***Season Long NCAA In-Game***

[rambler882]

free of charge

 

[KJ]

Uh oh I like Navy and the weather is possibly gonna suck in that one

 

[KJ]

Contemplating over in Alamodome

 

[KJ]

MSU tt over will be a play, don't have those yet

 

[rambler882]

MSU tt over will be a play, don't have those yet

sitting at 24.5 on 5d...will probably stick there

 

[rambler882]

Uh oh I like Navy and the weather is possibly gonna suck in that one

welp, i over looked the weather but Navy defense is swiss cheese

 

[rambler882]

alright Iowa, tie this one up before half

 

[KJ]

welp, i over looked the weather but Navy defense is swiss cheese

I really haven't looked but kinda just heard so far, gonna watch that in the air...but total opened 56 and down to 51.5 now

 

[rambler882]

i find mack brown annoying

 

[rambler882]

even tho it was a tip TD pass....BC just dominating this game based on my casual watching.

 

[KJ]

him saying booger is rapidly approaching Bowden saying daggummit on the annoyance scale

 

[AliShaheed]

i find mack brown annoying

he's really bad

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Are Mack brown and George bush twins?

 

[booksbestfriend]

.5/21.5 2H

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Hello I picked a loser in the first half of Iowa game

I require some inspiration. I need someone to fire me up.

I was winning all month long until I hit hit by a case of FBL.

FBL IS FAMILY BAD LUCK.

they call or show up to your house while capping and instantly your picks Start to lose.

FBL. Terrible!

 

[wiseplayer]

Sammy, give us your picks plz.

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Sammy, give us your picks plz.

I will give you some info.

Unders for the first Halfs in NFL Are hitting at a very high rate -
Now this is what I learned.

2 reasons- I've been monitoring this for the last 5 seasons.

I started to notice that many prime time games were going over from 2011-2016 in the first Halfs. It was the start of the wide open spread attacks . Defenses couldn't stop it

Also Brees Peyton Brady romo Rodgers Big Ben kapernick Palmer Newton were all putting up big numbers -

Hence the overs were hitting.

I knew from my statistical knowledge that eventually things were going to go the other way.
3 reasons-

1- some excellent qbs retired and were replaced by ineffective inconsistent young qbs.

2- the NFL defenses figured out the spread attack and started blitzing and hurting qbs-

3- statistically just like roulette everything bakanced out over time.

Currently we are in a defensive era of the NFL. Just watch the games. It's a young league now with defenders being so fast and able to attack offensive lines.

So if you just bet unders first Halfs in these prime time games you will win $$$

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

With guys like Derek Carr mariotta Dak they aren't great passers. They can't move the offense without running attack

Look at most teams in the NFL. There is no slow defense.

We are in the era of unders on prime time games.

 

[ProV1Colt]

Is VC around?

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Also teams now run the ball more in NFL.

Add in terrible quarterbacking and super fast defenders.just pay attention and the first half under has been such a great play.

Everything goes in cycles from markets to chicks to business.

It's all about cycles. And currently we are in the under cycle on the NFL. Under first half in prime time games.

 

[ProV1Colt]

I have to disagree w/ ya on Mariota not being a passer Sammy.
Marcus is very accurate. But on in the red zone.
Now I will say he cannot throw ANYTHING over 20 yards

 

[ProV1Colt]

NFL usually works in 10yr cycles with teams and styles

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Pro v.


Check it out under are good

I couldn't believe it kept winnjng until I realized it's just correcting the percentages because overs were hitting before so much.

So I realized spreads are harder and not necessary.

Much easier to either take overs in no defense cycles and unders in defensive cycles.

The reason unders are hitting bro is because teams can rush 4 guys and get pressure and drop 7 fast Guys in coverage.

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

NFL usually works in 10yr cycles with teams and styles

Well said.
M

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Is VC around?

Guten Tag

 

[Sammy Meatballs]

Clemson Alabama first half under should be good.

 

[KJ]

Everything goes in cycles from markets to chicks to business

So true, assume either a raccoon or the cat whispered this to you when you were a tyke

 

[rambler882]

good game going, expect more of the same from the next two. should be a fun night.

 

[KJ]

Different games, one in a dome and weather in the bay area is nice

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Cuse 1-for-9 from three losing at home to EMU lol

 

[rambler882]

i just mean same in the context of enjoyable.

 

[rambler882]

Butler did not show up, just checked score. Mark that a loser.

 

[KJ]

Can't remember if they changed the rule...if punter catches the snap on a knee is he still down instantly?

 

[rambler882]

Can't remember if they changed the rule...if punter catches the snap on a knee is he still down instantly?

i believe yes

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Butler did not show up, just checked score. Mark that a loser.

I assume Butler is getting outrebounded. Seems to happen every time they suck.

 

[rambler882]

After locking in Redskins -3, already hearing chatter about Eli's last game, team rallying around him, Redskins nothing to play for....I like to hear this.

 

[KJ]

Always found this week ridiculous to cap CBB..these guys are out of school and students are home, like rolling dice. No routine, half empty arenas, etc

 

[rambler882]

I assume Butler is getting outrebounded. Seems to happen every time they suck.

Yes, but also shooting 30% v. 50% so greater chance of boards for Gtown. Butler 2H isn't a terrible play. They wont shoot 1-11 from 3 again

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Well if Gtown plays good D they're going to force bad shots and thus easier to rebound

 

[rambler882]

Always found this week ridiculous to cap CBB..these guys are out of school and students are home, like rolling dice. No routine, half empty arenas, etc

good point, totally overlooked this and was just going through the motions of analyzing and reviewing games

 

[rambler882]

Well if Gtown plays good D they're going to force bad shots and thus easier to rebound

i mean, yes. if any team is down 20 the statistical differential will tend to be against them lol

 

[VirginiaCavs]

i mean, yes. if any team is down 20 the statistical differential will tend to be against them lol

I was thinking of trying to predict the difference by looking at opponent's defense, going forward with Butler games...

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Gooo DePaul

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Mahomes vs Lynch.

 

[rambler882]

i thought gtown would struggle to put up points, i was way wrong. One thing to note is Butler struggles against height/length. Thought that perhaps it was more to do with them going against superior teams that happened to have that in TX/Purdue. but Gtown I think is proving out that theory

 

[jimmymo]

As an FYI, I really like to drink and gamble......

 

[rambler882]

Jamesmo....who are the plays tonight?

 

[rambler882]

what was o/u for this game?

 

[jimmymo]

Jamesmo....who are the plays tonight?

Jamesmo....who are the plays tonight?

I am seeing double.....but rolling with Texas and Arizona..........I just love Tate.....fukkin kid is a killer

 

[rambler882]

love me some tate too, fuck purdue