HHM - NASCAR (2023)

Correction after scoring changes:

Talladega:
Xfinity +3.27 units
Cup -6.4
Total -7.48 units

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup +2.12 units
Total +6.14 units
 
I played this so far for the Dover Cup race:

1.5 units:
Chase Elliott -115 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)

Lots of rain in the forecast so I do not know if they will have practice and qualifying tomorrow.
 
There was some Cup practice this morning, but qualifying was rained out. This should give us some betting opportunities. Starting position is pretty important here, but some of the guys that will start up front are not that good at Dover or had issues, or were not good in practice.

Kyle Busch is on the pole but his car was bad in practice and they were in the process of changing the shocks when they red-flagged practice. Good fade.
Blaney starts 3rd and this is not a good track for him or his team.
Reddick starts 7th and this is not a good track for him and he was complaining about his car in practice. Good fade.

Elliott starts 10th at a track that he is pretty good at. He needs to win a race. I like him a lot.
Harvick starts 12th at a track where he has finished in the Top 10 in the last 8 races here. With bad cars in front of him, he will be upfront quickly.

Berry starts 14th in Bowman's car. Bowman is very good at Dover and Berry has performed well here in Xfinity. I wish that I bet Berry Top 10 before today as I think it was +165 to +170. It will probably be less now.

Larson who is great here starts 19th so maybe his matchup odds will be better.

Austin Dillon crashed in practice and will go to a backup car and start last. He usually runs pretty well at Dover so maybe he will be matched against some of the field fillers.
 
I assume the race tomorrow will be postponed and they will race on Monday.

Bovada has some bets up, so I played this:

1 unit:
Berry Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
 
I added these for tomorrow or Monday:

1 unit:
Chastain -115 over Kyle Busch (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Keselowski -125 over Reddick (BetUS)
Berry -125 over Preece (BetUS)
Stenhouse +100 over Preece (BetUS)
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch (BetUS)
Chase Elliott -115 over Byron (Bovada) I now have 2 units on this.

I will probably add to all of the above once BAS and BM put out their lines tomorrow.
 
BAS put their lines up, so I added:

1 unit:
Keselowski -125 over Reddick
Berry -125 over Preece
Stenhouse +100 over Preece
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch
 
Summary of what I have:

2 units:
Chase Elliott -115 over Byron (BAS, Bovada, & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Keselowski -125 over Reddick (BAS & BetUS)
Berry -125 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse +100 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Chastain -115 over Kyle Busch (Bovada)
Berry Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
 
The race has been postponed to Monday.
I have added this:

1.5 units:
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch. (BM) I now have 3 units on this.
 
I don't know why this line dropped, but I added 1 unit for now:

Larson -125 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
 
I have added some more.
Summary of what I have:

2 units:
Chase Elliott -115 over Byron (BAS, Bovada, & BetUS)
Larson -125 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski -125 over Reddick (BAS & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch (BAS & BetUS)
Truex -125 over Kyle Busch (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski -115 over Blaney (Bovada)
Stenhouse +100 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Berry -125 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Berry Top 10 +175 (Bovada)

1 unit:
Chastain -115 over Kyle Busch (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +250
 
He Hate Me said:
I have added some more.
Summary of what I have:

2 units:
Chase Elliott -115 over Byron (BAS, Bovada, & BetUS)
Larson -125 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski -125 over Reddick (BAS & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Harvick -130 over Kyle Busch (BAS & BetUS)
Truex -125 over Kyle Busch (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski -115 over Blaney (Bovada)
Stenhouse +100 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Berry -125 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Berry Top 10 +175 (Bovada)

1 unit:
Chastain -115 over Kyle Busch (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +250
Click to expand...
The last caution cost me a winning day:

-0.40 units
 
Dover:
Xfinity +1.25 units
Cup -0.40
Total +0.85 units

2023:
Xfinity +5.27 units
Cup +1.72 units
Total +6.99 units
 
It looks like the weather will be good for the Kansas race this weekend so we should have practice and qualifying on Saturday afternoon.

I will be on the Toyota cars and fading Fords.
I do like some Chevys that I will probably bet in matchups like Larson, Berry, and Stenhouse.
I like Hamlin a lot, but he does not qualify well so I will wait to bet on his matchups against Byron and maybe others if the juice is not too much.
I played these thinking the odds will be worse after practice and qualifying.

