HHM - NASCAR (2023)

[He Hate Me]

So far this is the only thing that I am betting for the All-Star Race:

1 unit:
Keselowski +100 over Briscoe (BetUS)

-1 unit

 

[He Hate Me]

-1 unit

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup -1.96 units
Total +2.06 units

 

[He Hate Me]

I played these so far for the Coke 600:

0.5 units:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +225 (BetUS)
Stenhouse Top 10 +300 (BetUS)

$10 on Ty Gibbs to win at +5000 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna wait a bit before making more bets. I doubt they will race today. If they do, it will be tonight, most likely tomorrow though.

 

[He Hate Me]

I have played a few since the limits have been raised.

2 units:
Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Austin Dillon -115 over Buescher (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -140 over Johnson (BAS) I usually do not play anything -140 or higher, but JJ is gonna suck.

 

[He Hate Me]

Bovada has Top 20 odds, which is new.

 

[He Hate Me]

This one moved so I added another unit:

1 unit:
Austin Dillon +105 over Buescher (BAS & BetUS)

There will be a competition caution due to the rain so Dillon starting 33rd will not be too bad as the chance that he goes a lap down is lower. Buescher is starting 1th.

 

[He Hate Me]

1 unit:

Harvick Top 10 -120 & -125 (BetUS & Bovada)
Lajoie Top 20 +105 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

2 units:
Bubba -105 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Bowman +110 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Bubba -105 over Reddick (BetUS)
Bowman +115 over Reddick (BetUS)

0.5 units:
Gibbs to win Group D +350 over Logano, Suarez, and Keselowski (Bovada)
Bubba to win Group C +250 over Harvick, Reddick, and Blaney (Bovada)
Bubba Top 10 -125 (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna wait to add anything else after we know if they will race tonight or in the morning.

Summary so far:

2 units:
Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)
Austin Dillon +105 & -115 over Buescher (BAS & BetUS)
Bubba -105 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Bowman +110 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Stenhouse -140 over Johnson (BAS) I usually do not play anything -140 or higher, but JJ is gonna suck.
Harvick Top 10 -120 & -125 (BetUS & Bovada)
Lajoie Top 20 +105 (Bovada)
Bubba -105 over Reddick (BetUS)
Bowman +115 over Reddick (BetUS)

0.5 units:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +225 (BetUS)
Gibbs to win Group D +350 over Logano, Suarez, and Keselowski (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +300 (BetUS)
Bubba to win Group C +250 over Harvick, Reddick, and Blaney (Bovada)
Bubba Top 10 -125 (BetUS)

$10 on Ty Gibbs to win at +5000 (Bovada)

 

[captjohn67]

Joined you on the Harvick top 10, to win and v Chase. Hope you cash and good luck.

 

[He Hate Me]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1662949193005006854

 

[He Hate Me]

I bet $20 on Bubba to win +4000 live just before the pit stops.

 

[He Hate Me]

I bet $20 on Bubba to win +4000 live just before the pit stops.

And Bubba has a penalty when pitting, FML.

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna wait to add anything else after we know if they will race tonight or in the morning.

Summary so far:

2 units:
Stenhouse -115 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)
Austin Dillon +105 & -115 over Buescher (BAS & BetUS)
Bubba -105 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)
Bowman +110 over Blaney (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Stenhouse -140 over Johnson (BAS) I usually do not play anything -140 or higher, but JJ is gonna suck.
Harvick Top 10 -120 & -125 (BetUS & Bovada)
Lajoie Top 20 +105 (Bovada)
Bubba -105 over Reddick (BetUS)
Bowman +115 over Reddick (BetUS)

0.5 units:
Ty Gibbs Top 10 +225 (BetUS)
Gibbs to win Group D +350 over Logano, Suarez, and Keselowski (Bovada)
Stenhouse Top 10 +300 (BetUS)
Bubba to win Group C +250 over Harvick, Reddick, and Blaney (Bovada)
Bubba Top 10 -125 (BetUS)

$10 on Ty Gibbs to win at +5000 (Bovada)

Charlotte:
Cup -3.23 units

I was really wrong about Blaney and got unlucky with Gibbs, Harvick, and Austin Dillon finishing 1 spot behind Buescher.

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup -5.19 units
Total -1.17 units

 

[He Hate Me]

Not a lot of history on this track. This is all that I have played:

1 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (Bovada & BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Byron +100 over Larson (BetUS)
Truex +105 over Larson (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Forgot this one:

0.5 unit:
Allmendinger +125 over Jones (BetUS)

 

[CPA-hole]

I'm fading Larson here. Awful here last year. Awful in qualifying yesterday.

Forgot this one:

0.5 unit:
Allmendinger +125 over Jones (BetUS)

Allmendinger showed some speed yesterday and frankly, Legacy MC is a dumpster fire right now.

Good value in this one I believe.

