Friday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
May 6 Fri 2022

05:40 PM
903Pittsburgh PiratesJ. Brubaker -R-1½
+130		-125O 8½
-110
904Cincinnati RedsC. Overton -R+1½
-150		+115U 8½
-110
06:05 PM
905New York MetsM. Scherzer -R-1½
+120		-140O 7
-120
906Philadelphia PhilliesK. Gibson -R+1½
-140		+130U 7
+100
06:05 PM
915Kansas City RoyalsC. Hernandez -R+1½
-190		+100O 8
-115
916Baltimore OriolesJ. Lyles -R-1½
+165		-110U 8
-105
06:05 PM
917Texas RangersG. Otto -R+1½
+100		+204O 7
-110
918New York YankeesG. Cole -R-1½
-120		-225U 7
-110
06:10 PM
919Chicago White SoxV. Velasquez -R+1½
-135		+155O 8½
-110
920Boston Red SoxN. Eovaldi -R-1½
+115		-168U 8½
-110
06:10 PM
921Toronto Blue JaysK. Gausman -R-1½
+130		-136O 6½
-105
922Cleveland GuardiansS. Bieber -R+1 Markets+1½
-150		+126U 6½
-115
07:10 PM
923Detroit TigersB. Brieske -R+1½
-115		+179O 8½
+100
924Houston AstrosL. Garcia -R-1½
-105		-195U 8½
-120
07:10 PM
925Oakland AthleticsC. Irvin -L+1½
-130		+157O 7½
+100
926Minnesota TwinsJ. Winder -R-1½
+110		-170U 7½
-120
08:40 PM
909Colorado RockiesC. Kuhl -R+1½
-165		+128O 8
-130
910Arizona DiamondbacksM. Kelly -R-1½
+145		-138U 8
+110
08:40 PM
911Miami MarlinsS. Alcantara -R+1½
-195		+113O 6½
-115
912San Diego PadresY. Darvish -R-1½
+170		-123U 6½
-105
 
lean: over in Cincy, under in Philly (Blaser), SD (Hoye), Seattle (T Gibson) and SF (Eddings)

rain in Philly not ideal but the wind in from RF is helpful there. no significant impact for wind/weather in the other 4.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
lean: over in Cincy, under in Philly (Blaser), SD (Hoye), Seattle (T Gibson) and SF (Eddings)

rain in Philly not ideal but the wind in from RF is helpful there. no significant impact for wind/weather in the other 4.
Click to expand...

I startled looking at reds game but after I saw forecast I backed off. Agree with over if they get it played without interruption.

Don’t think I can play the cards under w hicks starting will probably be lot of pen innings and while I like cards pen I think they have some guys who’s numbers gonna regress at some point. Agree w the others.
 
My 1st thought in that reds game was playing Brubaker ov 4.5 k’s but he has sucked in that park and reds been hitting a little of late, couldn’t trust him to go deep enough to get to 5k’s.
 
Anyone know why Webb was scratched yesterday and giants had to go w open game? I dunno enough bout their pen but that game had to weaken it a little for this weekend?
 
inZane said:
Cubbies postponed.
Click to expand...

I was afraid that was gonna happen, probably better for me cause I was on brink of taking myself into playing scrubbies! Lol. Just figured the weather would def be a disadvantage to doyers who been playing majority their games in cali and other nice weather places. Plus they not as good vs lefty pitchers so figured smyly could have success. Oh well, moot now.
 
This just not a great looking card imo. Draft kings being stupid with strike out props. There less guys posted now than were earlier! Lol. Wtf? Such a huge annoyance. Being real selective with these so it be helpful if they would all be posted at some certain time every day. Just don’t understand why they all over the place with these?? How hard would it be to put them all out around 9–10 every morning??? Doesn’t seem like that unreasonable of a ask!!
 
I was thinking Velasquez would struggle today as I think of Red Sox as a team who works counts and draws a lot of walks but that has not been the case at all this year!! Despite having the 3rd most at bats vs right handed pitchers they have drawn fewer walks than every team but the white Sox, only walking in 5% their AB’s, that crazy. Velasquez didn’t walk anyone in his last start which a big change from his norm, problem is with Sox walking damn near half as much as last season it tough to expect them to work the counts and force him into a typical outing.
 
