• PICK CLUB WEEK #1 LINES ARE POSTED!

2022-23 BOWL GUIDE

satnightfever05 said:
Close to adding ND as well.

WKU getting all their studs back from the portal. Going to have to hedge here at some point with USA being so large lol

But first things first. UConn and EMU :)
Click to expand...

With QB and LB Evans back - they still have a lot out

#2 WR Davis - all CUSA
2nd best defensive player CB Hailassie - all CUSA
#1 and #2 TE's - Simon (all CUSA HM) and Beljan
C Staats and OT Britton (both all CUSA)
K Narvese - all CUSA HM
S- Allen - #6 tackler

Plus 7 other guys or so hit the portal - a couple still might show up an play sure - OL or 2
 
The idea JG - is we won't see a fully focused effort from the Herd ..... as we often don't

Last 8X as favorite - 4-4 SU / 2-6 ATS
>> -50 ATS

If we do, sure Huskies might be in trouble - keep in mind while the UConn O is pretty bad sure - their D not really (#68 SP+). This is better than most teams HERD played, in which they struggled to score more than 24 pts or so - hit 31 vs BG (#125D).

Yards / point margin these 2 are about the same - #85 C vs #83 M - (Herd O is terrible inefficient at #121)
* O's are similar - C #124 / M #122
* UConn with a ST edge - #98 vs #116

Will the Herd's #8 D show up in a meaningless bowl, and shut UConn out? Playing D is tough when it don't matter .......BOL man ...... :shake:
 
adding as one unit play

Wake Forest -1

$ doesn't really fit the criteria for my top bowl plays (both need a W here) - but I do like the coaching and QB edge here - think Sam H and AT Perry finish their careers strong, vs a Mizzou team that is without many of it's best players. HC Clawson "we are very excited to play an SEC team" - can't see Mizzou being too fired up about this one ???. I simply think WF D is able to make a few more stops than Mizzou D - banking on Sam, and a 'refuse to lose' mentality here
>> Sam needs one TD to become ACC's all time leader - they've sold all their tickets (or close)

WF out-
bu RB Turner
st CB Holmes (2nd best CB)
DE Johns (shared time/starts)
bu CB Roberts

Mizzou out (about 15 guys) about 8 in portal or early NFL opt outs
best O player WR Lovett
2 top edge rushers McGuire and Coleman (12.5 sacks) - both back-ups hurt too
top S Manuel (3rd leading sacks too)
plus 2 back-up DB's and a few more depth guys
 
350px-Ruth1932-1.jpg


Channeling my inner Babe Ruth - and a bit outer these days unfortunately as well .........

I'm pointing to the CF fence, and declaring that EMU will cover and win SU tomorrow .............:pray:



Oops - gonna need a walkup song ha

 
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bookieassassin said:
350px-Ruth1932-1.jpg


Channeling my inner Babe Ruth - and a bit outer these days unfortunately as well .........

I'm pointing to the CF fence, and declaring that EMU will cover and win SU tomorrow .............:pray:
Click to expand...
TREMENDO!!! NOW I GOT SIDE +4 and $ line _...thank you B.A. ...you are the BEST....SIR!
 
If you haven't played - but considering S BAMA....

I would wait closer to kick off - we might see late $$ on WKU, as holiday bettors get more involved - I'll probably add to SA at 3



thx Wolfe - yep liked that one - no way in my mind EMU loses that one - think that brings them to 24-7 as road dog
 
bookieassassin said:
If you haven't played - but considering S BAMA....

I would wait closer to kick off - we might see late $$ on WKU, as holiday bettors get more involved - I'll probably add to SA at 3



thx Wolfe - yep liked that one - no way in my mind EMU loses that one - think that brings them to 24-7 as road dog
Click to expand...


Great call BA! Anytime I see you bring that much confidence, I push more chips to table center. Much appreciated my man!
 
bookieassassin said:
If you haven't played - but considering S BAMA....

I would wait closer to kick off - we might see late $$ on WKU, as holiday bettors get more involved - I'll probably add to SA at 3



thx Wolfe - yep liked that one - no way in my mind EMU loses that one - think that brings them to 24-7 as road dog
Click to expand...
Totally agree with this BA. Great stuff! What an asset to the site.
 
adding small

ULL +7'

DO NOT LIKE fading Tune/Dell in their last game as a Cougar, so smaller than what (should be) a solid play

Another issue is that, as of now - ULL is the one with players out

* Top threat WR Jefferson
* #4 WR Fleming
* bu RB Williams hurt and ?
* top edge guy - DE Jones out
>> top RB Smith has declared, but playing
* day 1 starter at QB Fields is back -Wooldridge is gone

KEY - as I mentioned before - SOME COACHES DO NOT CARE ABOUT BOWLS. FACT.
$$ Coug HC Dana Holgorsen is one of these - he is working on recruiting - building for 2023 - he doesn't REALLY PREPARE MUCH FOR THEIR OPPONENT (supposedly).
Cougs will simply show up and play - that's the way he does it in a crap bowl. LY vs Auburn was different - beating an SEC team is important for recruiting and fund raising - that was a great spot for the Cougs - Auburn in total disarray. DH has coached in 9 bowls - covered in 2 (3-6 SU) - LY and that crazy 70-33 win over Clemson in the Orange Bowl.