Also saw Hocevar is listed as -115 vs Gragson. That's how bad Legacy is. Hocevar is making his cup series debut in a junk Spire car and is even vs Noah.

 

[He Hate Me]

I'm fading Larson here. Awful here last year. Awful in qualifying yesterday.

Allmendinger showed some speed yesterday and frankly, Legacy MC is a dumpster fire right now.

Good value in this one I believe.

Also saw Hocevar is listed as -115 vs Gragson. That's how bad Legacy is. Hocevar is making his cup series debut in a junk Spire car and is even vs Noah.

Regarding Larson:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1665353963422511104

I am considering taking McDowell -175 over Gragson. It is the only McDowell matchup that I can find and he is good at these track types.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Bowman -115 over Bubba (BetUS & Bovada)

I am looking for ways to bet McDowell, Briscoe, and Bowman.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Briscoe Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
Bowman Top 10 +120 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

0.5 unit:
Byron -105 over Larson (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Putting all of my current bets in one place before they raise the limits:

1 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (Bovada & BetUS)
Briscoe Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
Bowman Top 10 +120 (Bovada)
Bowman -115 over Bubba (BetUS & Bovada)
Byron +100 & -105 over Larson (BetUS & Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Truex +105 over Larson (BetUS)
Allmendinger +125 over Jones (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added these at BetUS:

1 unit:
Gilliland -115 over Burton

0.5 unit:
Byron +105 over Larson
Truex +105 over Larson
Allmendinger +115 over Jones
McDowell -180 over Gragson

 

[He Hate Me]

0.5 unit flyer, I really wish I could be McDowell more, but a -180 matchup and Top 10 are my only options:

McDowell Top 10 +650 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

A word of caution about Blaney. He is really good at these track types and finished 4th here last year. He will have a good car, but they failed inspection twice yesterday and lost pit selection. For a team that usually struggles with pit stops this will hurt him and he will lose spots when he pits.

 

[CPA-hole]

Jones to the rear as well.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added these at BAS:

1 unit:
Bowman -115 over Bubba
Allmendinger +115 over Jones

 

[He Hate Me]

I am playing these like one single bet on Harvick. I do not understand why he is such a big dog.

1 unit:
Harvick +138 over Bell (BM)

0.5 unit:
Harvick +140 over Logano (BetUS)
Harvick +160 over Blaney (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

2 units:
Stenhouse -120 over Jones (BM)
Busch over Larson -125 (BetUS & BAS)

1 unit:
Stenhouse over Jones -130 (Bovada)
Bowman -115 over Bubba (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Hochevar -115 over Gragson (BetUS) tailing CPA

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna look at the groups, but this is what I have so far:

3 units:
Stenhouse -120 & -130 over Jones (BM)
Bowman -115 over Bubba (BetUS, Bovada, & BAS)

2 units:
Allmendinger +125 & +115 over Jones (BetUS & BAS)
Busch over Larson -125 (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 units:
Byron +100, +105, & -105 over Larson (BetUS & Bovada)

1 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (Bovada & BetUS)
Briscoe Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
Bowman Top 10 +120 (Bovada)
Gilliland -115 over Burton (BetUS)
Truex +105 over Larson (BetUS)
Harvick +138 over Bell (BM)

0.5 unit:
McDowell -180 over Gragson (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +650 (Bovada)
Harvick +140 over Logano (BetUS)
Harvick +160 over Blaney (BetUS)
Hochevar -115 over Gragson (BetUS) tailing CPA

 

[He Hate Me]

When was the last time or when has a lightning strike hit a stadium or sporting event? What a way to kill your viewership.

 

[He Hate Me]

Unbelievable, 10 unit swing. I think Stenhouse was in the Top 10 all day, maybe he was 11th at one point and he was never behind Jones.

 

[He Hate Me]

What sucks is that if they raced again here tomorrow, knowing what I know after today's race, I would make every single bet I made today again, with the exception of a 0.5 unit bet on Harvick over Blaney. This is starting to become a big waste of my time.

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna look at the groups, but this is what I have so far:

3 units:
Stenhouse -120 & -130 over Jones (BM)
Bowman -115 over Bubba (BetUS, Bovada, & BAS)

2 units:
Allmendinger +125 & +115 over Jones (BetUS & BAS)
Busch over Larson -125 (BetUS & BAS)

1.5 units:
Byron +100, +105, & -105 over Larson (BetUS & Bovada)

1 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +350 (Bovada & BetUS)
Briscoe Top 10 +175 (Bovada)
Bowman Top 10 +120 (Bovada)
Gilliland -115 over Burton (BetUS)
Truex +105 over Larson (BetUS)
Harvick +138 over Bell (BM)

0.5 unit:
McDowell -180 over Gragson (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +650 (Bovada)
Harvick +140 over Logano (BetUS)
Harvick +160 over Blaney (BetUS)
Hochevar -115 over Gragson (BetUS) tailing CPA

+1.93 units, so disappointing

 

[He Hate Me]

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup -3.26 units
Total +0.76 units

 

[He Hate Me]

Played a few before practice and qualifying tomorrow.

