1.5* Toronto -1.5 -106
After lighting the world on fire, Sask has started to look like Sask again. They are basically a .500 team this year (an improvement to be sure) who caught a few opponents in bad spots and looked like world beaters for a while but the last couple of games have shown us what they really are. Here they have their second consecutive eastern road game are coming off an improbable and ugly comeback win against the redblacks behind the last week. Make no mistake, the RBs gave away that game in the 4th quarter as Ryan Lindley could not move his football team whatsoever and Sask played the field position game to score two late TDs and the winning rouge. Impressive it wasn't. Sask has a lot of trouble scoring on the road and this will be one of the tougher defenses they have to play this year. Additionally, their best receiver Duron Carter has been nursing an ankle problem and their 2nd best Naaman Roosevelt has been out the past 2 weeks although the word is he will be back in the lineup for this tilt.
Toronto on the other hand started the season well, got bit by the injury bug (especially on defense) and is now healthy and looks damn good. They have won 3 in a row. Their defense may well be the leagues best now that they are healthy. One thing a spate of injuries does, is force a team to play 2nd and 3rd stringers and as a result they now have tremendous depth. Their starting DL of Butler, Laing, Tuggle and Wynn are buttressed by Troy Davis and Lynden Gaydosh who could be starters in their own right. In the secondary, newcomers Mitchell White and Alden Darby turned into instant starters and will only look better as they play together. Once again they have depth with returning players there too. In other words...this defense is damn tough. Offensively, Ricky Ray continues to chug along and the emergence of James Wilder Jr at tailback has been great for them. Ray is a statue that could get hassled by Sasks strong defensive front but the Argos OL is up to the task IMO.
The game total is about right at 52 (I made it 51.5) but if I could get a Sask team total under, I would consider it because I don't see how they hit 20 here without fuckery.