One thing of interest - speaking of great Houston WR Dell (and Tune) ..... will they actually play?

It's gonna be 25 degrees and a bit windy - how can either elevate their draft status by playing here? It's a LOSE-LOSE proposition, friends, family, agents are saying "man you're crazy as hell - don't do it!". If they do play, how invested will they be? Plus it's hard to believe they have like no transfers or opt-outs - several no shows wouldn't be a surprise.

ULL will have a nice crowd edge, and should play HARD here. If down, and going hard - I might play Cougs 2H
 
bookieassassin said:
If you haven't played - but considering S BAMA....

I would wait closer to kick off - we might see late $$ on WKU, as holiday bettors get more involved - I'll probably add to SA at 3



thx Wolfe - yep liked that one - no way in my mind EMU loses that one - think that brings them to 24-7 as road dog
Click to expand...
TREMENDO..B.A. E MU..great winner +pts and $ line!!! TYPICAL B.A. BOWLING WINNERS!! extremely steady , for years and certainly now time to "shine" on this forum!! always right here with "the MASTER", B. A. ..thank you SIR!! winners!
 
bookieassassin said:
350px-Ruth1932-1.jpg


Channeling my inner Babe Ruth - and a bit outer these days unfortunately as well .........

I'm pointing to the CF fence, and declaring that EMU will cover and win SU tomorrow .............:pray:



Oops - gonna need a walkup song ha
Click to expand...
:badass: = Winnners with a lady under each arm… at the club with chest hair out, and gold chain.

You mentioned one time BA you were an E. Mich homer…an Eagle Alumni?
GL Assassin, your diligence is phenomenal. A legendary start yet again…..Mahalo,
PAPPY23
 
bookieassassin said:
adding small

ULL +7'

DO NOT LIKE fading Tune/Dell in their last game as a Cougar, so smaller than what (should be) a solid play

Another issue is that, as of now - ULL is the one with players out

* Top threat WR Jefferson
* #4 WR Fleming
* bu RB Williams hurt and ?
* top edge guy - DE Jones out
>> top RB Smith has declared, but playing
* day 1 starter at QB Fields is back -Wooldridge is gone

KEY - as I mentioned before - SOME COACHES DO NOT CARE ABOUT BOWLS. FACT.
$$ Coug HC Dana Holgorsen is one of these - he is working on recruiting - building for 2023 - he doesn't REALLY PREPARE MUCH FOR THEIR OPPONENT (supposedly).
Cougs will simply show up and play - that's the way he does it in a crap bowl. LY vs Auburn was different - beating an SEC team is important for recruiting and fund raising - that was a great spot for the Cougs - Auburn in total disarray. DH has coached in 9 bowls - covered in 2 (3-6 SU) - LY and that crazy 70-33 win over Clemson in the Orange Bowl.

One thing of interest - speaking of great Houston WR Dell (and Tune) ..... will they actually play?

It's gonna be 25 degrees and a bit windy - how can either elevate their draft status by playing here? It's a LOSE-LOSE proposition, friends, family, agents are saying "man you're crazy as hell - don't do it!". If they do play, how invested will they be? Plus it's hard to believe they have like no transfers or opt-outs - several no shows wouldn't be a surprise.

ULL will have a nice crowd edge, and should play HARD here. If down, and going hard - I might play Cougs 2H
Click to expand...
This play is right up my alley, you talked me into it Assassin with the Tune-Dell limited playing approach (sharp AF) Also of note - ULL is recruiting like hell as well…a BIG WIN over neighbor/big brother UH will bring some some barking Dawg energy, and possible coaching focus as you stated…I will say tho, these Bowls in Louisiana, anything can happen! Lol possible random flags late to keep it tight.

I like the ragin’ cajuns, but beware they can give up pts quickly, blowout potential. I can imagine many a Joe Pub will see the obvious statistical advantage and “square up” with some UH wagers..A great game to possibly Live Wager (could see ULL +11 after a UH opening TD).
Houston is focused on the revival of Phi Slama Jamma..a Hoops town for a change. Southeast Louisiana thinks of only one thing…FOOTBALL.
 
