European basketball season 2015/2016

So, here it is my Sunday card full of underdogs.:moneyeyes:

VTB: Enisey Krasnoyarsk +13 (1.89)
ACB: Bilbao +8 (1.93)
ACB: Sevilla +7 (1.95)
ACB: Zaragoza +17 (2.00)
 
Krasnoyarsk +13 - L
Bilbao +8 - W
Sevilla +7 - W
Zaragoza +17 - W

March 27th: 3-1 (+1.88u)

Season: 303-263-13 (+21.37u)
 
Huge Easter Monday card, lots of underdogs. Pau, Beskitas and Istanbul are the strongest. BOL

VTB: Kalev +12.5 (1.95) C
VTB: St. Petersburg +8 (1.99) C
A1: Aris +6 (2.00) C
BSL: Besiktas +12 (1.97) B
BSL: Istanbul BBK +16 (1.95) B
ProA: Pau Orthez +6.5 (2.01) A
Winner: Haifa +2.5 (1.93) B
Winner: Ashdod +10 (1.86) B
 
Pau-Orthez is 17-0 ATS in their L17 ProA gm's. Amazing result. And the bookmakers made them underdogs 10 times in those 17 games. 10 times! Only once (against Le Havre) Pau was dd fave. This is by far the most reliable non public team to bet on in whole euro bb. A real covering machine (22-4 ATS in ProA since October).

Kalev +12.5 - W
St. Petersburg +8 - W
Aris +6 - W
Besiktas +12 - L
Istanbul BBK +16 - W
Pau Orthez +6.5 - W
Haifa +2.5 - L
Ashdod +10 - L

March 28th: 5-3 (+1.90u)

Season: 308-266-13 (+23.27u)

I'm 11-5 L3 days.
 
Trento wins outright.

Trento +7 - W
Chalons +9.5 - W

March 29th: 2-0 (+1.87u)

Season: 310-266-13 (+25.14u)

13-5 L4 days.
 
I have no luck betting totals this season.

Vitoria +3.5 - W
Paris/Orleans Under 148.5 - L

April 1st: 1-1 (-0.08u)

Season: 312-269-13 (+24.01u)
 
Sat. card:

BSL: Yesilgiresun +7 (1.92) C
BSL: Kolejliler +8.5 (1.92) C
Winner: Ironi Nahariya +3.5 (1.92) B
ProA: Antibes +7.5 (1.98) A
ProA: Chalons +3.5 (1.90) B
BBL: ALBA Berlin -1.5 (1.96) A
 
Bad day for underdogs.

Yesilgiresun +7 - W
Kolejliler +8.5 - L
Nahariya +3.5 - L
Antibes +7.5 - L
Chalons +3.5 - W
Berlin -1.5 - L

April 2nd: 2-4 (-2.18u)

Season: 314-273-13 (+21.83u)
 
Sun. card.

ACB: Sevilla +16.5 (1.95) A
BBL: Frankfurt -6 (1.95) B
BBL: Bonn/Bamberg Under 169 (1.95) C
ACB: Joventud/Malaga Under 154.5 (1.97) A
LegaA: Avellino -3 (1.99) B
LegaA: Trento +2 (1.92) B
LegaA: Capo d'Orlando/Milano Over 148.5 (1.95) B
 
Very strong bounce back after poor Saturday. I'm very motivated now and I'm going to close this season strong. After watching euro bb for six months I'm familiar with teams, their weak and strong points and playing styles. Picking winners seems so easy for me now. :hypnosis:

Sevilla +16.5 - W
Frankfurt -6 - W
Bonn/Bamberg Under 169 - W
Joventud/Malaga Under 154.5 - W
Avellino -3 - L
Trento +2 - W
Capo d'Orlando/Milano Over 148.5 - W

April 3rd: 6-1 (+4.69u)

Season: 320-274-13 (+26.52)
 
Nobody is hypnotized.

Really wanted to bet on Turk Telekom +10.5 but the line is already at +9. Can't decide between Pau and Monaco - I have won many units thanks to both teams, it's a tough call for me. I will take another look at this game tomorrow in the afternoon. Pau is on fire since February but Monaco is top 3 team in ProA..

