Sunday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

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Apr 2 Sun 2023

 
Decided to roll the dice w the jap pitcher. He throws mid-uppers 90s heat but they say his real filth is the splitter that falls off the table. A undisciplined team like lot of fish batters seeing him for 1st time I think worth a shot at even money (sorry it seriously went up right after I bet it, I’d still play -120 or whatever).
 
Decided to roll the dice w the jap pitcher. He throws mid-uppers 90s heat but they say his real filth is the splitter that falls off the table. A undisciplined team like lot of fish batters seeing him for 1st time I think worth a shot at even money (sorry it seriously went up right after I bet it, I’d still play -120 or whatever).
Put em both in at -140 and -130 plus a smaller parlay

Thanks win or lose brutha
 
I’m tempted by Rogers, kid has always had the goods but his control lacking at best, when he wasn’t wAlking guys he was often grooving them right down heart of the plate, his control has looked much better in spring with only 3 walks in 16 or so innings. If that is real and he has learned to harness his pitches the fish have another potential front line starter on their hands. If it was another lineup I’d for sure be on him, Mets just don’t have a lot of high swing and miss guys in lineup.
 
Instead of going with rogers k’s also I played the 1st 5 under 4 runs in Miami.

Reds Ff -130. Ashcraft the last of the 3 young stud pitchers reds have, for some reason that 100mph cutter doesn’t get a ton of swing and miss but what is great about him for this game his reverse splits were crazy last year, righties had a freaking ,900 ops vs him while lefties were down around .500!!! Obviously we need that number vs RH’s to come down and it should but against lefty heavy pirates lineup this a good trait. Never know with Velazquez, dude been all over the place most his career, considered his k prop but never know if he makes it longer than 3 innings! No interest paying juice to be on reds pen.
 
If this wasn’t his 1st start I woiuld be all over Ryan ov 16.5 outs but it seems to me twins been pulling starters around 85-90 pitches so he have to be very efficient to get 5.2 innings. Against a kc team struggling to hit and who doesn’t fan much it is the perfect combo for him to possibly go 6 innings here.. like I said, if this was his second start it be a big play for me.
 
so far I’ve done much better with hitter props than I expected so what the hell:

Swanson ov 1.5 bases +125
 
Pads are freaking -200 something again with a damn converted reliever making his 1st attempt at starting im aware of? Crazy. Prob gotta throw a few bucks on rox just cause. Pads scored some runs yesterday but rox still made it a game, Gomber can be better than urena, just tough to figure out when.
 
I dunno what these duckers were doing to start the game but Senga has settled in with filth now. 1 k to go. Need Rogers to continue pitching well to someone get the Ff under even tho these 2 apparently didn’t know game started!
 
So glad I took them -125 to win it all. Didn’t realize line be freaking 7.5., that a bunch but guess that what happen when a shitty team makes finals.
 
Saw that. It annoyed me. Not that I bet either those teams. Can’t wait for ucon to beat that ass!
I can't wait for tomorrow, sun and pool season, gambling will be minimal other than playoffs

That's when relaxation sets in
 
I can't wait for tomorrow, sun and pool season, gambling will be minimal other than playoffs

That's when relaxation sets in

Best time to gamble. So far I havnt missed a beat on these pitcher props! By next week I’ll got all my nba losses back! lol
 
I'm just gonna tail

CBB has worn me down...worth it but I'm white as fuck right now

Always gotta take breaks at sone points. I had one not long ago cause i knew I was in for long grind now. I got you!!
 
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Cash reds Ff. Couldn’t quite get the Ff under in Miami thanks to the awful start by both pitchers. Really didn’t think they should send Rogers out for 5th, they shoulda been thrilled he got them 4 innings after that start.
 
Wow, clevenger pitching strong. I wanted to play his k’s but decided I had to see him 1st, if they can get the guy who pitched for cle not the guy in SD and Giolito bounces back that be a tough rotation.
 
Wow, clevenger pitching strong. I wanted to play his k’s but decided I had to see him 1st, if they can get the guy who pitched for cle not the guy in SD and Giolito bounces back that be a tough rotation.
Twins
CWS
Cle

For me
 
Rare to feel like there's a bunch of offense in that division but it's all over
 
Twins
CWS
Cle

For me

Kicking myself for not playing clevinger k’s. I thought cws would spilt series so think it right side. Not happy I passed on Ryan outs total, I was pretty confident he wouldn’t take many pitches to get 17 outs vs this kc lineup that doesn’t swing and miss a lot, just didn’t love way twins been pulling guys after 85 pitches or so this week. Leaned twins also but wasn’t fun having them laying juice day 1, they not Exactky hitting ball well either..

No clue on seattle/cle. I played Rodriguez ov 1.5 total bases and him and wong to get a steal.
 
Kicking myself for not playing clevinger k’s. I thought cws would spilt series so think it right side. Not happy I passed on Ryan outs total, I was pretty confident he wouldn’t take many pitches to get 17 outs vs this kc lineup that doesn’t swing and miss a lot, just didn’t love way twins been pulling guys after 85 pitches or so this week. Leaned twins also but wasn’t fun having them laying juice day 1, they not Exactky hitting ball well either..

No clue on seattle/cle. I played Rodriguez ov 1.5 total bases and him and wong to get a steal.
I've learned that teams who go from Florida or AZ back to the Midwest basically overnight start slow...whether it's pitching, hitting, whatever....it's a drastic change usually. Twins and Royals have a bunch of offense, thus why I bet over today, but reality is that the value might be way higher in them scoring runs in a couple weeks.
 
I've learned that teams who go from Florida or AZ back to the Midwest basically overnight start slow...whether it's pitching, hitting, whatever....it's a drastic change usually. Twins and Royals have a bunch of offense, thus why I bet over today, but reality is that the value might be way higher in them scoring runs in a couple weeks.

Yea, I expect kc offense to be way better, certainly twins too.
 
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Senga was so good even with that 35 pitch disaster in 1st he was still able to go 5.1 on 88 pitches and fan 8!! Doubt we see a 4.5 for him again!
 
Damn, Ryan went over his outs and k’s, I wasn’t gonna play his k’s but man I bitched out on the out total, really liked that
 
Got Rodriguez and will smith ov 1.5 bases in 1st at bats. Freaking Swanson and Tucker both stuck on 1 Single tho., I’ve actually been pretty good w hitter props, never really liked those. Maybe w big lead by milw Swanson will get a scrub pitcher his last ab!
 
Ended up on Philly RRL +160, gotta love how they have already squandered scoring chances in both the 1st 2 innings and now Fuckinh trailing. Unreal
 
These pussies keep walking castilliinos, not giving him a chance to get 2 bases. That sucks. These Mfer got 3rd inning out of 4 with multiple runners on, they gotta get some guys in humere. I fucking double play to score 1. Unreal, just keep letting Perez out of trouble.
 
Be nice for them to get some guys up in front of Castellanos and guve him a chance to get a pitch to hit, he seeing it well if he walking cause he don’t do that much, needs a pitch to hit!
 
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