Wednesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Aug 24 Wed 2022

11:35 AM
951Atlanta BravesK. Wright -R-1½
-145		-240O 8½
+100
952Pittsburgh PiratesM. Keller -R+1½
+125		+216U 8½
-120
12:10 PM
967San Francisco GiantsL. Webb -R-1½
+100		-153O 7½
-110
968Detroit TigersM. Manning -R+1½
-120		+141U 7½
-110
02:10 PM
969Texas RangersM. Perez -L-1½
+120		-130O 11
-115
970Colorado RockiesJ. Urena -R+1½
-140		+120U 11
-105
02:37 PM
971Miami MarlinsJ. Luzardo -L-1½
+155		-120O 7
+100
972Oakland AthleticsC. Irvin -L+1½
-175		+110U 7
-120
03:10 PM
973Cleveland GuardiansC. Quantrill -R+1½
-150		+148O 7½
-110
974San Diego PadresB. Snell -L-1½
+130		-160U 7½
-110
03:10 PM
975Washington NationalsA. Sanchez -R+1½
+115		+253O 7½
-115
976Seattle MarinersG. Kirby -R-1½
-135		-285U 7½
-105
06:05 PM
953Cincinnati RedsT. Zeuch -R+1½
-105		+212O 8½
-120
954Philadelphia PhilliesC. Sanchez -L-1½
-115		-235U 8½
+100
06:05 PM
959Chicago White SoxL. Giolito -R-1½
+145		-115O 8½
-110
960Baltimore OriolesS. Watkins -R+1½
-165		+105U 8½
-110
06:10 PM
961Toronto Blue JaysJ. Berrios -R-1½
-110		-160O 9½
+100
962Boston Red SoxB. Bello -R+1½
-110		+148U 9½
-120
06:10 PM
963Los Angeles AngelsM. Mayers -R+1½
+100		+233O 7
-105
964Tampa Bay RaysS. McClanahan -L-1½
-120		-260U 7
-115
07:05 PM
955St. Louis CardinalsM. Mikolas -R-200
956Chicago CubsL. Farrell -R+184
07:10 PM
965Minnesota TwinsD. Bundy -R+1½
-115		+200O 7½
-125
966Houston AstrosF. Valdez -L-1½
-105		-220U 7½
+105
07:10 PM
977Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Gallen -R-1½
+140		-125O 7½
-105
978Kansas City RoyalsB. Singer -R+1½
-160		+115U 7½
-115
08:00 PM
957Milwaukee BrewersA. Houser -R+1½
+100		+208O 8½
+100
958Los Angeles DodgersA. Heaney -L-1½
-120		-230U 8½
-120
 
Last edited:
Plus money on O’s once again? Yes please! Don’t love Watkins but cws has a tendency to get shut down by mediocre rhp! I havnt really dug In lookinv into giolito recently cause I don’t see the point, earlier in the year I couldn’t figure out why the hell he continually had a awful inning in midst of a otherwise great start? Nothing has really changed as he continues to be baffling, there no way a guy with his kind of stuff is sporting a era over 5 but that sure as shit what it is! I have given up trying to figure out the why and just excepted the fact something ain’t right!! Now he gets a balty team who continues to have a solid overall approach at the plate, im confident they will get to him at some point and put some runs on the board, you get 4 on cws pitchers you have a great chance to win against that anemic offense!!
 
I had some things to do this morning and been dedicating my nights to ncaa football research, no chance I’m gonna get to casino before the 2 earliest starts so im not bothering looking at those 2 games. Looking at everything that starts 2pm or later.
 
If you were looking for a early game play I think Keller over 3.5 k’s not a bad option. Just make sure his day splits are ok As I’m not taking the time to look since I’m not gonna be able to play it,
 
So capping Perez today is kinda tough, I’m a firm believer if your history at coors or Arizona isn’t good it not likely to improve but Perez has changed so drastically as a pitcher im not sure how much I want to make of a couple starts he had at coors 5-6-7 years ago?!? One pretty awful and another that wasn’t great but not awful by coors standards, but again he prob wasn’t having lot of success in any parks those years!! Rox do hit lefties pretty well at home tho! Despite walking way more than you would like to see at coors which usually a death sentence I think Urena has been surprisingly good pitching at home this season, if you throw out one awful start vs dodgers he has basically pitched well enough to keep his team in every home game! Plus money on rox at home vs a equally mediocre team is tough to pass up!
 