Winner League: Kiryat Gat +7 (1.98) A
Winner League: Rishon -2 (1.92) C
A1: Panathinaikos/AEK Athens u149.5 (1.93) B
 
I thought of picking Monaco (+3.5 now) but I don't want to broke my rule 'Don't bet against strong trends and teams on the roll'. Still I do believe Monaco is well suited to cover on the road. It will be an awesome game and Pau will be challenged. No bet though.
 
leaning pau ml in a parlay.




moneyprinter said:
I thought of picking Monaco (+3.5 now) but I don't want to broke my rule 'Don't bet against strong trends and teams on the roll'. Still I do believe Monaco is well suited to cover on the road. It will be an awesome game and Pau will be challenged. No bet though.
Click to expand...
 
Pau is losing at the half-time by 16, their ats streak will be over soon. Turk Telekom on pointspread was the right play (totals bettors cashed too). Rishon is unpredictable recently but frankly speaking Nes Ziona wanted it more.
No action tomorrow for me but I will be back with picks on Wednesday (hopefully).

Kiryat Gat +7 - W
Rishon -2 - L
Panathinaikos/AEK Athens u149.5 - W

April 4th: 2-1 (+0.91u)

Season: 322-275-13 (+27.43u)
 
Domestic leagues.

BSL: Istanbul +14 (1.95) C
BBL: Frankfurt -8 (1.97) B
ProA: Le Havre Team Total Under 79 (1.89) A
 
Int. cups.

Eurocup: Trento/Strasbourg o153.5 (1.96) C
Eurocup: Gran Canaria -7 (1.91) A
Eurocup: Gran Canaria/Galatasaray o162 (1.95) B
FIBA Europe Cup: Varese/Antwerp u166.5 (1.93) B
 
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Gran Canaria is eliminated - what a game it was. I was hoping for Trento Gran Canaria final. Galatasaray will play with Strasbourg instead (1st leg is scheduled on April 22).

Istanbul +14 - L
Frankfurt -8 - L
Le Havre Team Total Under 79 - W
Trento/Strasbourg o153.5 - W
Gran Canaria -7 - W
Gran Canaria/Galatasaray o162 - W
Varese/Antwerp u166.5 - L

April 6th: 4-3 (+0.71u)

Season: 326-278-13 (+28.14u)
 
BBL: Bremerhaven +5 (1.99) A
BBL: Mitteldeutscher +4.5 (1.99) A
BSL: Gaziantep/Trabzonspor o153 (1.91) C
ProA: Dunkerque +2.5 (1.99) B
Winner: Bnei Hertzeliya +6 (1.91) B
 
Adding:

TBL: Zgorzelec +8 (1.94)

Turów Zgorzelec needs one more win to grab 8th spot in the table. Słupsk is locked in 5th but a loss could push them back to 6th. There are 4 rounds to play in Tauron Basketball League. This should be a tight game - 8 points is a lot in these circumstances. Zgorzelec have won last 4 meetings with Słupsk outright and 16 of last 18 meetings. It seem they really do hate them - it's kind of weird rivalry game. This pick is A rated.
 
Very bad day for my underdogs. The pre-game numbers showed they will cover, the line movement was there, the first half results were OK (in some cases) but the final results were just bad.

Bremerhaven +5 - L
Mitteldeutscher +4.5 - L
Gaziantep/Trabzonspor o153 - W
Dunkerque +2.5 - L
Bnei Hertzeliya +6 - L
Zgorzelec +8 - L

April 9th: 1-5 (-4.09u)

Season: 328-282-13 (+25.0u)
 
Favorites heavy Sunday card. Public likes Juvecaserta, Gipuzkoa and Manresa but they will face really hot teams (Sevilla, Reggiana especially). And Avellino in bounce back spot.

LegaA: Varese -2 (1.97)
LegaA: Avellino: -5.5 (1.91)
LegaA: Reggio Emilia -4 (1.92)
ACB: Sevilla -9.5 (2.00)
ACB: Tenerife -5 (1.99)
 
3-0 in LegaA but 0-2 in Liga Endesa...

Varese -2 - W
Avellino: -5.5 - W
Reggio Emilia -4 - W
Sevilla -9.5 - L
Tenerife -5 - L

April 10th: 3-2 (+0.80u)

Season: 331-284-13 (+25.80u)
 
Numbers and trends are indicating that all three underdogs have a nice chance not only to cover but to win their meetings outright. Let's see..