1 unit:
Ty Gibbs to win Group D +285 against Logano, Keselowski, and Suarez (Bovada)
Lajoie +150 over Allmendinger (Bovada) I do not understand these odds as both drivers usually finish around each other and Lajoie is having a better season. I will take +150 on a coin flip.

0.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +200 (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more. Bovada has this at +150
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +175 (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more. Bovada has this at +150
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS) This is currently the max but I do not know if I will add more.

$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 (BM)
 
I added these:

0.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more.
Truex +100 over Byron (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more.
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BetUS)

The Bubba odds are interesting, he is +100 against Elliott, Blaney, and Kyle Busch, -105 against Harvick, and +140 over Reddick, but gonna wait.
I am gonna wait to fade Reddick after qualifying as he should qualify well. Gonna bet Truex and Hamlin against him and maybe Bubba.
 
He Hate Me said:
I added these:

0.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more.
Truex +100 over Byron (BetUS) This is currently the max and I will add more.
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BetUS)

The Bubba odds are interesting, he is +100 against Elliott, Blaney, and Kyle Busch, -105 against Harvick, and +140 over Reddick, but gonna wait.
I am gonna wait to fade Reddick after qualifying as he should qualify well. Gonna bet Truex and Hamlin against him and maybe Bubba.
Click to expand...
BAS put up their matchups so I added to these 4 bets, I now have 1.5 units on each:

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)
 
He Hate Me said:
BAS put up their matchups so I added to these 4 bets, I now have 1.5 units on each:

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)
Click to expand...
Added:

1.5 unit:
Bubba +100 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
 
Putting everything in one place.

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)
Bubba +100 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Ty Gibbs to win Group D +285 against Logano, Keselowski, and Suarez (Bovada)
Lajoie +150 over Allmendinger (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +200 (BetUS)
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +175 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS)

$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 (BM)
$10 Hamlin t win at +800 (Bovada)
 
BetUS has some weird lines up to win the race tomorrow. I played all of the Toyotas plus Larson, kinda like a single bet. Byron and Chastain appear to be the only other cars that could win, maybe Busch.

$10 Larson to win at +650 (BetUS)
$10 Hamlin to win at +1000 (BetUS)
$10 Truex to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Bell to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Reddick to win at +1400 (BetUS)
$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +5000 (BetUS)
$10 Bubba to win at +6600 (BetUS)

I had previously bet these:
$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 (BM)
$10 Hamlin to win at +800 (Bovada)
 
Last edited:
BetUS and BAS have some weird matchups up too. I played these:

2 unit:
Chastain +120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Busch -115 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Truex +110 over Byron (BetUS)
Bubba -130 over Chase Elliott (BetUS)
 
Last edited:
He Hate Me said:
BetUS has some weird lines up to win the race tomorrow. I played all of the Toyotas plus Larson, kinda like a single bet. Byron and Chastain appear to be the only other cars that could win, maybe Busch.

$10 Larson to win at +650 (BetUS)
$10 Hamlin to win at +1000 (BetUS)
$10 Truex to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Bell to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Reddick to win at +1400 (BetUS)
$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +5000 (BetUS)
$10 Bubba to win at +6600 (BetUS)

I had previously bet these:
$10 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 (BM)
$10 Hamlin to win at +800 (Bovada)
Click to expand...
They put the wrong lines up, except the Larson line. This is what they have now:

1001Kyle Larson +650
1002William Byron +800
1003Denny Hamlin +500
1004Tyler Reddick +600
1005Christopher Bell +500
1006Martin Truex Jr. +700
1007Ross Chastain +1100
1008Chase Elliott +2000
1009Kyle Busch +1800
1010Ryan Blaney +2500
1011Bubba Wallace +1800
1012Joey Logano +2500
1013Kevin Harvick +2500
1014Brad Keselowski +6600
1015Daniel Suarez +3300
1016Ty Gibbs +4000
 
My bets are all over the place this week. Putting everything in one place so I can see what I have before I add today's bets.
I planned to add to my Lajoie bet but he is going to start from the rear now so I will not add.

2 unit:
Chastain -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain +120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Busch -115 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Bubba +100 & -130 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 & +110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS) I am kinda luke-warm on this now.
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Ty Gibbs to win Group D +285 against Logano, Keselowski, and Suarez (Bovada)
Lajoie +150 over Allmendinger (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +200 (BetUS)
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +175 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS) I don't like this now.