I’m not real big on the same game parlays, couldn’t wait to have the option but then I get it and realize they really bend you over on the odds! Call me crazy but that not real appealing! Lol. That said this fish/A’s game sets up really well to do a sgp, both pitchers gonna hit their k prop imo and game should stay under! Also hate we can’t use the 1st 5 instead of full game in these as I prefer the Ff under 3.5 to full game under 6.5.
 
Gotta like Irvin ov 4.5 K’s, fish are still fanning over 31% their AB’s vs lhp!!! Luzardo ov 5.5 is good also imo, A’s not fanning at a super high clip this month but Luzardo has a elite type swing and miss rate and should go deep into game against this lineup!!!
 
Out of nowhere seattle has kinda took the leash back off Kirby. I certainly understand their cautiousness with this kid but they way they have went about it makes no fucking sense!! If we know these clowns are gonna let him pitch 6 innings I’d say ovsr 5.5 k’s getting +105 a no brainer! The obvious problem is we could be sitting on 5 thru 4-5 innings and 60-70 pitches and all a sudden they decide his day over!! That like the worst pitcher prop feeling! Honestly I don’t care how stupid you want to manage your players/team but could you at least do it with a bit of consistency???
 
Jeez. Seattle Ff -.5 is freaking -175! I can’t lay that kind of wood on a offense who has consistently let me down when all it woulda took is a run or 2 to cash Ff!
 
These Fucjs just took anibal Sanchez k’s off the board, pretty sure I saw a crazy low number, I’d feel pretty good needing him to fan 4, did they take off board to adjust or the nats changing pitchers?
 
Pads offense continues to be a total dumpster fire since acquiring 2 impact bats at trade deadline. I have no clue why, I assume at this point they are really pressing but honestly the why doesn’t matter much, WHAT happening is the important thing. What it is is freaking awful! Snell has really hit his groove after taking a bit which I think was simply his spring training essentially played out in the month of June. If it wasn’t for the marlins we would be talking bout how poorly tribe hit lhp (although don’t fan nearly as much), I was pleasantly surprised to see a 4 for the Ff under, seems like a really strong play to me, as much as I’d like to continue taking the plus money against pads and certainly wouldn’t argue anyone doing so I am concerned they won’t score runs today, Ff u4 the play for me!
 
2daBank said:
If you were looking for a early game play I think Keller over 3.5 k’s not a bad option. Just make sure his day splits are ok As I’m not taking the time to look since I’m not gonna be able to play it,
Click to expand...

Keller cashed his k prop already! Hope somebody got a piece of this!! :)

Actually see several k props w value today! It been at least a few weeks since I have seen this many k props worth playing!!!
 
@Ryno14 , if you got a scouting report for your scrubbies pitcher I’d appreciate it!! Guys cards have never seen tend to be a problem for them. The kid who pitched gm1 yesterday being a prime example, freaking walked 4 In 4 innings yet cards scored zilch!!
 
I feel pretty good about what I have wrote down in my notebook. Gotta make a stop or 2 on way to the casino but I’ll post everything once I figure out how I play them.
 
2daBank said:
@Ryno14 , if you got a scouting report for your scrubbies pitcher I’d appreciate it!! Guys cards have never seen tend to be a problem for them. The kid who pitched gm1 yesterday being a prime example, freaking walked 4 In 4 innings yet cards scored zilch!!
Click to expand...
I doubt you need one on ole Farrell. He’s been around the block with so many teams. I’d say there’s plenty of starts to research. He is who he is. Just a guy to try and eat some innings. Cubs a little worried to get their 2 actual prospects in AAA starts right now
 
Glad I brought enough money. Ended up w big card, fast as I can since some starting soon:

Rox ml
Tribe ml
Balty ml
Cle/sd Ff u 3.5
Fish/oak Ff u3.5
Irvin ov 4.5 k’s
Quantrill ov 3.5 k’s
McClanahan ov 6.5 k’s
 
Ryno14 said:
I doubt you need one on ole Farrell. He’s been around the block with so many teams. I’d say there’s plenty of starts to research. He is who he is. Just a guy to try and eat some innings. Cubs a little worried to get their 2 actual prospects in AAA starts right now
Click to expand...

Oh right on, I never heard of him so just assumed he was prospect, I wasn’t gonna waste much time on the -200 or higher lines unless I leaned dog. I just left it alone..
 
Oh and those same game parlays not worth a damn btw. I wanted to do Irvin k’s Luzardo k’s and under. It was something stupid like +160!! Eat my ass with thar bull shit price!
 
