I wanted to separate this from the discussion thread and see what we can come up with...
You all know that I love situational handicapping in this particular sport unlike any other. Now, the 'new' NBA has taken away a lot of those situations so I attack in other ways now. But, we still get a few of them and it certainly gets the juices flowing a little bit.
The old 'super situation' is one that is rarely seen now (5 games, opposite conference/coast on road -- one day off, home game then the next night on the road) but we can find a situation similar at times.
The LA Clippers:
-Last Wednesday and Thursday off
-Friday home game versus
-Sunday night road game at Portland
-Home since then having not played. So, 2 games in 7 days.
The Phoenix Suns:
-November 19th-25th they played 4 games in the Eastern Conference
-Monday was an off day
-Last night home game vs Indiana
-Tonight, back on the road at Staples.
So, to piggyback the 'super situation', this is close in theory with the 4 games opposite, day of rest then home/road b2b.
Lets look at some other factors...
-In the old days the bet would be say 1x on the first night against Phoenix and 2x the next night against Phoenix. We didn't bet it last night. That wasn't a good spot for Indiana and with it not being the old 5 in 7 or 5 in 8 road trip it wasn't something I wanted to get mixed up in to be honest. Well, the Pacers covered but barely and prolly should not have.
-In the last 4 weeks, the margin of victories in LA Clippers Wins...
4
5
8
8
5
5
2
11
25
So, this number is set at 11.5/12 currently depending on your out.
That is a lot of chalk for a team that hasn't won in double digits since early in the month.
There is a price to pay here, and it is more likely to be correct than not be correct in my opinion. So, how do we attack this game?
-ATS?
-TT?
-Live betting?
That is the question
So, lets discuss and figure out some ways to get after this...
You all know that I love situational handicapping in this particular sport unlike any other. Now, the 'new' NBA has taken away a lot of those situations so I attack in other ways now. But, we still get a few of them and it certainly gets the juices flowing a little bit.
The old 'super situation' is one that is rarely seen now (5 games, opposite conference/coast on road -- one day off, home game then the next night on the road) but we can find a situation similar at times.
The LA Clippers:
-Last Wednesday and Thursday off
-Friday home game versus
-Sunday night road game at Portland
-Home since then having not played. So, 2 games in 7 days.
The Phoenix Suns:
-November 19th-25th they played 4 games in the Eastern Conference
-Monday was an off day
-Last night home game vs Indiana
-Tonight, back on the road at Staples.
So, to piggyback the 'super situation', this is close in theory with the 4 games opposite, day of rest then home/road b2b.
Lets look at some other factors...
-In the old days the bet would be say 1x on the first night against Phoenix and 2x the next night against Phoenix. We didn't bet it last night. That wasn't a good spot for Indiana and with it not being the old 5 in 7 or 5 in 8 road trip it wasn't something I wanted to get mixed up in to be honest. Well, the Pacers covered but barely and prolly should not have.
-In the last 4 weeks, the margin of victories in LA Clippers Wins...
4
5
8
8
5
5
2
11
25
So, this number is set at 11.5/12 currently depending on your out.
That is a lot of chalk for a team that hasn't won in double digits since early in the month.
There is a price to pay here, and it is more likely to be correct than not be correct in my opinion. So, how do we attack this game?
-ATS?
-TT?
-Live betting?
That is the question
So, lets discuss and figure out some ways to get after this...