I played these because BetUS put the wrong odds.
$10 Larson to win at +650 (BetUS)
$20 Hamlin to win at +800 & +1000 (Bovada & BetUS)
$10 Truex to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Bell to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Reddick to win at +1400 (BetUS)
$20 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 & +5000 (BetUS & BM)
$10 Bubba to win at +6600 (BetUS)
 
Last edited:
Great numbers on Hamlin. I wanted him and now he's +500.

I really think Ty Gibbs is sitting on a huge race and might be in contention late. Kid is getting better and better.
 
CPA-hole said:
Great numbers on Hamlin. I wanted him and now he's +500.

I really think Ty Gibbs is sitting on a huge race and might be in contention late. Kid is getting better and better.
Click to expand...
Yeah, I am waiting for BetUS to raise their limits so I can add to my Ty Gibbs Top 10 +175. It is a really good bet.
 
I don't think BetUS is gonna raise its limits:

I added:

1 more unit:
Bubba -120 over Chase Elliott (BAS)

1.5 unit:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +130 (Bovada)
 
Last edited:
3 unit:
Bubba +100, -120 & -130 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)

2 unit:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +130 & +175 (Bovada & BetUS)
Bubba -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain +120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Busch -115 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 & +110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS) I am kinda luke-warm on this now.
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Ty Gibbs to win Group D +285 against Logano, Keselowski, and Suarez (Bovada)
Lajoie +150 over Allmendinger (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +200 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS) I don't like this now.

I played these because BetUS put the wrong odds.
$10 Larson to win at +650 (BetUS)
$20 Hamlin to win at +800 & +1000 (Bovada & BetUS)
$10 Truex to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Bell to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Reddick to win at +1400 (BetUS)
$20 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 & +5000 (BetUS & BM)
$10 Bubba to win at +6600 (BetUS)
 
He Hate Me said:
3 unit:
Bubba +100, -120 & -130 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)

2 unit:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +130 & +175 (Bovada & BetUS)
Bubba -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain -115 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Chastain +120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Busch -115 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Truex +100 & +110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)

1.5 unit:
Hamlin -110 over Byron (BAS & BetUS)
Keselowski +105 over Logano (BAS & BetUS) I am kinda luke-warm on this now.
Stenhouse -115 over Erik Jones (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Ty Gibbs to win Group D +285 against Logano, Keselowski, and Suarez (Bovada)
Lajoie +150 over Allmendinger (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Berry Top 10 +200 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS) I don't like this now.

I played these because BetUS put the wrong odds.
$10 Larson to win at +650 (BetUS)
$20 Hamlin to win at +800 & +1000 (Bovada & BetUS)
$10 Truex to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Bell to win at +1200 (BetUS)
$10 Reddick to win at +1400 (BetUS)
$20 Ty Gibbs to win at +4000 & +5000 (BetUS & BM)
$10 Bubba to win at +6600 (BetUS)
Click to expand...
+2.7 units
 
Kansas:
Xfinity +0 units
Cup +2.7
Total +2.7 units

2023:
Xfinity +5.27 units
Cup +4.42 units
Total +9.69 units
 
I played a few for the Cup race on Sunday:

1 unit:
Erik Jones Top 10 +215 (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
McDowell Top 10 +650 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS)

$10 Logano to win +1200

Considering Keselowski Top 10 at +175 and Gibbs Top 10 At +200

I like Logano and I may bet some of his matchups because he will qualify well and his odds will change against him.
 
I have added these for the Cup race:

Kyle Busch -125 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Bell -120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Logano -110 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)

$10 Logano to win +1300 (BM)
$10 Bell to win +1200 (BM)
 
He Hate Me said:
I will probably bet some Xfinity matchups when they go up. I did bet this:

$20 Creed to win
Click to expand...
I wanted to bet on Ryan Seig or Jeb Burton who both run well at Darlington, but I could not find any matchups. I did bet this:

1 unit:

Creed -105 over Custer (BetUS)
 
Stenhouse looked good in practice and qualifying, but I am worried about Logano and Bell.

To make things worse, Chase Elliott looked really good in practice although he did not qualify well. I doubt that I will be added to any of my bets against him.
 
He Hate Me said:
I wanted to bet on Ryan Seig or Jeb Burton who both run well at Darlington, but I could not find any matchups. I did bet this:

1 unit:

Creed -105 over Custer (BetUS)
Click to expand...
-1.25 units

I do not see much to bet on tomorrow. I may just let me existing bets ride. I do not like my Logano and Bell bets now.
 