Wolfeman said:
:badass: = Winnners with a lady under each arm… at the club with chest hair out, and gold chain.

You mentioned one time BA you were an E. Mich homer…an Eagle Alumni?
GL Assassin, your diligence is phenomenal. A legendary start yet again…..Mahalo,
PAPPY23
Click to expand...
tremendo
 
live/ 2H is probably the way to go on ULL / Hou .....

Just can't see Houston being focused for more than say 2Q or so really - plus 7 is too many points. Bottom line - when your HC obviously doesn't care, why should you?

$ btw - by don't care, I mean he's not coaching to WIN - in preparation and in-game decisions - it's an EXHIBITION game. Winning (should) be important to the crazy Cajuns - plus weather should keep the game close(r)

nope didn't go to EMU - like em because they're predictable - if they played UMASS next week at home they would have zero chance of covering - and would probably lose su ....
 
bookieassassin said:
If you haven't played - but considering S BAMA....

I would wait closer to kick off - we might see late $$ on WKU, as holiday bettors get more involved - I'll probably add to SA at 3



thx Wolfe - yep liked that one - no way in my mind EMU loses that one - think that brings them to 24-7 as road dog
Click to expand...
Seeing 3.5. If it goes to 3, might fire on USA again. WKU one of the biggest fraud teams this year. USA pass D near elite. Should hold WKU O in check.

This has turned into my biggest bowl bet of the year
 
bookieassassin said:
live/ 2H is probably the way to go on ULL / Hou .....

Just can't see Houston being focused for more than say 2Q or so really - plus 7 is too many points. Bottom line - when your HC obviously doesn't care, why should you?

$ btw - by don't care, I mean he's not coaching to WIN - in preparation and in-game decisions - it's an EXHIBITION game. Winning (should) be important to the crazy Cajuns - plus weather should keep the game close(r)

nope didn't go to EMU - like em because they're predictable - if they played UMASS next week at home they would have zero chance of covering - and would probably lose su ....
Click to expand...
And there is the USA -3
 
puppylove said:
my # now is -4 U S A ...B.A. please advise me! thank you SIR! winners tremendo
Click to expand...

If you haven't bet yet, the 4 is fine - tho decent chance you see a 3', or a very brief 3 if you can wait. For me 4 would be a 0.75 play - 3 a bit more.

I'm gonna wait and see what happens - I can get a 3 juiced at BM looks like at some point (was 3 at -110 for one minute) - they need WKU money so it should drop down again at some point ....?

The only issue maybe - is WKU can force turnovers (#1 at 30) - SA doesn't turn it over much, but does get a ton of penalties.....

Bottom line is one team is (on the rise)- needs to win and wants to win badly - the other will show up and play, and hope talent / solid coaching is enough. I think SA will be able to RUN THE DAMN BALL here, and control the game.
 
bookieassassin said:
If you haven't bet yet, the 4 is fine - tho decent chance you see a 3', or a very brief 3 if you can wait. For me 4 would be a 0.75 play - 3 a bit more.

I'm gonna wait and see what happens - I can get a 3 juiced at BM looks like at some point (was 3 at -110 for one minute) - they need WKU money so it should drop down again at some point ....?

The only issue maybe - is WKU can force turnovers (#1 at 30) - SA doesn't turn it over much, but does get a ton of penalties.....

Bottom line is one team is (on the rise)- needs to win and wants to win badly - the other will show up and play, and hope talent / solid coaching is enough. I think SA will be able to RUN THE DAMN BALL here, and control the game.
Click to expand...
THANK YOU B.A. !! NOW I SHALL MAKE A MOVE, "SUBMIT""!! TREMENDO , MY FRIEND... YOU ARE #1>>>
 
satnightfever05 said:
If that same game was played tonight, I would still be all over USA. Lol. Insane effort by wku
Click to expand...
YOU talked me into that you rat basterd haha.....

Yep noticed several played that were 'out' too....

WKU played loose - SA as if they didn't work out - same team that had UCLA beat on the road ffs

fess up - you play SA 2H like me ha - no way I post that ....
 
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bookieassassin said:
YOU talked me into that you rat basterd haha.....

Yep noticed several played that were 'out' too....

WKU played loose - SA as if they didn't work out - same team that had UCLA beat on the road ffs

fess up - you play SA 2H like me ha - no way I post that ....
Click to expand...
Ahahahaha! I’m glad I chose to sit this one out….but I did feel like a King when I caught S.Bama +13 in game for some Fun…I admit it!!

