Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
SI
72.6
Phils u8
72.6
Phils u8
First bet with many more expected
- Thread starter tuck321
- Start date
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Very likely.
Boston plus 2 cents. Ugly bet in some ways but completely impersonal. This is Boston King of Tuesdays and batter vs pitcher shows how often Boston has scored on Gausman. Lean over. Baltimore is desperate and Pomeranz is playing on 4 days rest
Boston plus 2 cents. Ugly bet in some ways but completely impersonal. This is Boston King of Tuesdays and batter vs pitcher shows how often Boston has scored on Gausman. Lean over. Baltimore is desperate and Pomeranz is playing on 4 days rest
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Re Houston. General trends are Massive for Houston
McHugh however has been hit hard in the past by them and is playing on 6+ which has been no blessing. But McHugh is actually a great pitcher who fell down last game and started a Houston disater in 4 games. He knows he has a chance to play in the bigtime for his team. He Shuld step up big here WS has been a real thorn in Houston's side. Not blaming them at all. When someone is down kicking is very appropriate but those trends will kick in and WS pitcher has a real problem in night games so this could easily get ugly and also over. Pure spec? Lets see the ump.
McHugh however has been hit hard in the past by them and is playing on 6+ which has been no blessing. But McHugh is actually a great pitcher who fell down last game and started a Houston disater in 4 games. He knows he has a chance to play in the bigtime for his team. He Shuld step up big here WS has been a real thorn in Houston's side. Not blaming them at all. When someone is down kicking is very appropriate but those trends will kick in and WS pitcher has a real problem in night games so this could easily get ugly and also over. Pure spec? Lets see the ump.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Just read a writeup from Sherwood.
8:10 PM EST. Situational betting is one part of our criteria but it doesn’t apply often to MLB because there are 162 games in a season and these players are trained not to get too high or too low. However, one cannot take the human element out of anything and in that regard, we cannot overstate the euphoria a team feels when they finally clinch a playoff spot after such a long and grueling schedule.
On Sunday, the Astronauts with Justin Verlander on the hill, clinched the AL West crown and there was a big celebration that probably lasted well into the night. When the Astros traded for Justin Verlander less than three weeks ago, they envisioned days just like that. Verlander struck out 10 over seven innings in his first home start for Houston in what the media is referring to a storybook clinching game. The Astros acquired Verlander from Detroit on Aug. 31, just minutes before the deadline for players to be eligible for postseason play. He had made two starts on the road before his Minute Maid Park debut. After a clinching win that was both emotional and celebratory, the Astronauts had a day off yesterday to digest it. They may need another day or two to get back into focus, as an emotional letdown is almost inevitable.
We also like the pitching matchup here, as Colin McHugh is average on his best day while Lucas Giolito is the South Side’s ace of the future and has not looked a bit out of place in his first five MLB starts (2.56 ERA). Giolito is the real and this is both a great spot and price to bet against the Astronauts. The White Sox have been hot with the bats recently, averaging 5.5 runs per game with a .821 OPS in September.
A lot of that is true. Then we look at the description of McHugh.
Well I guess I should be polite.
8:10 PM EST. Situational betting is one part of our criteria but it doesn’t apply often to MLB because there are 162 games in a season and these players are trained not to get too high or too low. However, one cannot take the human element out of anything and in that regard, we cannot overstate the euphoria a team feels when they finally clinch a playoff spot after such a long and grueling schedule.
On Sunday, the Astronauts with Justin Verlander on the hill, clinched the AL West crown and there was a big celebration that probably lasted well into the night. When the Astros traded for Justin Verlander less than three weeks ago, they envisioned days just like that. Verlander struck out 10 over seven innings in his first home start for Houston in what the media is referring to a storybook clinching game. The Astros acquired Verlander from Detroit on Aug. 31, just minutes before the deadline for players to be eligible for postseason play. He had made two starts on the road before his Minute Maid Park debut. After a clinching win that was both emotional and celebratory, the Astronauts had a day off yesterday to digest it. They may need another day or two to get back into focus, as an emotional letdown is almost inevitable.
We also like the pitching matchup here, as Colin McHugh is average on his best day while Lucas Giolito is the South Side’s ace of the future and has not looked a bit out of place in his first five MLB starts (2.56 ERA). Giolito is the real and this is both a great spot and price to bet against the Astronauts. The White Sox have been hot with the bats recently, averaging 5.5 runs per game with a .821 OPS in September.
A lot of that is true. Then we look at the description of McHugh.
Well I guess I should be polite.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
No way I stay up long enough to see ump in SF so no bet there. What would I bet. Among other things Cueto on 6+ this season 7.59 ERA, Colorado deliberately dumped their last game vs Padres partially because they Love to screw Giants. Some problems with the Colorado starter vs Giants but I expect them to win
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
SI
Add
Pirates
Phillies
Orioles
Angels
Add
Pirates
Phillies
Orioles
Angels
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Lots of 1 run games last night
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
JBJ and Fred Lynn saved game for Bosox with their amazing D last night. Love that outfield so much. Buck hates them, they tried hard to win.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Yank game today is a problem. I like Bartolo but he is getting very old. 7.20 day ERA . 6-2 with home ump 2.25 lifetime ERA. Severino 14 innings 1.93 ERA. Cederstrom is a strong home ref. Large chalk last 2 years has been dominate. NY has been a killer at home recently smashing Boston 3-1 for example by large margins. Their pen advantage increased with the Minn pitcher leaving after 3.1
Going with Yanks minus 2.5 1 unit 1.5 2 units. Probably a sisy bet
Going with Yanks minus 2.5 1 unit 1.5 2 units. Probably a sisy bet
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Skipping to Houston. Ump seems a little shaky.
