brewers888
Chicken Little
Adrian Martinez is playing for the Jets.
NFL Pre Season Discussion
- Thread starter Inspekdah
- Start date
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
I didn’t like that group at all but I didn’t love Washington’s either. Driskell if he uses his legs is a little fook
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
I wish some NFL team down on its luck would just bring in an entire high octane college staff to see how it goes. No hiring Spurrier or whatever, bring in the whole staff and let it fly. What's to lose?
Bring in all of that Miami staff when Dorsey was QB. Who wouldn't watch that?
brewers888
Chicken Little
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Oh I watched, front row!
But I know the premise, still would be so awesome and you can't convince me it wouldn't
Gandolf
Leader of the Van Buren Boys
A couple of nuances learned on the new kickoff play courtesy of the Jags/Chiefs game:
1) A ball hitting the endzone is no longer automatically dead. Remember how kickers would boot it into the endzone and the returner would hold his arms out and the play was automatically over? That is no more. The Jags kicker had a ball hit 1 yard into the endzone and it bounced back to the 1/2 yard line. The ball was deemed live.
2) You cannot stand in the endzone, pick up a ball outside the end zone, and have it be a touch back. This may have always been the case but the way the refs initially handled it, this might be a change, I'm not sure. But Mecole Hardman kneeled in the endzone, then picked the ball up at the 1/2 yard line. It was at first ruled a touchback but then changed to a SAFETY.
3) Safety kicks will also use the dynamic kickoff. No more punters. Your place kicker will be out there kicking from the 20, and he'll need to stretch out that leg after all those pooch kicks.
BTW the Jags have two kick returns over 40 yards in this one. Don't believe this play is automatically going to be a dud.
1) A ball hitting the endzone is no longer automatically dead. Remember how kickers would boot it into the endzone and the returner would hold his arms out and the play was automatically over? That is no more. The Jags kicker had a ball hit 1 yard into the endzone and it bounced back to the 1/2 yard line. The ball was deemed live.
2) You cannot stand in the endzone, pick up a ball outside the end zone, and have it be a touch back. This may have always been the case but the way the refs initially handled it, this might be a change, I'm not sure. But Mecole Hardman kneeled in the endzone, then picked the ball up at the 1/2 yard line. It was at first ruled a touchback but then changed to a SAFETY.
3) Safety kicks will also use the dynamic kickoff. No more punters. Your place kicker will be out there kicking from the 20, and he'll need to stretch out that leg after all those pooch kicks.
BTW the Jags have two kick returns over 40 yards in this one. Don't believe this play is automatically going to be a dud.
pressitup
Leader of the Adult Humor Industry
Steve Makinen, big stats guy at vsin.
he's listed these two trends for a few yrs. THe "37" total being one I have played when bored and don't want to work, just have action.
I thought I'd track it .
So far with two gms left this week.
1. LINE RANGES have proven very telling
Oddsmakers have essentially led bettors to water in the preseason, although it is easy to see how these prices can seem tricky. Since 2010, 13 teams have been favored by more than seven points. Nine of these heavy favorites won their games outright, but they were 4-9 ATS (30.8%). At the same time, favorites in the “sweet spot” range of -3.5 to -7 have been quite reliable, going 143-112-4 ATS for 56.1%. However, most games tend to land in the -1 to -3 range, and those are where the underdogs thrive. Since 2015, underdogs in the +1 to +3 range own a highly profitable record of 162-110 ATS, good for 59.6%. On that last angle, underdogs in ’23 went 13-8 ATS.
+1/+3 6-5
-3.5/-7 1-3
-7+
7. “37” is a MAGIC NUMBER for totals
Since 2010 in the NFL preseason, the number 37 has proved to be quite the benchmark in terms of totals. Totals less than 37 have gone OVER at a rate of 58.9% (279-195), including 10-3 last preseason. Those closing totals of 37 or higher have gone UNDER at a 56.4% clip (527-407).
10-5
he's listed these two trends for a few yrs. THe "37" total being one I have played when bored and don't want to work, just have action.
I thought I'd track it .
So far with two gms left this week.
1. LINE RANGES have proven very telling
Oddsmakers have essentially led bettors to water in the preseason, although it is easy to see how these prices can seem tricky. Since 2010, 13 teams have been favored by more than seven points. Nine of these heavy favorites won their games outright, but they were 4-9 ATS (30.8%). At the same time, favorites in the “sweet spot” range of -3.5 to -7 have been quite reliable, going 143-112-4 ATS for 56.1%. However, most games tend to land in the -1 to -3 range, and those are where the underdogs thrive. Since 2015, underdogs in the +1 to +3 range own a highly profitable record of 162-110 ATS, good for 59.6%. On that last angle, underdogs in ’23 went 13-8 ATS.
+1/+3 6-5
-3.5/-7 1-3
-7+
7. “37” is a MAGIC NUMBER for totals
Since 2010 in the NFL preseason, the number 37 has proved to be quite the benchmark in terms of totals. Totals less than 37 have gone OVER at a rate of 58.9% (279-195), including 10-3 last preseason. Those closing totals of 37 or higher have gone UNDER at a 56.4% clip (527-407).
10-5
Good stuff press
2daBank
Voice of Reason
i like colts 1st half but donks game
2daBank
Voice of Reason
dunno how much ak-47 pays but i think he comes out to show out!
rams game pretty self explanatory, rams have no interest showing anything in these games. want to say they have played the most boring nothing games under mcvay. have a feeling ak-47! playing yo prove something! could be way off base but thinks he accounts for a td or 2 before they pull plug!
rams game pretty self explanatory, rams have no interest showing anything in these games. want to say they have played the most boring nothing games under mcvay. have a feeling ak-47! playing yo prove something! could be way off base but thinks he accounts for a td or 2 before they pull plug!
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Unders have been the golden goose
I know you were railing on Tomlin for not challenging something the other night but let's be real. If a coach challenges anything in preseason he deserves the complete social media disrupt that's coming. If you didn't have money on it and he challenged, I'd be right there with you questioning him for throwing that red flag. No one challenges in pre season. Why would they? Get that shit over and move on.
Best part of exhibition season is baseball
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
That's my feel.
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Trey Lance going to drop a couple of scores. Probably to the defense.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
so excited to see ak-47 show out early
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Colts and Titans for division
Jags doing what they do and going to be a lot of opportunities with Houston playing a first place schedule
2daBank
Voice of Reason
payton smart. w strudam having the experience. then nix come in and carve up the the backups. i may have screwed up here but i just didn't have time for much work with baseball and theresa problems. next week ill take this more serious. i so fucking love the under in next game tho
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Welp I like Indy and Tennessee so we aren't looking in the same direction it appears
KJ
Bump. Set. Shuma!
Kentucky literally has no passing game. He got drafted in spite of that.
2daBank
Voice of Reason
i have done like no work so you prob have better idea than me. i just have thought bust on uk kid since the minute i saw him in college. obviously he could get coaching that helps but imo he doesn't have what it takes to be a leader. i think nix has way better chance of success than the uk kid
