European basketball season 2015/2016

utfootball4 said:
I thought zadar was -3?
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For Zadar it opened at +3 on Sunday evening and then the crazy line movement happened overnight and early morning to -3. Closing line was -3.5.

I still don't understand why this line open at +3. My numbers showed me Nikisic should be -1 road fave. Zadar had to win to qualify for play-offs, so it was obvious they will play with the sense of urgency and the visiting team was eliminated but they fought like crazy (made 11 or 12 3-pointers today). Basically it was free money for bettors with tickets on Zadar +3, +2.5, +1.5. Zadar is very hard to beat at home.

 
61 point 2nd half in Monaco ruined my potential 3-1 day.

Strasbourg/Monaco Over 152.5 - L
Bnei +7.5 - L
Banvit/Fenerbahce Under 159 - W
Zadar +3 - W

March 7th: 2-2 (-0.10u)

Season: 268-237-10 (+14.07u)
 
VTB: Volgograd TT Under 82.5 (1.90)

Volgograd is scoring 73.5 ppg versus top VTB teams - Kuban, CSKA, Petersburg, Kazan (last 4 vs these). Novgorod allows 76.4 ppg on avg in L5 gms. Volgograd TT Under 82.5 (B)

VTB: VEF Riga +10.5 (1.95)

VEF Riga is 10-5 ATS as an underdog in VTB. Riga +10.5 (B)

BBL: Frankfurt -2.5 (1.91)

Frankfurt won L3 meetings with Giessen and 4 of L5. Giessen 73, Frankfurt 76. Frankfurt -2.5 (B)
 
Volgograd TT Under 82.5 - L
Riga +10.5 - L
Frankfurt -2.5 - W

March 9th: 1-2 (-1.09u)

Season: 269-239-10 (+12.98u)
 
VTB: St.Petersburg -6.5 (1.96)
Euroleague: Kuban -3 (1.98)
Euroleague: Bamberg +4.5 (1.98)
Euroleague: Vitoria -4 (1.98)
 
St.Petersburg -6.5 - W
Kuban -3 - L
Bamberg +4.5 - W
Vitoria -4 - W

March 10th: 3-1 (+1.92u)

Season: 272-240-10 (+14.90u)
 
Barcelona +3 - W
Crvena Zvezda -1.5 - W
Darussafaka/Efes Over 152.5 - L

March 11th: 2-1 (+0.91u)

Season: 274-241-10 (+15.81u)
 
Tons of value on the board today. Other teams worth looking at: Limoges +1, Monaco -2.5, Oldenburg -1, Rethymno -1.5, Bnei -2.5, Fuenlabrada +2.5, Pinar -2.5, Usak +2.5, Turk Tel. +6.5, Tarnobrzeg/Toruń over, Istanbul/Yesil over, Orleans/Le Havre over, Pau/Cholet over.

A1: Aris -2.5 (1.91)
BSL: Yesilgiresun +4.5 (1.95)
BSL: Kolejliler +5 (1.95)
Pro A: Chalon +2.5 (1.95)
Pro A: Chalons-Reims -2.5 (1.93)
Pro A: Cholet +8 (1.91)
 
Horrible day - reverse sweep, two bets lost by half a point, Kolejliler was covering for 38 minutes but collapsed in the end, Yesilgiresun and Chalons didn't bother to show up to play. Monaco, Bnei, Oldenburg were clearly the best bets.

Aris -2.5 - L
Yesilgiresun +4.5 - L
Kolejliler +5 - L
Chalon +2.5 - L
Chalons-Reims -2.5 - L
Cholet +8 - L

March 12th: 0-6 (-6.00u)

Season: 274-247-10 (+9.81u)
 
ACB: Vitoria -7 (1.91)
ACB: Gran Canaria -9.5 (1.97)
Lega A: Milano -4 (1.98)
Lega A: Pistoia/Cremona Over 152 (1.95)
 
Another day, another close loss - this time by one point (Pistoia-Cremona) and a late push in Milano game that should be a cover.

Vitoria -7 - L
Gran Canaria -9.5 - W
Milano -4 - P
Pistoia/Cremona Over 152 - L

March 13th: 1-2-1 (-1.03u)

Season: 275-249-11 (+8.78u)
 
Some ugly dogs - Efes, Bamberg and Panathinaikos in lookahead spot before their Euroleague games (Thu.-Fri.). Let's hope this time the weaker teams will show up for play.

BSL: Besiktas +10.5 (1.97)
BBL: Giessen +23.5 (1.95)
A1: Trikala +19.5 (1.96)
Lega A: Avellino +1 (1.96)
 
Another bet lost by half a point (Giessen).