I really hate the matchups this week and I don't like some of my early bets anymore. I added a few and this is what I have so far:

1.5 units:

Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)
Erik Jones Top 10 +215 & +200 (Bovada & BetUS)
Austin Dillon -115 over Berry (Bovada & BetUS)
Kyle Busch -125 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Bell -120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.
Logano -110 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.

0.5 unit:
McDowell Top 10 +650 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS)

$20 Logano to win +1300 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
$10 Bell to win +1200 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
 
I added some that I like better than my previous Logano and Bell bets. I will not be making any big bets today.

There is value on Jones because he was sick yesterday and barely practiced so he qualified poorly. This is a good track for him but he is matched up against Austin Dillon and Gibbs who I don't want to bet against. He is also a big favorite against Berry, but too big for me to bet. I did find him against Bell at +200 so I put a small amount on that.

I also like McDowell, but his only matchup is a big favorite against Haley. I cannot find any other way to bet him other than the Top 10 longshot that I bet.

I also thought I could get some good Austin Dillon matchups, but other than the Berry matchup he is matched against Jones and Gibbs. Austin Dillon Top 10 is not a bad bet, but I already have bet Jones pretty heavy for the Top 10 and have small bets on Stenhouse and McDowell. I have good odds on Stenhouse Top 10 because I bet it early but you can still get him around +200, which is still a pretty good bet.

Bookmaker only has matchups on the favorites or the top 15 or so drivers. I thought I would get some Kyle Busch matchups and I would also be able to fade Reddick at BM but they have no matchups for either.

So I added these:

1.5 units:
Bubba -110 over Blaney (Bovada)
Kyle Busch -115 over Bell (BetUS & BAS)

0.5 units:
Jones +200 over Bell (Bovada)
 
I have these and unless something weird happens before the race or the BM odds go crazy this should be it. I have highlighted the bets I no longer like in Orange. I did not want to use Red because I believe it is bad luck.

1.5 units:

Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)
Erik Jones Top 10 +215 & +200 (Bovada & BetUS)
Austin Dillon -115 over Berry (Bovada & BetUS)
Bubba -110 over Blaney (Bovada)
Kyle Busch -115 over Bell (BetUS & BAS)
Kyle Busch -125 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Bell -120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.
Logano -110 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.

0.5 unit:

Jones +200 over Bell (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +650 (BetUS)

$20 Logano to win +1300 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
$10 Bell to win +1200 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
 
Things went from good to kinda bad really quick.

Also, I have a 1.5 unit bet on Byron -125 over Reddick that I made on Friday, but I do not see it posted so I will not count it.
 
He Hate Me said:
I have these and unless something weird happens before the race or the BM odds go crazy this should be it. I have highlighted the bets I no longer like in Orange. I did not want to use Red because I believe it is bad luck.

1.5 units:

Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)
Erik Jones Top 10 +215 & +200 (Bovada & BetUS)
Austin Dillon -115 over Berry (Bovada & BetUS)
Bubba -110 over Blaney (Bovada)
Kyle Busch -115 over Bell (BetUS & BAS)
Kyle Busch -125 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS)
Bell -120 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.
Logano -110 over Chase Elliott (BAS & BetUS) I don't like this anymore.

0.5 unit:

Jones +200 over Bell (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +650 (BetUS)

$20 Logano to win +1300 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
$10 Bell to win +1200 (BM) I don't like this anymore.
Click to expand...
-5.83 units

I did win an unposted 1.5 unit bet, but I was really unlucky today as I think I would make all of the same bets, except a couple of the really small bets, if they ran it back and raced again tomorrow.
 
Darlington:
Xfinity -1.25 units
Cup -5.83
Total +2.7 units

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup -0.96 units
Total +3.06 units
 
I went to the races yesterday and last night in North Wilkesboro. Pretty cool that they kept the character of the old track. The ASA race was rained out on Tuesday, so they ran it on Wednesday night too. Lots of Cup, Truck, and some Xfinity drivers in the races.

All of these guys raced yesterday:
Earnhart Jr
Chase Elliott
Byron
Chastain
Harvick
Suarez (he ran 2 of the races)
Keselowski
Briscoe
Gragson
Sammy Smith
Jeb Burton
 
So far this is the only thing that I am betting for the All-Star Race:

1 unit:
Keselowski +100 over Briscoe (BetUS)
 
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