Wednesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Jul 13 Wed 2022

12:20 PM
901New York MetsC. Bassitt -R+1½
-160		+137O 8½
-115
902Atlanta BravesC. Morton -R-1½
+140		-148U 8½
-105
01:10 PM
923Milwaukee BrewersA. Ashby -L+1½
-160		+116O 8½
-120
924Minnesota TwinsJ. Ryan -R-1½
+140		-126U 8½
+100
02:10 PM
911Detroit TigersT. Skubal -L+1½
-205		+104O 8
-115
912Kansas City RoyalsB. Singer -R-1½
+175		-114U 8
-105
06:40 PM
905Pittsburgh PiratesJ. Brubaker -R+1½
-135		+164O 7
-110
906Miami MarlinsP. Lopez -R-1½
+115		-178U 7
-110
07:05 PM
925Cincinnati RedsM. Minor -L+1½
+130		+270O 9
+100
926New York YankeesL. Severino -R-1½
-150		-305U 9
-120
07:10 PM
913Boston Red SoxJ. Winckowski -R+1½
-150		+152O 7
-110
914Tampa Bay RaysS. McClanahan -L-1½
+130		-165U 7
-110
07:10 PM
915Chicago White SoxL. Giolito -R-1½
+145		-113O 8½
-120
916Cleveland GuardiansA. Civale -R+1½
-165		+103U 8½
+100
07:45 PM
907Los Angeles DodgersT. Gonsolin -R-1½
+115		-145O 8
-105
908St. Louis CardinalsA. Wainwright -R+1½
-135		+134U 8
-115
08:05 PM
917Oakland AthleticsP. Blackburn -R+1½
-130		+165O 8
-105
918Texas RangersJ. Gray -R-1½
+110		-179U 8
-115
08:40 PM
909San Diego PadresJ. Musgrove -R-1½
-105		-161O 10½
-115
910Colorado RockiesC. Kuhl -R+1½
-115		+148U 10½
-105
09:38 PM
919Houston AstrosC. Javier -R+1½
-180		+116O 7½
+100
920Los Angeles AngelsS. Ohtani -R-1½
+160		-126U 7½
-120
 
I just bet NYY over 5.5 runs -110 for 3 units.
Minor goes tonight for the Reds, opponents have scored 8,7,4,6,9,9 and 4 in games he's pitched with Zona and Pitt being the 4 run games.
He was supposed to be veteran innings eater but he's got a 7.94 era on the road and 6.63 overall. He's given up at least one HR in every game he's pitched with a 1.42 WHIP. I'd be surprised if the MLB #2 slugging team don't get to him for at least 5.
Weather: Its going to be mid80s tonight in Yankee stadium with a 10mph blowing to left for Judge, Stanton.
Stanton is 7/23 lifetime vs Minor with 4 HR's and one double. The Reds best RP (Diaz) pitched last night, Sunday and Friday so I'm thinking we won't see him tonight.
NYY blew a 3 run lead in the 9th last night so I think they will be very aggressive even if they get an early lead tonight.

Also played Stanton Over 1.5 total bases @ -109 for a half unit.

Good luck to us if you join me.
 
Last edited:
How the hell the cubs laying -137 to red hot O’s? I said weeks ago balty would be competing for the division if they got to play in NL or AL central!! Watkins sucks but he been pretty decent of late winking 2 of last 3, only allowing 1 run in each start and going 6+ in 2 of them, no reason to think he can’t pitch well enough vs scrubbies with a helping wind blowing in. Don’t think Steele chances of being great vs O’s much better than Watkins vs cubs lineup. I just dunno why we wouldn’t take the plus money here?
 
These fuckers have finally caught on to Jon gray, been cashing his strikeout prop every start but they finally came with a 6.5 and -150 to the over. Think I would have played over 6.5 with lower juice but don’t feel great about that -150 price tag.
 
Wheeler ov 5.5 k’s -105? That feels like a must play to me, he has only punched out 5 each in his last 2 starts but those were both against cards who don’t strike out much. Jays offense hasn’t been all that good this month, I don’t see any reason wheeler doesn’t Have another QS and fan 6+ along the way. Great price to play him imo.
 
2daBank said:
These fuckers have finally caught on to Jon gray, been cashing his strikeout prop every start but they finally came with a 6.5 and -150 to the over. Think I would have played over 6.5 with lower juice but don’t feel great about that -150 price tag.
Click to expand...
Should be able to go deep against that trash lineup but haven't seen numbers yet.
 
Took Gallen o16.5 outs -110

Doing this from the phone blows, laptop won't be ready til Sat at earliest. Missed early games but taking the rest above. Depending on prop #s a couple might need a parlay partner.
 