My 1st thought was Evoldi ov 5.5 k’s but despite cws struggles against rhp they “only” striking out 20% the time and I do think the offense is coming around a bit. Eovaldi k/bb ratio been fantastic, he pitching his best when guys do get on base as he not allowing any of them to score! Oddly enough he getting hit harder at other times tho! All his runs allowed have came via the long ball! Maybe this comes from him not backing down and walking guys, he challenging them! There no way he can continue to strand everyone who gets on base tho!! He has had a pretty long career where he has consistently lived in the low 70% strand rate. I’m all for a guy not walking hitters, i much rather they give up a few more bombs and not give out free passes. That will have you going way deeper into games which will give you more chances to hit the k prop! White Sox barely hitting above the Mendoza line as a team vs rhp so it possible this continues w eovoldi tonight where he gives up a few solo bombs but is able to navigate his way thru another deep start, he has went 7 innings against jays and O’s his last 2 starts, if he can pull that off he should get to 6 k’s.
 
I ended up pulling trigger on Eovald ov 5.5 k’s. Just think he should go deep enough to get it done.

Tried something new but like this one:

Luis Garcia ov 16.5 outs. That 5.2 innings against a tigers team who not mustering much offense facing a guy who went 6 innings In b2b starts vs the Jays and prior to that 5.2 vs halo’s, both offenses a lot tougher to navigate than tigers who only have scored 4+ runs in 1 game since april 23rd. This has quality start written all over it.
 
I woulda been all bout gausman over 17.5 outs but it was -200! Im not paying that on something im just starting to dabble with!
 
2daBank said:
I woulda been all bout gausman over 17.5 outs but it was -200! Im not paying that on something im just starting to dabble with!
Click to expand...
Am I crazy for thinking that Cleveland can do some damage to him? I've been tempted to play Bieber at +
 
VirginiaCavs said:
Am I crazy for thinking that Cleveland can do some damage to him? I've been tempted to play Bieber at +
Click to expand...

I dunno. I didn’t like his k prop over so that something, lol. Off top my head I forget where I put his overall numbers but I don’t think it ever a bad idea playing Biebs at plus.
 
I know he kinda living off punch outs, certainly not a bad thing but Cleveland doesn’t strike out a lot (comparatively, they all strike out a lot these days!). Tribe put the ball in play anything can happen!

I’ll never be able to call them the guardians, not only is it stupid, there no abbreviation for it and it hard to spell! Lol
 
Man, I knew I shoulda went early and grabbed muts, when I 1st saw that line in the -120s I thought there was no damn way it would stay there! Feels like linemakers havnt given up on Phillies like I have already!! Lol. Mad max on the bump a day after that comeback? Doesn’t feel like a good spot for Phils, I just heard on radio that muts have yet to lose a series all year! They did split a 4 game series but other than that they have won every one! Not only that they havnt lost 2 games in a row all year! How crazy is that?
 
Had to pay a little more juice than I prefer but was able to get the fish/pads Ff u3.5, I thought for sure that would be a even 3!
 
2daBank said:
Man, I knew I shoulda went early and grabbed muts, when I 1st saw that line in the -120s I thought there was no damn way it would stay there! Feels like linemakers havnt given up on Phillies like I have already!! Lol. Mad max on the bump a day after that comeback? Doesn’t feel like a good spot for Phils, I just heard on radio that muts have yet to lose a series all year! They did split a 4 game series but other than that they have won every one! Not only that they havnt lost 2 games in a row all year! How crazy is that?
Click to expand...
Postponed as well, sheesh
 
On the bright side it looks like weather gonna break here in stl after the weekend, calling for 90s next week so shouldn’t be as many rain outs and ball should start flying!! Could be a situation where there some value on overs!!
 
2daBank said:
I know he kinda living off punch outs, certainly not a bad thing but Cleveland doesn’t strike out a lot (comparatively, they all strike out a lot these days!). Tribe put the ball in play anything can happen!

I’ll never be able to call them the guardians, not only is it stupid, there no abbreviation for it and it hard to spell! Lol
Click to expand...
I still call em the Tribe, that's my team. I'm hopeful that long-term the fanbase starts calling them the G's or something, ala the A's. That could work
 
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