P2W CFB Week #5

Play2win

Play2win

Mod by Monday Morning
Week #1: -0.9
Week #2: -1.775
Week #3: +0.4
Week #4: +0.845

Fav ATS: 8-1-1 +5.375
Dog ATS: 8-11-1 -5.075
ML Dogs: 0-1 -0.5
Over: 1-3 -2.3
Under: 0-2 -2.2
ML parlays Favs: 1-1 -0.48
ML parlays Dogs: 0-1 -0.1
Teasers: 0-1 -0.55
2H Dog ATS: 1-0 +0.5
2H TT Over: 1-0 +0.5
Live Dog ML: 1-0 +0.9
Live Dog ATS: 2-0 +1.0
Live Over: 1-0 +0.5
Live Under: 1-0 +1.0
ALL: -1.43

Futures:
Michigan +1000 1/10u
Dalvin Cook +1200 1/12u

Week #5

Washington -3 1u (W)
Washington -2.5 1u (W)
FAU -5 0.5u (L)
Arizona St +8 (-105) 0.5u (L)
Cal -2 (-115) 0.5u (w)
Washington St -1 0.5u (w)
Washington St +107 ml 1.5u (W)
Buffalo +20 0.5u (L)
Hawaii +6 0.5u (w)
Missouri +13 0.5u (L)
Toledo +4 0.5u (w)
Live Toledo +140 ml 0.5u (w)
New Mexico -2.5/Clemson +8.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u (w)
New Mexico -4/Hawaii +9.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u (w)
Michigan St @ Indiana o52 0.5u (L)
Virginia +4 0.5u (w)
Kansas St +3 (-115) 0.5u (w)
Michigan -10 (-130) 1u (L)
1H Michigan -6.5 (-118) 0.5u (w)
Live Michigan -170 ml 1u (W)
UNC @ FSU o72 0.5u (p)
Kentucky TT u10.5 (-105) 0.5u (w)
Michigan -5.5/Kansas St +9.5 teaser (-110) 0.5u (w)
Clemson +105 ml 2u (W)
Indiana +12.5/Over 45.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u (L)
Missouri +17.5/Clemson +7.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u (L)
Clemson/Washington St/Hawaii ml parlay 0.25/2.26u (W)
Clemson/Washington St ml parlay 0.5/1.518 (W)
 
Last edited:
Week #1: -0.9
Week #2: -1.775
Week #3: +0.4
Week #4: +0.845

Fav ATS: 8-1-1 +5.375
Dog ATS: 8-11-1 -5.075
ML Dogs: 0-1 -0.5
Over: 1-3 -2.3
Under: 0-2 -2.2
ML parlays Favs: 1-1 -0.48
ML parlays Dogs: 0-1 -0.1
Teasers: 0-1 -0.55
2H Dog ATS: 1-0 +0.5
2H TT Over: 1-0 +0.5
Live Dog ML: 1-0 +0.9
Live Dog ATS: 2-0 +1.0
Live Over: 1-0 +0.5
Live Under: 1-0 +1.0

ALL: -1.43
 
jodyc said:
Any idea why the ASU line is so big? USC giving 10 seems why too big.
Click to expand...
I'm not feeling good about this one...going in I was against USC because I'm not sure how they respond to blowing the lead in Utah and when I first started working on this game I figured maybe -3 so was very happy to get more than a TD but seeing this at -10 seems like sharp money on Trojans.
 
Toledo:
Toledo #6 total O vs BYU #56 total D
BYU #88 total O vs Toledo #7 total D
Made this a PK and think the dog wins SU

Washington: (Best Bet of week)
Stanford offense isn't the same this year without Hogan at QB and that should really be exposed tonight vs this very tough Washington defense.
Think home team wins by a TD or better

FAU: not sure how FIU reacts to Turner being fired after 0-4 start, DC Cooper takes over. Thought 5 was a short number considering circumstances and looking at last year's meeting FAU won by 14 at home out gaining FIU by 135 yards and FAU has an even better QB this time around.

Arizona St:
Really liked what I saw from ASU last week even though final score was misleading. Not sure how USC responds after blowing lead at Utah last week but Trojans do appear to be the sharp side. I made this 3 so was happy to get more than 7 but then 10's popped.

Cal:
Utes came through for me last week but I wasn't impressed and also didn't like how they looked vs BYU and thought the refs decided the outcome of that contest. Nice bounce back spot for Cal , returning home after losing on road. First real (S Jose St) road test for Utah.

Washington St: extra week to prep (off bye) for a struggling Oregon team. Really dislike Ducks on D this season.

Buffalo: BO actually opened at 21.5 but I wasn't quick enough but still happy to get +20 as the real line here should be 14/15 range. This BC defense isn't as good as they were last year and I'm looking at something like a 21-7 final.

Hawaii: is a situational play...off bye vs Nevada who's playing b2b road.

Missouri: not sure how LSU responds after Les being fired but they have no offense and are laying almost 2 TD's to Missouri's #6 total D.

New Mexico: revenge game for Lobos who are off a bye week and face San Jose St who will be playing B2B road games.

Still looking at a few other games.
 
Numbers could be misleading in Toledo/Byu because of opponents this early in the season but Byu offense is one dimensional imo and Toledo will key in on run I think.
 
[TABLE="class: chalk dbresults base-table base-table-sortable"]
<thead style="box-sizing: border-box; background: rgb(0, 0, 0);">[TR="bgcolor: #F2F4F6"]
[TH="class: event_date, align: left"]Date[/TH]
[TH="class: away_team, align: left"]Away[/TH]
[TH="class: away_score, align: left"]Score[/TH]
[TH="class: home_team, align: left"]Home[/TH]
[TH="class: home_score, align: left"]Score[/TH]
[TH="class: result, align: left"]Result[/TH]
[TH="class: home_spread, align: left"]Home Spread[/TH]
[TH="class: ats_result, align: left"]ATS[/TH]
[TH="class: total, align: left"]Total[/TH]
[TH="class: ou_result, align: left"]OU[/TH]
[/TR]
</thead><tbody style="box-sizing: border-box; border-top: 0px;">[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 24, 2015[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]26[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]52[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]-14.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]59[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 18, 2014[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]56[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]17[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]16[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]59.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 12, 2013[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]28[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]42[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]-10[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]53.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 6, 2012[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]31[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]27[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]14.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]49[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Nov 19, 2011[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]3[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]55[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]-27.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]53[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Sep 27, 2008[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]42[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]29[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]7.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]53[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 13, 2007[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]27[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]52[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]-3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]62[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: event_date"]Oct 28, 2006[/TD]
[TD="class: away_team"]MICHST[/TD]
[TD="class: away_score"]21[/TD]
[TD="class: home_team"]INDIAN[/TD]
[TD="class: home_score"]46[/TD]
[TD="class: result"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: home_spread"]7[/TD]
[TD="class: ats_result"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: total"]58[/TD]
[TD="class: ou_result"]O[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Good luck today play, eying Kstate as well. Hoping they lose first half a D pound in 2nd. They are ridiculous in 2nd half ats when losing 1st half
 
GL bud, I like Michigan as well but have lost the value with them so jumped on over, may the Wolves score a buncha points for us
 
Missouri +17.5/Clemson +7.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u
Indiana +12.5/Over 45.5 teaser (-120) 0.5u
Clemson +105 ml 2u
 
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