1 unit:
Cindric -120 over Bell (BetUS & Bovada)

0.5 unit:
Cindric +110 over Chastain (BetUS)
Cindric +110 over Suarez (BetUS)
Cindric Top 10 -115 (BetUS)
McDowell -115 over Hamlin (BetUS) I will add to this.
Buescher to win Group G +240 over Harvick, Bell, and Bowman (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

I bailed on the Cindric over Harvick bet with a 0.5 unit on Harvick -105

 

[He Hate Me]

Added these:

0.5 unit:
McDowell -125 over Briscoe (BetUS)
McDowell +125 over Suarez (Bovada)
Buescher Top 10 +100 (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

My Cindric bet looked fucked. I did not watch practice or qualifying so I do not know what is wrong with his car, but it is not fast.

I added these:

0.5 unit:
Buescher Top 10 -130 (Bovada)
Buescher -110 over Bell (BetUS)
Chris Buescher to win Group C +250 against Bell, Cindric, Blaney (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 -130 (Bovada)
McDowell -110 over Hamlin (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Here is what I have. I do not like the Cindric bets anymore, maybe against Chastain is still ok.

1 unit:
Cindric -120 over Bell (BetUS & Bovada)
Buescher Top 10 +100 & -130 (BetUS & Bovada)
McDowell -110 & -115 over Hamlin (BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Cindric +110 over Chastain (BetUS)
Cindric +110 over Suarez (BetUS)
Cindric Top 10 -115 (BetUS)
McDowell -125 over Briscoe (BetUS)
McDowell +125 over Suarez (Bovada)
McDowell Top 10 -130 (Bovada)
Buescher -110 over Bell (BetUS)
Buescher to win Group G +240 over Harvick, Bell, and Bowman (Bovada)
Buescher to win Group C +250 against Bell, Cindric, Blaney (BetUS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Gonna take a 0.5 unit flyer on Stenhouse Top 10 at +900 (Bovada)

He has run in the back half of the Top 10 all year. Road courses are usually not his thing, but he had near Top 10 speed in both practice and qualifying.

 

[He Hate Me]

Added:

1 unit:
Buescher Top 10 -130 (Bovada)

0.5 unit:
McDowell Top 10 -130 (Bovada)

 

[He Hate Me]

Here is what I have. I do not like the Cindric bets anymore, maybe against Chastain is still ok.

1 unit:
Cindric -120 over Bell (BetUS & Bovada)
Buescher Top 10 +100 & -130 (BetUS & Bovada)
McDowell -110 & -115 over Hamlin (BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Cindric +110 over Chastain (BetUS)
Cindric +110 over Suarez (BetUS)
Cindric Top 10 -115 (BetUS)
McDowell -125 over Briscoe (BetUS)
McDowell +125 over Suarez (Bovada)
McDowell Top 10 -130 (Bovada)
Buescher -110 over Bell (BetUS)
Buescher to win Group G +240 over Harvick, Bell, and Bowman (Bovada)
Buescher to win Group C +250 against Bell, Cindric, Blaney (BetUS)

+4.75 units including the later adds.

 

[He Hate Me]

2023:
Xfinity +4.02 units
Cup +1.49 units
Total +5.51 units

 

[SIGO]

+4.75 units including the later adds.

Well done, sir.

 

[He Hate Me]

Here is what I have so far for tonight's race:

1.5 units:
Stenhouse -115 over Preece (BAS & BetUS) I wish that I could be more on this.
Stenhouse -120 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)

0.5 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +500 (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +1200 (BetUS)

I don't know what else I will bet.
There are not any McDowell matchups, which sucks.
I will probably be on Harvick in some way(s)

 

[He Hate Me]

Harvick bets:

1 unit:
Harvick Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Harvick +110 over Gibbs (BAS)
Harvick -115 over Keselowski (BAS)

 

[He Hate Me]

Added to these:

0.5 units:
Stenhouse -130 over Preece (BetUS)
Stenhouse -135 over Briscoe (BetUS)

Unless Chastain over Reddick drops to -130 or less I doubt that I will add anything else.

All bets for today:

2 units:
Stenhouse -115 & -130 over Preece (BAS & BetUS)
Stenhouse -120 & -135 over Briscoe (BAS & BetUS)

1 unit:
Harvick Top 10 -105 (Bovada)
Harvick +110 over Gibbs (BAS)
Harvick -115 over Keselowski (BAS)

0.5 unit:
Stenhouse Top 10 +500 (BetUS)
McDowell Top 10 +1200 (BetUS)

 

[KJ]

Thoughts on Bubba over Logano at -145? Friend who follows NASCAR says he expects a top 5 out of Bubba and Logano hasn't done well this year in these types of tracks. Was -120 when he texted me and I just held off but don't care about juice if it pays