2daBank said:
Oh and those same game parlays not worth a damn btw. I wanted to do Irvin k’s Luzardo k’s and under. It was something stupid like +160!! Eat my ass with thar bull shit price!
Click to expand...

It might have been somewhat my fault. I’m the SGP they list the k props as 4+, 5+, etc, instead of the normal 4.5 im used to so maybe I had the guys k’s one lower than should have been. Still the odds are a joke on those!
 
At this point I hope Perez pitches a shut out, then it wouldn’t matter Urena’s got run from game in less than 2 freaking innings like a loser!!
 
Quantrill w 2 k’s in the 1st inning on a super efficient 10 pitches!! 2 k’s away from the promised last! It’s crazy how today had all these k props w value! It been tough to find 1 a day worth playing then this happens today were we get at least 4 or 5 with solid value! Dunno what or changed? Maybe the normal guy in charge took a day off? If so I hope he never comes back! Lol
 
I dunno if this wishful thinking but it has crossed my mind when football cranks up into full gear they get a bit lazy w the k props!! Could happen!! If it does guess who will be here to bust their heads?!? This guy!!!
 
2daBank said:
Quantrill w 2 k’s in the 1st inning on a super efficient 10 pitches!! 2 k’s away from the promised last! It’s crazy how today had all these k props w value! It been tough to find 1 a day worth playing then this happens today were we get at least 4 or 5 with solid value! Dunno what or changed? Maybe the normal guy in charge took a day off? If so I hope he never comes back! Lol
Click to expand...

Might have got excited too fast! No k’s in second! Lol. Regardless the result that number along with Irvin and few others were absolutely softer than they had been the last month.
 
8 k’s for Irvin, yea I’d say they were off with that number! Lol. What I don’t understand is there was that little stretch where they hung 5.5 on garbage lhp like Drew Smyly but back to 4.5s on much more solid guys!! Im certainly not complaining, it just odd!! This one was a slam dunk!!!!

Oh yea, cash the FF under in Oakland as well!! The stench of my Rox play is wearing off fast as we stack winners!!
 
Quantrill has 5 k’s thru 3 innings! Once again, they fucked up!! Let’s just hope the closer we get to football the more we catch them slipping with the k props!! Feels good to have a day we cashing multiple k props!! We have picked a few off here and there but it been weeks since we had a day with 3-4 on same card!
 
We just need McClanahan to do his thing. 6.5 way higher than the rest we played but there was a stretch they were hanging 7.5s on this guy against far better lineups than the crap at bottom the halo’s order. McClanahan was actually the only one with all that much juice also (-150 I believe), the rest were in the -110/-120 range!
 
I forget to list one earlier.

Balty Ff tt ov 1.5., As I love to say, a bloop and a blast takes the cake!
 
Need to get Snell out the game or he gonna blow the Ff under. He setting tribe up for another dog winner tho!
 
Man. Perez wasn’t fazed by the thin, dry Colorado air. He dominating. Can’t win them all I guess! Unfortunately I been saying thst a lot as I miss my lotto ticket parlay with all the plays for day!
 
Why didn’t Rox start Gomber? This be a 0-0 game if they did! Unfortunately urena just gave up too many In the 1st 2 innings for Rox to have any chance vs the rangers pen.
 
Mfer hasn’t gotfen a out in 4th inning and he on his 5th batter!! Stick a fork in the pads. I hope they find a way to sneak in playoffs just so we can fade them! Lol
 
Heaney ov 6.5 the other one tonight, not sure it insane value but he could easily fan double digits vs milw again, high number and I hate the b2b vs same team tho so gonna pass.
 
Can we get another late Rox rally??


Down 9-0 I just don’t believe it, that would be something tho! If it gonna happen at coors with rangers garbage pen be the place! Lol
 
Lost the Ff under in San Diego, I really thought Snell be fine vs a bad lhp team. Dunno why pads left him out there to get clobbered once the wheels fell off?
 
Kirby smashed his k total. I hate sesttle management, they make it so hard,, when I play one their pitchers Mfers yank him after 4 innings or some garbage! I still have no clue why they decided those 2-3 games in July were the random time they were gonna yank Kirby in 4th or 5th in games his pitch count was low and no high leverage situations? Just dumb! As I said I know he has already pitched more pro innings this year than he has on any level but after those few starts in July they back to letting him pitch 6 innings again this whole month, absolutely no logical reasoning behind wtf they doing?!!? It like just randomly in July they were like “oh crap, we might need him in sept/oct, let’s randomly pull him after 60 pitches!” Lol.
 
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