KJ said:
Should be able to go deep against that trash lineup but haven't seen numbers yet.
Click to expand...

I been waiting for this start all week, really didn’t think they would come with this strong a number cause they been super weak on him. He has even had some 4.5s mixed in w 5.5 last month and mostly not lot of juice. I kinda expected they might finally up his number vs this lineup but I didn’t expect to see -150 with the 6.5. He is on his best rest, like him way better on 4, but his only start vs oak this year wasn’t that great, he had a awful start vs them last year also but not so worried bout that since I think he pitching better and A’s lineup obviously worse.
 
I just think way more value on wheeler ov 5.5 -105 than gray ov 6.5 -150, matchup be damned: wheeler matchup proof imo and not like jays are ripping cover off ball this month.
 
KJ said:
Took Gallen o16.5 outs -110

Doing this from the phone blows, laptop won't be ready til Sat at earliest. Missed early games but taking the rest above. Depending on prop #s a couple might need a parlay partner.
Click to expand...

Lol. I don’t mind doing on phone,, it actually easier for me at the moment. Def little faster/easier on laptop or chrome book but right now phone working better for me.

Don’t think I told ya I got more great news, during the surgery they found something wrong with heartbeat so now I gotta see a fucking cardiologist! Lmao. They tried to make me stay and wait for theirs after the surgery but I wasn’t in the fucking mood to wait around another 2 hours and hear more bad news!! Lol
 
This why I never go to dr’s, that how it starts, you think you just fine then dr’s start poking and prodding and next thing ya know you on death bed! Lol
 
I’ve done the most driving today since the surgery, I’m done with the whole having to keep head down all the time now which only reason I wasn’t driving. I dunno why but shit was tougher than it was the week before surgery when I only had one eye; dunno why that would be so? I was wearing patch same as now, I find it way tougher if I don’t cover the bad eye up cause I still can’t see anything so it just screws me up.
 
2daBank said:
I’ve done the most driving today since the surgery, I’m done with the whole having to keep head down all the time now which only reason I wasn’t driving. I dunno why but shit was tougher than it was the week before surgery when I only had one eye; dunno why that would be so? I was wearing patch same as now, I find it way tougher if I don’t cover the bad eye up cause I still can’t see anything so it just screws me up.
Click to expand...
How long of a recovery is it going to be before you're back to 2 eyed bank?
 
KJ said:
Took Gallen o16.5 outs -110

Doing this from the phone blows, laptop won't be ready til Sat at earliest. Missed early games but taking the rest above. Depending on prop #s a couple might need a parlay partner.
Click to expand...

Gallen hasn’t been all that good lately. Of course never woulda got a 16.5 a month ago! He on best rest and avg 6 innings a start in day games this year, didn’t like his numbers vs San Fran last yesr tho.
 
Ryno14 said:
How long of a recovery is it going to be before you're back to 2 eyed bank?
Click to expand...

Not 100% sure. They said could be month-6 weeks till my vision gets better. Shit frustrating as hell. Every once in awhile I get little glimpses like I think it getting better but then next time I try it back to nothing but a damn blur. It so great they make me come in and see them and try to get me to read letters on board when I can’t even see the fucking board, or when they sit in front me and ask how many fingers they holding up and I can’t even tell it a hand! Lol., then they say “that ok, normal”, well then why the fuvk you make me do it and feel shitty I can’t!?!??!?! I guess on bright side at least im not crosseyed/have lazy eye, the 1st time bandage got taken off I could see in my old lady face something wasn’t cool!! Guess that eye was just rolling around all over, lol: thing that gone now!!
 
Vap'sBack said:
Blackburn has awesome numbers pitching on the road. :shake:
Click to expand...

I still don’t understand that but regardless I think rangers new park is incredible pitcher friendly: I’m a huge Jon Gray fan cause I think he usually undervalued but not tonight; all a sudden they priced his k prop way stronger and freaking -182 for rangers? No way would I lay that!
 
How did Sale look the other night? I see box score was good but just curious if anyone watched, how he looked?
 
So Giolito finally had a strong start at San Fran then started great vs tigers, runs into trouble in 6th yet TRL made another moronic decision and sent him back out for the 7th where he proceeded to get creamed. Way to go Tony! Coulda let him build on another quality 6 inning start but instead you send him out for 7th to throw it away! Despite his rocky season -115 feels pretty damn cheap if you still believe in him and I think I do.
 
