RJ Bell:
Chiefs @ Titans (+3) -- 1 p.m.
Alex Smith last 30 games as a starter: 24-5-1 SU
Titans 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] team in NFL history with 0 turnovers after 4 games.
Ravens @ Dolphins (-3) -- 1 p.m.
Miami: Since 2005, teams are 46-78 ATS the week AFTER playing the Saints
Miami:
Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 7 of 26 games since start of last season
Baltimore: Away underdog off road loss: 61% since 2003 league-wise
Visitor in Miami games 52-31 ATS
Dolphins: 10-32 ATS as a home favorite
Off last 20 losses, Ravens won the next game 18 times.
Jaguars @ Rams (-11.5) -- 1 p.m
In 4 games this season, Jax has trailed by 16, 24, 26, and 31 points
Jags: Loss by 30 or more last week: 57% ATS (league-wide since 1990)
Rams 2-9 ATS the week after play San Fran
Biggest favorite for Rams in over 10 seasons
Last two weeks, Rams outrushed 412 yards to 53.
Patriots @ Bengals (-1) -- 1 p.m.
Bill Belichick with Patriots: 36-18-1 ATS (67%) as underdog.
Seahawks @ Colts (+3) -- 1 p.m.
Seattle:
(starting in 2005): 70% ATS at home (49-21-1)
On road during same period: 39% (28-43-1)
If simply play on at home, against on road: 92-49-2 (65% winners)
Seattle has covered 13 straight vs. teams with a winning record.
Seattle: 15-3 ATS last 18
Luck: 4-0 ATS and SU as a home dog.
Indy OC at Stanford has had success vs. Pete Carroll
109 minutes since Colts last allowed a TD
Lions @ Packers (-7) -- 1 p.m.
Lions on the road (starting in 2006): 21-36-2 (37%)
Lions – a dome team - have covered only 2 of last 10 on GRASS.
Favorite has covered 11 of last 13 Packers games.
Mike McCarthy only coach in NFL with more than 60 games who is over 60% ATS
Last 17 times Green Bay lost against the spread, covered next game 15 times.
Packers 19-6 ATS at home
Lions: Lost 10 STRAIGHT against the spread after score 30 or more points the prior game
GB: 31-11 ATS in Division (10 of last 11)
Lions 0-22 SU at Green Bay (4-17-1 ATS)
Packers 8-0 ATS after bye
Saints @ Bears (pk) -- 1 p.m.
Saints have covered 11 of 12 regular season games under Payton
Eagles at Giants (-2.5) -- 1 p.m.
Eagles have yielded 32.6 points per the last 14 games.
Eagles last 14 games have given up 35 touchdown passes while forcing only 3 interceptions!
Eagles: Away underdog off road loss: 61% league-wide since 2003
Giants: only 2 of 14 winning seasons at home ATS
Philly: Loss by 30 or more last week: 57% ATS (league-wide since 1990)
Eagles/Giants: Underdog 13-3 in this series.
Teams giving up the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] and 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] most points in NFL.
Panthers @ Cardinals (+2) -- 4:05 p.m.
Cam Newton 2-14 SU in one score games in his career
Ron Rivera, in three seasons, has started 1-5 and 1-6 and now 1-2
Road Favorite off a bye: 45-12 ATS (79% league-wide last 13 seasons)
Cards at home are 56% against the spread – last 10+ seasons (48-37 ATS)
Chargers @ Raiders (+4) -- 4:25 p.m.
Underdog 8-1 ATS in series
Favorite in Raiders games 10-2 ATS last 12
First time Chargers favored this season
Broncos @ Cowboys (+7.5) -- 4:25 p.m.
Home underdogs getting MORE than 8-points are 23-3 ATS last 26!
(Possible to get there on gameday)
Last 4 seasons: the underdog has covered 71% of Dallas games (37-15 ATS)
Denver has won 15 straight regular season games (SU)
Cowboys 5-14 ATS at home
Dallas “Tampa Two” D is same scheme Manning practiced against many years in Indy.
Dallas as a home dog since 1990 (25-11 ATS)
Cowboys: Biggest home underdog for Dallas since 2001
Texans @ 49ers (-6.5) -- 8:30 p.m.
Coach Kubiack 39% in career as a dog of 4 or more points (13-20 ATS)
Texans have outgained by 156 yards per game
Saints are the only other team with an edge over 100
Dominate Denver is 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] - only outgaining opp by 92 yards per game
49ers at home under Harbaugh: 16-5-1 ATS
Teams have scored TDs 88% of time in red zone against Houston - That’s worst in NFL
MNF: Jets at Atlanta (-10)
Atlanta:
Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 7 of 26 games since start of last season
Matt Ryan 35-8 SU at home
Coach Smith 35-21 ATS as favorite
The next game after a loss: Atlanta has covered 21 of 25!
Off a loss of 6 or more points: Mike Smith 16-0 ATS
Jets: Away underdog off road loss: 61% league-wide since 2003
3 TDs yielded last week by Jets were from drives less than 27 yards