I can't imagine Lakers making the playoffs with their current roster. Unless they get Cousins or something, this is a team that at best, can make a run for the playoffs, but miss out in the end.
Out of the 8 teams that made the playoffs last year, Portland and Clippers got worse, but still... Clippers should make it to the playoffs.
On the other hand, Thunder and Suns will be a lot better next season. Dallas will be better as well, NO should continue to improve.
As I see it, Lakers ceiling is 10th place with 40 - 44 wins. I'm not sure what Kobe we will see this season and for how many games/ minutes. This is a team with no less than 4 rookies on their roster and one that is coached by a coach that missed his era by a decade or so.
I think that Lakers will try to make some big trade, so I won't rule them out, but with this roster, I really don't see any chance for them to make the playoffs.