Odd stat of day, in their last 20 meetings pirates are 14-6 vs the fish. I wouldn’t have guess pirates sporting that kind of record vs any team! Certainly not my pesky marlins!! Lol. I thought it was crazy Rogers was laying over -150 in gm1 but with pirates propensity to fan vs lhp went with his k prop instead of playing pirates, both cashed but bummer I passed on the fat plus money!

I wouldn’t say my guy Lopez is overpriced today, especially considering where Rogers was lined, that said I wouldn’t lay this. He better on 5 than 4 and he on 4 days rest tonight, you would think his nasty change would make for good reverse splits but despite his k/bb ratio best his career vs lefties this season it still a full k lower than vs righties. Another heavy price tag on the over 5.5 makes me think probably better to pass, even tho I really think the change up should be a great weapon vs the 7 lefties in pirates lineup.
 
Looks like money agreed with me that Jon Gray ov 6.5 was too damn expensive -150 cause now he down all way to -105, now I have a choice to make, lol, fuck.
 
2daBank said:
Looks like money agreed with me that Jon Gray ov 6.5 was too damn expensive -150 cause now he down all way to -105, now I have a choice to make, lol, fuck.
Click to expand...

Freaking Oderizzi just fanned A’s 7x in last series!! Gray has fanned 7+ in 5 his last 8 games. 1 the 3 he failed to do so came after his normal start got rained out and he pitched next morning and against a cle team who doesn’t punch out much, imo that start hardly even counts which would make it 5 of last 7 he hit this number and 3 in a row. He hasn’t been as sharp overall in his last few but the k’s still been there. I think at -105 it now worth a play.
 
So this my card:

Jon gray ov 6.5 k’s
Wheeler ov 5.5 k’s
Giolito ov 17.5 outs
Kuhl ov 14.5 outs

Pirates ml
Chisox ml
Balty ml
Philly Ff
 
Vap'sBack said:
Blackburn has awesome numbers pitching on the road. :shake:
Click to expand...

I think if you like him the way to go would be over 16.5 total outs. 5.2 innings shouldnt be a problem if he pitches well. I just don’t trust oak to give ya run support off Gray, I do think that price is crazy tho so certainly couldn’t blame anyone for playing A’s+175 or whatever it is!!
 
2daBank said:
I think if you like him the way to go would be over 16.5 total outs. 5.2 innings shouldnt be a problem if he pitches well. I just don’t trust oak to give ya run support off Gray, I do think that price is crazy tho so certainly couldn’t blame anyone for playing A’s+175 or whatever it is!!
Click to expand...
Which Book U Use For Total Outs? :shake:
 
DraftKings Sportsbook is not currently operating in California because California has yet to legalize sports gambling. While there have been attempts, it seems that the next opportunity to get it on the ballot will be the 2022 election. When it does become legal, DraftKings will pursue a license in the state.
 
Vap'sBack said:
DraftKings Sportsbook is not currently operating in California because California has yet to legalize sports gambling. While there have been attempts, it seems that the next opportunity to get it on the ballot will be the 2022 election. When it does become legal, DraftKings will pursue a license in the state.
Click to expand...

I have to drive across the river to Illinios cause missouri is stupid also, lol. Im sure someplace offshore has the same pitcher props? I would think Bovada has them, they good for having ton of props. They prob limit ya quick as shit if ya doing well tho! Lol
 
Brubaker Pitched a gem but I don’t feel real great bout needing pirates pen to hold a 1 run lead for 3 innings.
 
2daBank said:
I still don’t understand that but regardless I think rangers new park is incredible pitcher friendly: I’m a huge Jon Gray fan cause I think he usually undervalued but not tonight; all a sudden they priced his k prop way stronger and freaking -182 for rangers? No way would I lay that!
Click to expand...
IF I Had Known Blackburn Got The All-Star Nod Today?!?!?!

I Would Have Stayed FAR Away...
 
Pulling McClanahan at 85 pitches with only 1 run given up is a kick to the nuts.
 
KJ said:
Pulling McClanahan at 85 pitches with only 1 run given up is a kick to the nuts.
Click to expand...

That crazy, did he let a man get on in 7th? Don’t get why they let him go out there, get 1 out, then pull him? I hate the way these jerkoffs manage pitchers. Even tampa who I know has studs to come in and finish game out I don’t like the quick hook, those pen studs gonna be gassed come playoffs!!
 
KJ said:
Pulling McClanahan at 85 pitches with only 1 run given up is a kick to the nuts.
Click to expand...

Were you on his k prop? He had to get 8 to cash didn’t he? Probably unlikely but sucks they didn’t at least let him finish 7th,
 
Looks like wheeler and Phillies the only bad bets I made. Dunno if rest cash or not but they were good plays either way.
 
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