Besiktas +10.5 - W
Giessen +23.5 - L
Trikala +19.5 - W
Avellino +1 - W

March 14th: 3-1 (+1.89u)

Season: 278-250-11 (+10.67u)
 
Another half point loss? Yes, sure (Milano).

Galatasaray +4.5 - L
Trento/Milano Over 157 - L
Volgograd -3 - L

March: 15th: 0-3 (-3.00u)

Season: 278-253-11 (+7.67u)
 
BBL: Crailsheim/Braunschweig Under 154 (1.90)
FIBA Cup: Frankfurt -11.5 (1.99)
Fiba Cup: Chalon -10.5 (1.95)
Eurocup: Gran Canaria -4 (1.91)
 
Crailsheim/Braunschweig u154 - L
Frankfurt -11.5 - W
Chalon -10.5 - W
Gran Canaria -4 - W

March 16th: 3-1 (+1.85u)

Season: 281-254-11 (+9.52u)
 
BSL: Galatasaray/Darussafaka Over 153.5 (1.95)
BSL: Besiktas/Gaziantep Over 156.5 (1.95)
Pro A: Strasbourg -4.5 (1.95)
BBL: Bayern Munich -10.5 (1.93)

Expecting this lines move very fast. I may add a play or two later.
 
Galatasaray/Darussafaka will be a push - the game was postponed due the recent terror attacks in Istanbul. The value in games I had my eyes on is gone, so I will stick to what I already got. Bnei -1, Ulm ML, Chalon -11, Monaco -8, Orleans TT under are looking interesting.
 
Sunday card

ACB: Andorra ML (1.93)
ACB: Estudiantes +19 (1.91)
BBL: Ludwigsburg +13.5 (1.92)
Winner: H. Tel Aviv -3 (1.97)
Lega A: Cremona/Pesaro Over 150 (1.91)
BSL: Kolejliler +8.5 (1.91)
 
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Back to reality but that's not a surprise after so many bets won recently. Cremona/Pesaro lost by 1, so bad luck is still troubling me a little bit.

Andorra ML - W
Estudiantes +19 - W
Ludwigsburg +13.5 - L
H. Tel Aviv -3 - W
Cremona/Pesaro Over 150 - L
Kolejliler +8.5 - L

March 20th: 3-3 (-0.19u)

Season: 292-257-12 (+16.86u)
 
VTB: Saratov +1 (1.93)

Saratov is 7-3 ATS on the road in VTB League. Nymburk is on short 2-day (played on Friday at Ostrava in Czech league).

Pro A: Pau-Lacq-Orthez +3.5 (1.94)

Pau is 14-0 ATS in their L14 Pro A gm's.
Pau is 11-3 ATS as an underdog in Pro A.
Pau is 9-2 ATS as road dog in Pro A.

 
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More info on Basketball Champions League - http://www.sportando.com/en/cups/ch...mpete-in-the-basketball-champions-league.html


Jan Vesely suffered achilles tendon injury and will be out six weeks. Fenerbace is favored over Cedevita Zagreb by 8 points on the road in Euroleague TOP16 (Friday). Fenerbahce already witouth Pero Antić will have to rely on Ekpe-Udoh. No line on Pinnacle yet. Cedevita played very well at Efes, 8 points on the road might be too many for weakened Turkish team... https://t.co/FQNawEGKmD
 
Pau stunned Nancy on the road and improved its record to 15-0 ATS in its L15 ProA meetings. This is amazing. Last season Pau was horrible with many young and raw players, they played really ugly basketball, this season is different.

Saratov +1 - W
Pau +3.5 - W

March 21st: 2-0 (+1.87u)

Season: 294-257-12 (+18.73u)

Orange, lots of orange.



:money:
 
Out of sheer curiosity I looked at Pau next opponent. There's a chance Pau will improve its pointspread record to 16-0.

Pau will be playing its next game at home on Friday against the worst team in French league - Le Havre. Pau will be on 4-day rest after todays big, emotional win that was on tv (Canal Plus). Small letdown is possible but...

Le Havre is on 10 game losing streak.
Le Havre is 1-7 ATS in their L8 games in ProA.
Le Havre is 4-8 ATS on the road in ProA.
Le Havre is 6-18 ATS overall.

Pau is 10-2 ATS at home.
Pau is 8-1 ATS as home favorite in ProA.