Shields is on 5 0-3 7.32 ERA. bad at night 2-4 5.37
Last games vs Houston 2015
Played well at Houston good but limited history with ref.
Peacock on best rest one poor start with ump.
Houston Wednesdays 14-9 WS 5-16
Uncertain
Shields is on 5 0-3 7.32 ERA. bad at night 2-4 5.37
Last games vs Houston 2015
Played well at Houston good but limited history with ref.
Peacock on best rest one poor start with ump.
Houston Wednesdays 14-9 WS 5-16
Uncertain
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Average bet on Philadelphia ml
Reasoning
bullpens available
4.05 Philadelphia
3.36 Dodgers but in actual fact the Dodger bullpens has been doing an awful job 8.37 ERA last 3 games
And Whitson the ump is 19-7 for the home team and is 5-2 for home dogs this season
Starters
last 3 Thompson has been better
Played ml plus 220 and plus 1,5 plus 30
Reasoning
bullpens available
4.05 Philadelphia
3.36 Dodgers but in actual fact the Dodger bullpens has been doing an awful job 8.37 ERA last 3 games
And Whitson the ump is 19-7 for the home team and is 5-2 for home dogs this season
Starters
last 3 Thompson has been better
Played ml plus 220 and plus 1,5 plus 30
Last edited:
Big_Degenerate
sharp as a butter knife
tuck referencing the yanks gm from this afternoon. books didnt post a line until some where around 10 am. I know they won't post a line if a pitchers is uncertain. but last nt we knew it was bartolo vs severino. when they do post a line its -320. in my experience ( a lot less then yours) when a book does this they are trying to limit there exposure and for me is a dead give away as long as other factors line up as well.
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Astros -1.5?
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
SI 71.1
Tampa
Padres
Bravos
Tampa
Padres
Bravos
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
1.5
2.5
Tampa might be a play Reasoning both pitchers are good on 6+ but the ump a huge over has a over 5 ERA with Lester and Cubs and Milwaukee are both looking at each other
Padres ? major trend for Arizona off 3 losses. Lamet a bit worse on 6
I could see Padres anyway. Thinking part of Arizona problem might be PEDs over use
Will put something small on Tampa.
Boston at Baltimore could drive me crazy if I intended to bet on it which I will not
Leaning Cleveland
2.5
Tampa might be a play Reasoning both pitchers are good on 6+ but the ump a huge over has a over 5 ERA with Lester and Cubs and Milwaukee are both looking at each other
Padres ? major trend for Arizona off 3 losses. Lamet a bit worse on 6
I could see Padres anyway. Thinking part of Arizona problem might be PEDs over use
Will put something small on Tampa.
Boston at Baltimore could drive me crazy if I intended to bet on it which I will not
Leaning Cleveland
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Like dodger game today?
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Salazar number looks short. I like Bridwell, perceptions is all.
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Farm, i doubt tito puts on breaks, gotta keep rolling, november will be here shortly.
SI 70.2
Dogers u9.5
Tigers u10.5
SI 70.2
Dogers u9.5
Tigers u10.5
Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
Neck and beck for best overall record too, which I think they would want.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Not a pick but on a glance would have to like Cubs today.
Logic based on Arieta being very good on 6+ and the fact that they have seen Davies so much. Also Cubs used zip from pen yesterday while Brewers used 7 reasonable pitchers from their pen last night
Logic based on Arieta being very good on 6+ and the fact that they have seen Davies so much. Also Cubs used zip from pen yesterday while Brewers used 7 reasonable pitchers from their pen last night
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Real interest in Reds today.
Bailey this season on 5 days rest 1.23 ERA based on 14.2 innings.
Martinez this season has a ERA of 7.15 vs Reds
He has almost no history with Gorman who is a major over. Bailey has experience middle 4 ERA. Plus 160 first half. Will look at lineups to determine if this bet will be made. Cardinals do very well as 75 cent favs so a first half win is fine
Cards are also a little interested tomorrow in a divisional matchup with Pitt
Bailey this season on 5 days rest 1.23 ERA based on 14.2 innings.
Martinez this season has a ERA of 7.15 vs Reds
He has almost no history with Gorman who is a major over. Bailey has experience middle 4 ERA. Plus 160 first half. Will look at lineups to determine if this bet will be made. Cardinals do very well as 75 cent favs so a first half win is fine
Cards are also a little interested tomorrow in a divisional matchup with Pitt
Last edited:
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
Add
Tigers
Braves
Tigers
Braves
Similar threads
