RJ Bell:
Chargers @ Titans (-3) -- 1 p.m.
Chargers undefeated against Titans: 8-0 SU and ATS
2[SUP]nd[/SUP] straight east coast road game for Chargers
Locke has is averaging 137 yards passing per game
ESPN rankings has San Diego 6 slots better than Tennessee
while our Vegas Rankings has Tennessee 9 slots better than San Diego
Browns @ Vikings (-6.5) -- 1 p.m.
Underdog playing 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] straight road game off a loss: 178-111-3 (62% starting in 2003)
Vikings: 7-1 SU at home last year, with wins over Packers, 49ers and Bears
Buccaneers @ Patriots (-7) -- 1 p.m.
Since 2005, teams are 45-77 ATS the week after playing the Saints
Tampa 20-10 ATS on the road
Last 23 home games, only 5 in which Pats were a smaller fav than this (-7)
Only 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] team in 25 years to win two straight games while losing against the spread by over a touchdown in each.
Teams with 100 or more yards of penalties each of the last two games: 31% ATS last 39 games (12-27 ATS)
Texans @ Ravens (+2.5) -- 1 p.m.
Flacco at home: 36-7 SU (22-21 ATS)
Only 12[SUP]th[/SUP] time since 1980 that defending Super Bowl champs are home underdogs.
Only 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] time Ravens home underdogs in last 4 seasons.
Last time Ravens played Texans, worst lost of Jim Harbaugh’s career.
Texans have covered 8 straight when spread has been less than a field goal (favorite or dog).
Rams @ Cowboys (-4) -- 1 p.m.
Underdog playing 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] straight road game off a loss: 178-111-3 (62% starting in 2003)
Last 4 seasons: the underdog has covered 72% of Dallas games (36-14 ATS) . . . now 50 games!
Jeff Fisher is 86-54 ATS (61%) in his coaching career as an underdog.
Cowboys have covered only 4 of 20 games as a home favorite the prior 3 seasons
Rams have gained more yards than Cowboys, and given up up less yards (+146 in net)
Cardinals @ Saints (-7) -- 1 p.m.
Saints under Coach Payton have covered 10 straight at home
Cards covered only 42% on road since 2002 (37-52-2)
Lions @ Redskins (-1.5) -- 1 p.m.
Lions on the road (starting in 2006): 20-36-2 (36%)
Lions – a dome team - have covered only 1 of last 9 on GRASS.
In 4 seasons under Shanahan, Redskins have covered only 3 times as a home favorite.
Coach Shanahan’s last 26 games as home favorite (at Washington & Denver): covered 5 and lost 21 against the spread.
In both games this season, Washington’s opponent scored at least 31 points before the Redskins offense scored a single point.
Lions have given up 24 or more points for 10 straight games.
Packers @ Bengals (+3) -- 1 p.m.
Mike McCarthy only coach in NFL with more than 60 games who is over 60% ATS.
Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 5 of 22 games last season
GB: Last week, first 100 yard rusher since Oct 2010.
Bengals covered only 3 of 14 the week after playing Steelers
(with all 3 covers by exactly ONE point!)
Losing against the spread by an average of over a touchdown
Favorite has covered 11 of last 12 Packers games.
Giants @ Panthers (-1) -- 1 p.m.
Cam Newton 2-14 SU in one score games.
Ron Rivera, in two seasons, has started 1-5 and 1-6 and now 0-2
Giants on road under Caughlin: 50-30 ATS (63%)
Coach Coughlin’s brother died unexpectedly Monday
Panthers: Teams the WEEK BEFORE a bye
(when not playing another team before a bye)
have covered only 5 of 22 games this season
Falcons @ Dolphins (-2.5) -- 4:05 p.m.
Visitor in Miami games 52-29 ATS
Dolphins: 9-32 ATS as a home favorite
Dolphins out gained yardage-wise both games this season
Colts @ 49ers (-10) -- 4:25 p.m.
Harbaugh after a loss: 7-2 ATS
Beating the spread by average of 9 points per game.
Yielded only 43 total points (6 per game)
Luck is undefeated after a loss: 5-0 SU and ATS
Colts: lost 5 of 9 road games last season by double digits
Jaguars @ Seahawks (-19) -- 4:25 p.m.
Underdog playing 2[SUP]nd[/SUP] straight road game off a loss: 178-111-3 (62% starting in 2003)
Seattle:
(starting in 2005): 70% ATS at home (48-21-1)
On road during same period: 39% (27-43-1)
If simply play on at home, against on road: 91-48-2 (65% winners)
Underdogs +17 or more: 20-6 ATS (from 1992 onward)
Jacksonville stayed on West Coast after Raiders game
Seattle has lost 9 straight the week after playing San Francisco
Jacksonville HC coached Seattle’s defense last four seasons.
Bills @ Jets (-2.5) -- 4:25 p.m.
Bills last 27 games: lost against the spread by a NET 138 points
Jets are 50-84 ATS as a home favorite
Bills Head Coach had success against Geno Smith in college with a blitz heavy scheme: 2-0 SU and forcing 5 ints.
Rex Ryan has won 6 of 7 SU against rookie QBs
Bills have won only 2 of 15 road games
Bears @ Steelers (+2.5) -- 8:30 p.m.
Favorite has covered only 2 out of last 11 Steelers games
First time Steelers 2 games under .500 under Tomlin
Big Ben 11-3 ATS off double digit loss
Steelers home underdogs in regular season for only 5[SUP]th[/SUP] time since 2000.
Raiders @ Broncos (-15) -- 8:40 p.m.
Denver 37% ATS at home (22-37) since 2006
Raiders: 5[SUP]th[/SUP] best D in league by yardage
Denver has won 13 straight regular season games.
