Glad I tailed you and got the +3, I also threw a little more on the under there.
Any leans on that first game between the cats?
:cheers3:
Its a tough game to cap because there's so many competing storylines. zThe teams split their season series, with the Lions winning at home in OT and then not even showing up the next week in Hamilton, losing 40-11. But inconsistent Jon Jennings started both those games for BC and now Travis Lulay is back while the cats had Brandon Banks in the lineup back then and now they don't so I'm not sure how much those meetings tell us.
The cats have gotten all their defensive pieces back for this game, DE Adrian Tracy, DL Neill and CB Delvin Breaux so they should be able to slow the Lions offense on paper. But when I look at the Lions offense I see a bunch loaded with playoff experience and in Lulay and Sutton, have a pair of guys who know this may be their final chance at a cup. In fact, all through the Lions roster I think there are guys like that. BC has been shit on the road all year and I generally hate betting dome teams on the road but I just feel like this is a group on a mission. I think they can win this game.
Hamilton doesn't have much HFA but today might be different as there should be a full, engaged crowd for this one (your humble writer included). Jeremiah Masoli has been a stat darling all year but he still isn't a guy I would trust to lead the team on a 4th quarter comeback. In fact, if you take his stats from 4 games against Toronto and Montreal out of the equation, his numbers look pretty damn ordinary against everyone else and he still plays better on the road than at home. And the cats still haven't found an answer to the loss of Banks, Saunders, Toliver and Chambers at receiver. Its a real patchwork that Masoli is throwing to with Marquay McDaniel who has only been out of retirement for 3 games (although he does have a wealth of playoff experience), drop-prone Mike Jones, rookie Justin Buren..etc etc etc.
Weather wise its a beautiful fall day. Sunny and cool (2C) but no wind to speak of. Its a perfect football day.
Apparently BC opened at +3 before early bettors pounded it down to pk. I think +3 was a good play but I missed it. I would take +2.5 or even +2 if the public bettors continue to push this line toward the cats. I'm seeing some +1.5 outt there now. Another option would be to tease BC and the under. Under because I see both teams leaning on their running game a bit more than usual in this one.