No line yet - it will be on Thursday afternoon on Pinnacle. My projected line: -11 but after so many covers oddsmakers may push it closer to 15. My projection: Pau 80, Le Havre 70.
 
utfootball4 said:
Do you know why this game is going 2 ot?
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Haha because Nizhny is a decent team? Strasbourg won on the road so they were lacking motivation in 2nd leg, Russians took advantage of that. SIG has won so many games recently that a letdown was just a matter of time. The same scenario happened in previous round - Gran Canaria won at Limoges by 17 but lost by 1 at home. It's a typical situation in Eurocup play-offs, obviously because of the elimination system.
 
Will Panathinaikos finally play perfect game on the road in EL? If they don't cover today I'm going to change my opinion on them and eliminate them from list of Final Four contenders. For Crvena it will be 5th game in 14 days span. At some point they must run out of energy - maybe today against hard defending Loko... Crvena on 1 day rest and long travel to Russia.

Euroleague: Panathinaikos -4.5 (1.95)
Euroleague: Kuban/Belgrade Under 148 (1.93)
 
Thanks, but that didn't answer my question. Either way my book was wrong and I won the bet..
[TABLE="class: Grid"]
<tbody>[TR="class: NonAlt"]
[TD]Win[/TD]
[TD]3/23/16 3:00pm International Basketball 1572 Nizhny Novgorod +192* <small>vs</small> Strasbourg IG[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]


moneyprinter said:
Haha because Nizhny is a decent team? Strasbourg won on the road so they were lacking motivation in 2nd leg, Russians took advantage of that. SIG has won so many games recently that a letdown was just a matter of time. The same scenario happened in previous round - Gran Canaria won at Limoges by 17 but lost by 1 at home. It's a typical situation in Eurocup play-offs, obviously because of the elimination system.
Click to expand...
 
Weird line on the Greeks, I lean k9.

moneyprinter said:
Will Panathinaikos finally play perfect game on the road in EL? If they don't cover today I'm going to change my opinion on them and eliminate them from list of Final Four contenders. For Crvena it will be 5th game in 14 days span. At some point they must run out of energy - maybe today against hard defending Loko... Crvena on 1 day rest and long travel to Russia.

Euroleague: Panathinaikos -4.5 (1.95)
Euroleague: Kuban/Belgrade Under 148 (1.93)
Click to expand...
 
Push in Kuban after meaningless three in last 0.7 sec. I'm done with this Panathinaikos team - team with clueless coach that have no idea how to adjust own strategy in game. I hope Pana will be eliminated as soon as possible, what a waste of play-off spot. Efes has its own problems but they deserve it more imo.

Panathinaikos -4.5 - L
Kuban/Belgrade Under 148 - P

March 23rd: 1-1 (-0.07u)

March 24th: 0-1-1 (-1.0u)

Season: 295-259-13 (+17.66u)
 
Wow, Pau is favored by 15 over Le Havre. Their streak of pointspread wins may end today. I don't like any of the Friday's favorites, the numbers look bloated. Weekend starts, lots of square bettors will be pounding favs, especially Euroleague favs. Let's take some shots and win some $.

ProA: Limoges +3.5 (1.97)
Euroleague: Zalgiris Kaunas +7 (1.95)
Euroleague: Zagreb +8.5 (1.95)
Euroleague: Malaga +9.5 (1.94)
 
Mixed results. Antic is back for Fenerbahce but the team is struggling without Vesely (and will be for the rest of the season - I hope bookies keep posting those dd Fenerbahce lines, so we can cash some tickets betting against them). I'm going to bet against them on Monday (Besiktas).

Limoges +3.5 - L
Zalgiris Kaunas +7 - W
Zagreb +8.5 - W
Malaga +9.5 - L

March 25th: 2-2 (-0.10u)

Season: 297-261-13 (+17.56u)
 
Reggio and Lavrio are unstoppable recently. Strasbourg is in bad schedule spot after OT Eurocup game - 8 points is a lot against Chalon playing GSW style of basketball. Yesil is really ugly dog thrown to the mix but hey how bad is Trabzon? This season is a complete disaster for them (fired head coach, tons of losses in Eurocup, no consistency, no style, no identity), so yes - it will be an ugly game but it should be close bc both squads willl be looking to avoid relegation.

A1: Lavrio -5.5 (1.95)
Pro A: Chalon +7.5 (1.95)
BSL: Yesilgiresun +14.5 (2.00)
LegaA: Reggio Emilia +6 (1.98)
 
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A little bit unlucky with Chalon losing by 8 points but still profitable day.

Lavrio -5.5 - W
Chalon +7.5 - L
Yesilgiresun +14.5 - W
Reggio Emilia +6 - W

March 26th: 3-1 (+1.93u)

Season: 300-262-13 (+19.49u)
 
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