Let’s bury that one. I’m considering placing my first .5 unit chip on Wiscy -3…and I think UCF is a major fade vs Duke. I haven’t been happy with UCF this season, I’m grabbing Wake ML -125 (ugh) per your wiseness. I think you uncovered another gem there..

Wisky Okie st…sounds like a country song. I see Wisconsin 24 Ok St 14 IF Badgers FOCUSED! Nothing about the Cowboys excites me, but I’ve learned my lesson betting against that SOB Gundy.. a lot of opt outs/transfers are all over the field. I think both teams are starting backup QB’s. Something about the Wisconsin coaching change mid season makes me think their Uncle momentum continues over this Cowboys team in the dumps that has tossed in the towel.

Pappy 23 & Steely Partner
 
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I couldn’t seem to find a great ASSASSIN emoji…just a bunch of soft porn, & middle fingers. Ha. Anyhow, the big bangers are approaching, it’s time to fire it up!! BA have a great Holidays!! Let’s roll….
:biggestfan:
 
Wolfeman said:
I couldn’t seem to find a great ASSASSIN emoji…just a bunch of soft porn, & middle fingers. Ha. Anyhow, the big bangers are approaching, it’s time to fire it up!! BA have a great Holidays!! Let’s roll….
:biggestfan:
Click to expand...
really nice! winners!
 
Man, I'm kinda digging Mizzou....they only lost to strong defensive teams and coulda possibly won 4 of the games they lost (aub,flor,Kentucky, georgia).....WF defense is suspect and they can't run the ball at all....Mizzou has lost some players, but nothing irreplaceable.....haven't seen a single soul on the Tigers....Hartman already gone after this game....is he gonna give 110% if need be?
 
Rusty Trombone said:
Man, I'm kinda digging Mizzou....they only lost to strong defensive teams and coulda possibly won 4 of the games they lost (aub,flor,Kentucky, georgia).....WF defense is suspect and they can't run the ball at all....Mizzou has lost some players, but nothing irreplaceable.....haven't seen a single soul on the Tigers....Hartman already gone after this game....is he gonna give 110% if need be?
Click to expand...

A regular season game? - a strong Mizzou call probably

But now? - 2 best players on the field are playing in their LAST game for WF - better coach, motivated / playing vs SEC (supposedly). Few opt outs for WF - a few actually wanted to play but Clawson said no way. Mizzou has a weak O - losing their (only) real weapon is significant. The 3 losses on D - 2 captains / leading pass rushers + top safety who is #3 in sacks as well is a big deal. WF has sold all tickets, or close, and should get solid support here.

That said - fading The public is a solid bowl strategy - and Sam will occasionally lose his freaking mind, and throw like 10 picks, and SEC vs ACC seldom a bad idea .......:shake:
 
bookieassassin said:
Enjoying the hell outta this boys - thanks for hanging out with me, and Happy Holidays ...............:handshake2:
Click to expand...
BA LOVE your thread…thanks for bringing me to CTG. Merry Christmas. Stay warm down there in N. Texas. You to Winners in New England! Be safe & stay buzzed.

PAPPY 23 Boys….if you can find it!

Let’s nail that Georgia St play…. :spinbball2:
 
Wolfeman said:
This play is right up my alley, you talked me into it Assassin with the Tune-Dell limited playing approach (sharp AF) Also of note - ULL is recruiting like hell as well…a BIG WIN over neighbor/big brother UH will bring some some barking Dawg energy, and possible coaching focus as you stated…I will say tho, these Bowls in Louisiana, anything can happen! Lol possible random flags late to keep it tight.

I like the ragin’ cajuns, but beware they can give up pts quickly, blowout potential. I can imagine many a Joe Pub will see the obvious statistical advantage and “square up” with some UH wagers..A great game to possibly Live Wager (could see ULL +11 after a UH opening TD).
Houston is focused on the revival of Phi Slama Jamma..a Hoops town for a change. Southeast Louisiana thinks of only one thing…FOOTBALL.
Click to expand...

Whoa Nellie! Certainly feel fortunate winning that one by the hook… great capping once again BA. You’re having a helluva bowl season so far. Da besss.. no ka oi!

Merry Christmas, let’s hope SDSU gets away from MTSU, who’s a looonng way from home.
Aztecs 30
Blue Raiders lmao 20

SDSU will be right at home with our Polynesian culture, GL
 
smaller - 0.75 for now, will likely bump up

NC St P

NCSU had their bowl cancelled LY - last bowl win 2017
>> Terps off huge bowl win LY - Locksley stinks
$ when playing a better team (record wise) - the last 42X, he's managed to win THREE / covered 15
 
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