ProA: Chalon +5 (1.92)
BSL: Pinar Karsiyaka +6 (1.98)
Winner: Hapoel Tel Aviv +4 (1.96)
 
Something bad is happening to Hapoel, they could drop off to 9th if they loose at Ashdod on Friday. Ashdod is on 7th place, just above Tel Aviv. Chalon was in the same situation today (playing on the road as 8th place team at 7th place Nanterre). Chalon won, how will Tel Aviv fare? Ashdod lost its last 5 games. It should be very interesting.

Chalon +5 - W
Pinar Karsiyaka +6 - L
Hapoel Tel Aviv +4 - L

April 11th: 1-2 (-1.08u)

Season: 332-286-13 (+24.72u)
 
Couple of weeks ago Strasbourg was playing very well in Eurocup play-offs now they are crushed by middle of the pack teams like Dijon and Le Mans. Go figure it out.

Strasbourg ML - L
Madrid/Fenerbahce Over 162.5 - L
Real Madrid +3.5 - L

April 13th: 0-3 (-3.00u)

Season: 332-289-13 (+21.72)
 
Euroleague: Laboral Kutxa -3.5 (1.95) B
TBL: Sopot +15.5 (1.98) C
TBL: Włocławek/Kutno Over 141.5 (1.97) C
Winner: Tel Aviv/Rishon Over 155.5 (1.94) B
 
Laboral Kutxa -3.5 - W
Sopot +15.5 - W
Włocławek/Kutno Over 141.5 - W
Tel Aviv/Rishon Over 155.5 - L

April 13th: 3-1 (+1.90u)

Season: 335-290-13 (+23.62)
 
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BBL: Frankfurt TT u92.5 (2.00)
BSL: Galatasaray/Darussafaka o154 (1.97)
Euroleague: Crvena Zvezda +17 (1.99)
Euroleague: Fenerbahce -3 (1.91)
 
utfootball4 said:
who u have winning that gala gm
Click to expand...

I had no clue when I was looking at the matchup in the afternoon (that's why I was betting on totals). And during the game it looked like the Galatasaray should win & cover easily but it didn't happen. On April 22 Galatasaray has first leg of Eurocup Final scheduled but before that they will go to play with Buyukcelmece in Turkish league - they will be big favorites in look ahead spot before an Eurocup final. Looks like Buyukcekmece is the right play.

Meanwhile Strasbourg is playing awful bball - losing their last three in bad style. Gala will win Eurocup for sure and there's a good chance Turkish side will cover but let's wait for line.
 
Frankfurt TT u92.5 - W
Galatasaray/Darussafaka o154 - L
Crvena Zvezda +17 - W
Fenerbahce -3 - W

April 14th: 3-1 (+1.90u)

Season: 338-291-13 (+25.52u)
 
utfootball4 said:
I think Barcelona has a chance to win SU today - looking at this line.
Click to expand...

Of course. I do believe +2.5 is the right play. Kuban had some luck in G1. Altough Dorsey will be out (no official info yet) I'm pretty sure that Tomic and Samuels will step up. Barcelona needs to increase their 3pt accuracy - they missed too many wide open threes in G1.
 
So initially I was leaning Nanterre -2.5. On Pinny it open -3.5. Nanterre off the loss and on short rest on the road. Sharks 3-1 ATS as home dog and 9-5 ATS at home (pretty good). Nanterre is 7-6 ATS on the road in ProA. Nanterre won all last 5 meetings with Antibes but this year Antibes team is much stronger. This will go to the wire, I think. I will pass on this game. Should be very entertaining.
 
.5 too many pts.

moneyprinter said:
So initially I was leaning Nanterre -2.5. On Pinny it open -3.5. Nanterre off the loss and on short rest on the road. Sharks 3-1 ATS as home dog and 9-5 ATS at home (pretty good). Nanterre is 7-6 ATS on the road in ProA. Nanterre won all last 5 meetings with Antibes but this year Antibes team is much stronger. This will go to the wire, I think. I will pass on this game. Should be very entertaining.
Click to expand...
 
Bnei, Varese and Monaco look too good to be true. There will be some missed bets for sure.

Winner: Bnei +5 (1.95) A
LegaA: Varese +6 (1.94) A
ProA: Monaco +2.5 (1.95) A
ProA: Orleans +8.5 (1.94) C
ProA: Chalon -9.5 (1.98) C
 
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