RJ Bell:
Steelers (in London) vs Vikings (+3) -- 1 p.m.
Favorite has covered only 3 out of last 12 Steelers games
Big Ben 11-4 ATS off double digit loss
Steelers rushing yards on season have been doubled by opponents’
0-3 teams favorites: 8-19 ATS (from 1989)
Ravens @ Bills (+3) -- 1 p.m.
Bills last 28 games: lost against the spread by a NET 142 points
Bills cluster injuries in secondary could be more meaningful than the average bettor understands.
Bengals @ Browns (+4) -- 1 p.m.
Bengals 11-3-3 ATS on the road
Favorite has won only 1 of last 12 games when these teams play each other.
Colts @ Jaguars (+8.5) -- 1 p.m.
In 3 games this season, Jax has trailed by 16, 26, and 31 points
Last 27 games, Jacksonville 3-1 vs. Colts; 2-21 vs rest of NFL
Home underdogs getting MORE than 8-points are 23-2 ATS last 25!
Colts last week first double digit dog to win in the NFL in over a calendar year.
Colts +10.5 last week on road; -8.5 on road this week. 19 point relative spread improvement. Only 1 other team playing back-to-back road games in last 25 years has matched that.
Seahawks @ Texans (+2.5) -- 1 p.m.
Seattle:
(starting in 2005): 70% ATS at home (49-21-1)
On road during same period: 39% (27-43-1)
If simply play on at home, against on road: 92-48-2 (66% winners)
Under .500 ATS on road with Pete Carroll as coach.
Seattle has covered 12 straight vs. teams with a winning record.
Texans 8-1 when spread has been less than a field goal (favorite or dog)
Cardinals @ Buccaneers (-2.5) -- 1 p.m.
Arizona: Since 2005, teams are 45-78 ATS the week AFTER playing the Saints
Cards covered only 41% on road since 2002 (37-53-2)
Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 6 of 24 games since start of last seasonBucs: Last 39 home games, never once covered the spread two straight times!
0-3 teams favorites: 8-19 ATS (from 1989)
Cards: Away underdogs off an away loss: 179-113-3 ATS (61.3% from 2003)
Bears @ Lions (-3) -- 1 p.m.
Chicago: Beat Detroit 9 of 10 games.
Chicago THIS season leads the league in takaways
Chicago LAST season led the league in takaways
ESPN Power Rankings has . . .
Bears as the 4[SUP]th[/SUP] best team
Lions as the 16[SUP]th[/SUP] best team
(yet the home team favored by 3 implies even teams)
Giants @ Chiefs (-4) -- 1 p.m.
Giants on road under Caughlin: 50-31 ATS (62%)
Alex Smith last 29 games as a starter: 23-5-1 SU
Teams off 30+ point loss: 154-117-12 (57%) the next week (from 1990)
NYG: Away underdogs off an away loss: 179-113-3 ATS (61.3% from 2003)
KC: +9 turnovers; NYG: -9 turnovers
Jets @ Titans (-3.5) -- 4:05 p.m.
Jets have best defense in NFL on “per play basis”
but also 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] best team overall on NET yards per play.
When the first Vegas line for this game opened in May …
Jets were FAVORED
Cowboys @ Chargers (+2) -- 4:25 p.m.
Last 4 seasons: the underdog has covered 71% of Dallas games (36-15 ATS)
Cowboys 4-14 ATS after winning a game
Before last week: Chargers were favored by 1.5 in this game
now . . . after ONE Dallas win and ONE San Diego loss
the line has swung MORE THAN 3 points
San Diego: give up the most yards per defensive snap in the entire NFL
Redskins @ Raiders (+3.5) -- 4:25 p.m.
Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 6 of 24 games since start of last seasonWashington has faced this season: Vick, Stafford, Rodgers.
Eagles @ Broncos (-10.5) -- 4:25 p.m.
Eagles has given up an average of over 30 points per game its last 13.
#Eagles last 13 games have given up 31 touchdown passes while forcing only 3 interceptions!
Denver 37% ATS at home (22-37) since 2006
Denver has won 14 straight regular season games.
Eagles lost 5 straight ATS the week BEFORE playing Giants
Eagles with 3 extra days of rest (Thursday prior), Denver with 1 less (Monday prior)
Game Total: 58 points (2nd highest NFL Total since 2004!)
Patriots @ Falcons (-2) -- 8:30 p.m.
Atlanta at home: Negative Net Yards per play last season
and outgained yardage-wise in only home game this year
Matt Ryan 35-7 SU at home
Coach Smith 35-20 ATS as favorite
The next game after a loss: Atlanta has covered 21 of 24!
Roddy White has played all 3 games: total of 56 receiving yards on the season.
Bill Belichick with Patriots: 35-18-1 ATS (66%) as underdog.
Only 2 teams in the entire NFL
gain less yards per offensive snap than Patriots
Pats have faced two rookie QBs and a veteran so bad he’s now been benched
Dolphins @ Saints (-6.5) -- 8:40 p.m.
Saints under Coach Payton have covered 11 straight at home.
Saints have won and covered 7 straight primetime home games.
Miami has been outgained by 158 yards on the season
24 teams are better by that measure
Visitor in Miami games 52-30 ATS
Undefeated MNF home teams (3-0 or better): 12-2-1 ATS last 15
RJ Bell <s>@</s>RJinVegas 
