll probably add a few more in-season as we get going.

My gut feeling now is New York vs TBA in the West. Yes, OKC is trendy and could very well do it.

Overall, the league is down again. This league is just very 'mid' as the kids say right now. The cycles of life at play.,.

Philadelphia and health will be the fun thing to watch.

Nuggets are sort of stuck with this roster.

Lakers will probably be a bit better this year but I'm not seeing a Finals run. Perhaps fighting for HCA.

Mavs? They know they can do it. What move do they make in-season?

Suns? Nope. Average team.

Minnesota with the big trade that overall I do not like. I love Dante but the Randle fit isn't the best.

Memphis -- they'll improve that record quite a bit.

Warriors likely miss the playoffs.

Back in the East, the Pacers should be pretty good again. Wil they make a move?

Boston is Boston. Do they have the motivation?

LOVE the Bridges pick-up in NY, Now, can KAT stay in games in playoff situations? Or will be in foul trouble nightly. Then there is his health...

Milwaukee is Denver of the East -- sorta stuck right now. Good, but not great.

The rest of the east isn't all that inspiring.

 

[B.A.R.]

Indiana ML -189


The first game, new staff, I think we see some highs and lows from the Stons. Indiana has had their number and this should be no different. Despite Detroit's improved defense during the preseason, I expect some points as well...

I like this ML number being under 190, hence not laying the points.

I would recommend OVER in this game as well and will monitor that for a possible live/HT play as well.

 

[survive&advance]

Boston is by far the best in the East, even when NYK puts it all together i don't think their depth is comparable. Orlando or Cleveland could grab a top 3 seed - i'm on Orlando o47.5 rsw

 

[Lexington 125]

GL this season @B.A.R. !

Was leaning Pacers ats myself

 

[lvmike32]

Agree with most. After they won it so easily last year I said it's Boston and all the rest for the next few years. loaded line up, still young and in prime. Expensive as shit. After last night, think that's still the case. Motivation doesn't seem to be a problem - these guys like Tatum Brown want to be considered all time greats and know they have to get to 4 or more titles. Plus the Olympics slight of Brown and Tatum getting benched alot will motivate them as well even if they don't say it. Injuries aside I don't see any team that can beat them 4 of 7. They bomb 3s all game and all you can do is hope they have a cold night. Long season and they'll have bad spells but no one close in my opinion. Now how to make money on all this - NBA is so tough.

 

[B.A.R.]

Boston is by far the best in the East, even when NYK puts it all together i don't think their depth is comparable. Orlando or Cleveland could grab a top 3 seed - i'm on Orlando o47.5 rsw

Teams like ORL and CLE are the perfect teams to do the RSW bets on.

Max effort, very little 'resting'.

Boston likely is -- hoping they aren't lol.

I'm watching the Celtics closely early on.

 

[B.A.R.]

2h Detroit / Indiana o120.5 -105 2 units

 

[B.A.R.]

Pacers eventually got the win.

Solid game both ways.

I still like how that 2h over set up. I was close to going Pacers TT and that would have been the smart choice.

Detroit mini drought in 4th cost this part of the bet.

 

[B.A.R.]

Wemby o10.5 rebounds -145

 

[B.A.R.]

Wemby o10.5 rebounds -145

I dunno, this one ticks me off.

First of all, he grabbed his 9th rebound with 10 mins left in the 4th. I watched the stat line move from 8 to 9 and stay at 9 through the Mavs run right after.

He then grabbed a 10th rebound with 7 mins or so left. The play by play shows this.

Yet, he sits at 9 total on all boxscores.

Dunno.

Either way, he didn't touch 30 mins. Last year he was at 29.7 mpg in his initial campaign. Spurs pulled the plug early tonight.

They'll end with 52 rebounds and that's wild he doesn't hit DDs in that case. That's with DD offensive rebounds too!

Oh well. What can ya do?

 

[B.A.R.]

Sabonis rebounds o12.5

Should see plenty of opportunities with these two teams.

 

[B.A.R.]

Not betting anything here but boxscore capping + watching....

Under in 2h @ Sac 113.5 would be worth a bite IMO.

Fouls would be the issue. No way that 1h should have broken 110 without whistles.

Pace isn't there.

Lean over (116) in Denver.

I was hoping a bit smaller # to play, will check live.

 

[B.A.R.]

Full changing of the guard in Denver.

Goodness, such a stark contrast.

Glad I didn't bet 2hs, because nothing good would of happened.

On the Sabonis bet, simply not enough rebounds tonight. We're late 3rd and mid 20s for Kings. I didn't expect that. Maybe he gets a flurry, shall see.

Watching this weekend and back at it on Monday with some more data.

 

[Botanical]

Shai just living around the hoop

 

[B.A.R.]

Shai just living around the hoop

Yep.

MVP candidate again.

Nuggets offense isn't consistent enough. They're stuck in the mud for a bit.

 

[survive&advance]

I dunno, this one ticks me off.

First of all, he grabbed his 9th rebound with 10 mins left in the 4th. I watched the stat line move from 8 to 9 and stay at 9 through the Mavs run right after.

He then grabbed a 10th rebound with 7 mins or so left. The play by play shows this.

Yet, he sits at 9 total on all boxscores.

Dunno.

Either way, he didn't touch 30 mins. Last year he was at 29.7 mpg in his initial campaign. Spurs pulled the plug early tonight.

They'll end with 52 rebounds and that's wild he doesn't hit DDs in that case. That's with DD offensive rebounds too!

Oh well. What can ya do?

IIRC Pop hinted at limiting him earlier to start this season due to the olympics

 

[B.A.R.]

IIRC Pop hinted at limiting him earlier to start this season due to the olympics

Yeah, I figured still get to 30 a game like his limited rookie year.

He would have gotten there tonight if not for the early surrender.

Good note for peeps though.

Still seems statistically impossible that he had only 9 on that many opportunities.

 

[Dollaz]

I’m riding Champagne overs till the books adjust. Breakout

 

[B.A.R.]

At least I wasn't in my own fantasy land lol.

Even Kevin Harlan calling it a double double for Wemby.

A lot of the books showed his DD as wins in-game too.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1849825129481544096

 

[B.A.R.]

Stons lose tonight but watching the 1st half I see improvements...


Effort
Ivey
Cade
Starting 5 as a whole

Depth and foul trouble vs Bigs will be an issue.

Need to be less sloppy as well with the ball.