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#3DownNation
Don't even know what my record is at this point. Started the season out well but had a rough few days. I think I'm somewhere around break even sadly... +/- 1 unit. I'll figure it out once we get back to the future

The model is finally primed with data so here we go. I'm eager to see if the changes I implemented over the off season work as intended.

For Monday several smaller plays

1* DEN/MEM o196 -110
1.5* Utah -6.5/-7 -110/-107
0.75* LA Clippers +4.5 -103
0.25* LA Clippers ML +165
1.5* LAC/SAN o199 -101
 
Thanks guys.

Monday Results

FG Sides 2-0 +2.25*
FG Totals 0-2 -2.615*
Dog MLs 1-0 +0.4125*

Overall 3-2 +0.0475

On to Tuesday. Not liking anything at this point
 
Wednesday Plays

So far only one I like but there may be a few more to follow if I can find the time.

1.5* DET/ORL over 186.5 -106
 
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Im a bit out of the Nba loop with Nfl, Cfb and Cbb going hot and heavy, should have some spot plays here and there though. Wanted to wish you a Happy Thanksgiving and GL on the action, Hulu.
 
Another two for tonight and I believe that should be it...

0.75* LA Clippers +3.5 -104
0.25* LA Clippers ML +150
1* LAL/SAC under 204.5 -105
 
Wednesday Results

FG Sides 2-1 +1.47*
FG Totals 1-4 -4.255*
Dog MLs 1-2 -0.8375*

Overall 4-7 -3.6225*

Man the last three weeks have been a total shit fest for me across all sports. Except for a 3-day 10-2 run, its been all down hill.

First play for Friday...

1.5* Minnesota +2.5 -108
 
2nd Play for Friday

1.5 *NO/PHX over 195 -110

If I had my act together I would have been able to hit the 194 at open. C'est la vie
 
3rd Friday Play

1* Atlanta -3 -110

Also still considering... LAC/BKN under, Clippers, Spurs & GSW/DEN under
 
Def the final Friday play.

1* CLE/ORL over 183.5

Still looking into a few live dog MLs though
 
Ok narrowed the dogs down to 4 that I like

Half unit on each

Cleveland +165
Boston +135
Toronto +115
Minnesota +113


Good luck to everyone tonight
 
Results for Friday
ATS 1-1 -0.62*
Totals 3-0 +4.00*
ML 1-3 -0.825*

YTD
FG Sides 3-2 +0.85*
FG Totals 4-4 -0.255*
Dog MLs 2-5 -1.6625*

Overall 9-11 -1.0675*


Nice night. Pleased that the totals went 3-0. Stops the bleeding anyway.
 
4th play for Saturday...

1* MIN/GSW under 197 -106

Stalking one more but waiting on the line. Getting on to Sunday's card now
 
Ok finally got the number I wanted so last play for Saturday night.

0.75* Atlanta +2.5 -110
0.50* Atlanta ML +115


Good luck tonight everyone
 
Thanks cream...

Have to do this...just because it'll be the biggest ML I've ever hit if it wins. I'll take +1950 that LBJ, Wade & Bosh bonk heads and are all knocked out on one play.

0.1* Cleveland +1950
 
Results for Saturday
Sides 1-2 -1.152*
Totals 1-1 -0.10*
ML 1-2 -0.025*

BAH!!

YTD
FG Sides 4-4 -0.302*
FG Totals 5-5 -0.355*
Dog MLs 3-7 -1.687*

Overall -2.344*

About as square as it gets right now. On to Sunday...

Sunday Recap

1* DET/NYK under 190.5 -110
2* POR/BKN under 199.5 -110


 
Sunday results

1-1 +0.90*

YTD
FG Sides 4-4 -0.302*
FG Totals 6-6 +0.545*
Dog MLs 3-7 -1.687*

Overall -1.444*


Treading water until I can hit an upswing. Not sure I like anything for Monday
 
Monday play...

2* NY/BKN over 191 -110

Was expecting this to open somewhere around 195-197. Get it while its hot
 
Hit two openers for Tuesday. Both these totals too high IMOP

1* TOR/HOU under 198.5 -110
1.5* MIN/SAC under 197 -110
 
Two lines I'm waiting out.

For today Detroit. Currently at +1 -107 or ML -101, I think it may get to 1.5 or two and into +ML territory

For tomorrow, IND/LAL under. This has gone up a point since open but I'm expecting more. If it hits 197.5 or better, I'll be on the under.
 
Thanks P2W

Got a better line on Detroit for the final play of Monday's card.

0.75* Detroit +1.5 -103
0.5* Detroit ML +110
 
Just been an absolute shit show lately. One add for Tuesday...

1* Toronto +6 -103
0.5*Toronto ML +220
 
YTD
FG Sides 5-6 -1.563*
FG Totals 7-8 -1.255*
Dog MLs 4-9 -1.737*

Overall -4.555*


Just been awful lately so took a couple of days off to clear my head and try to correct this slide.

First play for Friday night...

1.5* PHI/CHA under 189.5 -105

 
Another for Friday night. Cleveland plays with pride and can cover this large number but I'm hedging against a late collapse by splitting between 1H and FG

0.75* Cleveland +9 -109
0.75* Cleveland 1H +5 -105
 
Feck sakes! Just can't catch a break these days. On the wrong side of everything it seems.

YTD
FG Sides 6-6 -0.813*
1H Sides 0-1 -0.787*
FG Totals 7-10 -3.900*
Dog MLs 4-9 -1.737*

Overall -7.237*

Carrying on...

1* IND/GSW under 190 -107
 
Took Cleveland and the two Under bets as well - so you're not alone in the boat. Lakers and few other bets though turned the night in to a profitable one - but it's not easy to make money in the league lately...

Good luck today!
 
Thanks divol. I've seen some quality cappers struggling lately in the NBA so I know its been a tricky year so far. A couple of years ago I went down about 15-20 units and after I stopped posting, continued on and had an amazing 3 week, 30 unit run and went went up 10 units before giving some back. So its always possible to come back. Just have to stick to fundamentals and keep my head in the game.

Another play for Saturday...

1.2* Memphis +6.5 -107
0.3* Memphis ML +235
 
Thanks Hugh. I can still use your couch if they don't, right? :thumbsup:

Final Play for Friday's card...

0.8* New Orleans +9 -104
0.2* New Orleans ML +400
 
The way my week's been... that couch is going to end up on the curb, so knock yourself out. *LOL*
 
Another crap day. I'll tally it later. One play for Sunday night

1* ORL/LAL under 197.5

Would've been larger if I could have had the 200 it opened at.
 
YTD
FG Sides 7-7 -0.445*
1H Sides 0-1 -0.787*
FG Totals 7-13 -7.120*
Dog MLs 4-10 -2.037*

Overall -10.389*


The hits just keep on comin...

1* CLE/DET over 191
 
Another Monday play. Don't see Favors playing tonight so I think there is some value here.

1.5* LA Clippers -1.5 -109
 
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